Tearsheet

SEMrush (SEMR)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $11.86 | Market Cap: $1.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

SEMrush (SEMR)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $11.86
Market Cap: $1.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -32%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.2 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.7%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
  Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Digital Advertising, and Digital Transformation. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more.
  Key risks
SEMR key risks include [1] intense competition and the specific threat of AI weakening its core search tools, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Digital Advertising, and Digital Transformation. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -32%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.2 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.7%
6 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4%
8 Key risks
SEMR key risks include [1] intense competition and the specific threat of AI weakening its core search tools, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SEMR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the 50.3% stock movement for SEMrush (SEMR) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025:

1. Q2 2025 Financial Results and Strategic Pivot: Semrush reported robust financial performance for the second quarter of 2025 on August 4, 2025, with revenue increasing 20% year-over-year to $108.9 million. The company highlighted accelerated adoption of its AI and Enterprise products, noting an 83% year-over-year increase in customers paying over $50,000 annually. This strategic shift towards higher-value enterprise clients and AI initiatives was seen as a positive for long-term growth, despite a revised full-year outlook reflecting softer demand in the lower market segment.

2. Initiation of a $150 Million Share Repurchase Program: Following the announcement of its Q2 2025 results, Semrush introduced a $150 million share repurchase program. This move signaled management's confidence in the company's valuation and its commitment to enhancing shareholder value.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SEMR Return-61%68%-13%-0%
Peers Return-47%52%-20%-38%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SEMR Win Rate67%33%50%50%42% 
Peers Win Rate56%39%58%47%33% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SEMR Max Drawdown-65%-10%-23%-43% 
Peers Max Drawdown-56%-14%-41%-46% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HUBS, SPT, CXM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSEMRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-76.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven332.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to ADSK, HIT, AIB, BMR, CCC


In The Past

SEMrush's stock fell -76.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/10/2021. A -76.9% loss requires a 332.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About SEMrush (SEMR)

Better Bets than SEMrush (SEMR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SEMR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
15.3%15.3%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.2%10.2%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.4%8.4%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
15.3%15.3%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.2%10.2%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.4%8.4%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for SEMrush

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SEMRHUBSSPTCXMMedian
NameSEMrush HubSpot Sprout S.Sprinklr  
Mkt Price11.87389.4611.367.8411.61
Mkt Cap1.820.40.71.91.8
Rev LTM4292,988444839641
Op Inc LTM-7-47-4649-27
FCF LTM415303312784
FCF 3Y Avg19388208452
CFO LTM5770737144100
CFO 3Y Avg305182310367

Growth & Margins

SEMRHUBSSPTCXMMedian
NameSEMrush HubSpot Sprout S.Sprinklr  
Rev Chg LTM19.9%19.2%13.1%6.5%16.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg21.5%22.4%23.4%12.7%21.9%
Rev Chg Q15.1%20.9%12.6%9.2%13.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.5%4.9%3.0%2.2%3.3%
Op Mgn LTM-1.7%-1.6%-10.4%5.9%-1.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2.3%-3.0%-15.9%4.1%-2.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.4%0.8%2.1%0.5%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM13.2%23.7%8.3%17.1%15.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.2%20.1%5.7%13.1%10.2%
FCF/Rev LTM9.7%17.7%7.4%15.2%12.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.3%15.1%5.0%10.6%7.8%

Valuation

SEMRHUBSSPTCXMMedian
NameSEMrush HubSpot Sprout S.Sprinklr  
Mkt Cap1.820.40.71.91.8
P/S4.16.81.52.33.2
P/EBIT-246.4903.8-15.438.911.7
P/E-391.3-5,789.7-14.217.0-202.8
P/CFO31.228.918.313.323.6
Total Yield-0.3%-0.0%-7.0%5.9%-0.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.3%1.5%1.9%3.9%1.7%
D/E0.00.00.10.00.0
Net D/E-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.2-0.1

Returns

SEMRHUBSSPTCXMMedian
NameSEMrush HubSpot Sprout S.Sprinklr  
1M Rtn0.9%7.6%19.0%12.5%10.0%
3M Rtn62.2%-24.9%-20.2%0.6%-9.8%
6M Rtn33.8%-27.1%-42.4%-2.2%-14.7%
12M Rtn-4.0%-44.6%-64.9%-14.3%-29.4%
3Y Rtn48.4%34.2%-80.0%-6.4%13.9%
1M Excs Rtn-2.0%4.7%16.1%9.6%7.2%
3M Excs Rtn56.0%-27.6%-22.8%-2.9%-12.8%
6M Excs Rtn18.0%-40.8%-56.9%-16.9%-28.9%
12M Excs Rtn-22.9%-60.4%-80.2%-28.7%-44.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-31.6%-46.9%-153.4%-82.9%-64.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment308254188125
Total308254188125


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment1   
Total1   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,161,712
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-3.8%
Average Daily Volume7,791,098
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity148,824,272
Short % of Basic Shares3.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-4.3%0.5%57.7%
8/4/2025-20.7%-22.7%-16.3%
5/7/2025-2.2%7.3%1.2%
2/26/2025-21.3%-28.8%-34.7%
11/7/2024-7.1%-7.1%-4.1%
8/5/20242.0%4.2%2.9%
3/4/2024-16.2%-15.4%1.3%
11/1/20230.5%10.4%46.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive589
# Negative1298
Median Positive2.8%5.8%24.5%
Median Negative-5.7%-15.4%-13.8%
Max Positive9.1%12.8%57.7%
Max Negative-21.3%-28.8%-34.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023307202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022315202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021318202210-K 12/31/2021