Nextpower (NXT)
Market Price (6/24/2026): $121.5 | Market Cap: $18.0 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Nextpower (NXT)
Market Price (6/24/2026): $121.5Market Cap: $18.0 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, and Renewable Energy Equipment. | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 115% Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.7% Key risksNXT key risks include [1] its challenging expansion into the competitive inverter and power conversion market where failures could damage its brand and [2] a heavy revenue concentration in the U.S. Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, and Renewable Energy Equipment. |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 115% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.7% |
| Key risksNXT key risks include [1] its challenging expansion into the competitive inverter and power conversion market where failures could damage its brand and [2] a heavy revenue concentration in the U.S. Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Nextpower (NXT) stock has gained about 15% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q4 2026 Financial Performance and Upbeat Fiscal Year 2027 Outlook.
Nextpower reported robust financial results for fiscal Q4 2026, which ended March 31, 2026, significantly surpassing analyst expectations. The company announced an adjusted diluted EPS of $1.05, beating consensus estimates of approximately $0.90 to $0.93 per share. This strong performance was underscored by a record fiscal year revenue of $3.56 billion, marking a 20% increase year-over-year, and an expanded backlog exceeding $5.25 billion. The company further bolstered investor confidence by raising its fiscal year 2027 financial outlook, anticipating continued growth.
2. Strategic Entry into Battery Energy Storage and AI Data Center Markets.
A significant driver of the stock's positive trend was Nextpower's strategic expansion into high-growth markets. On May 29, 2026, the company announced a definitive agreement to acquire Prevalon Energy for up to $365 million. This acquisition marks Nextpower's entry into the Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) and AI Data Center sectors. Prevalon brings a substantial portfolio, including over 6 GWh of BESS systems deployed globally and 1.3 GW of firm supply contracts supporting AI and hyperscaler data center infrastructure. This transaction is expected to be accretive to Nextpower's fiscal year 2027 financial outlook and substantially broadens its market opportunities.
Show more
Nextpower (NXT) stock has gained about 15% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q4 2026 Financial Performance and Upbeat Fiscal Year 2027 Outlook.
Nextpower reported robust financial results for fiscal Q4 2026, which ended March 31, 2026, significantly surpassing analyst expectations. The company announced an adjusted diluted EPS of $1.05, beating consensus estimates of approximately $0.90 to $0.93 per share. This strong performance was underscored by a record fiscal year revenue of $3.56 billion, marking a 20% increase year-over-year, and an expanded backlog exceeding $5.25 billion. The company further bolstered investor confidence by raising its fiscal year 2027 financial outlook, anticipating continued growth.
2. Strategic Entry into Battery Energy Storage and AI Data Center Markets.
A significant driver of the stock's positive trend was Nextpower's strategic expansion into high-growth markets. On May 29, 2026, the company announced a definitive agreement to acquire Prevalon Energy for up to $365 million. This acquisition marks Nextpower's entry into the Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) and AI Data Center sectors. Prevalon brings a substantial portfolio, including over 6 GWh of BESS systems deployed globally and 1.3 GW of firm supply contracts supporting AI and hyperscaler data center infrastructure. This transaction is expected to be accretive to Nextpower's fiscal year 2027 financial outlook and substantially broadens its market opportunities.
3. Enhanced Market Momentum and Key Supply Chain Agreements.
Nextpower demonstrated strong operational momentum and fortified its market position through key agreements. The company surpassed 160 GW of cumulative tracker shipments globally and reported increased bookings for new products and bundled solutions, including foundations, electrical balance of systems (eBOS), and robotics, in fiscal Q4 2026. Furthermore, in February 2026, Nextpower secured a multi-year gigawatt-scale steel frame supply agreement with Jinko Solar (U.S.) Industries Inc., ensuring a stable supply chain for its advanced solar modules and supporting its production capabilities.
4. Favorable Macroeconomic Tailwinds in the Solar Energy Sector.
The broader solar energy sector provided a conducive environment for Nextpower's growth during the period. The industry continues to experience robust global demand, with projections indicating over 500 GW of global solar additions in 2026. Government policies and incentives, such as the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) credits in the United States, continued to support renewable energy projects, creating a favorable landscape for companies operating in the solar technology space.
