Tearsheet

Ouster (OUST)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $21.25 | Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Components

Ouster (OUST)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $21.25
Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Electronic Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -101 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -73%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 100%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 147%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 185%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 105%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more.
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -101 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -73%
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 100%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 147%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 185%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 105%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

OUST Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points highlighting why Ouster's (OUST) stock experienced a negative movement for the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to November 14, 2025: 1. Ouster reported a larger-than-expected loss per share for the third quarter of 2025. The company posted an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.37, significantly missing the forecast of -$0.16. This considerable miss in profitability was a primary factor in the stock's decline following the earnings announcement on November 4, 2025.

2. Persistent losses and continued heavy investments contributed to investor concerns. Despite reporting record revenue of $39.5 million, which surpassed expectations, the company's EPS fell short due to ongoing investments in research and development, including L4 chip development. This indicated continued unprofitability, impacting investor sentiment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OUST Return--61%-83%-11%59%84%-83%
Peers Return-5%14%2%19%94%21%211%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OUST Win Rate100%42%25%42%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate38%47%43%48%65%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OUST Max Drawdown--62%-84%-62%-39%-46% 
Peers Max Drawdown-42%-5%-27%-23%-15%-39% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GLW, BELFA, IMTE, MTEK, APH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/13/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOUSTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4650.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-16.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven20.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days

Compare to GLW, BELFA, IMTE, MTEK, APH


In The Past

Ouster's stock fell -97.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -97.9% loss requires a 4650.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ouster (OUST)

Better Bets than Ouster (OUST)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OUST. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.3%-10.3%-10.3%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.0%-1.0%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.3%-10.3%-10.3%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.0%-1.0%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ouster

Financials

OUSTGLWBELFAIMTEMTEKAPHMedian
NameOuster Corning Bel Fuse Integrat.Maris Te.Amphenol  
Mkt Price22.5082.08122.900.921.26135.2552.29
Mkt Cap1.370.31.6--165.235.9
Rev LTM13714,915649--20,9747,782
Op Inc LTM-1012,00093--5,1681,047
FCF LTM-321,16245--3,557603
FCF 3Y Avg-7986571--2,609468
CFO LTM-272,26659--4,5001,163
CFO 3Y Avg-752,06883--3,2341,076

Growth & Margins

OUSTGLWBELFAIMTEMTEKAPHMedian
NameOuster Corning Bel Fuse Integrat.Maris Te.Amphenol  
Rev Chg LTM30.2%18.3%23.7%--47.4%27.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg49.2%1.7%2.7%--20.7%11.7%
Rev Chg Q40.8%20.9%44.8%--53.4%42.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM9.1%5.0%9.3%--11.5%9.2%
Op Mgn LTM-73.2%13.4%14.4%--24.6%13.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-161.9%8.9%14.3%--22.2%11.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM9.2%1.4%1.7%--1.6%1.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-19.7%15.2%9.1%--21.5%12.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-91.5%15.3%13.8%--20.1%14.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-23.1%7.8%6.9%--17.0%7.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-96.2%6.4%11.7%--16.3%9.0%

Valuation

OUSTGLWBELFAIMTEMTEKAPHMedian
NameOuster Corning Bel Fuse Integrat.Maris Te.Amphenol  
Mkt Cap1.370.31.6--165.235.9
P/S9.54.72.4--7.96.3
P/EBIT-14.332.914.5--32.023.2
P/E-14.851.423.9--43.233.6
P/CFO-48.231.026.2--36.728.6
Total Yield-6.8%3.4%4.4%--2.8%3.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.4%0.2%--0.5%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-31.9%2.0%7.9%--3.1%2.5%
D/E0.00.10.2--0.00.1
Net D/E-0.20.10.1--0.00.1

Returns

OUSTGLWBELFAIMTEMTEKAPHMedian
NameOuster Corning Bel Fuse Integrat.Maris Te.Amphenol  
1M Rtn-37.8%-3.0%5.6%-12.6%-35.8%10.3%-7.8%
3M Rtn-35.8%25.3%8.2%-3.4%-47.8%22.3%2.4%
6M Rtn100.2%74.1%71.2%-25.4%-51.9%57.8%64.5%
12M Rtn147.0%77.6%31.3%-27.1%-32.3%88.5%54.5%
3Y Rtn80.0%163.7%246.0%-86.2%7.6%253.2%121.8%
1M Excs Rtn-39.9%-6.2%2.2%-12.7%-37.4%6.7%-9.5%
3M Excs Rtn-39.7%21.5%5.0%-7.9%-50.7%19.6%-1.5%
6M Excs Rtn86.3%60.2%57.3%-39.2%-65.8%44.0%50.6%
12M Excs Rtn101.0%59.1%7.8%-43.2%-44.2%73.4%33.5%
3Y Excs Rtn46.8%95.7%193.3%-161.9%-68.9%189.8%71.3%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,917,254
Short Interest: % Change Since 101520257.4%
Average Daily Volume2,752,025
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.15
Basic Shares Quantity57,976,375
Short % of Basic Shares10.2%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-6.5%-10.4% 
8/7/202511.7%51.7%22.5%
5/8/202522.8%29.9%75.5%
1/17/2025-5.9%-7.2%-10.8%
11/7/20241.5%10.5%26.8%
8/13/2024-27.7%-27.9%-43.6%
3/26/202434.5%100.8%50.2%
11/9/202319.7%21.1%42.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive10108
# Negative8810
Median Positive18.1%21.4%34.8%
Median Negative-5.8%-11.2%-20.6%
Max Positive34.5%100.8%75.5%
Max Negative-27.7%-27.9%-43.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024321202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024513202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023328202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023512202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022324202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Chung MeganGeneral Counsel and Secretary10202025Sell31.025,837181,0586,117,113Form