SEMrush (SEMR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.84 | Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
SEMrush (SEMR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.84Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -43% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.0 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.2% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% | ||
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -30% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Digital Advertising, and Digital Transformation. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Digital Advertising, and Digital Transformation. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -43% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.0 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.2% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SEMR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why SEMrush (SEMR) stock moved by 49.9% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Adobe's Acquisition Offer Significantly Boosted Stock Value.
On November 19, 2025, Adobe announced a definitive agreement to acquire Semrush for $12.00 per share in an all-cash transaction, valuing the company at approximately $1.9 billion. This news led to a substantial surge in Semrush's stock price, with reports indicating a 61% weekly share price surge and an 8-day winning streak amounting to a 75% return. This acquisition agreement provided a strong positive catalyst for the stock's overall movement.
2. Robust Growth in AI-Powered Offerings and Enterprise Solutions.
Throughout the period, Semrush demonstrated strong performance in its AI-driven products and enterprise segment. The company intensified its focus on artificial intelligence, launching new AI tools and enterprise solutions. Its AI toolkit's annual recurring revenue (ARR) grew significantly, with AI products adding $10 million in ARR in the third quarter of 2025 alone. This strong growth in high-value segments made Semrush an attractive target for acquisition and supported its valuation.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SEMR Return | - | - | -61% | 68% | -13% | -0% | -43% |
| Peers Return | 13% | -2% | -7% | 5% | 55% | 836% | 1483% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SEMR Win Rate | - | 67% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 13% | 10% | 9% | 30% | 44% | 36% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SEMR Max Drawdown | - | - | -65% | -10% | -23% | -43% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -5% | -4% | -8% | -15% | -8% | -51% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADSK, HIT, BMR, BTTC, CCC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SEMR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -76.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 332.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to ADSK, HIT, BMR, BTTC, CCC
In The Past
SEMrush's stock fell -76.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/10/2021. A -76.9% loss requires a 332.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| SEMrush Stock 8-Day Winning Spree: Stock Climbs 75% | Notification | ||
| SEMrush Stock On Fire: Up 75% With 7-Day Winning Streak | Notification | ||
| SEMrush Stock 5-Day Winning Spree: Stock Climbs 75% | Notification | ||
| SEMrush Stock Rockets 75% With 6-Day Winning Streak | Notification | ||
| SEMrush Stock Soars 62% In A Single Month, Now Is Not The Time To Buy The Stock | Buy or Fear | ||
| SEMrush Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain? | Return | ||
| SEMrush (SEMR) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| SEMrush (SEMR) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| SEMrush (SEMR) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| SEMrush (SEMR) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| SEMrush Stock Rockets 75% With 8-Day Winning Streak | December 2nd, 2025 | ||
| SEMrush Stock Surges 75%, With A 7-Day Winning Spree | November 27th, 2025 | ||
| SEMrush Stock 6-Day Winning Spree: Stock Climbs 75% | November 26th, 2025 | ||
| 5-Day Rally Sends SEMrush Stock Up 75% | November 25th, 2025 | ||
| Does SEMrush Stock Lead the Pack? | November 20th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SEMR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for SEMrush
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 5.49 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.8 |
| Rev LTM | 414 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1 |
| FCF LTM | 143 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 216 |
| CFO LTM | 176 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 271 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 18.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 18.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 21.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 16.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.8 |
| P/S | 3.2 |
| P/EBIT | 24.6 |
| P/E | 35.8 |
| P/CFO | 31.3 |
| Total Yield | 1.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.0% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -7.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -17.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -5.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -14.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 41.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -7.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -21.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -20.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -26.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -29.5% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3072024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3152023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5162022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3182022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11102021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |