Ouster (OUST)
Market Price (5/30/2026): $45.77 | Market Cap: $2.8 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Textiles
Ouster (OUST)
Market Price (5/30/2026): $45.77Market Cap: $2.8 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Textiles
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 57% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -69 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -37% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 15x Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 101%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 291% Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -37% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 99% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.3% Key risksOUST key risks include [1] its limited operating history and inability to achieve or sustain profitability and [2] a dependence on a limited number of key third-party suppliers and manufacturers. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 57% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -69 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -37% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 15x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 101%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 291% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -37% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 99% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.3% |
| Key risksOUST key risks include [1] its limited operating history and inability to achieve or sustain profitability and [2] a dependence on a limited number of key third-party suppliers and manufacturers. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Ouster (OUST) stock has gained about 120% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Revenue Growth and Positive Financial Outlook.
Ouster reported robust financial results for the first quarter of 2026, with total revenue reaching $49 million, representing a significant 49% increase year-over-year. Product revenue specifically grew by 55% year-over-year and 18% sequentially, marking the 13th consecutive quarter of product revenue expansion. The company also provided an optimistic outlook, projecting total revenue between $49.5 million and $52.5 million for the second quarter of 2026.
2. Product Innovation and Strategic Acquisitions.
Ouster demonstrated technological advancement by introducing its revolutionary Rev8 OS digital lidar family. This new product line features native color sensing, double the range and resolution, and is designed for functional safety, powered by the next-generation L4 Ouster Silicon. Furthermore, the successful integration of Stereolabs, acquired on February 4, 2026, expanded Ouster's camera and compute offerings, providing a "tailwind" for the first quarter through strong demand from companies developing AI models and advanced robotics platforms.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 121.1% change in OUST stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 74.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 20.83 | 46.05 | 121.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 137 | 185 | 35.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 8.8 | 15.4 | 74.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 58 | 62 | -6.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 121.1% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OUST | 121.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.6% | 49.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | -0.0% | 35.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 38.0% change in OUST stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 47.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 33.36 | 46.05 | 38.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 126 | 185 | 47.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 14.4 | 15.4 | 6.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 54 | 62 | -11.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 38.0% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OUST | 38.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 11.5% | 51.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 1.2% | 36.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 519.8% change in OUST stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 355.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.43 | 46.05 | 519.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 111 | 185 | 66.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.4 | 15.4 | 355.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 50 | 62 | -18.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 519.8% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OUST | 519.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 38.0% | 44.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 23.5% | 31.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 1200.8% change in OUST stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 880.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.54 | 46.05 | 1200.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 19 | 185 | 880.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.0 | 15.4 | 408.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 16 | 62 | -73.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 1200.8% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OUST | 1200.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 89.0% | 38.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | 67.5% | 35.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OUST Return | -61% | -83% | -11% | 59% | 77% | 96% | -69% |
| Peers Return | -39% | -75% | -38% | -23% | 63% | 27% | -85% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 101% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OUST Win Rate | 42% | 25% | 42% | 67% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 44% | 39% | 42% | 39% | 39% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OUST Max Drawdown | -67% | -85% | -82% | -64% | -57% | -40% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -75% | -80% | -81% | -71% | -71% | -43% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AEVA, MVIS, LIDR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/29/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | OUST | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 54.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 31 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -35.6% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.3% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 130 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.9% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.9% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 37 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -76.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 322.8% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 444 days | 31 days |
In The Past
Ouster's stock fell -35.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 54.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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| Event | OUST | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 54.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 31 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -35.6% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.3% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 130 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.9% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.9% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 37 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -76.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 322.8% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 444 days | 31 days |
In The Past
Ouster's stock fell -35.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 54.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Ouster (OUST)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Ouster:
- The Intel of 3D vision sensors.
- Like Mobileye, but focused on lidar for 3D vision.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- OS: A scanning sensor for 3D vision applications.
- DF: A true solid-state flash sensor for 3D vision applications.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Ouster (OUST) sells primarily to other companies (B2B). Its major customers are typically integrators, vehicle manufacturers, robotics companies, and industrial solution providers that incorporate Ouster's lidar sensors into their products and services. Here are some of Ouster's major customers:- Cyngn Inc. (NASDAQ: CYN): A developer of autonomous vehicle technology for industrial applications, which utilizes Ouster lidar sensors for its DriveMod system.
- Serve Robotics Inc. (NASDAQ: SERV): A company specializing in autonomous delivery robots, which integrate Ouster's lidar sensors for navigation and perception.
