PNC Financial Services (PNC)
Market Price (7/7/2026): $253.18 | Market Cap: $102.5 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Banks
PNC Financial Services (PNC)
Market Price (7/7/2026): $253.18Market Cap: $102.5 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Diversified Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 6.7% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, CFO LTM is 6.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 6.8 Bil Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 4.5 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 14% Uninsured deposits are lowUninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 21% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Key risksPNC key risks include [1] margin impacts from interest rate shifts on its asset-sensitive balance sheet and [2] volatility in non-interest income stemming from its capital markets activities and potential trade policy effects. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 6.7% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, CFO LTM is 6.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 6.8 Bil |
| Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 4.5 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% |
| Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 14% |
| Uninsured deposits are lowUninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 21% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Key risksPNC key risks include [1] margin impacts from interest rate shifts on its asset-sensitive balance sheet and [2] volatility in non-interest income stemming from its capital markets activities and potential trade policy effects. |
Qualitative Assessment
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PNC Financial Services (PNC) stock has gained about 25% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Performance Exceeded Expectations.
The PNC Financial Services Group reported robust results for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), with earnings per share (EPS) of $4.32. This figure notably surpassed analysts' consensus estimates, beating expectations by approximately $0.40, or 9.9%. This strong financial performance, which also saw quarterly revenue rise by 13.1% year-over-year to $6.17 billion, despite slightly missing some analyst revenue estimates, provided a significant boost to investor confidence.
2. Positive Federal Reserve Stress Test Results and Planned Dividend Increase.
PNC successfully passed the Federal Reserve's 2026 Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR) stress test, with its stress capital buffer (SCB) remaining at the regulatory minimum of 2.5% until October 1, 2027. As of March 31, 2026, the company maintained a strong Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio of 10.1%, comfortably above the 7% minimum requirement. Following these favorable results, PNC announced on June 25, 2026, its plan to recommend an 18% increase in its quarterly common stock dividend to $2.00 per share, effective in fiscal Q3 2026. This demonstrated capital strength and commitment to shareholder returns positively impacted the stock.
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PNC Financial Services (PNC) stock has gained about 25% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Performance Exceeded Expectations.
The PNC Financial Services Group reported robust results for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), with earnings per share (EPS) of $4.32. This figure notably surpassed analysts' consensus estimates, beating expectations by approximately $0.40, or 9.9%. This strong financial performance, which also saw quarterly revenue rise by 13.1% year-over-year to $6.17 billion, despite slightly missing some analyst revenue estimates, provided a significant boost to investor confidence.
2. Positive Federal Reserve Stress Test Results and Planned Dividend Increase.
PNC successfully passed the Federal Reserve's 2026 Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR) stress test, with its stress capital buffer (SCB) remaining at the regulatory minimum of 2.5% until October 1, 2027. As of March 31, 2026, the company maintained a strong Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio of 10.1%, comfortably above the 7% minimum requirement. Following these favorable results, PNC announced on June 25, 2026, its plan to recommend an 18% increase in its quarterly common stock dividend to $2.00 per share, effective in fiscal Q3 2026. This demonstrated capital strength and commitment to shareholder returns positively impacted the stock.
3. Widespread Analyst Upgrades and Raised Price Targets.
Throughout the period, several prominent investment firms reiterated positive ratings and increased their price targets for PNC, reflecting growing confidence in the company's outlook. For instance, Citigroup maintained a 'Buy' rating and raised its price target by 9.8% to $280 from $255 on June 30, 2026. Morgan Stanley also increased its target to $278 from $267 on June 29, 2026, while Oppenheimer lifted its target to $271 from $268 on June 30, 2026. UBS reiterated a "Buy" rating with a $263 price target, citing PNC's potential as an emerging national bank. These collective endorsements from analysts contributed to positive market sentiment.
4. Favorable Macroeconomic Environment for the Banking Sector.
The broader North American banking sector experienced a positive environment, contributing to PNC's gains. The Federal Reserve's 2026 stress tests confirmed the resilience of large banks against severe economic downturns, alleviating systemic concerns. Furthermore, industry deposits had recovered, and overall liquidity increased, which helped to lower funding costs for financial institutions. Expectations for credit loss provisions in the U.S. remained modest for 2026 and 2027, assuming continued economic resilience, which further supported the banking sector's performance.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 22.6% change in PNC stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 21.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 206.50 | 253.18 | 22.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 23,077 | 23,787 | 3.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 30.1% | 30.3% | 0.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.7 | 14.2 | 21.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 393 | 405 | -3.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 22.6% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PNC | 22.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.5% | 7.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | 13.7% | 63.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 23.2% change in PNC stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 13.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 205.56 | 253.18 | 23.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 22,570 | 23,787 | 5.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 28.9% | 30.3% | 4.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.5 | 14.2 | 13.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 396 | 405 | -2.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 23.2% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PNC | 23.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.5% | 29.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 3.0% | 68.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 40.4% change in PNC stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 19.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 180.35 | 253.18 | 40.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 21,110 | 23,787 | 12.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 28.6% | 30.3% | 6.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.9 | 14.2 | 19.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 398 | 405 | -1.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 40.4% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PNC | 40.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 22.6% | 35.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 8.5% | 69.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 125.5% change in PNC stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 99.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 112.26 | 253.18 | 125.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 21,988 | 23,787 | 8.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 28.7% | 30.3% | 5.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.1 | 14.2 | 99.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 401 | 405 | -1.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 125.5% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PNC | 125.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.5% | 53.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 74.0% | 76.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PNC Return | 38% | -19% | 3% | 29% | 12% | 21% | 104% |
| Peers Return | 38% | -18% | 11% | 33% | 27% | 6% | 124% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PNC Win Rate | 67% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 58% | 57% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 42% | 50% | 63% | 63% | 49% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PNC Max Drawdown | -11% | -34% | -32% | -12% | -26% | -17% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -14% | -38% | -32% | -14% | -26% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: JPM, BAC, WFC, USB, TFC. See PNC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/6/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PNC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.9% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 84 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.8% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.1% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 37 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -29.8% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 230 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -28.2% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.2% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 708 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -47.4% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 90.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 283 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -19.9% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.9% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 123 days | 105 days |
In The Past
PNC Financial Services's stock fell -22.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 29.7% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | PNC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.9% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 84 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -29.8% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 230 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -28.2% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.2% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 708 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -47.4% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 90.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 283 days | 140 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -24.1% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.7% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 121 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -70.6% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 240.5% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 396 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
PNC Financial Services's stock fell -22.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 29.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About PNC Financial Services (PNC)
PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. operates as a diversified financial services company in the United States, serving a wide array of customers. Its Retail Banking segment caters to consumers and small businesses, offering a full suite of traditional banking products. This includes checking, savings, and money market accounts, certificates of deposit, and various lending options such as residential mortgages, home equity loans, auto loans, education loans, personal and small business loans, and credit cards. These services are delivered through an extensive network of branches, ATMs, and digital banking channels, complemented by brokerage, insurance, and investment and cash management services.
Beyond its retail operations, PNC provides comprehensive financial solutions to corporate and institutional clients, delivering secured and unsecured loans, letters of credit, and equipment leases. It also offers advanced cash and investment management services, international payments, and specialized financial market services including foreign exchange, derivatives, securities underwriting, and advisory services for mergers, acquisitions, and equity capital markets. Furthermore, PNC's Asset Management Group focuses on wealth management for affluent individuals and families, providing investment and retirement planning, customized investment management, private banking, and trust management. This segment also extends its expertise to institutions through services like outsourced chief investment officer, custody, and fiduciary retirement advisory.
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A diversified financial services company, like a JPMorgan Chase or Bank of America, serving individual consumers, businesses, and institutional clients across the U.S.
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- Deposit Accounts: Offering checking, savings, money market accounts, and certificates of deposit for consumers and businesses.
- Consumer & Small Business Lending: Providing residential mortgages, home equity loans, auto loans, education loans, personal and small business loans, and credit cards.
- Corporate Lending: Extending secured and unsecured loans, letters of credit, and equipment leases to corporate and institutional clients.
- Treasury Management Services: Delivering cash and investment management, receivables and disbursement management, funds transfer, and international payment services.
- Capital Markets Advisory: Services including foreign exchange, derivatives, fixed income, securities underwriting, loan syndications, and mergers and acquisitions advisory.
- Investment & Retirement Planning: Offering customized investment management, wealth planning, and retirement advisory services for individuals and institutions.
- Trust & Fiduciary Services: Providing trust management and administration, estate planning, and fiduciary retirement advisory services.
- Private Banking: Delivering credit and cash management solutions, along with private banking services for affluent clients.
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The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. (PNC) serves a diverse customer base, with a significant focus on individuals and small businesses through its extensive retail network.
PNC's major customer categories include:
- Consumers/Individuals: These customers utilize a wide range of services including checking, savings, and money market accounts; certificates of deposits; residential mortgages, home equity loans and lines of credit, auto loans, education loans, personal loans, and credit cards. They access these services through branches, ATMs, call centers, and online/mobile banking channels.
- Small Businesses: PNC provides small business loans, cash management services, and other financial products tailored to the needs of small enterprise customers, often through the same retail channels as individual consumers.
- High-Net-Worth Individuals and Families: Through its Asset Management Group, PNC offers specialized services such as investment and retirement planning, customized investment management, private banking, trust management and administration, and multi-generational family planning products (estate, financial, tax planning, fiduciary services).
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William S. Demchak, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
William S. Demchak joined PNC in 2002 as chief financial officer. He was elected president in April 2012, chief executive officer in April 2013, and chairman in April 2014. Before joining PNC, Demchak served as the global head of Structured Finance and Credit Portfolio for JPMorgan Chase, where he held key leadership roles prior to its merger with Chase Manhattan Corporation in 2000. He is recognized as one of the earliest adopters of credit default swaps. Under his leadership, PNC has focused on strategic acquisitions and innovation in digital banking.
Robert Q. Reilly, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Robert Q. Reilly joined PNC in 1987 and was appointed chief financial officer in 2013. Throughout his tenure, he has held numerous management positions across Asset Management, Investment Banking, and Commercial Banking, including serving as head of Asset Management and executive vice president for PNC's corporate banking activities. Reilly also serves on the board of directors for the RAF Private Equity Group and PNC Bank Community Partners.
Mark Wiedman, President
Mark Wiedman joined PNC as president in April 2025. In this role, he oversees the company's business lines, bringing over 21 years of experience from BlackRock.
Richard K. Bynum, Chief Corporate Responsibility Officer
Richard K. Bynum began his career at PNC in 2005 through its Executive Leadership Program. He has held various leadership roles, including regional president of PNC in Greater Washington, head of the Business Banking division, and retail market executive. Prior to PNC, Bynum served for 12 years as a senior leader for the American Red Cross, where his responsibilities included managing disaster response and emergency communications.
Vicki C. Henn, Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer
Vicki C. Henn joined PNC in 1993 through the Chemical Bank, New Jersey acquisition. She has held several leadership positions within human resources, such as deputy director of human resources for the Regional Community Bank and eastern division HR manager. Henn also served as managing director, Community Development Banking, and was previously an assistant HR manager for Macy's Northeast before joining PNC.
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- Economic and Market Volatility: PNC is highly susceptible to broader economic conditions and fluctuations in financial markets. As an asset-sensitive bank, sudden changes in interest rates can directly impact its Net Interest Margin (NIM), affecting profitability. Economic downturns or recessions can lead to increased credit losses across its diverse loan portfolios (residential mortgages, home equity, auto, education, personal, small business, and commercial loans) and reduce overall loan demand. Additionally, sustained inflationary pressures and geopolitical tensions contribute to financial market volatility, further impacting the company's operations and financial performance.
- Regulatory and Compliance Risks: Operating in a highly regulated environment, PNC is exposed to significant risks from evolving governmental regulations, oversight, and compliance requirements. Changes in regulatory policies, capital and liquidity standards, or consumer protection laws can substantially affect its business operations, growth strategies, and profitability. The costs associated with compliance can also be substantial.
- Intense Competition and Technological Disruption: The financial services industry is highly competitive, with both established institutions and new entrants, including FinTech companies, vying for market share. This competition can put pressure on pricing for loans and services, and on fee-based income, which is a significant component of PNC's revenue. Furthermore, rapid advancements in financial technology necessitate continuous investment in digital capabilities to maintain a competitive edge and meet evolving customer expectations. Closely related is the ever-present and increasing threat of cybersecurity breaches, which could lead to financial losses, reputational damage, and loss of customer trust if not managed effectively.
