Leidos (LDOS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $188.95 | Market Cap: $24.2 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Diversified Support Services
Leidos (LDOS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $188.95Market Cap: $24.2 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Diversified Support Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cybersecurity, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cybersecurity, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LDOS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
I am unable to provide the requested information as the specified time period (August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025) is in the future and falls outside the scope of my available data.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LDOS Return | 9% | -14% | 20% | 5% | 35% | 31% | 106% |
| Peers Return | 13% | 13% | 11% | 18% | 22% | -5% | 95% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LDOS Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 67% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 57% | 50% | 58% | 72% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LDOS Max Drawdown | -27% | -19% | -5% | -27% | -1% | -12% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -11% | -11% | -13% | -5% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GD, GDDY, JKHY, SAIC, CTAS. See LDOS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LDOS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -30.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 202 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1425 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -29.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 127 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -21.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3752 days | 1480 days |
Compare to GD, GDDY, JKHY, SAIC, CTAS
In The Past
Leidos's stock fell -30.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/2/2022. A -30.4% loss requires a 43.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LDOS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Leidos
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Valuation
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Security & Digital | 7,196 | ||||
| Health & Civil | 4,238 | ||||
| Commercial & International | 2,126 | ||||
| Defense Systems | 1,878 | ||||
| Civil | 3,464 | 3,157 | 2,994 | 2,796 | |
| Defense Solutions | 8,244 | 8,032 | 7,341 | 6,300 | |
| Health | 2,688 | 2,548 | 1,962 | 1,998 | |
| Total | 15,438 | 14,396 | 13,737 | 12,297 | 11,094 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Security & Digital | 672 | ||||
| Health & Civil | 574 | ||||
| Defense Systems | 65 | ||||
| Corporate expense | -130 | -108 | -107 | -23 | -32 |
| Commercial & International | -560 | ||||
| Civil | 234 | 248 | 280 | 231 | |
| Defense Solutions | 541 | 569 | 506 | 471 | |
| Health | 421 | 442 | 235 | 242 | |
| Total | 621 | 1,088 | 1,152 | 998 | 912 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 10/3/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 7/4/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 4/4/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2112025 | 10-K 1/3/2025 |
| 9302024 | 10292024 | 10-Q 9/27/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7302024 | 10-Q 6/28/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 10-Q 3/29/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2132024 | 10-K 12/29/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10312023 | 10-Q 9/29/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2142023 | 10-K 12/30/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 7/1/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 4/1/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2152022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |