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Ouster (OUST)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $21.28 | Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Components

Ouster (OUST)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $21.28
Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Electronic Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -101 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -73%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more.
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 185%
3  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.8%
4  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 104%
5  Key risks
OUST key risks include [1] its limited operating history and inability to achieve or sustain profitability and [2] a dependence on a limited number of key third-party suppliers and manufacturers.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more.
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -101 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -73%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 185%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.8%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 104%
8 Key risks
OUST key risks include [1] its limited operating history and inability to achieve or sustain profitability and [2] a dependence on a limited number of key third-party suppliers and manufacturers.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OUST Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Ouster (OUST) stock moved by -27.1% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Disappointing Q3 2025 Earnings Per Share: Ouster reported its Q3 2025 earnings on November 4, 2025. While revenue exceeded analyst forecasts, the company's earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.37 significantly missed the expected -$0.16, leading to a notable decline in its share price during after-hours trading.

2. Persistent Profitability Challenges: Despite achieving record revenue growth and sensor shipments, Ouster continued to face challenges in reaching profitability, reporting an adjusted EBITDA loss of approximately $10 million in Q3 2025. Increased GAAP operating expenses, primarily due to investments in research and development, contributed to ongoing concerns about the company's path to sustained profitability.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OUST Return-61%-83%-11%59%84%
Peers Return-74%-37%-40%37%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OUST Win Rate100%42%25%42%67%42% 
Peers Win Rate38%38%44%33%37% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OUST Max Drawdown-62%-84%-62%-39%-46% 
Peers Max Drawdown-76%-56%-65%-59% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LAZR, AEVA, MVIS, LIDR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOUSTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4650.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-16.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven20.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days

Compare to GLW, BELFA, APH, CLS, COHR


In The Past

Ouster's stock fell -97.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -97.9% loss requires a 4650.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ouster (OUST)

Better Bets than Ouster (OUST)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OUST. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ouster

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OUSTLAZRAEVAMVISLIDRMedian
NameOuster Luminar .Aeva Tec.Microvis.AEye  
Mkt Price20.790.2312.880.882.172.17
Mkt Cap1.20.00.70.40.10.4
Rev LTM13776153015
Op Inc LTM-101-240-133-59-32-101
FCF LTM-32-209-119-59-25-59
FCF 3Y Avg-79-259-120-64-39-79
CFO LTM-27-208-114-58-25-58
CFO 3Y Avg-75-248-115-62-38-75

Growth & Margins

OUSTLAZRAEVAMVISLIDRMedian
NameOuster Luminar .Aeva Tec.Microvis.AEye  
Rev Chg LTM30.2%1.0%89.9%-67.7%-19.1%1.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg49.2%22.9%69.4%95.5%-51.0%49.2%
Rev Chg Q40.8%21.0%59.1%26.8%-51.9%26.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM9.1%4.5%9.6%2.0%-22.9%4.5%
Op Mgn LTM-73.2%-316.7%-875.9%-2,222.8%-17,762.1%-875.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-161.9%-636.5%-2,708.7%-2,366.5%-13,760.1%-2,366.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM9.2%72.2%118.3%160.2%-4,054.9%72.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-19.7%-274.4%-751.1%-2,215.2%-13,765.4%-751.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-91.5%-362.9%-2,088.9%-1,935.1%-9,958.1%-1,935.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-23.1%-276.5%-785.7%-2,235.6%-13,830.2%-785.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-96.2%-380.6%-2,180.5%-2,009.8%-10,150.2%-2,009.8%

Valuation

OUSTLAZRAEVAMVISLIDRMedian
NameOuster Luminar .Aeva Tec.Microvis.AEye  
Mkt Cap1.20.00.70.40.10.4
P/S11.40.255.4139.0372.855.4
P/EBIT-17.2-0.1-6.3--2.1-4.2
P/E-17.8-0.1-5.4-4.1-1.9-4.1
P/CFO-57.9-0.1-7.4-6.3-2.7-6.3
Total Yield-5.6%-1,466.3%-18.6%-24.1%-51.8%-24.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-31.9%-79.3%-51.3%--170.7%-65.3%
D/E0.028.20.0-0.00.0
Net D/E-0.123.6-0.1--1.2-0.1

Returns

OUSTLAZRAEVAMVISLIDRMedian
NameOuster Luminar .Aeva Tec.Microvis.AEye  
1M Rtn-0.6%-75.1%40.2%-4.0%-10.7%-4.0%
3M Rtn-32.1%-90.6%-25.4%-25.1%-15.6%-25.4%
6M Rtn2.2%-92.2%-53.4%-29.3%153.5%-29.3%
12M Rtn89.0%-96.4%218.0%9.1%66.9%66.9%
3Y Rtn82.4%-99.8%74.1%-65.9%-90.8%-65.9%
1M Excs Rtn-1.4%-75.8%39.4%-4.8%-11.4%-4.8%
3M Excs Rtn-41.5%-91.6%-26.1%-30.7%-21.3%-30.7%
6M Excs Rtn-10.2%-104.6%-65.7%-41.7%141.1%-41.7%
12M Excs Rtn117.9%-107.6%185.7%-2.8%83.5%83.5%
3Y Excs Rtn7.8%-168.2%-3.3%-137.9%-160.3%-137.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Sale and production of lidar sensor kits8341  
Product revenue  34 
Total834134 


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Sale and production of lidar sensor kits-374   
Total-374   


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Sale and production of lidar sensor kits   201
Total   201


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,737,585
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-12.2%
Average Daily Volume2,020,300
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.84
Basic Shares Quantity57,976,375
Short % of Basic Shares9.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-6.5%-10.4%-10.5%
8/7/202511.7%51.7%22.5%
5/8/202522.8%29.9%75.5%
1/17/2025-5.9%-7.2%-10.8%
11/7/20241.5%10.5%26.8%
8/13/2024-27.7%-27.9%-43.6%
3/26/202434.5%100.8%50.2%
11/9/202319.7%21.1%42.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive10108
# Negative8810
Median Positive18.1%21.4%34.8%
Median Negative-5.8%-11.2%-15.7%
Max Positive34.5%100.8%75.5%
Max Negative-27.7%-27.9%-43.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024321202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024513202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023328202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023512202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022324202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021