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- Digital-only Banks and Neobanks: These companies operate primarily through mobile apps and online platforms, offering checking, savings, and payment services with often lower fees and more user-friendly digital experiences. They directly challenge PNC's Retail Banking segment by attracting tech-savvy customers and those seeking alternatives to traditional branch-based banking.
- Online Lenders: Specialized platforms provide streamlined, technology-driven processes for mortgages, auto loans, personal loans, and small business loans. Companies like Rocket Mortgage or SoFi compete directly with PNC's lending products by offering faster approvals, competitive rates, and a fully digital customer journey.
- Robo-advisors and Digital Wealth Management Platforms: These services offer automated, algorithm-driven investment management at lower costs than traditional human advisors. They directly compete with PNC's Asset Management Group for clients seeking accessible, efficient, and cost-effective investment solutions.
- Embedded Finance and Big Tech Entrants: Non-financial companies (e.g., Apple, Google, Amazon, Shopify) are increasingly integrating financial services directly into their ecosystems, offering credit cards, payment solutions, and even lending products. These platforms leverage vast customer bases and data, potentially disintermediating traditional banks like PNC in core payment, credit, and lending services.
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The addressable markets for PNC Financial Services' main products and services in the U.S. are sized as follows:
Retail Banking Segment (U.S.)
- The overall U.S. retail banking market is valued at approximately USD 0.87 trillion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 1.08 trillion by 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.22%.
- The total single-family mortgage origination volume in the U.S. is expected to reach USD 2.0 trillion in 2025 and increase to USD 2.2 trillion in 2026.
- The U.S. credit card market size was valued at USD 190 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 388.4 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 9.5%.
- The U.S. small business loan market was valued at USD 245.39 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 349.64 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 3.4%.
Corporate & Institutional Banking Segment (U.S.)
- The U.S. commercial banking market size is estimated at USD 732.5 billion in 2025 and is forecasted to reach USD 915.45 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 4.56%.
Asset Management Group Segment (U.S.)
- The United States Asset Management market was valued at USD 52.08 trillion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 134.67 trillion by 2030, at a CAGR of 17.22%. Other estimates indicate the U.S. Assets Under Management market is approximately USD 140 trillion.
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PNC Financial Services (PNC) anticipates several key drivers to fuel its revenue growth over the next 2-3 years:
- Strategic Acquisitions and Geographic Expansion: PNC expects significant revenue contributions from its recent acquisition of FirstBank, which closed in January 2026. This acquisition is projected to accelerate earnings growth and expand PNC's market share, particularly in the Southwestern United States, including Texas and Colorado. Additionally, the company plans organic expansion through new branch openings, focusing on increasing market density in existing growth markets like Nashville, with plans to open 300 new branches over five years.
- Robust Loan Growth: The company forecasts strong average loan growth, with expectations of an approximately 8% increase for the full year 2026. This growth is anticipated across various segments, including commercial and industrial loans, as well as residential mortgages.
- Expansion of Noninterest Income: PNC is focused on increasing its noninterest income, with a projected growth of 6% for 2026. This will be driven by higher capital markets and advisory fees, card and cash management revenue, and asset management and brokerage income. Investments in payments infrastructure and corporate cash management platforms are expected to deepen client relationships and enhance recurring fee income streams.
- Net Interest Income (NII) Expansion: PNC anticipates a substantial rise in net interest income, with an expected increase of approximately 14% in 2026. This growth is attributed to factors such as loan growth, lower funding costs, and the continued repricing of fixed-rate assets. The company also projects its net interest margin to exceed 3% in the latter half of 2026, with potential to reach 3.15% longer term.
- Investments in Technology and Digital Transformation: PNC is making significant investments in technology initiatives, including payments capabilities and consumer rewards platforms, and enhancing its digital banking services. These strategic investments aim to improve customer experience, increase operational efficiencies, and support customer acquisition and relationship deepening, thereby contributing to overall revenue growth.
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Share Repurchases
- PNC's annual share buybacks totaled approximately $1.338 billion in 2025, $687 million in 2024, and $651 million in 2023.
- In the first quarter of 2026, share repurchase activity is expected to be between $600 million and $700 million.
- As of December 31, 2025, approximately 35% of the 100 million common shares authorized under a previously approved repurchase program remained available.
Share Issuance
- No specific dollar amount of common share issuances was identified within the last 3-5 years. However, in January 2026, PNC issued a newly created series of preferred stock (Series X) in connection with the FirstBank acquisition.
Outbound Investments
- PNC completed the acquisition of FirstBank Holding Company for $4.1 billion on January 5, 2026. This transaction included approximately 13.9 million shares of PNC common stock and $1.2 billion in cash, and expands PNC's presence in Colorado and Arizona.
- In October 2023, PNC acquired a $16.6 billion portfolio of capital commitments facilities from Signature Bridge Bank, which included $9 billion in funded loans primarily for private equity investors.
- PNC acquired Aqueduct Capital Group in May 2025 for an undisclosed sum to enhance its fund placement capabilities within Harris Williams, its investment banking arm.
Capital Expenditures
- PNC Financial planned to spend $425 million in 2024 on its ongoing improvement plan, with a primary focus on business and technology investments.
- In the fourth quarter of 2024, noninterest expense included $97 million in asset impairments, mainly related to technology investments.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 75.14 |
| Mkt Cap | 185.9 |
| Rev LTM | 56,808 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 6,246 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 8,093 |
| CFO LTM | 6,246 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,093 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 28.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 31.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 28.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 31.3% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Banking | 14,863 | 14,547 | 12,925 | 10,507 | 9,002 |
| Corporate & Institutional Banking | 11,228 | 10,229 | 9,269 | 8,800 | 8,309 |
| Asset Management Group | 1,710 | 1,562 | 1,452 | 1,544 | 1,463 |
| Revenues from other activities | -2,156 | 269 | 437 | ||
| Total | 27,801 | 26,338 | 21,490 | 21,120 | 19,211 |
| $ Mil | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate & Institutional Banking | 3,046 | 3,177 | 3,408 | 3,702 | 2,890 |
| Retail Banking | 1,427 | 1,146 | 865 | 1,134 | 46 |
| BlackRock | 717 | 703 | 621 | 512 | 98 |
| Non-Strategic Assets Portfolio | 476 | 581 | 600 | 375 | |
| Asset Management Group | 306 | ||||
| Residential Mortgage Banking | 41 | 56 | 234 | -450 | 146 |
| Revenues from other activities | -506 | -336 | -416 | -894 | 18 |
| Asset Management | 287 | 256 | 271 | 224 | |
| Distressed Assets Portfolio | 647 | ||||
| Total | 5,507 | 5,614 | 5,568 | 4,650 | 4,069 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate & Institutional Banking | 5,446 | 4,729 | 4,068 | 3,870 | 4,324 |
| Retail Banking | 5,045 | 5,063 | 3,811 | 1,974 | 1,648 |
| Asset Management Group | 472 | 376 | 260 | 330 | 406 |
| Revenues from other activities | -133 | -704 | |||
| Total | 10,963 | 10,168 | 8,139 | 6,041 | 5,674 |
| $ Mil | 2023 | 2022 | 2005 | 2004 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate & Institutional Banking | 233,337 | 219,941 | ||
| Revenues from other activities | 194,707 | 202,377 | 32,473 | 27,381 |
| Retail Banking | 114,914 | 113,829 | ||
| Asset Management Group | 15,812 | 14,505 | ||
| BlackRock | 1,848 | 1,145 | ||
| PFPC | 2,128 | 2,054 | ||
| Regonial Community Banking | 27,862 | 21,741 | ||
| Wholesale Banking | 25,907 | 22,073 | ||
| PNC Advisors | 2,755 | |||
| Total | 558,770 | 550,652 | 90,218 | 77,149 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $253.18 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 102.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/07/1988 | |
| Distance from 52W High | 0.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $226.67 | $209.66 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 11.7% | 20.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 22.2% | 21.8% |
| Downside Capture | -29.38 | 47.43 |
| Upside Capture | 49.70 | 70.43 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 7.5% | 35.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.21 | -0.09 | 0.23 | 0.51 | 0.62 | 0.88 |
| Up Beta | -1.24 | -0.55 | 0.47 | 0.48 | 0.69 | 0.86 |
| Down Beta | 0.24 | -0.08 | -0.20 | 0.39 | 0.65 | 0.93 |
| Up Capture | 56% | 37% | 54% | 65% | 62% | 82% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 23 | 38 | 65 | 132 | 397 |
