Trinity Capital (TRIN)
Market Price (6/20/2026): $16.89 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Trinity Capital (TRIN)
Market Price (6/20/2026): $16.89Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 23%, Dividend Yield is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 19% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 20% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.7%, Dist 3Y High is -1.7% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 94% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -243%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -243% Key risksTRIN key risks include [1] potential loan losses from its credit exposure to growth-stage and venture-backed companies, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 23%, Dividend Yield is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 19% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 20% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.7%, Dist 3Y High is -1.7% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 94% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -243%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -243% |
| Key risksTRIN key risks include [1] potential loan losses from its credit exposure to growth-stage and venture-backed companies, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Trinity Capital (TRIN) stock has gained about 20% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Q1 2026 Earnings Beat and Strong Financial Performance. Trinity Capital reported robust first-quarter 2026 financial results on May 5, 2026, exceeding analyst expectations. The company announced an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.53, surpassing analysts' estimates of $0.51 by 3.92%. Net Investment Income (NII) significantly increased by 37.4% year-over-year to $44.5 million, while total investment income grew 37.8% year-over-year to $90.1 million. Furthermore, the Return on Average Equity (ROAE) reached 15.8% in Q1.
2. Consistent and Well-Covered Dividend Distributions. Trinity Capital demonstrated its commitment to shareholders by declaring monthly dividends of $0.17 per share for April, May, and June 2026, totaling $0.51 for the second quarter. This payout marks the 26th consecutive quarter of a consistent regular dividend. The company also reported an estimated undistributed taxable income of $68 million, or $0.78 per share, providing a buffer equivalent to over four months of distributions.
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Trinity Capital (TRIN) stock has gained about 20% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Q1 2026 Earnings Beat and Strong Financial Performance. Trinity Capital reported robust first-quarter 2026 financial results on May 5, 2026, exceeding analyst expectations. The company announced an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.53, surpassing analysts' estimates of $0.51 by 3.92%. Net Investment Income (NII) significantly increased by 37.4% year-over-year to $44.5 million, while total investment income grew 37.8% year-over-year to $90.1 million. Furthermore, the Return on Average Equity (ROAE) reached 15.8% in Q1.
2. Consistent and Well-Covered Dividend Distributions. Trinity Capital demonstrated its commitment to shareholders by declaring monthly dividends of $0.17 per share for April, May, and June 2026, totaling $0.51 for the second quarter. This payout marks the 26th consecutive quarter of a consistent regular dividend. The company also reported an estimated undistributed taxable income of $68 million, or $0.78 per share, providing a buffer equivalent to over four months of distributions.
3. Robust Origination Engine and Portfolio Growth. The company exhibited strong growth in its assets under management and investment activities. Trinity Capital's platform Assets Under Management (AUM) expanded to over $2.9 billion, representing a 36% increase year-over-year. In Q1 2026, the company achieved $306 million in fundings and secured $396 million in commitments. Additionally, the investment portfolio's fair value increased by 2.7%, or $65.5 million, compared to December 31, 2025, while maintaining a low nonaccrual rate of 1% of the portfolio at fair value.
4. Bullish Analyst Sentiment and Positive Price Targets. Wall Street analysts have maintained a positive outlook on Trinity Capital. The stock holds a consensus "Strong Buy" rating with a median price target of $18.00, implying a 6.8% upside from its trading price of $16.86 as of June 1, 2026. Out of nine analysts, seven have issued "Buy" ratings, one a "Hold," and one a "Sell."
