Blue Owl Technology Finance (OTF)
Market Price (5/9/2026): $10.925 | Market Cap: $5.1 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Blue Owl Technology Finance (OTF)
Market Price (5/9/2026): $10.925Market Cap: $5.1 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 17%, Dividend Yield is 9.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 13% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Private Credit, and Online Banking & Lending. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -71%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -107% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 127% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 10x Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -325% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -342%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -342% Key risksOTF key risks include [1] its concentration in high-risk, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 17%, Dividend Yield is 9.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 13% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Private Credit, and Online Banking & Lending. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -71%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -107% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 127% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 10x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -325% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -342%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -342% |
| Key risksOTF key risks include [1] its concentration in high-risk, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Blue Owl Technology Finance (OTF) reported a significant decline in its Net Asset Value (NAV) per share and missed analyst expectations for its first quarter ended March 31, 2026. The NAV per share decreased to $16.49 from $17.33 in the prior quarter, representing a 4.8% reduction. This was primarily influenced by substantial unrealized losses. Additionally, adjusted net investment income per share for Q1 2026 was $0.29, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.31 per share by 6.45%, and revenues of $325.94 million also missed estimates by 3.15%.
2. The decline in NAV was predominantly driven by $494.3 million in unrealized losses from credit spread widening and volatility in technology markets during Q1 2026. Management explicitly stated that "first quarter volatility in technology markets drove meaningful spread widening and pressured valuations across OTF's portfolio, reflecting broader market dynamics rather than underlying credit trends." Over 80% of the quarter's write-down was market-driven rather than related to underlying credit performance.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -15.4% change in OTF stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -27.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.91 | 10.92 | -15.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 666 | 484 | -27.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 92.4% | 87.3% | -5.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.8 | 12.0 | 22.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 467 | 464 | 0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -15.4% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OTF | -15.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 28.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | -3.6% | 34.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -19.1% change in OTF stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -11.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.50 | 10.92 | -19.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 544 | 484 | -11.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 91.9% | 87.3% | -5.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.6 | 12.0 | -4.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 465 | 464 | 0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -19.1% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OTF | -19.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 22.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | -1.3% | 31.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OTF | ||
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 25.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 6.7% | 31.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OTF | ||
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 25.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 62.1% | 31.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OTF Return | - | - | - | - | -5% | -22% | -26% |
| Peers Return | 28% | -14% | 37% | 12% | -0% | -5% | 61% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 95% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OTF Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 29% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 68% | 45% | 68% | 65% | 55% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OTF Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -16% | -24% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -4% | -26% | -4% | -7% | -15% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HTGC, TRIN, HRZN, ARCC, OBDC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/8/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
OTF has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -15.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 80 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -10.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 26 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 270 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 467 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -19.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.5% | 23.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 123 days | 105 days |
In The Past
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
OTF has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 467 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -21.4% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.3% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 272 days | 62 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.3% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 162 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -78.3% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 359.8% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2329 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Blue Owl Technology Finance (OTF)
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
```html- Direct Lending: Blue Owl Technology Finance provides debt capital directly to private technology companies.
- Senior Secured Loans: The company primarily offers senior secured loans, which are debt instruments typically collateralized by the borrower's assets and hold a priority position in their capital structure.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Blue Owl Technology Finance (OTF) operates as a Business Development Company (BDC) specializing in direct lending to technology companies. As such, its "customers" are the companies to which it provides debt financing and, occasionally, equity investments.
The company primarily sells its financial services (capital) to other companies. However, due to its diversified lending strategy, it does not typically have one or a few "major customers" that account for a significant portion of its revenue in the way a vendor might. Instead, it maintains a broad portfolio of borrowers.
Blue Owl Technology Finance serves the following categories of customer companies:
- Middle-Market Technology Companies: These are typically private, U.S.-based software, internet, and technology-enabled businesses that are seeking capital for growth initiatives, acquisitions, recapitalizations, or other strategic purposes.
