KKR Real Estate Finance Trust (KREF)
Market Price (6/21/2026): $7.07 | Market Cap: $457.2 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs
KKR Real Estate Finance Trust (KREF)
Market Price (6/21/2026): $7.07Market Cap: $457.2 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Mortgage REITs
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 56% Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 14%, FCF Yield is 14% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers. Themes include Private Credit, E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1007% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.0% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% Key risksKREF key risks include [1] deteriorating credit quality and defaults, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 56% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 14%, FCF Yield is 14% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers. Themes include Private Credit, E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1007% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.0% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% |
| Key risksKREF key risks include [1] deteriorating credit quality and defaults, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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KKR Real Estate Finance Trust (KREF) stock has gained about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strategic Portfolio Repositioning and De-risking. KKR Real Estate Finance Trust initiated a "transition year" for 2026, focusing on repositioning its portfolio by reducing exposure to "legacy office" assets from 21% to less than 10% by year-end and rotating into newer, higher-quality assets. Loans originated between 2024 and 2026 are projected to represent approximately 50% of the portfolio by the end of the year, a move expected to enhance future earnings potential, despite the Q1 2026 GAAP net loss of $62 million.
2. Strengthened Liquidity and Capital Allocation. The company reported a strengthened liquidity position in Q1 2026, with cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash increasing to $137.3 million at March 31, 2026, up from $107.3 million a year earlier. This improvement was primarily driven by strong principal repayments of commercial real estate loans totaling $489.7 million, which exceeded new originations and fundings of $194.7 million during the quarter, reflecting a disciplined approach to capital management.
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KKR Real Estate Finance Trust (KREF) stock has gained about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strategic Portfolio Repositioning and De-risking. KKR Real Estate Finance Trust initiated a "transition year" for 2026, focusing on repositioning its portfolio by reducing exposure to "legacy office" assets from 21% to less than 10% by year-end and rotating into newer, higher-quality assets. Loans originated between 2024 and 2026 are projected to represent approximately 50% of the portfolio by the end of the year, a move expected to enhance future earnings potential, despite the Q1 2026 GAAP net loss of $62 million.
2. Strengthened Liquidity and Capital Allocation. The company reported a strengthened liquidity position in Q1 2026, with cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash increasing to $137.3 million at March 31, 2026, up from $107.3 million a year earlier. This improvement was primarily driven by strong principal repayments of commercial real estate loans totaling $489.7 million, which exceeded new originations and fundings of $194.7 million during the quarter, reflecting a disciplined approach to capital management.
3. Significant Lease Agreement for High-Quality Office Asset. A notable company-specific development was the announcement on March 23, 2026, that KREF and TMG Partners secured a lease for the entire 350-380 Ellis Office Campus in Mountain View to OpenAI. This major lease for a prime office property signaled robust demand for high-quality assets within KREF's portfolio, positively influencing investor sentiment regarding its asset management and the value of its holdings.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 5.8% change in KREF stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 5.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.67 | 7.06 | 5.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 113 | 112 | -1.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.9 | 4.1 | 5.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 65 | 65 | 1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 5.8% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KREF | 5.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.2% | 31.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.7% | 41.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -10.8% change in KREF stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -7.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.91 | 7.06 | -10.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 120 | 112 | -7.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 4.3 | 4.1 | -5.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 66 | 65 | 1.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -10.8% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KREF | -10.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 33.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 1.3% | 37.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -10.3% change in KREF stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -23.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.87 | 7.06 | -10.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 145 | 112 | -23.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.7 | 4.1 | 9.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 69 | 65 | 6.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -10.3% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KREF | -10.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | 32.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 6.7% | 38.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -10.8% change in KREF stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -38.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.91 | 7.06 | -10.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 180 | 112 | -38.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.0 | 4.1 | 34.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 69 | 65 | 6.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -10.8% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KREF | -10.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.7% | 41.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 77.0% | 46.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KREF Return | 26% | -26% | 9% | -16% | -9% | -14% | -33% |
| Peers Return | 21% | -12% | 21% | -3% | 9% | -4% | 32% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KREF Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 42% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 48% | 53% | 53% | 55% | 33% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KREF Max Drawdown | -11% | -32% | -37% | -30% | -26% | -27% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -15% | -30% | -26% | -16% | -17% | -13% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: STWD, BXMT, ARI, LADR, FBRT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KREF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -15.1% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 17.7% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 22 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -32.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.8% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 266 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -54.6% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 120.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 379 days | 140 days |
In The Past
KKR Real Estate Finance Trust's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | KREF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -32.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.8% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 266 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -54.6% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 120.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 379 days | 140 days |
In The Past
KKR Real Estate Finance Trust's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About KKR Real Estate Finance Trust (KREF)
KKR Real Estate Finance Trust (KREF) operates as a mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT). Its core business involves providing capital to the commercial real estate (CRE) market, primarily by originating and acquiring debt investments. As an mREIT, KREF is structured to pass through most of its taxable income to shareholders, typically in the form of dividends, making it an income-oriented investment vehicle.
