Ouster (OUST) | Trefis

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 57%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more.

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -69 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -37%

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -37%

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 52%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.8%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 105%

Key risks
OUST key risks include [1] its limited operating history and inability to achieve or sustain profitability and [2] a dependence on a limited number of key third-party suppliers and manufacturers.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 57%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more.
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -69 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -37%
4 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -37%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 52%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.8%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 105%
9 Key risks
OUST key risks include [1] its limited operating history and inability to achieve or sustain profitability and [2] a dependence on a limited number of key third-party suppliers and manufacturers.

OUST in ETFs

Weight = OUST's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.09%
BOTZ0.59%
IWO0.18%
VTWO0.07%
ESML0.07%
SCHA0.06%
+6 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/16/2026

Ouster (OUST) stock has gained about 90% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Revenue Growth and Operational Improvement. Ouster reported robust financial results for fiscal Q1 2026, which ended on March 31, 2026, with revenue surging 49% year-over-year to $49 million, surpassing analyst forecasts. The company also demonstrated improved operational efficiency, narrowing its adjusted EBITDA loss to $7 million and enhancing its GAAP gross margin to 43%. These results indicated solid progress towards profitability and strong performance in core business areas.

2. Launch and Rapid Adoption of Innovative Lidar Technology. The introduction of Ouster's Rev8 Digital Lidar with native color in Q2 2026 marked a significant technological advancement, described as the "world's first native color lidar" and a "genuine world-first invention" for enhanced AI model training. Concurrently, the Ouster BlueCity traffic management solution, powered by the company's Gemini platform, secured substantial contracts, including a deployment across more than 30 intersections in the Greater Atlanta area in preparation for the FIFA World Cup. This demonstrated strong market validation and expanding applications for Ouster's advanced sensing and perception products.

Show more
Updated on 7/16/2026

Ouster (OUST) stock has gained about 90% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Revenue Growth and Operational Improvement. Ouster reported robust financial results for fiscal Q1 2026, which ended on March 31, 2026, with revenue surging 49% year-over-year to $49 million, surpassing analyst forecasts. The company also demonstrated improved operational efficiency, narrowing its adjusted EBITDA loss to $7 million and enhancing its GAAP gross margin to 43%. These results indicated solid progress towards profitability and strong performance in core business areas.

2. Launch and Rapid Adoption of Innovative Lidar Technology. The introduction of Ouster's Rev8 Digital Lidar with native color in Q2 2026 marked a significant technological advancement, described as the "world's first native color lidar" and a "genuine world-first invention" for enhanced AI model training. Concurrently, the Ouster BlueCity traffic management solution, powered by the company's Gemini platform, secured substantial contracts, including a deployment across more than 30 intersections in the Greater Atlanta area in preparation for the FIFA World Cup. This demonstrated strong market validation and expanding applications for Ouster's advanced sensing and perception products.

3. Strategic Partnerships and Federal Market Access. Ouster forged key strategic partnerships, such as an agreement with AIM Intelligent Machines to integrate digital lidar into AI-powered heavy earthmoving equipment and an expanded collaboration with Benchmark to scale the volume production of new Rev8 digital lidar sensors. Furthermore, the company announced on June 30, 2026, that its Rev8 OS Digital Lidar Sensors achieved Build America, Buy America compliance, enabling eligibility for federal funding in smart infrastructure projects, thus opening significant new market opportunities.