Show less
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 14.8% change in NXT stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 16.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6232026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 105.10 | 120.64 | 14.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,603 | 3,559 | -1.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 16.4% | 16.5% | 0.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 26.3 | 30.6 | 16.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 148 | 148 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 14.8% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NXT | 14.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.2% | 52.3% |
| Sector (XLI) | 0.9% | 49.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 31.7% change in NXT stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 29.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6232026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 91.62 | 120.64 | 31.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,373 | 3,559 | 5.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 17.1% | 16.5% | -3.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 23.5 | 30.6 | 29.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 148 | 148 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 31.7% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NXT | 31.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.0% | 49.5% |
| Sector (XLI) | 16.6% | 45.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 112.8% change in NXT stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 89.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6232026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 56.69 | 120.64 | 112.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,959 | 3,559 | 20.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 17.2% | 16.5% | -4.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 16.1 | 30.6 | 89.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 145 | 148 | -2.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 112.8% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NXT | 112.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 25.9% | 41.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | 26.4% | 38.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 215.4% change in NXT stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6232026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 38.25 | 120.64 | 215.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 3,559 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | � | 30.6 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 42 | 148 | -71.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NXT | 215.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 82.4% | 32.1% |
| Sector (XLI) | 92.4% | 33.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NXT Return | - | - | 54% | -22% | 138% | 48% | 324% |
| Peers Return | -28% | 15% | -32% | -39% | 40% | 7% | -48% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NXT Win Rate | - | - | 55% | 42% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 57% | 45% | 42% | 55% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NXT Max Drawdown | - | - | - | -49% | -27% | -28% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -52% | -53% | -61% | -63% | -54% | -47% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ARRY, FSLR, SHLS, FTCI, ENPH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/23/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NXT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -23.9% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 34 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -21.1% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.8% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 168 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -14.3% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 43 days | 24 days |
In The Past
Nextpower's stock fell -23.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 31.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | NXT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -23.9% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 34 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -21.1% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.8% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 168 days | 18 days |
In The Past
Nextpower's stock fell -23.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 31.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Nextpower (NXT)
Nextpower (NXT) is a leading provider of intelligent, integrated solar tracker and software solutions designed for utility-scale and ground-mounted solar projects worldwide. The company's core technology enables solar panels to precisely follow the sun's movement across the sky, significantly optimizing energy production by up to 25% compared to fixed-tilt systems. This sophisticated tracking, coupled with proprietary independent row technology and advanced AI-driven software, also helps lower operating costs and enhances the overall reliability of solar power plants.
Operating within the rapidly expanding global utility-scale solar market, Nextpower capitalizes on the decreasing cost of solar energy and increasing worldwide demand for renewable power and decarbonization efforts. Its solutions are widely adopted by major large-scale solar projects in mature markets and are increasingly gaining traction in developing regions. Nextpower serves a customer base primarily consisting of Engineering, Procurement, and Construction (EPC) firms, alongside solar project developers and owners across six continents. With approximately 70 GW of its systems shipped and a strong market leadership position, NXT demonstrates robust growth with firm orders totaling $2.1 billion as of December 2022.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Analogies for Nextpower (NXT):
- Intel for utility-scale solar farms
- NVIDIA for solar energy optimization
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Intelligent Independent Row Solar Trackers: Physical systems that enable individual rows of solar panels to move independently, following the sun's movement to optimize energy production in utility-scale solar projects.
- Integrated Software Solutions: Advanced algorithms and artificial intelligence technologies that further optimize the performance and capabilities of their solar tracker products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Nextpower (NXT) primarily sells its intelligent, integrated solar tracker and software solutions to other companies.
Its major customers fall into the following categories:
- Engineering, Procurement and Construction firms (EPCs)
- Solar project developers
- Solar project owners
The provided background information does not name specific customer companies.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
Flex Ltd. (FLEX)
```AI Analysis | Feedback
Dan Shugar, Chief Executive Officer and Founder
Dan Shugar founded Nextpower (originally Nextracker) in July 2013 and has served as its Chief Executive Officer since then. His career in the solar industry began in 1988, holding senior leadership positions across multiple solar companies. Prior to Nextpower, he was Chief Executive Officer of Solaria Corporation, a solar panel manufacturing company, from January 2010 to June 2013. Shugar co-founded PowerLight Corporation in 1996, which was later acquired by SunPower Corporation for $332 million in 2007. He also served as President of SunPower Corporation from 2007 to 2009. Nextracker was acquired by Flex Ltd. in 2015 for $330 million before its IPO in 2023.
