Tearsheet

Public Service Enterprise (PEG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $79.895 | Market Cap: $39.9 Bil
Sector: Utilities | Industry: Electric Utilities

Public Service Enterprise (PEG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $79.895
Market Cap: $39.9 Bil
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Electric Utilities

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.0%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.8%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -11%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -23%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, CFO LTM is 2.9 Bil
  Key risks
PEG key risks include [1] regulatory challenges that could limit its ability to recover capital project investments through rates and [2] uncertainty in securing long-term revenue agreements for its nuclear assets.
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Renewable Energy Transition, and Offshore Wind Development. Themes include Smart Grid Technologies, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.0%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.8%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, CFO LTM is 2.9 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Renewable Energy Transition, and Offshore Wind Development. Themes include Smart Grid Technologies, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -11%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -23%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%
8 Key risks
PEG key risks include [1] regulatory challenges that could limit its ability to recover capital project investments through rates and [2] uncertainty in securing long-term revenue agreements for its nuclear assets.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PEG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -1.4% stock movement for Public Service Enterprise (PEG) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: **1. PEG experienced a notable revenue miss in its Q3 2025 earnings report despite beating earnings per share (EPS) estimates.** Although Public Service Enterprise Group reported Q3 2025 EPS of $1.13, surpassing the forecast by 11.88%, its revenues of $2.37 billion for the quarter missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 13.11% and represented a decrease from the prior year's revenues of $2.64 billion. This revenue underperformance likely raised investor concerns despite the positive EPS surprise.

**2. Post-earnings technical analysis indicated a bearish trend and a fair valuation, limiting perceived upside.** After the Q3 2025 earnings announcement, technical analysis of PEG's stock showed a bearish trend. Additionally, valuations suggested the stock was fairly priced, indicating that there might be limited room for significant appreciation from its current levels.

**3. Analyst reports highlighted high leverage and negative free cash flow as potential financial risks.** Some analyses pointed to the company's high leverage and negative free cash flow as potential risks that needed to be addressed to improve financial stability. These financial concerns could contribute to a more cautious investor sentiment.

**4. The market was reassessing PEG's growth trajectory and risk profile due to ongoing investments and policy changes.** Headlines leading up to and during this period focused on the company's significant investments in regulated transmission and distribution infrastructure, as well as policy developments concerning clean energy incentives. These factors led the market to reassess both PEG's long-term growth prospects and its overall risk profile.

**5. Pre-existing valuation concerns led to an analyst downgrade prior to the Q3 2025 earnings release.** An analyst had downgraded PEG to a "SELL" rating in late October 2025, citing inflated market valuations and an unattractive risk/reward profile for the stock. This underlying bearish sentiment on valuation likely contributed to the stock's post-earnings decline, even in the face of strong EPS.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PEG Return2%18%-5%4%43%-2%66%
Peers Return-4%22%3%-7%14%14%45%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PEG Win Rate67%50%33%58%75%50% 
Peers Win Rate53%58%60%52%60%63% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PEG Max Drawdown-37%-8%-18%-8%-7%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-8%-13%-18%-5%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EXC, ED, D, SO, DUK. See PEG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPEGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven587 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-40.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven386 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-11.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven13.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven133 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven114.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven3,169 days1,480 days

Compare to NU, ETR, ED, WEC, EIX


In The Past

Public Service Enterprise's stock fell -28.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -28.4% loss requires a 39.7% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Public Service Enterprise (PEG)

Better Bets than Public Service Enterprise (PEG)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PEG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%
PEG_5312023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312023PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
7.9%28.4%-6.7%
PEG_3312020_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312020PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
24.3%39.0%-4.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%
PEG_5312023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312023PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
7.9%28.4%-6.7%
PEG_3312020_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312020PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
24.3%39.0%-4.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Public Service Enterprise

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PEGEXCEDDSODUKMedian
NamePublic S.Exelon Consolid.Dominion.Southern Duke Ene. 
Mkt Price79.9144.22100.2160.1187.03117.4383.47
Mkt Cap39.944.736.151.395.991.448.0
Rev LTM11,71824,31716,59215,22728,91231,65920,454
Op Inc LTM2,9205,0603,0184,5287,4268,5834,794
FCF LTM-177-1,595-68-8,071-1,823-921-1,258
FCF 3Y Avg-110-2,186-1,144-5,691-1,031-2,122-1,633
CFO LTM2,9446,4364,6304,6099,37812,0495,533
CFO 3Y Avg3,1065,3373,4695,6778,61010,5395,507

