Tearsheet

Ouster (OUST)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $24.95 | Market Cap: $1.4 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Components

Ouster (OUST)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $24.95
Market Cap: $1.4 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Electronic Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -101 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -73%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 162%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 185%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.8%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 104%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more.
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -101 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -73%
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 162%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 185%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.8%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 104%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OUST Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points highlighting why Ouster's (OUST) stock moved by -16.3% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:

1. Ouster reported a larger-than-expected loss per share for Q3 2025. The company announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 4, 2025, posting an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$0.37, which significantly missed the analyst forecast of -$0.16. This earnings miss led to a 12.7% drop in the stock price during after-hours trading.

2. The company experienced a sequential decline in non-GAAP gross margin and an increased adjusted EBITDA loss in Q3 2025. While revenue grew year-over-year, the non-GAAP gross margin decreased sequentially from 52% in Q2 2025 to 47% in Q3 2025. Additionally, the Adjusted EBITDA loss for Q3 2025 was $10 million, representing a $4 million decline sequentially.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OUST Return--61%-83%-11%59%80%-84%
Peers Return31%17%9%63%95%108%1009%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OUST Win Rate100%42%25%42%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%63%45%53%73%64% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OUST Max Drawdown--62%-84%-62%-39%-46% 
Peers Max Drawdown-48%-10%-26%-11%-6%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GLW, BELFA, APH, CLS, COHR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOUSTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4650.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-16.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven20.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days

Compare to GLW, BELFA, APH, CLS, COHR


In The Past

Ouster's stock fell -97.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -97.9% loss requires a 4650.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ouster (OUST)

Better Bets than Ouster (OUST)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OUST. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ouster

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OUSTGLWBELFAAPHCLSCOHRMedian
NameOuster Corning Bel Fuse Amphenol CelesticaCoherent  
Mkt Price23.8783.55139.34138.65308.41170.96139.00
Mkt Cap1.471.51.8169.435.526.731.1
Rev LTM13714,91564920,97411,2826,0438,663
Op Inc LTM-1012,000935,168954608781
FCF LTM-321,162453,55739874236
FCF 3Y Avg-79865712,609263197230
CFO LTM-272,266594,500552527539
CFO 3Y Avg-752,068833,234408593501

Growth & Margins

OUSTGLWBELFAAPHCLSCOHRMedian
NameOuster Corning Bel Fuse Amphenol CelesticaCoherent  
Rev Chg LTM30.2%18.3%23.7%47.4%22.1%20.8%22.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg49.2%1.7%2.7%20.7%18.9%16.5%17.7%
Rev Chg Q40.8%20.9%44.8%53.4%27.8%17.3%34.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM9.1%5.0%9.3%11.5%6.6%4.0%7.8%
Op Mgn LTM-73.2%13.4%14.4%24.6%8.5%10.1%11.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-161.9%8.9%14.3%22.2%6.2%5.1%7.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM9.2%1.4%1.7%1.6%1.2%0.8%1.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-19.7%15.2%9.1%21.5%4.9%8.7%8.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-91.5%15.3%13.8%20.1%4.2%11.4%12.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-23.1%7.8%6.9%17.0%3.5%1.2%5.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-96.2%6.4%11.7%16.3%2.7%3.9%5.1%

Valuation

OUSTGLWBELFAAPHCLSCOHRMedian
NameOuster Corning Bel Fuse Amphenol CelesticaCoherent  
Mkt Cap1.471.51.8169.435.526.731.1
P/S11.44.72.37.22.52.83.7
P/EBIT-17.232.913.729.330.731.930.0
P/E-17.851.422.639.639.567.339.6
P/CFO-57.931.024.833.651.331.931.5
Total Yield-5.6%3.4%4.7%3.1%2.5%1.5%2.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.4%0.2%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-31.9%2.0%7.9%3.1%3.7%3.1%3.1%
D/E0.00.10.20.10.00.20.1
Net D/E-0.10.10.10.00.00.20.1

Returns

OUSTGLWBELFAAPHCLSCOHRMedian
NameOuster Corning Bel Fuse Amphenol CelesticaCoherent  
1M Rtn-24.7%-4.2%0.1%-2.0%-11.6%29.5%-3.1%
3M Rtn-13.0%20.9%18.9%25.4%45.6%93.2%23.2%
6M Rtn70.9%65.8%111.7%51.3%157.2%109.4%90.1%
12M Rtn162.3%73.2%37.2%91.1%244.9%60.5%82.1%
3Y Rtn73.0%167.0%314.8%253.3%2,651.2%352.6%284.0%
1M Excs Rtn-24.7%-4.2%0.1%-2.0%-11.6%29.5%-3.1%
3M Excs Rtn-21.1%14.9%12.2%17.8%34.0%73.4%16.3%
6M Excs Rtn56.1%51.1%96.9%36.6%142.5%94.7%75.4%
12M Excs Rtn128.0%61.4%31.0%78.8%248.3%57.1%70.1%
3Y Excs Rtn26.1%101.4%235.5%193.2%2,641.2%302.9%214.3%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,537,427
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202510.5%
Average Daily Volume3,306,765
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.98
Basic Shares Quantity57,976,375
Short % of Basic Shares11.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024321202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024513202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023328202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023512202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022324202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021