- Growth-Stage Technology Companies: Companies that have demonstrated strong growth potential and are looking for flexible financing solutions to scale their operations without necessarily pursuing traditional equity financing exclusively.
- Sponsor-Backed Technology Companies: Many of its portfolio companies are backed by private equity sponsors, which often provides an additional layer of diligence and support.
Given the nature of a diversified lender, specific individual customer companies are not disclosed as "major customers" in the traditional sense, and symbols are not applicable as most are private entities.
AI Analysis | Feedback
null
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlCraig Packer, Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Packer is a Co-President of Blue Owl Capital Inc. and Head of the Credit platform, also serving as a Co-Chief Investment Officer for each of the Blue Owl Credit Advisers. He previously co-founded Owl Rock Capital Partners, the predecessor firm to Blue Owl's Credit platform. Prior to co-founding Owl Rock, Mr. Packer was a Partner and Co-Head of Leveraged Finance in the Americas at Goldman Sachs & Co. He joined Goldman Sachs & Co. in 2006 as a Managing Director and Head of High Yield Capital Markets and was named Partner in 2008. Before his time at Goldman Sachs & Co., he was the Global Head of High Yield Capital Markets at Credit Suisse First Boston, and earlier worked at Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette.
Jonathan Lamm, Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Lamm is Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer of each of the Blue Owl BDCs and a Senior Managing Director of Blue Owl. Prior to joining Owl Rock, the predecessor firm to Blue Owl's Credit platform, in April 2021, he served as the Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. (“GSBD”) from April 2013 through March 2021. In this role, he was responsible for building and overseeing GSBD's finance, treasury, accounting, and operations functions, including during its initial public offering in March 2015. He also held senior finance roles across GSAM Credit Alternatives and Goldman Sachs from 1999–2021.
Erik Bissonnette, President
Mr. Bissonnette is a Senior Managing Director at Blue Owl and a member of the Direct Lending Investment Team. He is also President of OTF and OTIC, Co-Head of Technology Investment, and a member of the Investment Committee for Blue Owl Technology Credit Advisors. In his role, he oversees strategies with over $16 billion in AUM, focused on making debt and equity investments in established enterprise software and technology companies. Before joining Blue Owl, Mr. Bissonnette was a Managing Director and Head of Technology Leveraged Finance at Capital Source from 2009 to 2017.
Alexis Maged, Chief Credit Officer
Mr. Maged is Chief Credit Officer of Blue Owl's Credit platform and a member of the Investment Committee, as well as Vice President of each of the Blue Owl BDCs and a Senior Managing Director of Blue Owl. Prior to joining Owl Rock, the predecessor firm to Blue Owl's Credit platform, he was Chief Financial Officer of Barkbox, Inc. from 2014 to 2015. Before that, Mr. Maged was a Managing Director with Goldman Sachs & Co. from 2007 until 2014.
Neena Reddy, Chief Legal Officer & Secretary
Ms. Reddy is Vice President and Secretary of each of the Blue Owl BDCs and Chief Legal Officer of each of the Blue Owl Credit Advisers. She also serves as the General Counsel, Chief Legal Officer, and Secretary of Blue Owl, and as a member of Blue Owl's Operating Committees. Prior to joining Owl Rock, the predecessor firm to Blue Owl's Credit platform, Ms. Reddy was associate general counsel at Goldman, Sachs & Co LLC from June 2010 to April 2019, where she was dedicated to Goldman Sachs Asset Management L.P. (GSAM) and responsible for GSAM-managed direct alternative products, including private credit.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Blue Owl Technology Finance (OTF) primarily stem from its specialized investment focus and the inherent nature of its business as a Business Development Company (BDC).
- Concentrated Exposure to the Technology Sector and Potential for Loan Defaults: Blue Owl Technology Finance strategically focuses on originating and making debt and equity investments primarily in U.S. technology-related companies, with a significant emphasis on enterprise software. While this specialization offers potential benefits, it also creates a concentrated sector risk. A significant downturn in the technology sector, the emergence of disruptive technologies, intense competition, shifts in technology trends, or a wave of defaults among software-as-a-service (SaaS) companies could materially impact the quality of OTF's investment portfolio and its net asset value (NAV).
