Tearsheet

Leidos (LDOS)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $190.0 | Market Cap: $24.3 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Diversified Support Services

Leidos (LDOS)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $190.0
Market Cap: $24.3 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Diversified Support Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.7%, FCF Yield is 5.5%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.9%, Dist 3Y High is -4.9%
 
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cybersecurity, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.7%, FCF Yield is 5.5%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cybersecurity, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.9%, Dist 3Y High is -4.9%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LDOS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings and Raised Guidance

Leidos Holdings Inc. shares surged by 5.93% on November 4, 2025, after the company reported better-than-expected third-quarter results and raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance for 2025. The company's quarterly revenue grew 7% year-over-year to $4.47 billion, surpassing analyst estimates, with adjusted EPS of $3.05 also beating expectations. This marked the second time in 2025 that Leidos raised its full-year guidance, reflecting solid execution despite a dynamic operating environment.

2. Increased Quarterly Dividend

Coinciding with its strong third-quarter results, Leidos declared an increased quarterly cash dividend of $0.43 per share on October 31, 2025. This represented a 7.5% increase from the prior quarter and was payable on December 31, 2025, to shareholders of record on December 15, 2025. An increased dividend often signals management's confidence in future profitability and can attract income-focused investors.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LDOS Return9%-14%20%5%35%33%110%
Peers Return2%14%27%8%5%13%90%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LDOS Win Rate58%58%58%58%67%75% 
Peers Win Rate53%55%62%57%65%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LDOS Max Drawdown-27%-19%-5%-27%-1%-12% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-10%-7%-15%-6%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BAH, CACI, SAIC, GD, NOC. See LDOS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLDOSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-30.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven202 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1425 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven42.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven127 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-21.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven3752 days1480 days

Compare to GD, GDDY, JKHY, SAIC, CTAS


In The Past

Leidos's stock fell -30.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/2/2022. A -30.4% loss requires a 43.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Leidos (LDOS)

Better Bets than Leidos (LDOS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LDOS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.9%22.9%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.7%8.7%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.8%1.8%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.9%22.9%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.7%8.7%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.8%1.8%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Leidos

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LDOSBAHCACISAICGDNOCMedian
NameLeidos Booz All.CACI Int.Science .General .Northrop. 
Mkt Price189.7392.78572.45100.18337.49569.76263.61
Mkt Cap24.311.412.64.690.981.518.4
Rev LTM17,33211,7068,8597,35051,50940,92814,519
Op Inc LTM2,0411,1067975245,3274,0981,574
FCF LTM1,3388196124274,8121,8341,078
FCF 3Y Avg1,1496414204313,3952,137895
CFO LTM1,5069106834665,7193,4381,208
CFO 3Y Avg1,3127284864624,3503,7911,020

Growth & Margins

LDOSBAHCACISAICGDNOCMedian
NameLeidos Booz All.CACI Int.Science .General .Northrop. 
Rev Chg LTM6.5%2.4%12.6%-0.4%11.9%-0.1%4.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.9%10.0%11.9%-0.7%9.9%5.2%8.4%
Rev Chg Q6.7%-8.1%11.2%-5.6%10.6%4.3%5.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.6%-2.1%2.7%-1.5%2.5%1.1%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM11.8%9.5%9.0%7.1%10.3%10.0%9.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.3%8.7%8.7%7.0%10.2%9.0%8.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%-2.0%0.1%-0.3%0.0%0.2%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM8.7%7.8%7.7%6.3%11.1%8.4%8.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.0%6.4%6.0%6.2%9.3%9.4%7.2%
FCF/Rev LTM7.7%7.0%6.9%5.8%9.3%4.5%7.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.0%5.6%5.2%5.8%7.3%5.3%5.7%

Valuation

LDOSBAHCACISAICGDNOCMedian
NameLeidos Booz All.CACI Int.Science .General .Northrop. 
Mkt Cap24.311.412.64.690.981.518.4
P/S1.41.01.20.61.82.11.3
P/EBIT11.810.913.8-16.815.813.8
P/E17.214.821.712.321.821.719.5
P/CFO16.113.516.19.816.125.416.1
Total Yield6.7%6.7%4.6%9.7%6.3%5.3%6.5%
Dividend Yield0.9%0.0%0.0%1.6%1.7%0.7%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.0%4.1%4.2%-4.4%2.8%4.2%
D/E0.20.30.3-0.10.20.2
Net D/E0.20.30.3-0.10.20.2

Returns

LDOSBAHCACISAICGDNOCMedian
NameLeidos Booz All.CACI Int.Science .General .Northrop. 
1M Rtn-0.9%11.9%-3.1%13.0%-2.0%2.5%0.8%
3M Rtn3.2%-10.7%15.4%-5.5%3.9%-0.7%1.3%
6M Rtn27.8%-9.1%27.0%-4.3%20.4%11.1%15.8%
12M Rtn25.2%-29.5%39.7%-10.2%30.9%20.8%23.0%
3Y Rtn86.5%-6.2%90.5%-5.3%46.7%13.4%30.0%
1M Excs Rtn-1.4%9.7%-2.1%11.2%-3.1%2.8%0.7%
3M Excs Rtn0.6%-11.3%12.4%-6.5%0.5%-3.6%-1.6%
6M Excs Rtn13.6%-23.4%12.8%-18.5%6.2%-3.1%1.5%
12M Excs Rtn6.6%-46.3%15.7%-25.6%14.2%7.6%7.1%
3Y Excs Rtn8.0%-81.5%14.2%-81.0%-27.5%-62.7%-45.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
National Security & Digital7,196    
Health & Civil4,238    
Commercial & International2,126    
Defense Systems1,878    
Civil 3,4643,1572,9942,796
Defense Solutions 8,2448,0327,3416,300
Health 2,6882,5481,9621,998
Total15,43814,39613,73712,29711,094


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
National Security & Digital672    
Health & Civil574    
Defense Systems65    
Corporate expense-130-108-107-23-32
Commercial & International-560    
Civil 234248280231
Defense Solutions 541569506471
Health 421442235242
Total6211,0881,152998912


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,192,916
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-8.3%
Average Daily Volume782,211
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.80
Basic Shares Quantity128,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-2.2%-0.7%-6.4%
8/5/20250.9%2.9%3.3%
5/6/2025-0.0%0.4%-6.1%
2/11/2025-0.5%-4.4%-3.4%
10/29/2024-0.1%2.3%-11.8%
7/30/2024-1.1%-1.8%7.1%
4/30/20246.5%8.4%10.7%
2/13/20245.9%7.8%11.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91312
# Negative141011
Median Positive5.9%3.8%8.0%
Median Negative-2.6%-4.2%-8.9%
Max Positive9.2%12.6%22.5%
Max Negative-14.5%-16.2%-27.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 10/3/2025
6302025805202510-Q 7/4/2025
3312025506202510-Q 4/4/2025
12312024211202510-K 1/3/2025
93020241029202410-Q 9/27/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/28/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/29/2024
12312023213202410-K 12/29/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/29/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022214202310-K 12/30/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 7/1/2022
3312022503202210-Q 4/1/2022
12312021215202210-K 12/31/2021