Chuck Boynton, Chief Financial Officer
Chuck Boynton was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Nextpower in March 2024, with his role becoming effective in May 2024. Before joining Nextpower as CFO, he served on the company's Board of Directors from February 2023 to March 2024. Boynton previously held the CFO position at Logitech International S.A. and served as Executive Vice President and CFO of Plantronics, Inc.
Howard Wenger, President
Howard Wenger has served as President of Nextpower since February 2022. He began his career in the solar industry in 1984 and has held numerous leadership and board positions. Wenger also served as President of Solaria Corporation from May 2020 to October 2021.
Marco Miller, COO and Co-founder
Marco Miller is the Chief Operating Officer and a Co-founder of Nextpower.
Bruce Ledesma, Chief Legal & Compliance Officer
Bruce Ledesma has served as Nextpower's Chief Legal & Compliance Officer since January 1, 2025. He previously held various President titles from May 2019 through December 2024. Ledesma was also the co-founder and Chief Operating Officer of Roble Capital, LLC, a private investment fund, from June 2013 to July 2014.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Risks to Nextpower (NXT)
-
Dependency on Flex Ltd.: Nextpower was acquired by Flex Ltd. in 2015 and heavily relies on Flex for crucial aspects of its operations, including "design, manufacturing and supply chain services" through Flex’s global network. Additionally, Flex provides "strong financial backing" that has supported Nextpower's market penetration and optimized supply chain. Any change in Flex's strategic priorities, financial health, or its willingness/ability to continue providing these essential services could significantly impact Nextpower's operations and financial stability.
-
Intense Competition and the Need to Maintain Technological Leadership: Nextpower operates in a competitive market and prides itself on its "proprietary technology" and "next generation" intelligent independent row tracking system. The company's ability to maintain its leading position and capture market share is dependent on the continued superiority of its technology compared to "linked row, other independent tracker products and fixed-tilt systems." A failure to innovate, or the emergence of more advanced or cost-effective solutions from competitors, could erode its market advantage.
-
Reliance on Continued Growth and Favorable Market Conditions in the Utility-Scale Solar Sector: Nextpower's business is directly tied to the growth of the utility-scale solar market. This growth is driven by factors such as the declining cost of solar energy, increasing demand for renewable energy, and aggressive decarbonization targets globally. While the background describes a positive outlook, a significant slowdown, reversal, or disruption in these market trends, or changes in governmental policies and incentives supporting solar energy, could adversely affect the demand for Nextpower's solar tracker solutions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable market for Nextpower's main products, solar trackers, is estimated to be a $71 billion cumulative opportunity from 2020 to 2030, representing approximately 682 GW of solar capacity installed over that time period. This market size is for the global solar tracking market, excluding China.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
Nextpower (NXT) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors in the expanding global solar energy market:
- Strong and Expanding Backlog: Nextpower has a robust and growing backlog of orders, which stood at over $4.5 billion as of Q2 fiscal year 2025 and subsequently grew to greater than $5 billion by Q3 fiscal year 2026. A significant portion of this backlog is anticipated to convert into revenue within the next eight quarters, providing a solid foundation for future sales.
- Robust Demand in the Utility-Scale Solar Market: The company is benefiting from the increasing global demand for utility-scale solar projects, fueled by solar energy's position as the lowest-cost and most scalable power generation technology. Nextpower is experiencing strong demand in both its established U.S. market, which accounts for approximately two-thirds of its business, and international markets such as the Middle East and Africa.
- Diversification through New Products and Services: Nextpower is actively expanding its offerings beyond core solar trackers into new business lines, including frames, foundations, electrical components, and advanced software solutions. The company is already securing customer orders for new products like NX Horizon, NXTR 1.5, NX Horizon Low Carbon Tracker, NX Hail Pro-75, and NX Foundation technologies. Approximately one-third of its 2030 revenue is expected to be generated by these new products and services, including its recently launched agrivoltaics solution.