4. Sustained Positive Analyst Sentiment and Increased Price Targets. The financial community maintained a highly favorable outlook on Ouster, with a consensus "Strong Buy" rating from analysts. Multiple firms raised their price targets during the period; notably, Rosenblatt increased its price objective from $40.00 to $53.00 on May 27, 2026. The overall average analyst price target reached $51.00, with a high target of $75.00, reflecting strong confidence in the company's future growth trajectory.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 91.3% change in OUST stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/16/2026 was primarily driven by a 79.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267162026Change
Stock Price ($)18.3735.1491.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1691859.4%
P/S Multiple6.511.779.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6062-2.4%
Cumulative Contribution91.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
OUST91.3% 
Market (SPY)15.4%52.0%
Sector (XLK)33.6%61.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 62.4% change in OUST stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/16/2026 was primarily driven by a 35.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)123120257162026Change
Stock Price ($)21.6435.1462.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)13718535.0%
P/S Multiple9.111.728.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5862-6.2%
Cumulative Contribution62.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
OUST62.4% 
Market (SPY)10.4%54.2%
Sector (XLK)23.5%61.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 44.9% change in OUST stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/16/2026 was primarily driven by a 57.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)63020257162026Change
Stock Price ($)24.2535.1444.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11818557.3%
P/S Multiple10.811.78.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5262-15.1%
Cumulative Contribution44.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
OUST44.9% 
Market (SPY)22.5%51.1%
Sector (XLK)40.8%55.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 611.3% change in OUST stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/16/2026 was primarily driven by a 301.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020237162026Change
Stock Price ($)4.9435.14611.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)50185272.9%
P/S Multiple2.911.7301.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2962-52.4%
Cumulative Contribution611.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
OUST611.3% 
Market (SPY)75.3%41.5%
Sector (XLK)108.0%41.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
OUST Return-61%-83%-11%59%77%75%-72%
Peers Return-39%-75%-38%-23%63%-18%-90%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%11%102%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OUST Win Rate42%25%42%67%42%43% 
Peers Win Rate44%39%42%39%39%33% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%57% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OUST Max Drawdown-67%-85%-82%-64%-57%-40% 
Peers Max Drawdown-75%-80%-81%-71%-71%-56% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AEVA, MVIS, LIDR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/16/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventOUSTS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-35.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven54.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven31 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-35.6%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven55.3%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven130 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-32.9%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven37 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-76.4%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven322.8%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven444 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-85.0%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven566.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1356 days427 days

Compare to AEVA, MVIS, LIDR

In The Past

Ouster's stock fell -35.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 54.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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EventOUSTS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-35.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven54.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven31 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-35.6%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven55.3%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven130 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-32.9%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven37 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-76.4%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven322.8%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven444 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-85.0%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven566.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1356 days427 days

Compare to AEVA, MVIS, LIDR

In The Past

Ouster's stock fell -35.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 54.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ouster (OUST)

Ouster, Inc. is a technology company that specializes in designing and manufacturing high-resolution digital lidar sensors and complementary software. These advanced sensors provide critical 3D vision capabilities, enabling various machines, vehicles, and systems to accurately perceive and understand their surroundings in three dimensions. This core technology is fundamental for applications requiring precise spatial awareness and advanced automation.

The company's product portfolio features two distinct types of lidar sensors. The OS sensor is a scanning lidar, known for its ability to generate detailed 3D point clouds over a wide field of view. In contrast, the DF sensor is a true solid-state flash lidar, which captures an entire scene instantly without any moving parts, making it suitable for applications demanding speed and robustness. Both product lines are engineered to deliver high-quality, reliable 3D data.

Ouster's digital lidar technology serves a broad array of primary customers and markets that rely on accurate 3D perception for enhanced functionality and safety. Its sensors are integrated into machinery, autonomous vehicles, and various robotic systems. Additionally, Ouster's products are deployed in fixed infrastructure assets, supporting applications across industries such as industrial automation, smart infrastructure, logistics, and next-generation transportation.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Ouster:

  • The Intel of 3D vision sensors.
  • Like Mobileye, but focused on lidar for 3D vision.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • OS: A scanning sensor for 3D vision applications.
  • DF: A true solid-state flash sensor for 3D vision applications.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Ouster (OUST) sells primarily to other companies (B2B). Its major customers are typically integrators, vehicle manufacturers, robotics companies, and industrial solution providers that incorporate Ouster's lidar sensors into their products and services. Here are some of Ouster's major customers:
  • Cyngn Inc. (NASDAQ: CYN): A developer of autonomous vehicle technology for industrial applications, which utilizes Ouster lidar sensors for its DriveMod system.
  • Serve Robotics Inc. (NASDAQ: SERV): A company specializing in autonomous delivery robots, which integrate Ouster's lidar sensors for navigation and perception.
  • Konecranes Plc (HEX: KCR.HE): A global leader in lifting equipment and services, using Ouster's technology for industrial automation, particularly in port operations.
  • May Mobility: A company focused on developing and deploying autonomous shuttle services for various public and private sectors. (Private Company)
  • Kodiak Robotics: A prominent developer of autonomous driving technology specifically for long-haul trucking applications. (Private Company)

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Celestica Inc. (CLS)

Benchmark Electronics, Inc. (BHE)

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Angus Pacala, Chief Executive Officer and Director

Angus Pacala co-founded Ouster in June 2015 and has served as its Chief Executive Officer and a director since then. He previously co-founded Quanergy Systems in 2012 and was Director of Engineering at Quanergy, Inc. from November 2012 to February 2015. Prior to that, he was a Battery Engineer at Amprius, Inc. from June 2011 to October 2012. Under his leadership, Ouster went public through a SPAC merger in 2021. Mr. Pacala holds a Bachelor of Science and a Master of Science in mechanical engineering from Stanford University.

Ken Gianella, Chief Financial Officer

Ken Gianella has served as Ouster's Chief Financial Officer since May 2025. Before joining Ouster, Mr. Gianella was Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer at Quantum Corporation. He also held various leadership and finance roles at energy, water, and smart city technology companies, including Itron, Inc.

Mark Frichtl, Chief Technology Officer

Mark Frichtl co-founded Ouster in June 2015 and has served as its Chief Technology Officer since then. Previously, Mr. Frichtl was a Technologies Development Engineer at Apple, Inc. from April 2015 to May 2015 and an Engineer at Quanergy, Inc. from July 2013 to April 2015. Mr. Frichtl holds a Bachelor of Science degree in engineering physics and a Master of Science degree in mechanical engineering from Stanford University.

Darien Spencer, Chief Operating Officer

Darien Spencer has served as Ouster's Chief Operating Officer since July 2017. Prior to Ouster, he was Executive Vice President of Operations and Chief Procurement Officer at Enphase Energy from August 2013 to April 2017. He also served as General Manager of Business Units and Automation at Jabil Circuit from August 2012 to August 2013, and was Co-Founder and Chief Operating and Procurement Officer at Optisolar / Novasolar Corporation from January 2007 to November 2012. Earlier in his career, he was Senior Vice President of Asia Operations at Maxtor Corporation and Seagate Technology.

Megan Chung, General Counsel

Megan Chung serves as Ouster's General Counsel. She received her J.D. from the University of California, Davis School of Law, and her B.A. and M.A. from Stanford University.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Ouster's business:

  1. Intense Competition and Substitution Risk: Ouster operates in a highly competitive and rapidly evolving lidar market, facing challenges from both established players and new entrants. Furthermore, there is significant risk from alternative sensing technologies, such as advanced radar systems and camera-based vision systems with sophisticated AI, particularly as some automakers explore vision-only autonomy paths, which could reduce the demand for lidar solutions.
  2. Challenges in Scaling Customer Adoption and Market Penetration: Despite having a large number of end customers, Ouster faces the risk that a relatively small percentage of these customers have reached full-scale production, where they purchase sensors in bulk. This slow conversion to high-volume sales, coupled with the high cost of high-performance lidar units, presents a significant hurdle for widespread market adoption and Ouster's ability to accurately forecast long-term demand and maintain its market position.
  3. Path to Sustainable Profitability and Cash Flow: Ouster faces the risk of not achieving GAAP profitability until after fiscal year 2027 and is currently generating negative cash flow. While the company has a strong cash balance to fund growth, its rich valuation relative to peers and the ongoing need for significant investment in research and development, manufacturing, and scaling operations present a financial risk if it cannot consistently convert revenue growth into sustainable profits and positive cash flow in the long term.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The rapid advancement and potential widespread adoption of camera-only, vision-based autonomous systems (leveraging advanced AI and machine learning) could significantly reduce or eliminate the need for lidar sensors for 3D vision in vehicles, robots, and other applications. This represents a fundamental shift in sensing strategy that could bypass Ouster's core product offerings.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Ouster, Inc. targets a total addressable market (TAM) of $70 billion globally by 2030 for its high-resolution digital lidar sensors and enabling software. This market is segmented across four main applications:
  • Robotics: $14 billion
  • Industrial: $18 billion
  • Smart Infrastructure: $19 billion
  • Automotive: $20 billion

AI Analysis | Feedback

Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Ouster (OUST)