The company's main activities focus on originating and purchasing senior loans, which are loans secured by commercial real estate assets. These investments include both leveraged and unleveraged commercial mortgage loans. Additionally, KREF invests in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), which are financial instruments representing an interest in a pool of commercial mortgages. Its primary market is the commercial real estate sector, where it serves as a lender and investor, providing essential financing solutions for various commercial properties.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for KKR Real Estate Finance Trust (KREF):
- Fannie Mae, but for commercial real estate mortgages.
- Blackstone for commercial real estate loans.
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- Senior Commercial Mortgage Loans: KKR Real Estate Finance Trust originates and acquires senior debt secured by commercial real estate assets, which can be leveraged or unleveraged.
- Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS): The company also engages in the purchase of these credit investments, which are securities backed by commercial mortgages.
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KKR Real Estate Finance Trust (KREF) operates as a mortgage real estate investment trust that primarily originates and acquires senior loans secured by commercial real estate (CRE) assets. Therefore, its "customers" are the entities that borrow these loans to finance their CRE projects or acquisitions.
KREF sells primarily to other companies involved in the commercial real estate sector. These are generally private companies, special purpose vehicles, or institutional investors rather than identifiable public companies with specific symbols. The major categories of customers KREF serves include:
- Commercial Real Estate Developers: Companies or entities involved in the development, construction, or redevelopment of commercial properties, such as office buildings, multifamily residential complexes, industrial facilities, and retail centers.
- Commercial Real Estate Investors/Owners: Institutional investors, private equity firms, or property companies that acquire, own, and manage income-producing commercial real estate assets, seeking financing for acquisitions, refinancing, or bridge loans.
- Real Estate Private Equity Funds: Investment funds that focus on real estate, often requiring significant debt financing for their portfolio acquisitions and value-add strategies.
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- KKR & Co. Inc. (symbol: KKR)
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Matt Salem, Chief Executive Officer of KREF, Director of KREF Board, Partner and Head of KKR Real Estate Credit
Mr. Salem joined KKR in 2015 and has served as Chief Executive Officer of KKR Real Estate Finance Trust (KREF) since March 2020. He also holds the position of Vice Chairman of KKR Real Estate Select Trust Inc. Before joining KKR, Mr. Salem was a managing director at Rialto Capital Management from 2012 to 2015. Prior to Rialto, he served as a managing director and head of CMBS trading at Goldman Sachs from 2006 to 2012. His earlier career included senior investment roles at Morgan Stanley and Citigroup Alternative Investments, where he focused on mezzanine debt and high-yield commercial real estate credit for Travelers Insurance. He began his career at Midland Loan Services in 1996. Under his leadership, KKR's real estate credit business has significantly grown to over $43 billion in assets under management.
Kendra Decious, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Ms. Decious joined KKR in 2006 and is a Managing Director in the Finance group. She has served as Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of KREF and its Manager since March 2022. From 2006 to 2010, she was the Chief Financial Officer of KKR Private Equity Investors, L.P., indicating experience within private equity-backed structures.