- Relatively Illiquid Investments: As a BDC, OTF primarily invests in loans and equity of private companies, meaning its investments are generally illiquid. This illiquidity can make it challenging to sell assets quickly or at desirable prices if the need for liquidity arises, potentially limiting its flexibility in managing its portfolio.
- Uncertain Economic Environment and High Interest Rates: General macroeconomic factors, including an uncertain economic environment, high base interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical risks, pose a significant risk. These conditions can increase the likelihood of non-accruals (defaults) among OTF's portfolio companies, negatively impacting the company's earnings performance and overall asset quality.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Blue Owl Technology Finance (OTF) operates as a specialty finance and business development company (BDC) primarily focused on providing debt and equity investments to U.S. technology-related companies, with a strategic emphasis on software, within the upper middle-market.
The addressable market for Blue Owl Technology Finance's main products and services can be primarily understood within the broader U.S. private credit and direct lending markets, given their investment strategy. The U.S. private credit market has seen substantial growth, with estimates placing its size between approximately $1.3 trillion and $2.1 trillion.
Direct lending is identified as the dominant strategy within the private credit market. This market is driven by strong demand for customized financing, particularly for middle-market companies and capital-intensive sectors such as technology. The technology sector is a leading area within private credit, attracting lenders due to strong demand, recurring revenue, and long-term growth trends.
More specifically, the software industry, which is a key focus for Blue Owl Technology Finance, accounts for approximately 20% of outstanding loans for private direct lenders. Applying this percentage to the U.S. private credit market provides an estimated addressable market for direct lending to software companies ranging from approximately $260 billion to $420 billion in the U.S. (based on 20% of the $1.3 trillion to $2.1 trillion U.S. private credit market). This market focuses on U.S. middle-market companies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Blue Owl Technology Finance (OTF) over the next 2-3 years:
- Increased Deployment of Capital and Loan Origination: Blue Owl Technology Finance, as a business development company (BDC), generates revenue primarily through interest income from its debt investments. The company's ability to continue deploying capital into new loans and investments is a key driver. OTF recently deployed $2.3 billion in new commitments in Q4 2025, with a backlog of approximately $900 million expected to fund in the next quarter, indicating a robust pipeline for future investment activity. This increased investment activity is expected to translate into improving returns and higher Net Investment Income (NII) per share over time.
- Strategic Focus and Growth in the Technology and Software Sector: OTF specializes in originating and making debt and equity investments in U.S. technology-related companies, with a significant emphasis on enterprise software. This focused strategy allows OTF to capitalize on the growth dynamics of the tech sector. The company's software borrowers have consistently demonstrated low to mid-teens revenue and EBITDA growth, which is among the strongest in its direct lending strategy and supports continued demand for its financing solutions. Approximately 70% of OTF's portfolio is in software, with a focus on mission-critical "systems of record" having high switching costs.
- Enhanced Scale and Diversification from Strategic Mergers: The merger with Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. II (OTF II) significantly increased the company's scale and investment capacity. This merger created one of the largest BDCs and the largest dedicated software-focused BDC by total assets, with a combined portfolio exceeding $11.5 billion at fair value as of December 31, 2024 (pro-forma for the merger). This expanded scale allows OTF to undertake larger commitments and potentially access a broader range of investment opportunities, which is expected to be accretive to net investment income.
- Leverage Optimization Towards Target Range: Blue Owl Technology Finance has a target leverage range of 0.9x to 1.25x. As of Q4 2025, the company's net leverage was 0.75x, below its target. Management's plan to increase leverage towards this target range is expected to support higher net investment income per share, as increased debt can be used to fund more income-generating investments.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Blue Owl Technology Finance repurchased approximately $64.6 million of its common stock during the fourth quarter of 2025.
- In February 2026, the company's board approved a new share repurchase program authorizing up to $300 million of common stock buybacks, replacing a prior $200 million authorization.