| Down Capture | -68% | -32% | -22% | 47% | 53% | 93% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 18 | 25 | 60 | 119 | 352 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PNC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PNC | 33.9% | 21.7% | 1.25 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.0% | 14.7% | 0.31 | 69.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 22.2% | 12.5% | 1.32 | 36.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.7% | 27.8% | 0.75 | 4.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 21.2% | 18.6% | 0.90 | -13.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.4% | 13.8% | 0.61 | 41.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -43.6% | 42.7% | -1.23 | 16.7% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PNC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PNC | 9.5% | 27.0% | 0.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 10.6% | 18.6% | 0.44 | 80.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 60.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.1% | 18.3% | 0.80 | 0.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.3% | 19.5% | 0.27 | 12.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.7% | 18.9% | 0.05 | 55.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 14.2% | 53.6% | 0.45 | 22.2% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PNC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PNC | 15.0% | 29.7% | 0.53 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.5% | 22.2% | 0.56 | 87.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 67.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.62 | -6.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.8% | 18.0% | 0.25 | 22.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 57.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.3% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 15.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/22/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/15/2026 | 0.4% | 3.1% | -5.1% |
| 1/16/2026 | 3.8% | 2.8% | 8.4% |
| 11/7/2025 | 0.5% | -0.1% | 12.4% |
| 7/16/2025 | 0.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| 4/15/2025 | 0.0% | 0.5% | 15.7% |
| 1/16/2025 | -1.9% | -1.4% | -3.3% |
| 11/8/2024 | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| 7/16/2024 | 4.7% | 4.8% | -0.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 15 | 14 |
| # Negative | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 1.9% | 4.3% | 7.5% |
| Median Negative | -2.2% | -2.1% | -3.0% |
| Max Positive | 4.7% | 7.5% | 15.7% |
| Max Negative | -6.0% | -8.1% | -11.8% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/15/2026 | 0.4% | 3.1% | -5.1% |
| 1/16/2026 | 3.8% | 2.8% | 8.4% |
| 11/7/2025 | 0.5% | -0.1% | 12.4% |
| 7/16/2025 | 0.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| 4/15/2025 | 0.0% | 0.5% | 15.7% |
| 1/16/2025 | -1.9% | -1.4% | -3.3% |
| 11/8/2024 | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| 7/16/2024 | 4.7% | 4.8% | -0.5% |
| 4/16/2024 | -2.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% |
| 1/16/2024 | 0.1% | 0.3% | -2.5% |
| 10/13/2023 | -2.6% | -3.4% | 0.6% |
| 7/18/2023 | 2.5% | 6.6% | -2.8% |
| 4/14/2023 | 0.4% | 4.7% | -7.0% |
| 1/18/2023 | -6.0% | -2.1% | -1.1% |
| 11/3/2022 | 2.1% | 6.9% | -0.1% |
| 7/15/2022 | 1.6% | 7.1% | 15.7% |
| 4/14/2022 | -1.9% | -0.5% | -11.8% |
| 1/18/2022 | -2.4% | -8.1% | -6.8% |
| 10/15/2021 | -1.7% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| 7/14/2021 | -0.5% | -3.4% | 3.1% |
| 4/16/2021 | 2.3% | -0.5% | 14.1% |
| 1/15/2021 | -3.5% | -4.9% | 6.0% |
| 10/14/2020 | -2.4% | 0.7% | 12.7% |
| 7/15/2020 | 2.8% | 7.5% | 11.8% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 15 | 14 |
| # Negative | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 1.9% | 4.3% | 7.5% |
| Median Negative | -2.2% | -2.1% | -3.0% |
| Max Positive | 4.7% | 7.5% | 15.7% |