W. Patrick Mattson, President and Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Mattson joined KKR in 2015 and is a Managing Director and the Chief Operating Officer of KKR's Real Estate Credit group. He has served as President and Chief Operating Officer of KREF since March 2020. Before joining KKR, Mr. Mattson was a managing director at Rialto Capital Management, where he led the mezzanine debt platform. Prior to Rialto, he spent nine years at Morgan Stanley in various commercial real estate groups, including on the securitized products trading desk. His career also includes time at Deloitte & Touche, where he focused on the firm's CMBS practice.
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Here are the key risks to KKR Real Estate Finance Trust (KREF):
- Deterioration in the Commercial Real Estate (CRE) Market and Associated Credit Risk: KKR Real Estate Finance Trust faces significant risk from continued weakness and falling asset values within the commercial real estate market, particularly in office and life science properties. This directly threatens the quality of its loan portfolio, increases credit risks, and negatively impacts earnings and margins. The company has had to increase loan loss reserves due to pressure on property valuations. Economic downturns and shifts like remote work trends exacerbate the vulnerability of certain CRE sectors, potentially leading to loan defaults and further asset quality deterioration.
- Interest Rate Fluctuations and Market Risk: As a mortgage real estate investment trust with a portfolio predominantly composed of floating-rate loans, KREF is highly exposed to interest rate volatility. Fluctuations in interest rates can increase the company's financing costs and reduce income from its loans, impacting its ability to generate profits and pay distributions to stockholders. Any mismatch in the duration of its assets and liabilities due to changing benchmark rates could lead to significant financial challenges.
- Dividend Sustainability and Profitability Challenges: KREF has experienced periods where its dividend payouts were not adequately covered by its earnings, leading to questions about the long-term sustainability of its dividend. The company has reported net losses and distributable losses, indicating that the dividend has, at times, been paid from sources other than current GAAP earnings. This situation is a significant concern for investors, as consistent negative earnings and potential threats to dividend coverage could impact KREF's appeal as an income-generating REIT and potentially its REIT status.
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The addressable market for KKR Real Estate Finance Trust (KREF), which primarily focuses on originating and acquiring senior loans secured by commercial real estate (CRE) assets and investing in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), is the U.S. commercial real estate debt market.
The total commercial and multifamily mortgage debt outstanding in the U.S. was approximately $4.79 trillion at the end of 2024. Another estimate indicates the U.S. commercial real estate (CRE) mortgage market was $4.8 trillion as of August 2025. The broader commercial real estate (CRE) debt outstanding in the U.S. was estimated at $5.9 trillion as of the fourth quarter of 2023.
Additionally, the U.S. CMBS market, a component of KREF's investment portfolio, was approximately $1.8 trillion in market capitalization as of December 31, 2025.
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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for KKR Real Estate Finance Trust (KREF) over the next 2-3 years:
- Continued Loan Origination and Portfolio Expansion: KREF intends to continue originating new commercial real estate loans, with expectations of full-year repayments exceeding $1.5 billion in 2026. The company plans to offset these repayments with new originations, maintaining its target leverage range and growing its loan portfolio. Analysts also point to a robust demand for transitional capital in commercial real estate, which could facilitate significant loan growth.
- Geographic Diversification, including European Expansion: KREF achieved a strategic milestone in 2025 by closing its first loan in Europe, establishing a foundation for continued geographic diversification of its real estate credit platform. This expansion into new markets provides additional opportunities for loan origination and revenue generation.
- Strategic Focus on Resilient Property Sectors: KREF has demonstrated a concentrated investment strategy, with over 75% of new originations in 2025 focused on multifamily and industrial loans. These sectors are identified as having resilient fundamentals and attractive risk-adjusted returns, which are expected to drive consistent and quality loan growth.
- Improved Portfolio Stability and Credit Quality: Anticipated improvements in watchlist metrics and overall portfolio stability are expected to enhance investor sentiment and can support earnings growth through 2026. KREF has already reduced its watchlist percentage from 13% in the fourth quarter of 2023 to 8% in the fourth quarter of 2024, indicating better asset management outcomes and potentially fewer credit losses.
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Share Repurchases
- KKR Real Estate Finance Trust repurchased $43 million of common stock in full year 2025 at a weighted average price of $9.35 per share, resulting in approximately $0.32 of accretion to book value per share.
