Tearsheet

Blue Owl Technology Finance (OTF)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $14.6 | Market Cap: $6.8 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Blue Owl Technology Finance (OTF)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $14.6
Market Cap: $6.8 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 4.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.9%, FCF Yield is 7.0%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 90%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.7x
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 68%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 68%
 
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Private Credit, and Online Banking & Lending.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 4.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.9%, FCF Yield is 7.0%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 90%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 68%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 68%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Private Credit, and Online Banking & Lending.
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.7x

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OTF Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Amended Lock-Up Release Schedule Announced. Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. announced an amended lock-up release schedule on November 5, 2025, effective November 13, 2025, which will release approximately 11% of restricted shares monthly until June 2026 to enhance liquidity.

2. Significant Insider and Company Share Purchases. During November 2025, through December 2, 2025, over $15 million in shares of Blue Owl Technology Finance common stock were acquired through open market purchases by executives and employees of Blue Owl Capital Inc. or under the company's existing share repurchase program. This activity exceeded the USD 5 million threshold for insider transactions.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OTF Return------ 
Peers Return18%14%-11%8%1%1%33%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OTF Win Rate-----25% 
Peers Win Rate50%40%28%45%38%36% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OTF Max Drawdown------ 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-10%-25%-9%-9%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, FGNX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

OTF has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven525 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven295 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven338 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven515.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4470 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Blue Owl Technology Finance (OTF)

Better Bets than Blue Owl Technology Finance (OTF)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OTF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Blue Owl Technology Finance

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OTFVRTSSLRCDHILGEGFGNXMedian
NameBlue Owl.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmFG Nexus  
Mkt Price14.55163.1616.02116.902.603.1715.29
Mkt Cap6.81.10.90.30.1-0.9
Rev LTM6668741001521612126
Op Inc LTM-179-44-8-44
FCF LTM45270104-35-9-433
FCF 3Y Avg31912513816-10-671
CFO LTM45277104-32-9-437
CFO 3Y Avg31913213817-9-675

Growth & Margins

OTFVRTSSLRCDHILGEGFGNXMedian
NameBlue Owl.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmFG Nexus  
Rev Chg LTM90.1%-1.2%-6.2%2.9%-8.5%-41.5%-3.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg470.5%-2.4%159.6%-2.1%13.5%80.0%46.7%
Rev Chg Q95.2%-4.8%8.2%-2.0%-37.1%73.2%3.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM22.3%-1.2%2.1%-0.6%-16.9%47.7%0.7%
Op Mgn LTM-20.5%-28.8%-49.1%-20.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-18.9%-26.5%-74.1%-18.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.1%--0.2%-6.5%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM68.0%8.9%104.5%-21.2%-55.2%-33.1%-6.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg70.8%15.6%142.9%11.7%-56.6%-34.5%13.6%
FCF/Rev LTM68.0%8.0%104.5%-23.1%-55.2%-33.5%-7.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg70.8%14.7%142.9%11.0%-66.7%-35.0%12.9%

Valuation

OTFVRTSSLRCDHILGEGFGNXMedian
NameBlue Owl.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmFG Nexus  
Mkt Cap6.81.10.90.30.1-0.9
P/S9.71.58.32.53.4-3.4
P/EBIT-3.6-8.72.8-3.6
P/E10.59.49.38.14.3-9.3
P/CFO14.316.68.0-11.8-6.1-8.0
Total Yield14.1%15.6%21.5%16.6%23.4%-16.6%
Dividend Yield4.6%5.0%10.7%4.3%0.0%-4.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.7%16.7%2.9%-17.7%-5.8%
D/E0.82.01.40.01.1-1.1
Net D/E0.71.60.9-0.1-0.9-0.7

Returns

OTFVRTSSLRCDHILGEGFGNXMedian
NameBlue Owl.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmFG Nexus  
1M Rtn2.5%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.4%-12.2%2.2%
3M Rtn2.0%-14.1%-0.8%-14.0%-15.9%-72.2%-14.1%
6M Rtn--1.2%0.7%-10.1%20.6%--0.3%
12M Rtn--30.3%5.6%-24.3%43.6%--9.3%
3Y Rtn--7.0%43.3%-24.8%31.3%-12.1%
1M Excs Rtn2.6%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.5%-12.2%2.2%
3M Excs Rtn-3.0%-21.2%-6.9%-21.0%-18.7%-74.5%-19.8%
6M Excs Rtn--15.9%-14.1%-24.8%5.9%--15.0%
12M Excs Rtn--44.0%-8.0%-37.4%29.3%--22.7%
3Y Excs Rtn--75.8%-22.7%-96.4%-43.4%--59.6%

Financials

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,255,181
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202539.0%
Average Daily Volume686,479
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.20
Basic Shares Quantity466,720,357
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024306202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023306202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023811202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023512202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022308202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021311202210-K 12/31/2021