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 18.8% change in TRIN stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 26.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 14.17 | 16.83 | 18.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 205 | 214 | 4.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 66.3% | 64.8% | -2.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.1 | 10.2 | 26.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 77 | 84 | -7.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 18.8% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TRIN | 18.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.2% | 54.1% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.7% | 48.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 25.4% change in TRIN stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 50.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.42 | 16.83 | 25.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 209 | 214 | 2.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 68.0% | 64.8% | -4.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.8 | 10.2 | 50.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 71 | 84 | -14.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 25.4% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TRIN | 25.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 44.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 1.3% | 43.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 36.7% change in TRIN stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 69.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.31 | 16.83 | 36.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 190 | 214 | 12.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 67.4% | 64.8% | -3.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.0 | 10.2 | 69.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 63 | 84 | -25.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 36.7% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TRIN | 36.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | 40.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 6.7% | 42.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 109.6% change in TRIN stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 2252.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.03 | 16.83 | 109.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 43 | 214 | 401.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.8% | 64.8% | 2252.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 239.9 | 10.2 | -95.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 35 | 84 | -58.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 109.6% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TRIN | 109.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.7% | 43.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 77.0% | 46.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TRIN Return | 27% | -27% | 54% | 15% | 16% | 22% | 133% |
| Peers Return | 9% | -18% | 16% | 2% | 8% | -17% | -4% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TRIN Win Rate | 67% | 42% | 58% | 67% | 58% | 83% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 31% | 61% | 47% | 50% | 30% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TRIN Max Drawdown | - | -43% | -19% | -9% | -16% | -15% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -38% | -24% | -17% | -26% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VRTS, SLRC, GEG, ALP, AVAT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TRIN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -13.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.9% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 120 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -12.7% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 14.6% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 8 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.2% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.5% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 248 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Trinity Capital's stock fell -13.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 15.9% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | TRIN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.2% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.5% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 248 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Trinity Capital's stock fell -13.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 15.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Trinity Capital (TRIN)
Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) operates as a Business Development Company (BDC) specializing in providing capital to emerging businesses. It functions as a venture capital firm, but distinctively focuses on offering venture debt rather than traditional equity investments. This strategic approach allows TRIN to support growth-stage companies that are seeking less dilutive financing options for their development.
The company's main products and services revolve around providing tailored financial solutions, specifically in the form of loans and equipment financing. These offerings are designed to meet the unique capital needs of companies poised for expansion, allowing them to fund operations, acquire necessary equipment, or scale their business without significant equity dilution.
Trinity Capital primarily serves growth-stage companies across various industries. Its target market includes businesses that have demonstrated potential and are in a phase of rapid development, requiring substantial capital to continue their trajectory. By offering venture debt, TRIN fills a vital financing gap, empowering these businesses to achieve their growth objectives while managing their capital structure effectively.
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Here are a few analogies for Trinity Capital (TRIN):
- The Sequoia Capital of venture debt. (Compares it to a top venture capital firm, but highlights its specialization in debt financing rather than equity.)
- A JPMorgan Chase for high-growth, venture-backed companies. (Compares it to a major bank, but for a specific niche of fast-growing companies that often receive venture capital.)
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- Venture Debt: Provides debt capital to growth stage companies.
- Loans: Offers various forms of debt financing to support company operations and growth.
- Equipment Financing: Provides funding specifically for companies to acquire necessary equipment.
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Major Customers of Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN)
Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) is a business development company that specializes in providing venture debt and equipment financing to growth-stage companies. Therefore, its "customers" are the companies it provides these loans and financing solutions to, rather than individuals.
As of recent disclosures, Trinity Capital's portfolio consists of a diverse range of innovative, growth-stage companies across various sectors. The vast majority of these portfolio companies are private entities, consistent with Trinity Capital's focus on venture-backed growth businesses. Consequently, they do not have public stock symbols.
Some of Trinity Capital's notable portfolio companies (customers) include:
- WHOOP: A human performance company known for its wearable fitness tracker and coaching platform.
- Mirakl: An enterprise marketplace software company that helps businesses launch and scale online marketplaces.
- Locus Robotics: A developer of autonomous mobile robots (AMRs) for warehouse automation.
- Flock Safety: A public safety technology company providing AI-powered license plate recognition and vehicle detection systems.
- Tonal: A company offering a smart home gym system with digital weight and personalized workouts.
These companies represent a cross-section of the innovative, growth-stage businesses that Trinity Capital supports through its venture debt and financing solutions.
