Science Applications International (SAIC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $101.02 | Market Cap: $4.7 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Diversified Support Services
Science Applications International (SAIC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $101.02Market Cap: $4.7 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Diversified Support Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7%, FCF Yield is 8.4% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.7% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cybersecurity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7%, FCF Yield is 8.4% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cybersecurity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.7% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SAIC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. SAIC's overall stock performance in 2025 indicated a significant decline. Science Applications International Corp's stock price went down by 21.93% in 2025. Additionally, SAIC shares had lost approximately 21.7% since the beginning of the year compared to the S&P 500's gain of 16.5%. This broader downward trend throughout 2025 could contribute to the reported -25.4% movement within the specified timeframe.
2. Q3 Fiscal Year 2025 revenue experienced a contraction. While SAIC surpassed earnings per share estimates for the third quarter ended October 31, 2025, the company reported a 6% decline in revenue to $1.87 billion compared to $1.98 billion in the same period last year. This revenue contraction, despite beating estimates, could have negatively impacted investor sentiment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SAIC Return | 11% | -10% | 35% | 14% | -9% | -21% | 10% |
| Peers Return | 17% | 39% | -0% | 21% | 11% | 6% | 132% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SAIC Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 67% | 58% | 58% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 70% | 47% | 60% | 70% | 44% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SAIC Max Drawdown | -40% | -15% | -5% | -13% | -10% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -8% | -19% | -10% | -6% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CACI, STN, KBR, EXPO, CTAS. See SAIC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SAIC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 580 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 84.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 256 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -37.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 385 days | 120 days |
Compare to CACI, STN, KBR, EXPO, CTAS
In The Past
Science Applications International's stock fell -22.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/27/2021. A -22.4% loss requires a 28.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SAIC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Science Applications International
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 91.72 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.3 |
| Rev LTM | 7,927 |
| Op Inc LTM | 608 |
| FCF LTM | 553 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 426 |
| CFO LTM | 621 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 474 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.3 |
| P/S | 1.4 |
| P/EBIT | 16.2 |
| P/E | 25.1 |
| P/CFO | 16.6 |
| Total Yield | 4.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -10.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -11.4% |
| 12M Rtn | -20.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 24.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -15.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -26.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -34.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -45.5% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense and Intelligence | 5,817 | 5,876 | |||
| Civilian | 1,627 | 1,828 | |||
| Corporate | 0 | 0 | |||
| Single Segment | 7,394 | 7,056 | 6,379 | ||
| Total | 7,444 | 7,704 | 7,394 | 7,056 | 6,379 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense and Intelligence | 504 | 508 | |||
| Gain on divestitures, net of transaction costs | 240 | 0 | |||
| Civilian | 206 | 224 | |||
| Recovery of acquisition and integration costs and restructuring and impairment costs | 6 | 12 | |||
| Depreciation included in restructuring and impairment costs | 1 | 3 | |||
| Acquisition and integration costs | -1 | -13 | |||
| Restructuring and impairment costs | -23 | -24 | |||
| Depreciation of property, plant, and equipment | -26 | -32 | |||
| Corporate | -51 | -52 | |||
| Amortization of intangible assets | -115 | -125 | |||
| Total | 741 | 501 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9042025 | 10-Q 8/1/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6022025 | 10-Q 5/2/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3172025 | 10-K 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12052024 | 10-Q 11/1/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9052024 | 10-Q 8/2/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6032024 | 10-Q 5/3/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3202024 | 10-K 2/2/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12042023 | 10-Q 11/3/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9072023 | 10-Q 8/4/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6052023 | 10-Q 5/5/2023 |
| 1312023 | 4032023 | 10-K 2/3/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12052022 | 10-Q 10/28/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9012022 | 10-Q 7/29/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6062022 | 10-Q 4/29/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3282022 | 10-K 1/28/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12062021 | 10-Q 10/29/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Attili Srinivas | EVP, Civilian | 10142025 | Buy | 97.35 | 100 | 9,735 | 1,317,632 | Form |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |