RBC Bearings (RBC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $442.16 | Market Cap: $13.9 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
RBC Bearings (RBC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $442.16Market Cap: $13.9 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.6%, Dist 3Y High is -1.6% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 7.1x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 34x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Automation & Robotics, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Automation & Robotics, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.6%, Dist 3Y High is -1.6% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 7.1x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 34x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RBC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
**1. RBC Bearings reported stronger-than-expected fiscal second-quarter results for fiscal year 2026 on October 31, 2025, surpassing analyst estimates for both revenue and adjusted earnings per share.** Adjusted EPS reached $2.88, beating estimates by $0.15, and revenue was $455.3 million, exceeding analyst forecasts by $5.03 million.
**2. The company experienced robust growth and significant order momentum within its Aerospace and Defense segment, which was a primary driver for the positive financial performance.** This strength contributed to a substantial increase in the company's backlog.
**3. RBC Bearings achieved a record-high company backlog, propelled by strong customer demand, particularly from submarine and aircraft engine programs.** This elevated backlog suggests robust future revenue expansion.
**4. Following the strong earnings report and positive outlook, multiple analyst firms upgraded RBC Bearings' stock ratings and increased their price targets.** For instance, B of A Securities upgraded RBC from "Hold" to "Strong Buy" on November 6, 2025, raising its price target from $390 to $500, indicating a potential 14.12% upside.
**5. The market responded positively to RBC Bearings' robust revenue growth and non-GAAP earnings, reflecting investor confidence in the company's operational efficiency and strategic direction.**
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RBC Return | 15% | 19% | 4% | 36% | 5% | 47% | 197% |
| Peers Return | 30% | 36% | -25% | 15% | 2% | 44% | 124% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RBC Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 90% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 65% | 38% | 52% | 48% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RBC Max Drawdown | -48% | -7% | -23% | -5% | -15% | -2% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -9% | -38% | -13% | -22% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AYI, ENS, VICR, HI, ADVEN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RBC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 83 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -55.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 122.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 269 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 179 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -71.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 254.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1037 days | 1480 days |
Compare to AYI, ENS, VICR, HI, ADVEN
In The Past
RBC Bearings's stock fell -35.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/8/2021. A -35.5% loss requires a 55.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RBC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for RBC Bearings
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 145.95 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.5 |
| Rev LTM | 2,859 |
| Op Inc LTM | 396 |
| FCF LTM | 305 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 258 |
| CFO LTM | 362 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 303 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 14.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.5 |
| P/S | 2.4 |
| P/EBIT | 19.5 |
| P/E | 26.7 |
| P/CFO | 16.6 |
| Total Yield | 3.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 29.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 62.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 28.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 90.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 19.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 47.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 17.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 13.7% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/27/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5162025 | 10-K 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1312025 | 10-Q 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5172024 | 10-K 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-Q 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5192023 | 10-K 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2092023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 10/1/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 7/2/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5262022 | 10-K 4/2/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2102022 | 10-Q 1/1/2022 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |