Tearsheet

Science Applications International (SAIC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $101.02 | Market Cap: $4.7 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Diversified Support Services

Science Applications International (SAIC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $101.02
Market Cap: $4.7 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Diversified Support Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7%, FCF Yield is 8.4%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.7%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cybersecurity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7%, FCF Yield is 8.4%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cybersecurity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.7%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SAIC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. SAIC's overall stock performance in 2025 indicated a significant decline. Science Applications International Corp's stock price went down by 21.93% in 2025. Additionally, SAIC shares had lost approximately 21.7% since the beginning of the year compared to the S&P 500's gain of 16.5%. This broader downward trend throughout 2025 could contribute to the reported -25.4% movement within the specified timeframe.

2. Q3 Fiscal Year 2025 revenue experienced a contraction. While SAIC surpassed earnings per share estimates for the third quarter ended October 31, 2025, the company reported a 6% decline in revenue to $1.87 billion compared to $1.98 billion in the same period last year. This revenue contraction, despite beating estimates, could have negatively impacted investor sentiment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SAIC Return11%-10%35%14%-9%-21%10%
Peers Return17%39%-0%21%11%6%132%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SAIC Win Rate58%42%67%58%58%30% 
Peers Win Rate55%70%47%60%70%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SAIC Max Drawdown-40%-15%-5%-13%-10%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-8%-19%-10%-6%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CACI, STN, KBR, EXPO, CTAS. See SAIC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSAICS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-22.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven580 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven256 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven385 days120 days

Compare to CACI, STN, KBR, EXPO, CTAS


In The Past

Science Applications International's stock fell -22.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/27/2021. A -22.4% loss requires a 28.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Science Applications International (SAIC)

Better Bets than Science Applications International (SAIC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SAIC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Science Applications International

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SAICCACISTNKBREXPOCTASMedian
NameScience .CACI Int.Stantec KBR Exponent Cintas  
Mkt Price87.53592.8895.9243.7773.78184.7191.72
Mkt Cap4.113.010.95.63.874.58.3
Rev LTM7,4608,8597,7778,07857110,5577,927
Op Inc LTM5567976605431182,417608
FCF LTM4416126474941231,702553
FCF 3Y Avg4314204663781191,585426
CFO LTM4806837205591322,120621
CFO 3Y Avg4624865604531301,979474

Growth & Margins

SAICCACISTNKBREXPOCTASMedian
NameScience .CACI Int.Stantec KBR Exponent Cintas  
Rev Chg LTM2.2%12.6%12.5%10.2%4.9%8.2%9.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.1%11.9%15.6%3.0%4.6%9.1%6.9%
Rev Chg Q-2.7%11.2%3.9%-0.3%8.0%8.7%6.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.7%2.7%1.0%-0.1%1.9%2.1%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM7.5%9.0%8.5%6.7%20.6%22.9%8.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.0%8.7%7.9%7.0%20.7%21.8%8.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%0.1%0.4%-0.3%0.2%0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM6.4%7.7%9.3%6.9%23.1%20.1%8.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.2%6.0%7.9%6.0%23.4%20.2%7.0%
FCF/Rev LTM5.9%6.9%8.3%6.1%21.5%16.1%7.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.8%5.2%6.6%5.0%21.4%16.2%6.2%

Valuation

SAICCACISTNKBREXPOCTASMedian
NameScience .CACI Int.Stantec KBR Exponent Cintas  
Mkt Cap4.113.010.95.63.874.58.3
P/S0.71.21.60.76.27.81.4
P/EBIT9.613.818.78.430.034.216.2
P/E13.221.728.415.933.744.725.1
P/CFO11.016.117.210.826.739.016.6
Total Yield9.0%4.6%4.3%7.6%4.7%2.6%4.6%
Dividend Yield1.4%0.0%0.8%1.4%1.7%0.4%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.5%4.2%4.7%5.3%2.6%2.3%4.4%
D/E0.50.30.20.50.00.00.2
Net D/E0.50.30.10.4-0.00.00.2

Returns

SAICCACISTNKBREXPOCTASMedian
NameScience .CACI Int.Stantec KBR Exponent Cintas  
1M Rtn-4.2%5.1%-12.4%5.1%2.4%1.7%2.0%
3M Rtn-23.0%26.3%-11.6%-12.2%2.7%-9.9%-10.8%
6M Rtn-13.8%39.4%-8.9%-15.3%-4.5%-18.4%-11.4%
12M Rtn-27.9%30.6%12.6%-27.2%-23.7%-16.4%-20.0%
3Y Rtn-16.7%87.9%95.7%-15.4%-26.2%64.0%24.3%
1M Excs Rtn-4.2%5.1%-12.4%5.1%2.4%1.7%2.1%
3M Excs Rtn-22.6%23.5%-17.4%-15.6%-4.3%-15.8%-15.7%
6M Excs Rtn-28.5%24.7%-23.6%-30.0%-19.2%-33.1%-26.1%
12M Excs Rtn-42.1%15.4%-2.5%-40.7%-37.7%-31.1%-34.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-90.0%19.4%23.8%-85.2%-96.9%-5.8%-45.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Defense and Intelligence5,8175,876   
Civilian1,6271,828   
Corporate00   
Single Segment  7,3947,0566,379
Total7,4447,7047,3947,0566,379


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Defense and Intelligence504508   
Gain on divestitures, net of transaction costs2400   
Civilian206224   
Recovery of acquisition and integration costs and restructuring and impairment costs612   
Depreciation included in restructuring and impairment costs13   
Acquisition and integration costs-1-13   
Restructuring and impairment costs-23-24   
Depreciation of property, plant, and equipment-26-32   
Corporate-51-52   
Amortization of intangible assets-115-125   
Total741501   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,085,541
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-5.4%
Average Daily Volume431,655
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.83
Basic Shares Quantity46,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025904202510-Q 8/1/2025
4302025602202510-Q 5/2/2025
1312025317202510-K 1/31/2025
103120241205202410-Q 11/1/2024
7312024905202410-Q 8/2/2024
4302024603202410-Q 5/3/2024
1312024320202410-K 2/2/2024
103120231204202310-Q 11/3/2023
7312023907202310-Q 8/4/2023
4302023605202310-Q 5/5/2023
1312023403202310-K 2/3/2023
103120221205202210-Q 10/28/2022
7312022901202210-Q 7/29/2022
4302022606202210-Q 4/29/2022
1312022328202210-K 1/28/2022
103120211206202110-Q 10/29/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Attili SrinivasEVP, Civilian10142025Buy97.351009,7351,317,632Form