- Konecranes Plc (HEX: KCR.HE): A global leader in lifting equipment and services, using Ouster's technology for industrial automation, particularly in port operations.
- May Mobility: A company focused on developing and deploying autonomous shuttle services for various public and private sectors. (Private Company)
- Kodiak Robotics: A prominent developer of autonomous driving technology specifically for long-haul trucking applications. (Private Company)
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Angus Pacala, Chief Executive Officer and Director
Angus Pacala co-founded Ouster in June 2015 and has served as its Chief Executive Officer and a director since then. He previously co-founded Quanergy Systems in 2012 and was Director of Engineering at Quanergy, Inc. from November 2012 to February 2015. Prior to that, he was a Battery Engineer at Amprius, Inc. from June 2011 to October 2012. Under his leadership, Ouster went public through a SPAC merger in 2021. Mr. Pacala holds a Bachelor of Science and a Master of Science in mechanical engineering from Stanford University.
Ken Gianella, Chief Financial Officer
Ken Gianella has served as Ouster's Chief Financial Officer since May 2025. Before joining Ouster, Mr. Gianella was Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer at Quantum Corporation. He also held various leadership and finance roles at energy, water, and smart city technology companies, including Itron, Inc.
Mark Frichtl, Chief Technology Officer
Mark Frichtl co-founded Ouster in June 2015 and has served as its Chief Technology Officer since then. Previously, Mr. Frichtl was a Technologies Development Engineer at Apple, Inc. from April 2015 to May 2015 and an Engineer at Quanergy, Inc. from July 2013 to April 2015. Mr. Frichtl holds a Bachelor of Science degree in engineering physics and a Master of Science degree in mechanical engineering from Stanford University.
Darien Spencer, Chief Operating Officer
Darien Spencer has served as Ouster's Chief Operating Officer since July 2017. Prior to Ouster, he was Executive Vice President of Operations and Chief Procurement Officer at Enphase Energy from August 2013 to April 2017. He also served as General Manager of Business Units and Automation at Jabil Circuit from August 2012 to August 2013, and was Co-Founder and Chief Operating and Procurement Officer at Optisolar / Novasolar Corporation from January 2007 to November 2012. Earlier in his career, he was Senior Vice President of Asia Operations at Maxtor Corporation and Seagate Technology.
Megan Chung, General Counsel
Megan Chung serves as Ouster's General Counsel. She received her J.D. from the University of California, Davis School of Law, and her B.A. and M.A. from Stanford University.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Ouster's business:
- Intense Competition and Substitution Risk: Ouster operates in a highly competitive and rapidly evolving lidar market, facing challenges from both established players and new entrants. Furthermore, there is significant risk from alternative sensing technologies, such as advanced radar systems and camera-based vision systems with sophisticated AI, particularly as some automakers explore vision-only autonomy paths, which could reduce the demand for lidar solutions.
- Challenges in Scaling Customer Adoption and Market Penetration: Despite having a large number of end customers, Ouster faces the risk that a relatively small percentage of these customers have reached full-scale production, where they purchase sensors in bulk. This slow conversion to high-volume sales, coupled with the high cost of high-performance lidar units, presents a significant hurdle for widespread market adoption and Ouster's ability to accurately forecast long-term demand and maintain its market position.
- Path to Sustainable Profitability and Cash Flow: Ouster faces the risk of not achieving GAAP profitability until after fiscal year 2027 and is currently generating negative cash flow. While the company has a strong cash balance to fund growth, its rich valuation relative to peers and the ongoing need for significant investment in research and development, manufacturing, and scaling operations present a financial risk if it cannot consistently convert revenue growth into sustainable profits and positive cash flow in the long term.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The rapid advancement and potential widespread adoption of camera-only, vision-based autonomous systems (leveraging advanced AI and machine learning) could significantly reduce or eliminate the need for lidar sensors for 3D vision in vehicles, robots, and other applications. This represents a fundamental shift in sensing strategy that could bypass Ouster's core product offerings.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Ouster, Inc. targets a total addressable market (TAM) of $70 billion globally by 2030 for its high-resolution digital lidar sensors and enabling software. This market is segmented across four main applications:- Robotics: $14 billion
- Industrial: $18 billion
- Smart Infrastructure: $19 billion
- Automotive: $20 billion
AI Analysis | Feedback
Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Ouster (OUST)
- Increased Sensor Shipments and Market Adoption: Ouster has demonstrated consistent growth in product revenue and record sensor shipments, reflecting strong and durable demand across its core end markets. The company shipped over 8,100 sensors in Q4 2025, setting a new quarterly record, and more than 25,000 sensors in 2025, a 48% increase over 2024. This trend of increasing volumes is expected to continue driving revenue growth as lidar technology sees broader adoption in industrial, robotics, and smart infrastructure sectors.
- Expansion of Software-Attached Offerings and AI: Ouster is strategically shifting towards software-enabled solutions and investing in AI and next-generation silicon development. The company's software-attached bookings more than doubled in 2025, representing over 15% of sensors shipped. Products like the Gemini perception platform and BlueCity analytics suite are designed to unlock new value from LiDAR data and deepen customer engagement, thereby contributing to recurring revenue streams.
- New Product Development and Portfolio Advancements: The company plans to release more products in 2026 than ever before, with significant advancements in its lidar, camera, and AI compute products. This continuous innovation and expansion of its product portfolio are anticipated to accelerate adoption and cater to evolving market needs, fueling future revenue growth.
- Strategic Acquisition of StereoLabs: The acquisition of StereoLabs is a significant driver, enabling Ouster to offer a unified sensing and perception platform for physical AI. This acquisition expands Ouster's immediate reach into unified sensor solutions and is expected to contribute to revenue and margin profiles in line with the company's long-term financial framework. Ouster anticipates approximately seven weeks of revenue from StereoLabs in Q1 2026.
- Achievement of Long-Term Revenue Growth Targets: Management has consistently reiterated its long-term targets of 30% to 50% annual revenue growth, demonstrating confidence in the company's ability to scale and improve its product mix. Ouster achieved 30% revenue growth over the last twelve months of 2025, showing momentum towards these ambitious targets.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- Ouster became a publicly traded company in March 2021 through a merger with Colonnade Acquisition, a special-purpose acquisition company, which involved significant share issuance to access public markets and capital.
- In October 2021, Ouster acquired Sense Photonics in an all-stock deal, issuing approximately 10 million shares of common stock for the transaction.
- Ouster and Velodyne Lidar agreed to merge in November 2022 through an all-share transaction, leading to further share issuance.
- The acquisition of StereoLabs in February 2026 included the issuance of 1.8 million shares in addition to a cash component.
Inbound Investments
- Ouster gained substantial capital and access to public markets by completing a merger with Colonnade Acquisition in March 2021.
- The company maintained a strong financial position, reporting $247 million in cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, and short-term investments with no debt at the end of Q3 2025, providing a significant runway for R&D investment.
- As of Q4 2025, Ouster held $67.4 million in cash and equivalents.
Outbound Investments
- Ouster acquired Sense Photonics in October 2021 in an all-stock deal valued around $68 million at the time of the announcement, subsequently establishing Ouster Automotive.
- A significant strategic move was the agreement to merge with Velodyne Lidar in November 2022, in an all-share transaction.
- In February 2026, Ouster completed the acquisition of StereoLabs for approximately $35 million in cash and 1.8 million shares, aiming to create a unified sensing and perception platform for Physical AI.
Capital Expenditures
- Ouster's capital expenditures were $4.28 million in 2021, $5.42 million in 2022, $3.01 million in 2023, and $3.76 million in 2024.
- The company's capital expenditures for Q4 2025 were $21.8 million, showing a significant increase from the previous quarter, indicating investment in long-term assets and infrastructure.
- Projected capital expenditures include $15 million for 2025 and $20 million for 2026, with a continued focus on research and development to advance cutting-edge products.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Ouster Stock (+8.9%): Insider Buy and Conference Fuel Post-Earnings Rally | 03/11/2026 | |
| Ouster Stock (+7.3%): Strong Q1 Guidance and Surprise Profit Fuel Rally | 03/04/2026 | |
| Ouster Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Ouster Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 15.09 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.0 |
| Rev LTM | 11 |
| Op Inc LTM | -74 |
| FCF LTM | -66 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -66 |
| CFO LTM | -52 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -61 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 33.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 65.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 58.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 15.9% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -0.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 15.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -2,855.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -2,120.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 369.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -2,227.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -1,679.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -2,265.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -1,723.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.0 |
| P/S | 102.8 |
| P/Op Inc | -8.0 |
| P/EBIT | -8.1 |
| P/E | -7.4 |
| P/CFO | -9.6 |
| Total Yield | -23.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -29.1% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 38.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 67.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 38.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 114.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 143.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 31.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 57.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 34.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 86.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 87.7% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sale and production of lidar sensor kits | 111 | 83 | 41 | ||
| Product revenue | 34 | ||||
| Total | 111 | 83 | 41 | 34 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sale and production of lidar sensor kits | -97 | -374 | |||
| Total | -97 | -374 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sale and production of lidar sensor kits | 201 | ||||
| Total | 201 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $46.05 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/09/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | 0.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $26.65 | $26.03 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 72.8% | 76.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 107.3% | 99.8% |
| Downside Capture | 261.43 | 358.90 |
| Upside Capture | 500.32 | 415.89 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 44.4% | 45.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.22 | 2.84 | 3.36 | 3.61 | 3.47 | 2.51 |
| Up Beta | 3.16 | 2.72 | 3.21 | 3.20 | 3.35 | 1.54 |
| Down Beta | 10.75 | 6.63 | 4.47 | 4.55 | 5.17 | 2.77 |
| Up Capture | 305% | 337% | 431% | 473% | 1187% | 31215% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 15 | 24 | 30 | 59 | 129 | 354 |
| Down Capture | -908% | 117% | 254% | 249% | 177% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 19 | 34 | 65 | 121 | 393 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OUST | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OUST | 270.0% | 99.8% | 1.76 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 13.4% | 18.0% | 0.55 | 30.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 30.3% | 11.8% | 1.94 | 45.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 37.5% | 26.7% | 1.17 | 7.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 39.6% | 18.8% | 1.63 | -3.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.5% | 13.1% | 0.64 | 11.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -31.8% | 41.6% | -0.81 | 35.7% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OUST | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OUST | -15.4% | 96.3% | 0.26 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 8.4% | 23.7% | 0.31 | 40.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.3% | 17.0% | 0.66 | 39.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.8% | 18.0% | 0.85 | 8.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.2% | 19.4% | 0.41 | 6.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 29.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 14.6% | 54.6% | 0.46 | 25.2% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OUST | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OUST | -7.6% | 95.6% | 0.28 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 13.3% | 22.0% | 0.55 | 38.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.9% | 17.9% | 0.76 | 37.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.3% | 16.0% | 0.69 | 7.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.3% | 17.9% | 0.33 | 6.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.7% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 27.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.0% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 21.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 5/29/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/5/2026 | 2.8% | -5.2% | |
| 3/2/2026 | 7.3% | 1.5% | -9.3% |
| 11/4/2025 | -6.5% | -10.4% | -10.5% |
| 8/7/2025 | 11.7% | 51.7% | 22.5% |
| 5/8/2025 | 22.8% | 29.9% | 75.5% |
| 3/20/2025 | 31.9% | 19.1% | -19.6% |
| 1/17/2025 | -5.9% | -7.2% | -10.8% |
| 11/7/2024 | 1.5% | 10.5% | 26.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 12 | 8 |
| # Negative | 9 | 11 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 14.1% | 15.9% | 25.2% |
| Median Negative | -5.9% | -10.5% | -20.1% |
| Max Positive | 31.9% | 51.7% | 75.5% |
| Max Negative | -27.7% | -27.9% | -59.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/02/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/12/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 5/28/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Revenue | 49.50 Mil | 51.00 Mil | 52.50 Mil | 9.7% | Higher New | Guidance: 46.50 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
| 2026 Annual Revenue Growth | 30.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 40.0% for 2026 |
| 2026 GAAP Gross Margin | 35.0% | 37.5% | 40.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 37.5% for 2026 |
| 2026 GAAP Operating Expense Growth | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 6.5% for 2026 |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/2/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | 45.00 Mil | 46.50 Mil | 48.00 Mil | 13.4% | Higher New | Guidance: 41.00 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| 2026 Annual Revenue Growth | 30.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | ||||
| 2026 GAAP Gross Margin | 35.0% | 37.5% | 40.0% | ||||
| 2026 GAAP Operating Expense Growth | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | ||||
Insider Activity
Updated 5/27/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacquemet, Cyrille | Chief Revenue Officer | Direct | Sell | 5272026 | 40.00 | 9,433 | 377,320 | 4,926,300 | Form |
| 2 | Frichtl, Mark | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 5272026 | 41.53 | 308,742 | 12,821,974 | 12,248,116 | Form |
| 3 | Spencer, Darien | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 5272026 | 45.00 | 30,000 | 1,350,022 | 15,406,448 | Form |
| 4 | Frichtl, Mark | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 5272026 | 36.80 | 75,684 | 2,784,998 | 22,213,525 | Form |
| 5 | Jacquemet, Cyrille | Chief Revenue Officer | Direct | Sell | 5212026 | 35.00 | 10,000 | 350,000 | 4,640,668 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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