  • Increased Sensor Shipments and Market Adoption: Ouster has demonstrated consistent growth in product revenue and record sensor shipments, reflecting strong and durable demand across its core end markets. The company shipped over 8,100 sensors in Q4 2025, setting a new quarterly record, and more than 25,000 sensors in 2025, a 48% increase over 2024. This trend of increasing volumes is expected to continue driving revenue growth as lidar technology sees broader adoption in industrial, robotics, and smart infrastructure sectors.
  • Expansion of Software-Attached Offerings and AI: Ouster is strategically shifting towards software-enabled solutions and investing in AI and next-generation silicon development. The company's software-attached bookings more than doubled in 2025, representing over 15% of sensors shipped. Products like the Gemini perception platform and BlueCity analytics suite are designed to unlock new value from LiDAR data and deepen customer engagement, thereby contributing to recurring revenue streams.
  • New Product Development and Portfolio Advancements: The company plans to release more products in 2026 than ever before, with significant advancements in its lidar, camera, and AI compute products. This continuous innovation and expansion of its product portfolio are anticipated to accelerate adoption and cater to evolving market needs, fueling future revenue growth.
  • Strategic Acquisition of StereoLabs: The acquisition of StereoLabs is a significant driver, enabling Ouster to offer a unified sensing and perception platform for physical AI. This acquisition expands Ouster's immediate reach into unified sensor solutions and is expected to contribute to revenue and margin profiles in line with the company's long-term financial framework. Ouster anticipates approximately seven weeks of revenue from StereoLabs in Q1 2026.
  • Achievement of Long-Term Revenue Growth Targets: Management has consistently reiterated its long-term targets of 30% to 50% annual revenue growth, demonstrating confidence in the company's ability to scale and improve its product mix. Ouster achieved 30% revenue growth over the last twelve months of 2025, showing momentum towards these ambitious targets.

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Share Issuance

  • Ouster became a publicly traded company in March 2021 through a merger with Colonnade Acquisition, a special-purpose acquisition company, which involved significant share issuance to access public markets and capital.
  • In October 2021, Ouster acquired Sense Photonics in an all-stock deal, issuing approximately 10 million shares of common stock for the transaction.
  • Ouster and Velodyne Lidar agreed to merge in November 2022 through an all-share transaction, leading to further share issuance.
  • The acquisition of StereoLabs in February 2026 included the issuance of 1.8 million shares in addition to a cash component.

Inbound Investments

  • Ouster gained substantial capital and access to public markets by completing a merger with Colonnade Acquisition in March 2021.
  • The company maintained a strong financial position, reporting $247 million in cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, and short-term investments with no debt at the end of Q3 2025, providing a significant runway for R&D investment.
  • As of Q4 2025, Ouster held $67.4 million in cash and equivalents.

Outbound Investments

  • Ouster acquired Sense Photonics in October 2021 in an all-stock deal valued around $68 million at the time of the announcement, subsequently establishing Ouster Automotive.
  • A significant strategic move was the agreement to merge with Velodyne Lidar in November 2022, in an all-share transaction.
  • In February 2026, Ouster completed the acquisition of StereoLabs for approximately $35 million in cash and 1.8 million shares, aiming to create a unified sensing and perception platform for Physical AI.

Capital Expenditures

  • Ouster's capital expenditures were $4.28 million in 2021, $5.42 million in 2022, $3.01 million in 2023, and $3.76 million in 2024.
  • The company's capital expenditures for Q4 2025 were $21.8 million, showing a significant increase from the previous quarter, indicating investment in long-term assets and infrastructure.
  • Projected capital expenditures include $15 million for 2025 and $20 million for 2026, with a continued focus on research and development to advance cutting-edge products.

Better Bets vs. Ouster (OUST)

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OUSTAEVAMVISLIDRMedian
NameOuster Aeva Tec.Microvis.AEye  
Mkt Price35.1416.770.301.218.99
Mkt Cap2.21.10.10.10.6
Rev LTM185212011
Op Inc LTM-69-132-79-34-74
FCF LTM-69-117-62-29-66
FCF 3Y Avg-66-116-67-33-66
CFO LTM-42-110-61-29-52
CFO 3Y Avg-55-110-66-32-61

Growth & Margins

OUSTAEVAMVISLIDRMedian
NameOuster Aeva Tec.Microvis.AEye  
Rev Chg LTM57.3%103.1%-64.1%9.8%33.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg56.8%74.8%157.4%-44.9%65.8%
Rev Chg Q48.9%85.9%58.7%57.8%58.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM9.4%16.0%28.6%15.9%15.9%
Op Inc Chg LTM32.1%5.5%-15.2%-6.4%-0.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg28.1%5.2%-13.4%26.6%15.9%
Op Mgn LTM-37.4%-630.9%-5,079.7%-12,578.5%-2,855.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-97.4%-1,597.1%-2,644.3%-10,981.6%-2,120.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM6.3%74.9%664.1%1,040.8%369.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-22.9%-525.1%-3,929.5%-10,566.3%-2,227.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-49.7%-1,239.1%-2,119.8%-8,746.0%-1,679.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-37.4%-555.5%-3,976.1%-10,673.7%-2,265.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-56.6%-1,302.9%-2,144.8%-8,893.2%-1,723.8%

