Tearsheet

Trinity Capital (TRIN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $14.765 | Market Cap: $973.2 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Trinity Capital (TRIN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $14.765
Market Cap: $973.2 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 28%, Dividend Yield is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 24%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 111%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55%
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -197%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -197%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 28%, Dividend Yield is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 24%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 111%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -197%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -197%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TRIN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, Trinity Capital (TRIN) experienced a stock movement of -5.8%, primarily influenced by the following key points:

1. Trinity Capital's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Report (November 5, 2025)
Despite reporting a year-over-year increase of 22.3% in total investment income to $75.6 million and a 25.9% increase in net investment income (NII) to $37.0 million, the stock saw a decline following the release of its Q3 2025 financial results. Trinity Capital's shares dipped 4.68% in pre-market trading and 4.3% in morning trading on November 5, 2025. While the earnings per share (EPS) of $0.52 matched analyst forecasts, investor sentiment appeared cautious.

2. Sequential Dip in Net Investment Income Per Share
Although overall Net Investment Income for Q3 2025 grew year-over-year, the NII per share of $0.52 represented a slight sequential decrease from $0.53 in the second quarter of 2025. This minor sequential dip, even if anticipated, may have contributed to investor caution regarding the company's growth trajectory.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TRIN Return---27%54%15%11%44%
Peers Return23%18%-13%10%1%1%42%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TRIN Win Rate-73%42%58%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate67%50%35%56%48%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TRIN Max Drawdown---35%-0%-6%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-13%-31%-11%-12%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, BLKS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTRINS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-49.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven96.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, BLKS


In The Past

Trinity Capital's stock fell -49.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/29/2022. A -49.1% loss requires a 96.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Trinity Capital (TRIN)

Better Bets than Trinity Capital (TRIN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TRIN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Trinity Capital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TRINVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameTrinity .Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Mkt Price14.77163.1616.02116.902.60-16.02
Mkt Cap1.01.10.90.30.1-0.9
Rev LTM20387410015216-152
Op Inc LTM-179-44-8-44
FCF LTM-40170104-35-9--9
FCF 3Y Avg-21512513816-10-16
CFO LTM-40077104-32-9--9
CFO 3Y Avg-21313213817-9-17

Growth & Margins

TRINVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameTrinity .Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Rev Chg LTM54.6%-1.2%-6.2%2.9%-8.5%--1.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg37.0%-2.4%159.6%-2.1%13.5%-13.5%
Rev Chg Q29.5%-4.8%8.2%-2.0%-37.1%--2.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.9%-1.2%2.1%-0.6%-16.9%--0.6%
Op Mgn LTM-20.5%-28.8%-49.1%-20.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-18.9%-26.5%-74.1%-18.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.1%--0.2%-6.5%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-196.8%8.9%104.5%-21.2%-55.2%--21.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-137.8%15.6%142.9%11.7%-56.6%-11.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-197.1%8.0%104.5%-23.1%-55.2%--23.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-139.0%14.7%142.9%11.0%-66.7%-11.0%

Valuation

TRINVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameTrinity .Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Mkt Cap1.01.10.90.30.1-0.9
P/S4.61.58.32.53.4-3.4
P/EBIT-3.6-8.72.8-3.6
P/E6.79.49.38.14.3-8.1
P/CFO-2.316.68.0-11.8-6.1--2.3
Total Yield27.8%15.6%21.5%16.6%23.4%-21.5%
Dividend Yield12.8%5.0%10.7%4.3%0.0%-5.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-27.1%8.7%16.7%2.9%-17.7%-2.9%
D/E1.12.01.40.01.1-1.1
Net D/E1.11.60.9-0.1-0.9-0.9

Returns

TRINVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameTrinity .Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
1M Rtn-2.3%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.4%-1.8%
3M Rtn-5.7%-14.1%-0.8%-14.0%-15.9%--14.0%
6M Rtn9.1%-1.2%0.7%-10.1%20.6%-0.7%
12M Rtn18.1%-30.3%5.6%-24.3%43.6%-5.6%
3Y Rtn117.7%-7.0%43.3%-24.8%31.3%-31.3%
1M Excs Rtn-2.3%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.5%-1.8%
3M Excs Rtn-11.1%-21.2%-6.9%-21.0%-18.7%--18.7%
6M Excs Rtn-5.6%-15.9%-14.1%-24.8%5.9%--14.1%
12M Excs Rtn1.9%-44.0%-8.0%-37.4%29.3%--8.0%
3Y Excs Rtn43.9%-75.8%-22.7%-96.4%-43.4%--43.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment1694417541 
Total1694417541 


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment    6
Total    6


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,567,510
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.3%
Average Daily Volume997,726
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.57
Basic Shares Quantity65,911,570
Short % of Basic Shares2.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023306202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022302202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021303202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211104202110-Q 9/30/2021