RBC Bearings (RBC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $444.68 | Market Cap: $14.0 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
RBC Bearings (RBC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $444.68Market Cap: $14.0 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.8%, Dist 3Y High is -3.8% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 34x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% | Key risksRBC key risks include [1] significant exposure to the cyclical industrial market, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Automation & Robotics, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Automation & Robotics, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.8%, Dist 3Y High is -3.8% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 34x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1% |
| Key risksRBC key risks include [1] significant exposure to the cyclical industrial market, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RBC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
RBC Bearings (symbol: RBC) experienced a notable increase in its stock price, with key factors contributing to this movement between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025. These drivers include:
1. Strong Fiscal Second Quarter 2026 Earnings: RBC Bearings reported impressive results for its fiscal second quarter of 2026 on October 31, 2025. The company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $2.88, surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $2.73. Additionally, quarterly revenue grew 14.4% year-over-year to $455.30 million, exceeding analyst expectations of $450.27 million.
2. Contribution from VACCO Industries Acquisition: The acquisition of VACCO Industries, completed on July 18, 2025, positively impacted RBC Bearings' financial performance. VACCO contributed $24.7 million to the net sales reported in the fiscal second quarter of 2026, playing a role in the overall 14.4% increase in revenue.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RBC Return | 15% | 19% | 4% | 36% | 5% | 51% | 204% |
| Peers Return | 23% | 18% | -8% | 32% | 18% | 31% | 170% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RBC Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 92% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 57% | 33% | 57% | 55% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RBC Max Drawdown | -48% | -7% | -23% | -5% | -15% | -2% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -52% | -8% | -22% | -12% | -6% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TKR, RRX, PH, WWD, CR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RBC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 83 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -55.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 122.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 269 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 179 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -71.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 254.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,037 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to GGG, GHM, ADVEN, BENN, HRDG
In The Past
RBC Bearings's stock fell -35.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/8/2021. A -35.5% loss requires a 55.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RBC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.6% | 5.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.6% | 5.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for RBC Bearings
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 235.84 |
| Mkt Cap | 12.3 |
| Rev LTM | 4,056 |
| Op Inc LTM | 523 |
| FCF LTM | 365 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 338 |
| CFO LTM | 510 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 475 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 15.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 12.3 |
| P/S | 4.5 |
| P/EBIT | 20.5 |
| P/E | 31.6 |
| P/CFO | 26.1 |
| Total Yield | 3.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 13.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 19.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 23.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 98.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 9.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 7.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 10.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 23.7% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/31/2025 | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% |
| 8/1/2025 | 3.2% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| 5/16/2025 | 0.2% | -2.0% | 0.5% |
| 1/31/2025 | 8.3% | 13.5% | 10.5% |
| 11/1/2024 | 1.8% | 13.3% | 19.6% |
| 8/2/2024 | -4.0% | -3.4% | 3.4% |
| 5/17/2024 | 8.1% | 9.5% | 2.1% |
| 2/8/2024 | -5.4% | -0.6% | -1.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 16 | 18 | 18 |
| # Negative | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 3.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% |
| Median Negative | -4.1% | -2.7% | -7.1% |
| Max Positive | 13.0% | 25.1% | 42.2% |
| Max Negative | -6.7% | -9.0% | -12.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/27/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5162025 | 10-K 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1312025 | 10-Q 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5172024 | 10-K 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-Q 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5192023 | 10-K 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2092023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 10/1/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 7/2/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5262022 | 10-K 4/2/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2102022 | 10-Q 1/1/2022 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
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