Valuation

OUSTAEVAMVISLIDRMedian
NameOuster Aeva Tec.Microvis.AEye  
Mkt Cap2.21.10.10.10.6
P/S11.750.259.6202.654.9
P/Op Inc-31.3-8.0-1.2-1.6-4.8
P/EBIT-35.8-8.0-1.1-1.6-4.8
P/E-38.9-7.2-1.0-1.6-4.4
P/CFO-51.3-9.6-1.5-1.9-5.7
Total Yield-2.6%-13.8%-98.8%-62.7%-38.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-13.6%-33.7%-24.5%-281.9%-29.1%
D/E0.00.10.60.00.1
Net D/E-0.10.00.1-1.4-0.0

Returns

OUSTAEVAMVISLIDRMedian
NameOuster Aeva Tec.Microvis.AEye  
1M Rtn-17.8%-29.9%-21.8%-20.4%-21.1%
3M Rtn45.4%13.7%-54.2%-31.6%-9.0%
6M Rtn28.2%-15.4%-67.4%-40.7%-28.0%
12M Rtn21.0%-39.1%-78.8%14.2%-12.5%
3Y Rtn451.6%152.3%-92.9%-80.9%35.7%
1M Excs Rtn-22.0%-37.3%-22.6%-24.6%-23.6%
3M Excs Rtn36.5%5.1%-63.3%-38.5%-16.7%
6M Excs Rtn21.4%-23.9%-77.0%-50.0%-37.0%
12M Excs Rtn3.5%-57.4%-98.3%4.0%-26.9%
3Y Excs Rtn428.9%75.2%-162.9%-149.0%-36.9%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Sale and production of lidar sensor kits1691118341 
Product revenue    34
Total169111834134


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Sale and production of lidar sensor kits-60-97-374
Total-60-97-374


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2020
Sale and production of lidar sensor kits201
Total201


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$35.14 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.2 
First Trading Date10/09/2020 
Distance from 52W High-43.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$40.13$28.14
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-12.4%24.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility142.0%105.2%
Downside Capture736.19516.27
Upside Capture707.56430.80
Correlation (SPY)53.2%52.6%
OUST Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta6.766.204.614.344.242.73
Up Beta8.665.253.183.903.931.79
Down Beta2.962.293.323.584.032.75
Up Capture1464%2208%1788%2020%3300%96190%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days12264167131361
Down Capture439%451%375%245%197%113%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days9142156118383