- Differentiated Competitive Positioning and Innovation: Nextpower's intelligent independent row tracking systems, coupled with integrated software leveraging advanced algorithms and artificial intelligence, offer superior energy production and reduced operating costs. The company's focus on innovation, including solutions for extreme weather resilience (such as patented hail and wind technologies), enhances its competitive edge and drives customer adoption due to a "flight to quality."
- Strategic International Expansion: Nextpower is actively expanding its global footprint, notably through ventures like Nextpower Arabia, which is set to supply 2.25 GW of systems to a major Saudi project and aims for up to 12 GW of annual local capacity. The adoption of its solar tracker technology is increasing in developing solar markets, contributing to revenue growth from its operations across the United States, Mexico, Spain, Europe, India, Australia, the Middle East, Africa, and Brazil.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Capital Allocation Decisions (2023-2026)
Share Repurchases
- Nextpower's Board of Directors approved a share repurchase program on January 27, 2026, authorizing the company to buy back up to $500 million of its Class A common stock over a three-year period.
Share Issuance
- Nextpower completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) in February 2023, issuing 26.6 million shares of Class A common stock at $24 per share, which raised $638 million.
Outbound Investments
- Nextpower made an aggregate cash consideration of approximately $116.6 million (net of cash acquired) for business acquisitions, including Origami and Fracsun, as reported in its Q3 FY26 results (ended December 31, 2025).
- The company acquired Bentek Corporation for $78 million in May 2023.
- In January 2026, Nextpower completed the formation of Nextpower Arabia, a joint venture with Abunayyan Holding, contributing $2.7 million in cash to establish the new entity in the quarter ended December 31, 2025, to accelerate solar plant deployment in the Middle East and North Africa region.
Capital Expenditures
- Nextpower's capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 amounted to $33.9 million, representing a 450.67% increase from $6.2 million in fiscal year 2024.
- For the trailing twelve months ending September 26, 2025, capital expenditures were approximately $45.75 million.
- Expected capital expenditures for the upcoming fiscal year (FY2027) are forecasted to be $65.85 million, primarily focused on increasing capacity, replacing equipment, supporting new product development, improving information systems, and expanding the manufacturing footprint.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 28.75 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.0 |
| Rev LTM | 1,302 |
| Op Inc LTM | 82 |
| FCF LTM | 102 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 86 |
| CFO LTM | 138 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 269 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 23.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | -10.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -2.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 16.8% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 22.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.4% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $120.64 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 17.9 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/09/2023 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -22.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $125.71 | $104.55 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -4.0% | 15.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 80.2% | 66.4% |
| Downside Capture | 371.52 | 199.82 |
| Upside Capture | 213.56 | 242.27 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 51.7% | 41.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.14 | 2.19 | 2.10 | 2.25 | 1.93 | 1.22 |
| Up Beta | -1.47 | 2.25 | 2.24 | 1.65 | 1.79 | 1.17 |
| Down Beta | -0.89 | -0.37 | 2.38 | 2.06 | 2.29 | 1.13 |
| Up Capture | 649% | 234% | 289% | 459% | 413% | 351% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 23 | 35 | 68 | 133 | 371 |