| Max Negative | -6.0% | -8.1% | -11.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/20/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/02/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/21/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/22/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/20/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/02/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/21/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/22/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/25/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/03/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/06/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/26/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/03/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/04/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/05/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 03/02/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/04/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/01/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 5/31/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/15/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Share Repurchases | 600.00 Mil | 650.00 Mil | 700.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 650.00 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/16/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Share Repurchases | 600.00 Mil | 650.00 Mil | 700.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Real GDP Growth | 2.0% | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 2.0% for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Federal Funds Rate | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | -7.4% | Lowered | Guidance: 0.03 for Q1 2026 | |
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/7/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Federal Funds Rate | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | ||||
| 2030 New Branch Builds | 300 | ||||||
| 2030 Long-term deposit opportunity | 20.00 Bil | ||||||
| 2025 Real GDP Growth | 2.0% | 33.3% | 0.5% | Raised | Guidance: 1.5% for 2025 | ||
| 2026 Real GDP Growth | 2.0% | 33.3% | 0.5% | Raised | Guidance: 1.5% for 2026 | ||
| 2030 Card Platform Penetration | 0.5 | ||||||
Insider Activity
Updated 7/6/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thomas, Michael Duane | Executive Vice President | Direct | Sell | 6162026 | 238.14 | 1,500 | 357,205 | 1,204,734 | Form |
| 2 | Overstrom, Alexander E C | Executive Vice President | Direct | Sell | 6102026 | 227.97 | 1,500 | 341,956 | 4,472,791 | Form |
| 3 | Novosel, Stephanie | Executive Vice President | Direct | Sell | 6082026 | 228.73 | 1,800 | 411,714 | 710,664 | Form |
| 4 | Feldstein, Andrew T | Revocable Trust | Sell | 5282026 | 220.57 | 23,000 | 5,073,023 | 5,326,453 | Form | |
| 5 | Feldstein, Andrew T | Spouse's Revocable Trust | Sell | 5282026 | 220.57 | 18,000 | 3,970,192 | 10,721,723 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thomas, Michael Duane | Executive Vice President | Direct | Sell | 6162026 | 238.14 | 1,500 | 357,205 | 1,204,734 | Form |
| 2 | Overstrom, Alexander E C | Executive Vice President | Direct | Sell | 6102026 | 227.97 | 1,500 | 341,956 | 4,472,791 | Form |
| 3 | Novosel, Stephanie | Executive Vice President | Direct | Sell | 6082026 | 228.73 | 1,800 | 411,714 | 710,664 | Form |
| 4 | Feldstein, Andrew T | Revocable Trust | Sell | 5282026 | 220.57 | 23,000 | 5,073,023 | 5,326,453 | Form | |
| 5 | Feldstein, Andrew T | Spouse's Revocable Trust | Sell | 5282026 | 220.57 | 18,000 | 3,970,192 | 10,721,723 | Form | |
| 6 | Feldstein, Andrew T | Spouse's Trust | Sell | 5282026 | 220.57 | 4,000 | 882,265 | 2,370,866 | Form | |
| 7 | Medler, Linda R | Direct | Buy | 3112026 | 200.38 | 20 | 4,008 | 4,008 | Form | |
| 8 | Demchak, William S | CEO | Direct | Sell | 2242026 | 230.88 | 50,000 | 11,544,000 | 127,970,781 | Form |
| 9 | Overstrom, Alexander E C | Executive Vice President | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 233.91 | 2,500 | 584,775 | 4,940,179 | Form |
| 10 | Cestello, Louis Robert | Executive Vice President | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 234.01 | 4,279 | 1,001,329 | 4,415,067 | Form |
| 11 | Bynum, Richard Kevin | Executive Vice President | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 230.98 | 7,407 | 1,710,847 | 448,557 | Form |
| 12 | Thomas, Michael Duane | Executive Vice President | Direct | Sell | 11062025 | 183.57 | 1,000 | 183,573 | 1,065,091 | Form |
| 13 | Deborah, Guild | Executive Vice President | Direct | Sell | 10282025 | 186.97 | 1,080 | 201,928 | 5,110,825 | Form |
| 14 | Overstrom, Alexander E C | Executive Vice President | Direct | Sell | 9122025 | 203.33 | 1,000 | 203,330 | 3,382,395 | Form |
| 15 | Medler, Linda R | Direct | Sell | 8292025 | 205.55 | 71 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Diversified Banks Resources |
| Retail Banker International |
| International Banker |
| Global Finance Magazine |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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