Growth & Margins

PEGEXCEDDSODUKMedian
NamePublic S.Exelon Consolid.Dominion.Southern Duke Ene. 
Rev Chg LTM12.3%6.1%10.3%5.3%9.4%4.8%7.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.4%8.9%3.4%7.5%1.3%5.2%6.3%
Rev Chg Q22.1%9.0%10.7%9.3%7.5%4.8%9.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.2%2.3%2.7%2.2%1.9%1.2%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM24.9%20.8%18.2%29.7%25.7%27.1%25.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg28.1%19.0%17.4%27.0%23.7%25.1%24.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.6%0.8%0.2%1.2%0.3%0.3%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM25.1%26.5%27.9%30.3%32.4%38.1%29.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg27.3%23.3%22.0%38.4%31.6%34.6%29.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.5%-6.6%-0.4%-53.0%-6.3%-2.9%-4.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1.3%-9.9%-7.5%-38.2%-3.7%-7.1%-7.3%

Valuation

PEGEXCEDDSODUKMedian
NamePublic S.Exelon Consolid.Dominion.Southern Duke Ene. 
Mkt Cap39.944.736.151.395.991.448.0
P/S3.61.92.23.43.63.03.2
P/EBIT13.08.69.610.112.510.410.3
P/E20.016.117.822.823.419.319.7
P/CFO14.17.17.811.311.18.09.6
Total Yield8.0%9.7%8.8%8.7%7.1%6.0%8.3%
Dividend Yield3.0%3.5%3.2%4.3%2.9%0.8%3.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.1%-5.5%-3.6%-12.2%-1.3%-2.9%-3.2%
D/E0.61.10.70.90.70.90.8
Net D/E0.61.10.70.90.70.90.8

Returns

PEGEXCEDDSODUKMedian
NamePublic S.Exelon Consolid.Dominion.Southern Duke Ene. 
1M Rtn-2.3%-5.1%-2.7%-1.2%-3.9%-6.2%-3.3%
3M Rtn0.1%3.2%4.8%2.0%-4.2%-2.2%1.1%
6M Rtn-1.1%6.2%1.1%13.5%-0.2%4.3%2.7%
12M Rtn-3.5%25.5%14.1%17.5%8.0%12.8%13.5%
3Y Rtn49.2%18.0%16.8%19.1%41.3%31.8%25.4%
1M Excs Rtn-3.1%-5.8%-3.4%-1.9%-4.7%-6.9%-4.0%
3M Excs Rtn-2.1%2.1%3.5%0.4%-5.4%-3.0%-0.9%
6M Excs Rtn-13.5%-6.2%-11.2%1.1%-12.6%-8.1%-9.7%
12M Excs Rtn-16.1%13.2%0.8%5.5%-3.0%0.7%0.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-22.6%-52.1%-55.4%-52.0%-30.3%-39.2%-45.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Public Service Electric and Gas Company (PSE&G)42,87339,96037,19835,58133,266
Public Service Enterprise Group (PSEG) Power & Other8,4079,2859,77712,70412,805
Eliminations-539-527-3,126-927-1,056
Other  5,1502,6922,715
Total50,74148,71848,99950,05047,730


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,940,737
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-2.2%
Average Daily Volume2,218,992
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.13
Basic Shares Quantity499,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/20251.0%3.4%0.8%
8/5/2025-2.2%-4.0%-9.8%
2/25/2025-1.3%-3.1%-2.7%
11/4/2024-6.2%-1.7%4.4%
7/30/20241.4%0.5%4.7%
2/26/2024-1.8%2.5%8.5%
10/31/20232.5%4.8%5.2%
8/1/20230.1%-4.2%-2.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive699
# Negative131010
Median Positive1.2%2.5%4.7%
Median Negative-2.0%-2.7%-2.8%
Max Positive6.8%4.8%8.5%
Max Negative-6.2%-7.6%-28.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251103202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221031202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Thigpen Richard TSVP Corporate Citizenship11102025Sell82.334,920405,0882,151,708Form