Tearsheet

Pegasystems (PEGA)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $57.69 | Market Cap: $9.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Pegasystems (PEGA)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $57.69
Market Cap: $9.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 56%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more.
Key risks
PEGA key risks include [1] ongoing legal challenges and [2] its dependence on key industries susceptible to economic and regulatory changes.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more.
2 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 56%
3 Key risks
PEGA key risks include [1] ongoing legal challenges and [2] its dependence on key industries susceptible to economic and regulatory changes.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PEGA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from 8/31/2025 to December 18, 2025, Pegasystems (PEGA) stock experienced movement, notably surging following its Q3 2025 earnings report. The key points contributing to such stock movement include: 1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance. Pegasystems reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, which surpassed Wall Street's expectations for both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue.

2. Significant EPS and Revenue Beat. The company's non-GAAP earnings reached $0.30 per share, considerably exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.18 or $0.20 per share. Additionally, revenues totaled $381.35 million, surpassing forecasts that ranged from $351.54 million to $355 million.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PEGA Return68%-16%-69%43%91%26%48%
Peers Return105%12%-34%57%28%-2%197%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PEGA Win Rate75%33%8%58%58%67% 
Peers Win Rate67%53%27%62%63%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PEGA Max Drawdown-23%-24%-73%-2%-8%-33% 
Peers Max Drawdown-18%-19%-43%-3%-12%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CRM, NOW, APPN, MSFT, ORCL. See PEGA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPEGAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-79.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven382.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-40.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven89 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-33.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven101 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-32.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven85 days1,480 days

Compare to ORCL, CRM, NOW, OTEX, VRNT


In The Past

Pegasystems's stock fell -79.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -79.3% loss requires a 382.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Pegasystems (PEGA)

Better Bets than Pegasystems (PEGA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PEGA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Pegasystems

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PEGACRMNOWAPPNMSFTORCLMedian
NamePegasyst.Salesfor.ServiceN.Appian MicrosoftOracle  
Mkt Price57.45257.72156.4836.40476.12178.46167.47
Mkt Cap9.8244.332.52.73,539.0805.5138.4
Rev LTM1,73240,31712,667691293,81261,01726,492
Op Inc LTM3038,8801,7556135,93719,4905,318
FCF LTM43112,8953,9057378,017-13,1812,168
FCF 3Y Avg30011,1943,209-2571,3022,1552,682
CFO LTM44213,5024,84176147,03922,2969,172
CFO 3Y Avg31511,8824,011-18121,38419,8747,946

Growth & Margins

PEGACRMNOWAPPNMSFTORCLMedian
NamePegasyst.Salesfor.ServiceN.Appian MicrosoftOracle  
Rev Chg LTM17.0%8.4%21.1%16.0%15.6%11.1%15.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.9%10.0%22.3%15.6%13.2%9.8%12.5%
Rev Chg Q17.3%8.6%21.8%21.4%18.4%14.2%17.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.4%2.1%5.1%5.0%4.3%3.4%3.8%
Op Mgn LTM17.5%22.0%13.9%0.9%46.3%31.9%19.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.8%19.2%11.2%-12.7%44.6%30.8%15.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.8%0.8%0.6%3.0%0.6%0.3%0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM25.5%33.5%38.2%10.9%50.0%36.5%35.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg20.2%31.8%37.9%-4.5%47.2%35.5%33.7%
FCF/Rev LTM24.9%32.0%30.8%10.5%26.6%-21.6%25.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg19.2%30.0%30.3%-5.6%28.0%5.1%23.6%

Valuation

PEGACRMNOWAPPNMSFTORCLMedian
NamePegasyst.Salesfor.ServiceN.Appian MicrosoftOracle  
Mkt Cap9.8244.332.52.73,539.0805.5138.4
P/S5.76.115.13.313.113.29.6
P/EBIT29.527.586.6123.329.6-29.6
P/E35.333.8110.4-309.536.752.236.0
P/CFO22.218.139.529.926.236.128.1
Total Yield3.0%3.4%0.9%-0.3%3.4%2.6%2.8%
Dividend Yield0.1%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.6%0.7%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.5%4.9%2.0%-0.5%2.3%-2.3%
D/E0.00.00.00.10.0-0.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.0-0.00.1-0.0--0.0

Returns

PEGACRMNOWAPPNMSFTORCLMedian
NamePegasyst.Salesfor.ServiceN.Appian MicrosoftOracle  
1M Rtn5.1%8.7%-81.3%-12.4%-6.2%-18.8%-9.3%
3M Rtn-1.8%6.4%-83.5%15.6%-6.5%-40.7%-4.1%
6M Rtn13.8%-0.5%-84.1%20.8%-0.5%-15.0%-0.5%
12M Rtn19.1%-26.1%-86.0%-2.8%5.5%6.2%1.4%
3Y Rtn221.5%103.0%-60.3%2.5%99.2%132.7%101.1%
1M Excs Rtn4.4%8.0%-82.0%-13.1%-6.9%-19.6%-10.0%
3M Excs Rtn-5.0%4.2%-84.8%8.4%-7.5%-41.1%-6.3%
6M Excs Rtn1.4%-12.9%-96.4%8.5%-12.9%-27.4%-12.9%
12M Excs Rtn10.6%-37.9%-97.1%-12.2%-3.8%-7.1%-9.7%
3Y Excs Rtn148.0%27.2%-129.5%-71.6%24.6%59.4%25.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment1,4331,3181,2121,018 
Consulting    218
Maintenance    281
Pega Cloud    134
Perpetual license    80
Subscription license    199
Total1,4331,3181,2121,018911


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,537,654
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.8%
Average Daily Volume1,090,039
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6
Basic Shares Quantity170,567,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/21/202515.0%14.8%-5.3%
7/22/202513.9%18.6%1.8%
2/12/2025-19.6%-23.2%-32.1%
10/23/202414.7%17.2%28.4%
7/24/202412.8%14.1%10.0%
4/24/20240.3%2.9%3.0%
2/14/202435.7%27.6%22.3%
10/25/20237.2%15.4%37.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151312
# Negative91112
Median Positive9.7%12.2%11.3%
Median Negative-7.0%-7.4%-15.2%
Max Positive35.7%27.6%37.2%
Max Negative-19.6%-23.2%-32.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251021202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025722202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025422202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024212202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241023202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024724202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231025202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022215202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221026202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021216202210-K 12/31/2021