- During the second quarter of 2025, KREF repurchased 2 million shares for a total of $20 million at an average price of $9.21 per share.
- As of the end of the fourth quarter of 2025, approximately $47 million remained under the current share buyback authorization plan, which initially authorized up to $100 million of common stock repurchases effective February 3, 2023.
Share Issuance
- In April 2021, KREF priced a public offering of 6,000,000 shares of 6.50% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock at $25.00 per share, generating gross proceeds of $150,000,000.
- KKR Real Estate Finance Trust priced an underwritten public offering of 5,000,000 shares of common stock in October 2021, with estimated gross proceeds of approximately $110.0 million.
- In March 2022, the company announced the pricing of an underwritten public offering of 6,000,000 shares of its common stock, with total estimated gross proceeds of approximately $125 million.
Inbound Investments
- In March 2025, KREF closed on a new $550 million Senior Secured Term Loan B due in 2032.
- The company repriced and upsized its outstanding Term Loan B to an aggregate principal amount of $650 million due in 2032 in September 2025, reducing the coupon.
- During 2025, KREF increased the borrowing capacity on its corporate revolving credit facility by $90 million to $700 million and extended its maturity date until 2030.
Outbound Investments
- For the full year 2025, KREF originated and funded $1.1 billion and $1.0 billion, respectively, in floating-rate senior loans, which included two European loans.
- In the fourth quarter of 2025, originations and fundings totaled $424 million and $397 million, respectively, primarily for four floating-rate senior loans, including two European loans.
- KREF closed its first loans in Europe in 2025, representing a strategic effort to diversify its geographic investment portfolio.
Capital Expenditures
- KREF anticipates capital expenditures and tenant improvement work will be needed for a Mountain View, California, office property, with monetization likely occurring after 2026.
- In 2025, KREF took title to multifamily properties in West Hollywood, CA, and Raleigh, NC, through deed-in-lieu of foreclosures and is progressing on execution plans for these Real Estate Owned (REO) assets, which may involve capital for reinvestment.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 10.52 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.4 |
| Rev LTM | 381 |
| Op Inc LTM | 49 |
| FCF LTM | 115 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 129 |
| CFO LTM | 119 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 163 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -4.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -7.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | -3.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.7% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -55.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -9.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -7.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 54.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 72.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 50.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 52.2% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $7.06 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/05/2017 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -21.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $6.61 | $7.34 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | 6.9% | -3.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 39.9% | 30.2% |
| Downside Capture | 74.98 | 103.00 |
| Upside Capture | 87.02 | 58.17 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 26.7% | 31.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.61 | 1.14 | 0.78 | 0.91 | 0.80 | 0.86 |
| Up Beta | 1.09 | 0.96 | -0.23 | 0.08 | 0.58 | 0.73 |
| Down Beta | 3.88 | 3.12 | 1.45 | 1.74 | 1.14 | 1.07 |
| Up Capture | 146% | 78% | 80% | 58% | 42% | 41% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 15 | 27 | 35 | 61 | 121 | 373 |
| Down Capture | 104% | 150% | 128% | 130% | 103% | 100% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 5 | 14 | 28 | 60 | 121 | 360 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KREF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KREF | -11.9% | 30.2% | -0.41 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.3% | 14.6% | 0.33 | 37.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.5% | 12.4% | 1.61 | 31.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.77 | 8.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.8% | 18.8% | 0.83 | -5.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.0% | 13.7% | 0.52 | 39.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.0% | 42.5% | -1.08 | 22.1% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KREF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KREF | -11.3% | 30.1% | -0.37 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.3% | 18.6% | 0.37 | 50.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 46.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | 10.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | 14.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 54.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.0% | 54.2% | 0.40 | 17.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KREF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KREF | -2.5% | 30.7% | -0.03 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.0% | 22.2% | 0.54 | 53.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 49.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.63 | 6.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 20.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 59.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.0% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 15.8% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/3/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/22/2026 | -9.1% | -8.1% | -4.3% |