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with OUST
OUST24.3%105.0%0.68-
Sector ETF (XLK)38.4%24.5%1.2756.0%
Equity (SPY)21.8%12.6%1.2952.7%
Gold (GLD)19.1%28.0%0.6114.3%
Commodities (DBC)27.9%18.9%1.16-0.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)16.9%14.0%0.883.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-45.3%42.8%-1.2935.2%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with OUST
OUST-22.4%98.6%0.18-
Sector ETF (XLK)19.7%25.5%0.6942.4%
Equity (SPY)13.2%17.1%0.6040.8%
Gold (GLD)16.7%18.4%0.739.5%
Commodities (DBC)8.5%19.5%0.335.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.2%18.9%0.0726.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)14.5%53.5%0.4527.0%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with OUST
OUST-10.1%97.2%0.24-
Sector ETF (XLK)24.7%24.8%0.9040.4%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7338.4%
Gold (GLD)10.9%16.1%0.558.8%
Commodities (DBC)6.5%18.0%0.286.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.2%20.7%0.2225.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)57.8%66.2%0.9821.0%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 615202627.4%
Average Daily Volume5.7 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity61.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares10.7%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/8/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/5/20262.8%-5.2%64.7%
3/2/20267.3%1.5%-9.3%
11/4/2025-6.5%-10.4%-10.5%
8/7/202511.7%51.7%22.5%
5/8/202522.8%29.9%75.5%
3/20/202531.9%19.1%-19.6%
1/17/2025-5.9%-7.2%-10.8%
11/7/20241.5%10.5%26.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive14129
# Negative91114
Median Positive14.1%15.9%26.8%
Median Negative-5.9%-10.5%-20.1%
Max Positive31.9%51.7%75.5%
Max Negative-27.7%-27.9%-59.5%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/5/20262.8%-5.2%64.7%
3/2/20267.3%1.5%-9.3%
11/4/2025-6.5%-10.4%-10.5%
8/7/202511.7%51.7%22.5%
5/8/202522.8%29.9%75.5%
3/20/202531.9%19.1%-19.6%
1/17/2025-5.9%-7.2%-10.8%
11/7/20241.5%10.5%26.8%
8/13/2024-27.7%-27.9%-43.6%
5/9/202419.8%12.7%9.2%
1/9/20244.1%-12.3%-30.6%
11/9/202319.7%21.1%42.7%
8/10/202329.6%21.8%-2.5%
5/11/202328.6%40.6%51.6%
3/23/2023-13.7%-10.5%-59.5%
2/2/20234.0%-11.9%-40.9%
11/7/2022-16.5%3.3%-0.8%
8/4/2022-2.6%-3.6%-30.4%
5/3/2022-0.9%-24.5%-39.2%
2/15/202216.5%3.1%11.8%
11/8/20218.0%6.2%-8.7%
8/9/2021-0.3%-8.8%-20.6%
5/6/2021-5.7%-22.6%23.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive14129
# Negative91114
Median Positive14.1%15.9%26.8%
Median Negative-5.9%-10.5%-20.1%
Max Positive31.9%51.7%75.5%
Max Negative-27.7%-27.9%-59.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202503/02/202610-K
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/11/202510-Q
03/31/202505/09/202510-Q
12/31/202403/21/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/14/202410-Q
03/31/202405/13/202410-Q
12/31/202303/28/202410-K
09/30/202311/13/202310-Q
06/30/202308/14/202310-Q
03/31/202305/12/202310-Q
12/31/202203/24/202310-K
09/30/202211/08/202210-Q
06/30/202208/05/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202503/02/202610-K
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/11/202510-Q
03/31/202505/09/202510-Q
12/31/202403/21/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/14/202410-Q
03/31/202405/13/202410-Q
12/31/202303/28/202410-K
09/30/202311/13/202310-Q
06/30/202308/14/202310-Q
03/31/202305/12/202310-Q
12/31/202203/24/202310-K
09/30/202211/08/202210-Q
06/30/202208/05/202210-Q
03/31/202205/06/202210-Q
12/31/202102/28/202210-K
09/30/202111/12/202110-Q
06/30/202108/10/202110-Q
03/31/202105/14/202110-Q
09/30/202011/15/202110-Q/A

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/12/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Revenue49.50 Mil51.00 Mil52.50 Mil9.7% Higher NewGuidance: 46.50 Mil for Q1 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/2/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Revenue45.00 Mil46.50 Mil48.00 Mil13.4% Higher NewGuidance: 41.00 Mil for Q4 2025
2026 Annual Revenue Growth30.0%40.0%50.0%   
2026 GAAP Gross Margin35.0%37.5%40.0%   
2026 GAAP Operating Expense Growth5.0%6.5%8.0%   

