Tearsheet

Spirit AeroSystems (SPR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $38.75 | Market Cap: $4.6 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Spirit AeroSystems (SPR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $38.75
Market Cap: $4.6 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -12%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -2.2 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -34%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Aerospace Structures, and Lightweight Composites.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 114%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.3%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.6%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -61%
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Aerospace Structures, and Lightweight Composites.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -12%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -2.2 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -34%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 114%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.3%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.6%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -61%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SPR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points highlighting potential reasons for a -5% stock movement for Spirit AeroSystems (SPR) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Spirit AeroSystems reported a significant earnings per share (EPS) miss and lower-than-expected revenue for the third quarter of 2025. The company posted an adjusted EPS of $(4.87), substantially missing the consensus estimate of $(0.37), and revenue of $1.59 billion against an estimated $1.92 billion.

2. The company experienced wider operating losses in Q3 2025. These losses were primarily attributed to higher "changes in estimates charges" and lower program margins on Boeing contracts, driven largely by increases in supply chain and production costs.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SPR Return-46%10%-31%7%7%10%-48%
Peers Return-15%-0%19%26%28%25%103%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SPR Win Rate33%42%50%58%42%60% 
Peers Win Rate45%43%43%52%48%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SPR Max Drawdown-76%-13%-49%-50%-20%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-12%-7%-4%-6%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CW, BWXT, PSN, HXL, APEX. See SPR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSPRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-72.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven257.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-77.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven336.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-36.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-80.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven419.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2173 days1480 days

Compare to CW, BWXT, PSN, HXL, APEX


In The Past

Spirit AeroSystems's stock fell -72.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2022. A -72.1% loss requires a 257.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Spirit AeroSystems (SPR)

Better Bets than Spirit AeroSystems (SPR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SPR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
SPR_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020SPRSpirit AeroSystemsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-20.5%103.6%-28.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
SPR_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020SPRSpirit AeroSystemsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-20.5%103.6%-28.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Spirit AeroSystems

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SPRCWBWXTPSNHXLAPEXMedian
NameSpirit A.Curtiss-.BWX Tech.Parsons Hexcel APEX Glo. 
Mkt Price39.50535.89174.7182.9075.38-82.90
Mkt Cap4.620.116.08.96.0-8.9
Rev LTM6,3943,3763,0596,4951,876-3,376
Op Inc LTM-2,165618333411119-333
FCF LTM-803517463383194-383
FCF 3Y Avg-869469250398167-250
CFO LTM-614592630438268-438
CFO 3Y Avg-708525411444256-411

Growth & Margins

SPRCWBWXTPSNHXLAPEXMedian
NameSpirit A.Curtiss-.BWX Tech.Parsons Hexcel APEX Glo. 
Rev Chg LTM-1.3%9.5%14.0%-0.2%-0.5%--0.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.5%11.1%11.6%17.9%7.8%-11.1%
Rev Chg Q7.8%8.8%28.9%-10.4%-0.1%-7.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.8%2.1%6.8%-2.8%-0.0%-1.8%
Op Mgn LTM-33.9%18.3%10.9%6.3%6.3%-6.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-19.5%17.6%12.5%6.2%10.0%-10.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-4.5%0.2%-0.4%-0.0%-0.9%--0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-9.6%17.5%20.6%6.7%14.3%-14.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-11.3%16.9%14.7%7.3%13.9%-13.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-12.6%15.3%15.1%5.9%10.3%-10.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-13.9%15.2%8.7%6.5%9.0%-8.7%

Valuation

SPRCWBWXTPSNHXLAPEXMedian
NameSpirit A.Curtiss-.BWX Tech.Parsons Hexcel APEX Glo. 
Mkt Cap4.620.116.08.96.0-8.9
P/S0.76.05.51.42.7-2.7
P/EBIT-2.131.840.420.741.8-31.8
P/E-1.743.755.036.972.7-43.7
P/CFO-7.434.326.820.218.7-20.2
Total Yield-57.3%2.4%2.4%2.7%1.9%-2.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.1%0.5%0.0%0.5%-0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-26.9%4.0%2.0%4.6%3.3%-3.3%
D/E1.20.10.10.20.2-0.2
Net D/E1.10.00.10.10.1-0.1

Returns

SPRCWBWXTPSNHXLAPEXMedian
NameSpirit A.Curtiss-.BWX Tech.Parsons Hexcel APEX Glo. 
1M Rtn8.2%-10.9%-18.9%4.0%4.5%-4.0%
3M Rtn-4.3%12.2%8.7%5.4%18.3%-8.7%
6M Rtn4.5%20.0%36.0%20.5%35.8%-20.5%
12M Rtn21.8%44.7%36.3%-12.5%19.3%-21.8%
3Y Rtn44.2%199.8%189.4%68.2%24.9%-68.2%
1M Excs Rtn8.3%-10.9%-18.9%4.0%4.5%-4.0%
3M Excs Rtn-9.4%6.1%1.5%6.8%12.5%-6.1%
6M Excs Rtn-10.2%5.3%21.2%5.8%21.1%-5.8%
12M Excs Rtn8.5%30.2%21.0%-27.1%6.7%-8.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-11.9%131.5%127.2%-0.8%-40.7%--0.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Commercial4,8854,0683,1282,711 
Defense & Space789650585491 
Aftermarket374311240202 
Corporate and Other0    
All Other    11
Fuselage Systems    4,206
Propulsion Systems    2,058
Wing Systems    1,588
Total6,0485,0303,9533,4057,863


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Aftermarket82585037 
Commercial66-83-221-621 
Defense & Space45734447 
Corporate and Other0    
Research and development-45-50-53-39-54
Selling, general and administrative-282-279-280-237-261
All Other    3
Fuselage Systems    441
Propulsion Systems    405
Unallocated cost of sales    12
Wing Systems    216
Total-134-281-459-813761


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,653,242
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.2%
Average Daily Volume1,380,936
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.16
Basic Shares Quantity117,600,000
Short % of Basic Shares10.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 10/2/2025
6302025805202510-Q 7/3/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/26/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/27/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/28/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/28/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/29/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/30/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/29/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021215202210-K 12/31/2021