| Down Capture | 526% | 312% | 138% | 184% | 130% | 105% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 18 | 28 | 56 | 116 | 376 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NXT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXT | 92.8% | 65.9% | 1.26 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 26.9% | 16.3% | 1.28 | 39.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 24.6% | 12.5% | 1.48 | 43.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.8% | 27.6% | 0.70 | 27.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 16.7% | 18.8% | 0.69 | -3.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.3% | 13.8% | 0.60 | 6.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -38.0% | 42.5% | -1.01 | 19.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NXT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXT | 29.5% | 60.6% | 0.86 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.2% | 17.6% | 0.59 | 34.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 32.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 16.8% | 18.3% | 0.74 | 14.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.3% | 19.4% | 0.28 | 8.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.4% | 18.9% | 0.03 | 19.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.7% | 54.1% | 0.38 | 13.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NXT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXT | 13.8% | 60.6% | 0.86 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 14.3% | 20.0% | 0.63 | 34.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 32.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.9% | 16.1% | 0.61 | 14.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.25 | 8.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.5% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 19.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 57.0% | 66.5% | 0.97 | 13.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/15/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/12/2026 | 8.8% | 1.4% | -4.5% |
| 1/27/2026 | 13.3% | 13.2% | 0.9% |
| 10/23/2025 | 8.7% | 9.7% | -3.6% |
| 7/29/2025 | -9.3% | -13.7% | 4.3% |
| 5/14/2025 | 11.9% | 5.1% | 10.3% |
| 1/28/2025 | 24.3% | 25.6% | 13.6% |
| 10/30/2024 | 24.6% | 30.2% | 19.4% |
| 8/1/2024 | -10.4% | -14.2% | -13.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| # Negative | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Median Positive | 12.2% | 11.4% | 13.6% |
| Median Negative | -9.3% | -13.7% | -4.1% |
| Max Positive | 24.8% | 30.2% | 40.7% |
| Max Negative | -10.4% | -14.2% | -13.2% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/12/2026 | 8.8% | 1.4% | -4.5% |
| 1/27/2026 | 13.3% | 13.2% | 0.9% |
| 10/23/2025 | 8.7% | 9.7% | -3.6% |
| 7/29/2025 | -9.3% | -13.7% | 4.3% |
| 5/14/2025 | 11.9% | 5.1% | 10.3% |
| 1/28/2025 | 24.3% | 25.6% | 13.6% |
| 10/30/2024 | 24.6% | 30.2% | 19.4% |
| 8/1/2024 | -10.4% | -14.2% | -13.2% |
| 5/14/2024 | 6.9% | 9.4% | 40.7% |
| 1/31/2024 | 24.8% | 22.4% | 26.8% |
| 10/25/2023 | -1.8% | -9.1% | 4.4% |
| 7/26/2023 | 12.4% | 6.2% | -2.5% |
| 5/10/2023 | 6.6% | 17.1% | 21.2% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| # Negative | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Median Positive | 12.2% | 11.4% | 13.6% |
| Median Negative | -9.3% | -13.7% | -4.1% |
| Max Positive | 24.8% | 30.2% | 40.7% |
| Max Negative | -10.4% | -14.2% | -13.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/19/2026 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2025 | 01/30/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/22/2025 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 01/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 06/09/2023 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 02/10/2023 | 424B4 |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/19/2026 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2025 | 01/30/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/22/2025 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 01/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 06/09/2023 | 10-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 02/10/2023 | 424B4 |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 6/1/2026Latest: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 5/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2027 Revenue | 3.80 Bil | 3.95 Bil | 4.10 Bil | 14.1% | Higher New | Actual: 3.46 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2027 GAAP Net Income | 501.00 Mil | 530.00 Mil | 559.00 Mil | -0.5% | Lower New | Actual: 532.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2027 GAAP Diluted EPS | 3.19 | 3.38 | 3.56 | -3.0% | Lower New | Actual: 3.48 for 2026 | |
| 2027 Adjusted EBITDA | 825.00 Mil | 862.50 Mil | 900.00 Mil | 5.2% | Higher New | Actual: 820.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2027 Adjusted Diluted EPS | 4.21 | 4.4 | 4.59 | 2.1% | Higher New | Actual: 4.31 for 2026 | |