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Revenue39.50 Mil41.00 Mil42.50 Mil12.3% Higher NewGuidance: 36.50 Mil for Q3 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 7/8/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Tewksbury, Ted L Iii DirectSell622202647.001,69579,6655,874,953Form
2Gianella, Kenneth PChief Financial OfficerDirectSell616202638.8254,3372,109,52511,686,267Form
3Pacala, Charles AngusPresident and CEODirectSell616202638.8229,7971,156,80941,626,059Form
4Jacquemet, CyrilleChief Revenue OfficerDirectSell616202638.828,723338,6534,442,691Form
5Spencer, DarienChief Operating OfficerDirectSell616202638.8212,559487,57812,804,078Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Tewksbury, Ted L Iii DirectSell622202647.001,69579,6655,874,953Form
2Gianella, Kenneth PChief Financial OfficerDirectSell616202638.8254,3372,109,52511,686,267Form
3Pacala, Charles AngusPresident and CEODirectSell616202638.8229,7971,156,80941,626,059Form
4Jacquemet, CyrilleChief Revenue OfficerDirectSell616202638.828,723338,6534,442,691Form
5Spencer, DarienChief Operating OfficerDirectSell616202638.8212,559487,57812,804,078Form
6Chung, MeganGeneral Counsel and SecretaryDirectSell616202638.8211,261437,1867,875,595Form
7Frichtl, MarkChief Technology OfficerDirectSell616202638.8218,414714,88710,734,948Form
8Jacquemet, CyrilleChief Revenue OfficerDirectSell527202640.009,433377,3204,926,300Form
9Frichtl, MarkChief Technology OfficerDirectSell527202641.53308,74212,821,97412,248,116Form
10Spencer, DarienChief Operating OfficerDirectSell527202645.0030,0001,350,02215,406,448Form
11Frichtl, MarkChief Technology OfficerDirectSell527202636.8075,6842,784,99822,213,525Form
12Jacquemet, CyrilleChief Revenue OfficerDirectSell521202635.0010,000350,0004,640,668Form
13Frichtl, MarkChief Technology OfficerDirectSell515202636.004,316155,38022,631,597Form
14Frichtl, MarkChief Technology OfficerDirectSell515202635.0040,0001,400,00022,002,330Form
15Frichtl, MarkChief Technology OfficerDirectSell515202632.56136,4344,442,37120,468,822Form
16Boulet, Virginia DirectBuy512202625.231,65841,8315,802,825Form
17Skaggs, Stephen A DirectSell507202630.005,000150,0001,850,700Form
18Frichtl, MarkChief Technology OfficerDirectSell506202630.0013,451403,53021,368,910Form
19Frichtl, MarkChief Technology OfficerDirectSell506202630.1321,149637,16021,459,514Form
20Frichtl, MarkChief Technology OfficerDirectSell423202630.0040012,00021,368,910Form
21Frichtl, MarkChief Technology OfficerDirectSell421202628.5660,0001,713,86120,346,301Form
22Frichtl, MarkChief Technology OfficerDirectSell421202626.5860,0001,594,80618,932,925Form
23Frichtl, MarkChief Technology OfficerDirectSell417202625.1530,000754,39517,911,777Form
24Chung, MeganGeneral Counsel and SecretaryDirectSell417202624.705,837144,1745,281,749Form
25Frichtl, MarkChief Technology OfficerDirectSell415202624.0020,000480,00017,095,128Form
26Frichtl, MarkChief Technology OfficerDirectSell415202622.7640,000910,24816,209,173Form
27Frichtl, MarkChief Technology OfficerDirectSell327202620.9440,000837,57613,335,927Form
28Tewksbury, Ted L Iii DirectSell323202620.001,69533,9002,439,380Form
29Spencer, DarienChief Operating OfficerDirectSell316202623.4310,938256,3087,621,518Form
30Frichtl, MarkChief Technology OfficerDirectSell316202623.4315,689367,63714,923,929Form
31Chung, MeganGeneral Counsel and SecretaryDirectSell316202623.439,593224,7874,066,646Form
32Pacala, Charles AngusPresident and CEODirectSell316202623.4324,657577,64922,505,766Form
33Boulet, Virginia DirectBuy309202620.956,500136,1754,783,765Form
34Chung, MeganGeneral Counsel and SecretaryDirectSell121202627.245,837159,0004,988,761Form
35Tewksbury, Ted L Iii DirectSell1223202521.471,69536,3922,655,066Form
36Heystee, Susan DirectSell1216202525.0311,650291,5901,041,833Form
37Frichtl, MarkChief Technology OfficerDirectSell1216202524.9815,661391,20716,301,028Form
38Spencer, DarienChief Operating OfficerDirectSell1216202524.9810,919272,7358,397,304Form
39Pacala, Charles AngusPresident and CEODirectSell1216202524.9824,610614,68924,610,460Form
40Chung, MeganGeneral Counsel and SecretaryDirectSell1216202524.9810,696267,1664,720,311Form
41Tewksbury, Ted L Iii DirectSell1112202525.381,69543,0193,181,611Form
42Chung, MeganGeneral Counsel and SecretaryDirectSell1020202531.025,837181,0586,117,113Form
43Spencer, DarienChief Operating OfficerDirectSell916202528.4618,274520,0439,850,259Form
44Frichtl, MarkChief Technology OfficerDirectSell916202528.4625,329720,81518,936,105Form
45Pacala, Charles AngusPresident and CEODirectSell916202528.4637,9921,081,18028,740,604Form
46Chung, MeganGeneral Counsel and SecretaryDirectSell916202528.4617,183488,9965,778,013Form
47Heystee, Susan DirectSell815202530.0040,3901,211,6881,567,941Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/16/2026