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Kyle Brown, Chief Executive Officer
Kyle Brown assumed the role of Chief Executive Officer of Trinity Capital Inc. on January 1, 2024, having previously served as President, Chief Investment Officer, and a member of the Board of Directors since 2019. He was an original member of Trinity's Investment Committee and a Managing Partner of its predecessor funds since 2015. Mr. Brown is responsible for guiding the company's lending policies, investment strategy, and overall strategic vision. Before joining Trinity in 2015, he founded and managed Sharp Equity, LLC and Brown Equity, LLC, companies that provided equity and bridge debt financing in the real estate sector, deploying over $250 million in capital through multiple private offerings. His experience also includes serving as a general partner at Point Financial Capital Partners, a venture leasing fund, and as President and Chief Financial Officer of InvestLinc Financial Services, an early-stage private equity fund and consulting firm. He was also a partner at Cornerstone Equity Partners, a private equity fund.
Michael Testa, Chief Financial Officer
Michael Testa was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Trinity Capital Inc., effective January 5, 2024. He joined Trinity Capital in 2020 as Chief Accounting Officer. Prior to his time at Trinity, Mr. Testa served as Vice President and Controller at Oxford Funds, a credit-focused asset manager. He also worked within the financial services practice of Ernst & Young LLP, where he specialized in financial audits for clients in the asset management industry.
Steven L. Brown, Founder and Executive Chairman
Steven L. Brown is the Founder and Executive Chairman of Trinity Capital Inc. He founded Trinity Capital's predecessor in 2008 and served as Chairman and CEO from the company's inception, taking it public under the NASDAQ symbol TRIN. With over 40 years of experience in venture equity and venture debt, Mr. Brown brings extensive knowledge to the firm's strategy and governance. His previous roles include serving as a general partner at Point Financial Capital Partners, a venture leasing fund (2003-2008), and as President and Chief Financial Officer of InvestLinc Financial Services, an early-stage private equity fund and consulting firm (1998-2002). He was also part of the founding group and a partner at Cornerstone Equity Partners, a private equity fund (1996-1998).
Gerry Harder, Chief Operating Officer
Gerry Harder was promoted to Chief Operating Officer of Trinity Capital Inc. on March 15, 2022. He joined Trinity in 2016 and is responsible for developing and executing operational plans for the company's Tech Lending, Equipment Financing, and Life Science business units, as well as for the formation and capitalization of new business opportunities. With over 30 years of experience in the electronics industry, Mr. Harder co-founded Vivid Semiconductor in 1994, a venture-funded semiconductor start-up that was later acquired by National Semiconductor. He has held various technical and leadership positions at companies such as Motorola, Medtronic, Cirrus Logic, and ON Semiconductor.
Ron Kundich, Chief Credit Officer
Ron Kundich was promoted to Chief Credit Officer of Trinity Capital Inc. on March 15, 2022. He joined the company in 2018. In his role, Mr. Kundich oversees Trinity Capital's lending, underwriting, and credit processes. He possesses over 25 years of experience in supporting venture-backed companies and collaborating with venture capital firms and commercial technology banks.
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Here are the key risks to Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN):
- Credit Defaults and Loan Losses: As a venture capital firm specializing in venture debt to growth-stage companies, Trinity Capital Inc. faces a core risk of credit defaults and potential loan losses. The ability of its portfolio companies to repay obligations is often more reliant on future capital raises and successful exits rather than internal cash flow, elevating the credit risk profile. While the company's non-accruals have been managed, broader private credit turmoil or bankruptcies within its venture-backed holdings could significantly impact its financial performance.
- Market Sensitivity to Economic Conditions and Interest Rate Fluctuations: Trinity Capital Inc.'s financial performance is highly sensitive to changes in economic conditions, including interest and inflation rates. A substantial portion of its debt investment portfolio (82.4% as of September 30, 2025) and borrowing portfolio (40.6%) consists of floating-rate instruments. This makes the company vulnerable to fluctuations in interest rates, which can impact its net investment income, portfolio yields, and the ability of its portfolio companies to meet their debt obligations, potentially leading to increased defaults. Conversely, a pivot by the Federal Reserve to rate cuts could pressure the yields on its floating-rate portfolio.
- Concentrated Exposure to Growth and Technology Sectors: Trinity Capital Inc.'s investment strategy is concentrated in growth and technology sectors, providing venture debt to companies in these areas. This specialization exposes the company to market volatility inherent in these sectors. If the "Growth/AI Bubble" or broader growth-sector rally sells off, Trinity Capital Inc. could experience significant pressure, as its portfolio companies might face challenges in securing further funding or achieving exits, which are crucial for loan repayments.
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A fundamental and sustained shift in the global venture capital ecosystem, characterized by significantly tighter funding conditions, lower valuations, and increased scrutiny on profitability for growth-stage companies. This environment directly impacts Trinity Capital by potentially reducing the pool of viable new borrowers, increasing default risks on existing investments, and intensifying competition for high-quality deals.
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Trinity Capital (TRIN) operates in the venture debt and equipment financing markets, serving growth-stage companies. The addressable markets for these services are substantial.
Venture Debt Market
The global venture debt market reached an aggregate deal value of $83.4 billion in 2024. The United States represents a significant portion of this market, with an aggregate deal value of $49 billion in 2024, although some estimates suggest it surpassed $53 billion in the same year. This market has shown strong growth, expanding by 46 percent globally in 2024. Approximately 60% of venture debt financings in 2024 occurred at the late or venture-growth stage, aligning with Trinity Capital's focus.
Equipment Financing Market
The global equipment finance services market was valued at $1.43 trillion in 2025 and is projected to grow to $1.59 trillion in 2026. This market is expected to continue its strong growth, potentially reaching $2.32 trillion by 2030 and $3.1 trillion by 2032. In the United States, the equipment finance industry expanded to an estimated $1.34 trillion in 2023. North America held the largest share of the equipment finance services market in 2022 and 2025.
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Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies centered around expanding its investment activities and diversifying its capital sources.
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Trinity Capital:
- Growth in Investment Portfolio and Assets Under Management (AUM): Trinity Capital has demonstrated consistent expansion of its investment portfolio and overall assets under management. The company's investment portfolio grew to approximately $2.4 billion at fair value across 176 companies by the end of 2025. Furthermore, platform assets under management (AUM) surpassed $2.8 billion, marking a 38% year-over-year increase. This continued growth in its core investment base directly translates to higher total investment income.
- Deployment of Unfunded Commitments and Strong Origination Pipeline: A significant driver of future revenue will be the deployment of Trinity Capital's substantial unfunded commitments. The company entered 2026 with a robust pipeline, including $1.2 billion in unfunded commitments, with a large portion requiring additional diligence or committee approval. In the first half of 2025, Trinity had already funded $585 million, exceeding previous records, and reported $849 million in unfunded commitments, anticipating continued portfolio growth. This strong pipeline ensures a steady stream of new investments and associated interest income.
- Expansion of Managed Funds Platform and New SBIC Capacity: Trinity Capital is actively growing its managed funds business and launching new co-investment vehicles, alongside plans for new Small Business Investment Company (SBIC) funds. This expansion increases the capital available for investment and diversifies revenue streams through potential fee-based income, enhancing the company's overall scalability.
- Strategic Focus on High-Growth Sectors, including AI Infrastructure Financing: The company is strategically positioning itself in high-growth sectors, with a particular emphasis on AI infrastructure financing. This focus allows Trinity Capital to capitalize on the increasing demand for venture debt and equipment financing in rapidly expanding industries, driving new origination opportunities. Management has reiterated confidence in its platform's ability to leverage market volatility for growth by targeting these dynamic areas.
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Share Repurchases
- Trinity Capital authorized a $25 million stock repurchase program in November 2022, which expired on November 11, 2023. Under this program, approximately 0.9 million shares were repurchased at a weighted average price of $10.91.
- A new stock repurchase program for up to $30 million was authorized on November 7, 2024, expected to be in place until November 7, 2025, or until fully utilized.
Share Issuance
- Trinity Capital completed its initial public offering (IPO) on February 2, 2021, selling 8,006,291 shares of common stock at $14.00 per share, generating approximately $105.4 million in net proceeds.
