Tearsheet

Smith & Wesson Brands (SWBI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $10.59 | Market Cap: $470.2 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Smith & Wesson Brands (SWBI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $10.59
Market Cap: $470.2 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.6%, Dividend Yield is 5.3%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -53%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -40%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.9%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
  Key risks
SWBI key risks include [1] declining sales and profitability from a downturn in consumer demand, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Personal Security & Self-Defense. Themes include Firearms Manufacturing.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.6%, Dividend Yield is 5.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Personal Security & Self-Defense. Themes include Firearms Manufacturing.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -53%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -40%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.9%
6 Key risks
SWBI key risks include [1] declining sales and profitability from a downturn in consumer demand, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SWBI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Smith & Wesson Brands (SWBI) experienced a stock price increase of approximately 29.7% from late August 2025 to December 18, 2025, largely driven by a positive reaction to its fiscal second-quarter 2026 earnings report and strategic company initiatives.

1. Better-than-Expected Q2 Fiscal 2026 Financial Results: The company reported net sales of nearly $125 million for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, which surpassed analyst estimates of $123.7 million. Additionally, adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.04 exceeded analyst expectations of $0.02. This strong performance led to a significant rally, with shares gaining nearly 17% on December 5, 2025, the day after the earnings announcement.

2. Strong Performance of New Products and Inventory Management: Management highlighted that new products were a significant catalyst, accounting for nearly 40% of total quarterly sales. The company also demonstrated strong operational efficiency and disciplined inventory management, which contributed to its profitability despite a year-over-year sales decline.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SWBI Return138%2%-50%62%-23%10%69%
Peers Return52%-27%11%21%-3%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SWBI Win Rate67%58%42%42%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate57%55%47%53%50%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SWBI Max Drawdown-36%-11%-51%0%-25%-21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-46%-14%-25%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RGR, OLN, POWW, AOUT, AXON.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSWBIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-76.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven323.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven83.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven80 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-77.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven335.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven298 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-92.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1286.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,599 days1,480 days

Compare to FLY, ATRO, BETA, DFSC, PEW


In The Past

Smith & Wesson Brands's stock fell -76.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/1/2021. A -76.4% loss requires a 323.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Smith & Wesson Brands (SWBI)

Better Bets than Smith & Wesson Brands (SWBI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SWBI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Smith & Wesson Brands

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SWBIRGROLNPOWWAOUTAXONMedian
NameSmith & .Sturm Ru.Olin Outdoor American.Axon Ent. 
Mkt Price10.4531.6320.311.998.18550.0015.38
Mkt Cap0.40.52.30.20.143.10.5
Rev LTM4665416,787112072,558504
Op Inc LTM18-4234-42-5-28-5
FCF LTM214380-13-514532
FCF 3Y Avg-5324601716620
CFO LTM5059295-10-124454
CFO 3Y Avg555268171224153

Growth & Margins

SWBIRGROLNPOWWAOUTAXONMedian
NameSmith & .Sturm Ru.Olin Outdoor American.Axon Ent. 
Rev Chg LTM-9.4%3.9%4.7%13.5%2.9%32.0%4.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.1%-4.0%-10.7%-45.0%-0.9%33.7%-5.0%
Rev Chg Q-3.9%3.7%7.8%0.0%-5.0%30.6%1.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.1%0.8%1.9%0.0%-1.4%7.0%0.4%
Op Mgn LTM3.8%-0.8%3.4%-387.7%-2.6%-1.1%-0.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.8%5.3%7.7%-175.4%-4.1%4.8%5.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%-1.3%0.9%62.0%-0.5%-1.0%-0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM10.8%10.9%4.3%-88.2%-0.7%9.5%6.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.9%9.6%9.9%17.2%6.0%12.4%10.4%
FCF/Rev LTM4.5%7.9%1.2%-121.3%-2.4%5.7%2.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.8%5.9%6.7%-29.7%3.9%8.7%4.9%

Valuation

SWBIRGROLNPOWWAOUTAXONMedian
NameSmith & .Sturm Ru.Olin Outdoor American.Axon Ent. 
Mkt Cap0.40.52.30.20.143.10.5
P/S0.91.30.415.90.522.01.1
P/EBIT-518.512.2--237.4237.4
P/E44.1267.953.5-1.6-19.7218.948.8
P/CFO8.711.99.7-18.1-81.1230.49.2
Total Yield7.6%2.0%5.1%-62.7%-5.1%0.5%1.2%
Dividend Yield5.3%1.6%3.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.3%8.2%--0.6%4.3%
D/E-0.01.2--0.00.0
Net D/E--0.11.1---0.0-0.0

Returns

SWBIRGROLNPOWWAOUTAXONMedian
NameSmith & .Sturm Ru.Olin Outdoor American.Axon Ent. 
1M Rtn25.9%4.5%6.8%5.3%28.6%1.2%6.1%
3M Rtn10.9%-19.2%-18.4%40.1%-5.5%-26.8%-12.0%
6M Rtn-1.2%-15.7%6.5%43.2%-26.1%-28.6%-8.4%
12M Rtn0.4%-11.2%-40.7%91.3%-46.0%-13.5%-12.3%
3Y Rtn38.7%-36.1%-57.7%9.9%-17.1%224.8%-3.6%
1M Excs Rtn25.2%3.8%6.1%4.6%27.9%0.5%5.3%
3M Excs Rtn8.8%-20.7%-19.2%37.8%-9.6%-29.6%-14.4%
6M Excs Rtn-13.5%-28.1%-5.9%30.8%-38.5%-41.0%-20.8%
12M Excs Rtn-11.0%-22.7%-54.7%78.4%-56.8%-25.8%-24.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-39.7%-106.8%-128.9%-59.7%-88.4%157.8%-74.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Firearms536    
Handguns 361624756391
Long Guns 74189253102
Other Products & Services 44505037
Total5364798641,059530


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,959,696
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520258.6%
Average Daily Volume453,816
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.52
Basic Shares Quantity44,396,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/4/202523.0%23.5% 
9/4/20256.5%16.0%22.4%
6/18/2025-19.8%-19.9%-23.0%
3/6/2025-10.9%-10.9%-16.0%
12/5/2024-20.3%-18.6%-26.1%
9/5/2024-9.4%-9.3%-8.5%
6/20/2024-12.9%-9.9%-6.1%
3/7/202429.4%29.2%33.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1099
# Negative141515
Median Positive12.7%17.4%22.4%
Median Negative-11.9%-10.9%-15.8%
Max Positive29.4%50.6%33.0%
Max Negative-30.8%-31.3%-26.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251204202510-Q 10/31/2025
7312025904202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025620202510-K 4/30/2025
1312025306202510-Q 1/31/2025
103120241205202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024905202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024620202410-K 4/30/2024
1312024307202410-Q 1/31/2024
103120231207202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023907202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023622202310-K 4/30/2023
1312023309202310-Q 1/31/2023
103120221206202210-Q 10/31/2022
7312022908202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022623202210-K 4/30/2022
1312022303202210-Q 1/31/2022