- During November through early December 2025, over $15 million in common stock was acquired through open market purchases by executives and employees of Blue Owl Capital Inc. or under Blue Owl Technology Finance's existing share repurchase program.
Share Issuance
- In March 2025, Blue Owl Technology Finance completed its merger with Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. II, where OTF II shareholders received 0.9113 shares of OTF common stock for each OTF II share, significantly increasing OTF's outstanding shares, with former OTF II shareholders holding approximately 54% of the combined entity.
Outbound Investments
- For the year ended December 31, 2025, Blue Owl Technology Finance made new investment commitments totaling $5.6 billion, with $4.3 billion in principal amount funded, across 58 new and 58 existing portfolio companies.
- For the year ended December 31, 2024, new investment commitments amounted to $2.7 billion across 54 new and 34 existing portfolio companies.
- As of December 31, 2025, the company's investment portfolio had an aggregate fair value of $14.3 billion across 199 portfolio companies, primarily focusing on debt and equity investments in U.S. upper middle-market technology companies.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Can Blue Owl Technology Finance Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to OTF.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302026 | EEFT | Euronet Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04242026 | HOMB | Home BancShares | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | HBAN | Huntington Bancshares | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 7.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | NP | Neptune Insurance | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | JKHY | Jack Henry & Associates | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.3% | 0.3% | -4.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 13.75 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.0 |
| Rev LTM | 439 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | -477 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -163 |
| CFO LTM | -476 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -163 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 25.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 29.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | -27.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -5.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -95.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -51.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -95.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -51.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.0 |
| P/S | 8.4 |
| P/Op Inc | - |
| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | 11.1 |
| P/CFO | -2.9 |
| Total Yield | 21.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 12.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -7.4% |
| D/E | 1.3 |
| Net D/E | 1.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -3.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -4.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 33.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -14.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -34.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -47.5% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $10.92 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 5.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/12/2025 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -26.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $12.87 | $12.87 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -15.1% | -15.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 42.9% | 32.4% |
| Downside Capture | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| Upside Capture | 27.92 | 13.27 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 21.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.63 | 0.43 | 0.79 | 0.61 | -0.00 | -0.10 |
| Up Beta | 0.62 | 0.05 | 0.41 | 0.41 | -0.08 | -0.04 |
| Down Beta | 11.17 | 1.68 | 1.56 | 1.26 | -0.34 | -0.10 |
| Up Capture | -44% | 26% | 32% | 14% | 7% | 1% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 21 | 28 | 56 | 102 | 102 |
| Down Capture | 594% | 36% | 118% | 81% | 75% | 38% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 19 | 33 | 65 | 110 | 110 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OTF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTF | -26.4% | 32.4% | -1.01 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 5.2% | 14.6% | 0.13 | 31.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.0% | 12.5% | 1.83 | 25.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.8% | 27.0% | 1.22 | -7.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.6% | 18.0% | 2.21 | -3.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.0% | 13.5% | 0.66 | 24.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -17.9% | 42.1% | -0.35 | 24.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OTF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTF | -5.9% | 32.4% | -1.01 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.9% | 18.6% | 0.36 | 31.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 25.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.9% | 17.9% | 0.95 | -7.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.8% | 19.1% | 0.59 | -3.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 24.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.9% | 56.0% | 0.34 | 24.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OTF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTF | -3.0% | 32.4% | -1.01 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 12.6% | 22.2% | 0.52 | 31.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 25.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.69 | -7.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.3% | 17.8% | 0.44 | -3.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.8% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 24.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.7% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 24.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/18/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/06/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/10/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/06/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/12/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/08/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/6/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Dividends | 0.35 | 0 | 0 | Same New | Actual: 0.35 for Q1 2026 | ||
| 2026 Share Repurchases | 250.00 Mil | ||||||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/18/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Regular Dividend | 0.35 | 0 | Affirmed | Actual: 0.35 for Q4 2025 | |||
| Q1 2026 Special Dividend | 0.05 | 0 | Affirmed | Actual: 0.05 for Q4 2025 | |||
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.