Prior: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 1/27/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 3.42 Bil | 3.46 Bil | 3.50 Bil | 2.6% | Raised | Guidance: 3.38 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 GAAP Net Income | 525.00 Mil | 532.50 Mil | 540.00 Mil | 3.6% | Raised | Guidance: 514.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 GAAP Diluted EPS | 3.43 | 3.48 | 3.53 | 3.6% | Raised | Guidance: 3.36 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 810.00 Mil | 820.00 Mil | 830.00 Mil | 3.1% | Raised | Guidance: 795.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted Diluted EPS | 4.26 | 4.31 | 4.36 | 4.0% | Raised | Guidance: 4.14 for 2026 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 6/23/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boynton, Charles D | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 6022026 | 151.79 | 4,500 | 683,055 | 54,416,715 | Form |
| 2 | Miller, Nicholas Marco | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 6012026 | 156.00 | 22,427 | 3,498,612 | 29,046,264 | Form |
| 3 | Wenger, Howard | President | Direct | Sell | 5272026 | 130.25 | 62,670 | 8,162,614 | 55,546,286 | Form |
| 4 | Shugar, Daniel S | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 5272026 | 134.72 | 26,077 | 3,513,093 | 125,480,768 | Form |
| 5 | Ledesma, Bruce | Chief Legal & Compliance Ofc | Direct | Sell | 5272026 | 134.72 | 3,248 | 437,571 | 33,158,634 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boynton, Charles D | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 6022026 | 151.79 | 4,500 | 683,055 | 54,416,715 | Form |
| 2 | Miller, Nicholas Marco | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 6012026 | 156.00 | 22,427 | 3,498,612 | 29,046,264 | Form |
| 3 | Wenger, Howard | President | Direct | Sell | 5272026 | 130.25 | 62,670 | 8,162,614 | 55,546,286 | Form |
| 4 | Shugar, Daniel S | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 5272026 | 134.72 | 26,077 | 3,513,093 | 125,480,768 | Form |
| 5 | Ledesma, Bruce | Chief Legal & Compliance Ofc | Direct | Sell | 5272026 | 134.72 | 3,248 | 437,571 | 33,158,634 | Form |
| 6 | Wenger, Howard | President | Direct | Sell | 5262026 | 121.02 | 9,051 | 1,095,352 | 60,453,242 | Form |
| 7 | Wenger, Howard | President | Direct | Sell | 5222026 | 127.32 | 16,090 | 2,048,579 | 64,752,660 | Form |
| 8 | Miller, Nicholas Marco | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 5222026 | 127.32 | 24,511 | 3,120,741 | 28,205,582 | Form |
| 9 | Shugar, Daniel S | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 3092026 | 105.17 | 59,456 | 6,253,223 | 78,495,433 | Form |
| 10 | Shugar, Daniel S | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 3062026 | 101.04 | 39,892 | 4,030,688 | 59,107,390 | Form |
| 11 | Boynton, Charles D | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3042026 | 100.45 | 4,500 | 452,025 | 28,734,627 | Form |
| 12 | Watkins, William D | Direct | Sell | 2022026 | 118.57 | 5,000 | 592,850 | 1,396,399 | Form | |
| 13 | Bennett, David P | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 12122025 | 88.08 | 33,725 | 2,970,498 | 11,535,573 | Form |
| 14 | Boynton, Charles D | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12022025 | 89.33 | 4,500 | 401,985 | 25,955,635 | Form |
| 15 | Watkins, William D | Direct | Sell | 11192025 | 91.85 | 10,000 | 918,520 | 1,541,001 | Form | |
| 16 | Shugar, Daniel S | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 11182025 | 91.28 | 47,743 | 4,357,846 | 57,037,461 | Form |
| 17 | Wenger, Howard | President | Direct | Sell | 9302025 | 75.00 | 5,217 | 391,275 | 30,677,925 | Form |
| 18 | Boynton, Charles D | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 9152025 | 67.21 | 4,500 | 302,445 | 19,830,915 | Form |
| 19 | Bennett, David P | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 9152025 | 67.08 | 29,178 | 1,957,260 | 11,047,539 | Form |
| 20 | Wenger, Howard | President | Direct | Sell | 8202025 | 70.00 | 5,703 | 399,210 | 28,997,920 | Form |
| 21 | Ledesma, Bruce | Chief Legal & Compliance Ofc | Direct | Sell | 8112025 | 56.24 | 6,980 | 392,555 | 11,011,201 | Form |
| 22 | Watkins, William D | Trust | Sell | 8052025 | 56.79 | 10,000 | 567,900 | 435,352 | Form | |
| 23 | Wenger, Howard | President | Direct | Sell | 7032025 | 65.00 | 5,216 | 339,040 | 27,297,335 | Form |
| 24 | Miller, Nicholas Marco | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 7022025 | 54.27 | 946 | 51,339 | 9,174,561 | Form |
| 25 | Miller, Nicholas Marco | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 6262025 | 57.32 | 5,588 | 320,304 | 9,744,400 | Form |
| 26 | Miller, Nicholas Marco | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 6132025 | 59.65 | 69,774 | 4,162,084 | 10,451,797 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Industrials Resources |
| IndustryWeek |
| Manufacturing.net |
| Aviation Week |
| Electrical Components & Equipment Resources |
| EC&M (Electrical Construction & Maintenance) |
| Electrical Contracting News (ECN) |
| EE Times |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.