- The company utilized accretive ATM (at-the-market) equity issuances in 2025, which contributed to an increase in Net Asset Value (NAV) per share.
- During the third quarter of 2025, Trinity Capital sold 5,318,978 shares of its common stock through its equity ATM offering program at a weighted average price of $15.78 per share, raising $83.0 million in net proceeds.
Outbound Investments
- In 2025, Trinity Capital funded a record $1.5 billion in investments, which included $1.1 billion in secured loans, $303 million in equipment financings, and $59 million in warrant and equity investments.
- The company originated a record $2.1 billion of new investment commitments in 2025, consisting of $1.6 billion in secured loans, $429 million in equipment financings, and $60 million in equity investments.
- For the first three quarters of 2025, investments funded by Trinity Capital totaled approximately $1.1 billion, comprising $825 million in secured loans, $197 million in equipment financings, and $35 million in warrant and equity investments.
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 7.59 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.8 |
| Rev LTM | 101 |
| Op Inc LTM | -12 |
| FCF LTM | -53 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 34 |
| CFO LTM | -50 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 34 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 61.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | -1.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.6% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -17.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -3.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -20.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -21.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -3.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -37.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -20.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -38.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -20.7% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $16.83 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/29/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -1.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $16.31 | $14.67 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 3.2% | 14.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 21.3% | 20.3% |
| Downside Capture | 68.27 | 63.05 |
| Upside Capture | 99.93 | 84.18 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 58.6% | 41.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.11 | 1.06 | 0.84 | 0.78 | 0.68 | 0.60 |
| Up Beta | 2.56 | 1.01 | 0.71 | 0.77 | 0.74 | 0.52 |
| Down Beta | 1.34 | 1.56 | 0.76 | 0.54 | 0.46 | 0.64 |
| Up Capture | 53% | 104% | 108% | 102% | 75% | 40% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 27 | 36 | 64 | 129 | 391 |
| Down Capture | 65% | 104% | 75% | 71% | 72% | 80% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 13 | 26 | 58 | 116 | 342 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TRIN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRIN | 39.1% | 20.2% | 1.52 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.3% | 14.6% | 0.33 | 42.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.5% | 12.4% | 1.61 | 41.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.77 | 14.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.8% | 18.8% | 0.83 | -2.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.0% | 13.7% | 0.52 | 29.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.0% | 42.5% | -1.08 | 23.1% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TRIN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRIN | 18.6% | 26.6% | 0.64 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.3% | 18.6% | 0.37 | 39.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 41.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | 7.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | 9.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 37.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.0% | 54.2% | 0.40 | 18.6% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TRIN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRIN | 8.9% | 26.7% | 0.60 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.0% | 22.2% | 0.54 | 37.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 39.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.63 | 7.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 7.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 35.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.0% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 17.5% |
