Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -50%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -10%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Network Security, Show more.
  Key risks
PSN key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on U.S. Show more.
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Network Security, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -50%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -10%
4 Key risks
PSN key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on U.S. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PSN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -23% movement in Parsons (PSN) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 17, 2025: 1. Parsons reported mixed third-quarter 2025 financial results, missing revenue expectations despite beating earnings per share (EPS) estimates. The company's Q3 revenue of $1.6 billion decreased 10% year-over-year and 14% on an organic basis, falling short of analyst consensus estimates. This revenue miss, even with an EPS beat, contributed to negative market sentiment.

2. The company revised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance downwards. Following the Q3 results, Parsons lowered its fiscal year 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $6.4 billion to $6.5 billion, a reduction from the prior range of $6.48 billion to $6.68 billion. The new midpoint was below current analyst sales estimates for the full year, indicating a less optimistic outlook on future top-line performance.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PSN Return-12%-8%37%36%47%-33%49%
Peers Return15%25%11%11%17%-5%96%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PSN Win Rate42%42%58%67%67%67% 
Peers Win Rate58%65%55%57%67%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PSN Max Drawdown-39%-15%-11%-12%-2%-40% 
Peers Max Drawdown-36%-9%-15%-14%-5%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LDOS, J, BAH, ACM, KBR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPSNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven273 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven77.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven954 days148 days

Compare to FLY, ATRO, APEX, BETA, DFSC


In The Past

Parsons's stock fell -33.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/29/2021. A -33.5% loss requires a 50.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Parsons (PSN)

Better Bets than Parsons (PSN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PSN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Parsons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PSNLDOSJBAHACMKBRMedian
NameParsons Leidos Jacobs S.Booz All.AECOM KBR  
Mkt Price61.69182.16133.9585.4098.3542.5991.88
Mkt Cap6.623.316.010.517.35.513.2
Rev LTM6,49517,33212,03011,70616,1408,07811,868
Op Inc LTM4112,0418641,1061,059543961
FCF LTM3831,338607819685494646
FCF 3Y Avg3981,149793641661378651
CFO LTM4381,506687910822559754
CFO 3Y Avg4441,312905728782453755

Growth & Margins

PSNLDOSJBAHACMKBRMedian
NameParsons Leidos Jacobs S.Booz All.AECOM KBR  
Rev Chg LTM-0.2%6.5%4.6%2.4%0.2%10.2%3.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.9%6.9%7.2%10.0%7.2%3.0%7.2%
Rev Chg Q-10.4%6.7%6.6%-8.1%1.6%-0.3%0.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.8%1.6%1.6%-2.1%0.4%-0.1%0.2%
Op Mgn LTM6.3%11.8%7.2%9.5%6.6%6.7%7.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.2%10.3%6.5%8.7%5.9%7.0%6.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%-0.1%0.0%-2.0%0.2%-0.3%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM6.7%8.7%5.7%7.8%5.1%6.9%6.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.3%8.0%8.0%6.4%5.0%6.0%6.8%
FCF/Rev LTM5.9%7.7%5.0%7.0%4.2%6.1%6.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.5%7.0%7.0%5.6%4.2%5.0%6.1%

Valuation

PSNLDOSJBAHACMKBRMedian
NameParsons Leidos Jacobs S.Booz All.AECOM KBR  
Mkt Cap6.623.316.010.517.35.513.2
P/S1.41.41.31.01.10.71.2
P/EBIT20.711.826.010.9-8.411.8
P/E36.917.255.314.830.715.924.0
P/CFO20.216.123.313.521.010.818.1
Total Yield2.7%6.7%2.3%6.7%4.0%7.6%5.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.9%0.5%0.0%0.8%1.4%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.6%6.0%4.7%4.1%-5.3%4.7%
D/E0.20.20.20.3-0.50.2
Net D/E0.10.20.10.3-0.40.2

Returns

PSNLDOSJBAHACMKBRMedian
NameParsons Leidos Jacobs S.Booz All.AECOM KBR  
1M Rtn-25.3%-4.6%-13.0%3.0%-26.3%1.6%-8.8%
3M Rtn-18.2%-0.0%-8.1%-15.6%-22.9%-11.3%-13.5%
6M Rtn-9.5%22.5%4.8%-15.5%-12.0%-19.0%-10.7%
12M Rtn-37.0%20.7%-0.4%-35.6%-10.3%-26.3%-18.3%
3Y Rtn32.3%80.3%40.4%-13.4%22.1%-14.0%27.2%
1M Excs Rtn-26.3%-5.6%-14.0%2.0%-27.3%0.6%-9.8%
3M Excs Rtn-28.6%-3.7%-11.9%-18.4%-25.4%-15.4%-16.9%
6M Excs Rtn-23.2%8.8%-8.9%-29.2%-25.6%-32.7%-24.4%
12M Excs Rtn-48.8%8.2%-11.9%-48.0%-23.8%-38.6%-31.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-41.4%4.5%-35.1%-87.0%-52.1%-86.1%-46.8%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Federal Solutions3,0212,2131,8881,9121,888
Critical Infrastructure2,4221,9821,7732,0072,067
Total5,4434,1953,6613,9193,955


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,087,460
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-11.0%
Average Daily Volume824,684
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.17
Basic Shares Quantity106,763,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20254.2%8.9%-16.2%
8/6/2025-1.4%3.9%-4.0%
4/30/2025-2.6%-8.7%-4.0%
2/19/2025-11.5%-18.0%-17.2%
10/30/20244.7%6.0%-8.7%
7/31/202418.4%15.7%22.1%
5/1/2024-1.1%-0.3%-2.3%
2/14/20247.4%11.6%20.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121411
# Negative121013
Median Positive4.6%6.2%10.1%
Median Negative-4.2%-4.8%-4.0%
Max Positive18.4%15.7%22.1%
Max Negative-14.8%-18.1%-17.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0McMahon Harry T. 3042025Buy58.308,064470,1312,679,060Form