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Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/9/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/6/2026 | 1.8% | -0.3% | 2.3% |
| 2/25/2026 | 2.5% | -0.8% | -1.5% |
| 11/5/2025 | -5.0% | -1.5% | -1.7% |
| 8/6/2025 | 1.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% |
| 5/7/2025 | -1.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| 2/26/2025 | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
| 10/30/2024 | 0.2% | -1.6% | 6.5% |
| 8/7/2024 | 2.5% | 0.6% | -0.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 17 | 12 | 12 |
| # Negative | 6 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% |
| Median Negative | -2.9% | -2.2% | -1.5% |
| Max Positive | 6.5% | 6.6% | 11.6% |
| Max Negative | -5.0% | -4.1% | -7.2% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/6/2026 | 1.8% | -0.3% | 2.3% |
| 2/25/2026 | 2.5% | -0.8% | -1.5% |
| 11/5/2025 | -5.0% | -1.5% | -1.7% |
| 8/6/2025 | 1.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% |
| 5/7/2025 | -1.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| 2/26/2025 | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
| 10/30/2024 | 0.2% | -1.6% | 6.5% |
| 8/7/2024 | 2.5% | 0.6% | -0.4% |
| 5/1/2024 | -3.0% | -2.2% | -2.2% |
| 3/6/2024 | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% |
| 11/1/2023 | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.5% |
| 8/2/2023 | 2.9% | -3.0% | -0.6% |
| 5/4/2023 | 0.3% | -1.6% | 9.5% |
| 3/2/2023 | 6.5% | 1.0% | -1.5% |
| 11/3/2022 | -2.7% | -3.2% | -7.2% |
| 8/4/2022 | 0.3% | 6.6% | -0.8% |
| 5/9/2022 | 0.6% | 0.1% | 1.7% |
| 3/3/2022 | 0.2% | -2.9% | 10.2% |
| 1/10/2022 | -3.1% | -2.3% | -4.7% |
| 11/4/2021 | 4.9% | 5.0% | -0.9% |
| 8/5/2021 | 5.1% | 3.4% | 11.6% |
| 5/6/2021 | -0.4% | -4.1% | -1.7% |
| 3/4/2021 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 17 | 12 | 12 |
| # Negative | 6 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% |
| Median Negative | -2.9% | -2.2% | -1.5% |
| Max Positive | 6.5% | 6.6% | 11.6% |
| Max Negative | -5.0% | -4.1% | -7.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/06/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/02/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/06/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/02/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/03/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/04/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/06/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/04/2021 | 10-K |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 6/1/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/6/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Dividends | 0.51 | 0 | Same New | Actual: 0.51 for Q1 2026 | |||
Insider Activity
Updated 6/17/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estes, Ronald E | Direct | Buy | 3172026 | 14.16 | 800 | 11,328 | 572,676 | Form | |
| 2 | Brown, Kyle Steven | CEO, President and CIO | Direct | Buy | 3172026 | 14.16 | 3,532 | 50,018 | 8,789,233 | Form |
| 3 | Brown, Steve Louis | Executive Chairman | The Steven and Patricia Brown Family Trust, dated March 19, 1998 | Buy | 3162026 | 14.75 | 27,109 | 399,858 | 13,875,989 | Form |
| 4 | Estes, Ronald E | Direct | Buy | 3112026 | 14.75 | 500 | 7,375 | 584,737 | Form | |
| 5 | Brown, Steve Louis | Executive Chairman | Direct | Buy | 3112026 | 14.82 | 1,585 | 23,490 | 6,037,787 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estes, Ronald E | Direct | Buy | 3172026 | 14.16 | 800 | 11,328 | 572,676 | Form | |
| 2 | Brown, Kyle Steven | CEO, President and CIO | Direct | Buy | 3172026 | 14.16 | 3,532 | 50,018 | 8,789,233 | Form |
| 3 | Brown, Steve Louis | Executive Chairman | The Steven and Patricia Brown Family Trust, dated March 19, 1998 | Buy | 3162026 | 14.75 | 27,109 | 399,858 | 13,875,989 | Form |
| 4 | Estes, Ronald E | Direct | Buy | 3112026 | 14.75 | 500 | 7,375 | 584,737 | Form | |
| 5 | Brown, Steve Louis | Executive Chairman | Direct | Buy | 3112026 | 14.82 | 1,585 | 23,490 | 6,037,787 | Form |
| 6 | Brown, Steve Louis | Executive Chairman | The Steven and Patricia Brown Family Trust, dated March 19, 1998 | Buy | 3112026 | 14.82 | 518 | 7,677 | 13,540,086 | Form |
| 7 | Estes, Ronald E | Direct | Buy | 3112026 | 14.80 | 105 | 1,554 | 579,319 | Form | |
| 8 | Estes, Ronald E | Direct | Buy | 3042026 | 14.73 | 200 | 2,946 | 575,033 | Form | |
| 9 | Brown, Kyle Steven | CEO, President and CIO | Direct | Buy | 3042026 | 14.90 | 3,333 | 49,662 | 5,613,950 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Asset Management & Custody Banks Resources |
| Pensions & Investments |
| Institutional Investor |
| Ignites |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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