| 2/3/2026 | -3.7% | -12.7% | -11.1% |
| 10/21/2025 | -0.6% | -1.8% | -7.3% |
| 7/22/2025 | 0.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% |
| 4/23/2025 | -3.7% | -0.3% | -4.3% |
| 2/3/2025 | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% |
| 10/21/2024 | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.1% |
| 7/22/2024 | 14.6% | 12.4% | 12.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| # Negative | 15 | 15 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 1.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% |
| Median Negative | -2.5% | -2.7% | -5.8% |
| Max Positive | 14.6% | 12.4% | 19.2% |
| Max Negative | -13.8% | -21.7% | -18.5% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/22/2026 | -9.1% | -8.1% | -4.3% |
| 2/3/2026 | -3.7% | -12.7% | -11.1% |
| 10/21/2025 | -0.6% | -1.8% | -7.3% |
| 7/22/2025 | 0.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% |
| 4/23/2025 | -3.7% | -0.3% | -4.3% |
| 2/3/2025 | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% |
| 10/21/2024 | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.1% |
| 7/22/2024 | 14.6% | 12.4% | 12.5% |
| 4/23/2024 | -2.4% | -6.1% | -3.3% |
| 2/6/2024 | -13.8% | -21.7% | -15.9% |
| 10/23/2023 | 2.2% | 2.7% | 19.2% |
| 7/24/2023 | -2.7% | -2.1% | -11.5% |
| 4/24/2023 | -6.7% | -6.5% | 1.6% |
| 2/7/2023 | -5.2% | -4.5% | -18.5% |
| 10/24/2022 | -1.9% | 3.0% | -2.5% |
| 7/25/2022 | 0.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% |
| 4/25/2022 | -1.6% | -4.4% | 1.6% |
| 2/8/2022 | -0.5% | -1.6% | -6.7% |
| 10/25/2021 | 0.8% | -2.7% | -5.8% |
| 7/26/2021 | -1.2% | -0.8% | -2.0% |
| 4/26/2021 | 2.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% |
| 2/16/2021 | -2.5% | -2.4% | 1.5% |
| 10/26/2020 | 1.4% | 3.5% | 11.5% |
| 8/3/2020 | 0.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| # Negative | 15 | 15 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 1.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% |
| Median Negative | -2.5% | -2.7% | -5.8% |
| Max Positive | 14.6% | 12.4% | 19.2% |
| Max Negative | -13.8% | -21.7% | -18.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/22/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/03/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/21/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/22/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/23/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/03/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/21/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/22/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/23/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/06/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/23/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/24/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/24/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/07/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/24/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/25/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/22/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/03/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/21/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/22/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/23/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/03/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/21/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/22/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/23/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/06/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/23/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/24/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/24/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/07/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/24/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/25/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/25/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/08/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 10/25/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 07/26/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 04/26/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/16/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 10/26/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/03/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 04/28/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/19/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 10/30/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/01/2019 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Updated 4/26/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosenberg, Ralph F | Direct | Sell | 12032025 | 8.25 | 125,289 | Form | |||
| 2 | Rosenberg, Ralph F | See footnote. | Sell | 12032025 | 8.25 | 125,289 | Form | |||
| 3 | Lee, Christen EJ | Direct | Buy | 11102025 | 7.80 | 10,000 | 77,978 | 1,786,733 | Form | |
| 4 | Ahern, Terrance R | Direct | Buy | 11102025 | 7.81 | 23,700 | 185,197 | 488,825 | Form | |
| 5 | Mattson, W Patrick | President and COO | Direct | Buy | 11102025 | 7.91 | 13,000 | 102,805 | 3,058,750 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosenberg, Ralph F | Direct | Sell | 12032025 | 8.25 | 125,289 | Form | |||
| 2 | Rosenberg, Ralph F | See footnote. | Sell | 12032025 | 8.25 | 125,289 | Form | |||
| 3 | Lee, Christen EJ | Direct | Buy | 11102025 | 7.80 | 10,000 | 77,978 | 1,786,733 | Form | |
| 4 | Ahern, Terrance R | Direct | Buy | 11102025 | 7.81 | 23,700 | 185,197 | 488,825 | Form | |
| 5 | Mattson, W Patrick | President and COO | Direct | Buy | 11102025 | 7.91 | 13,000 | 102,805 | 3,058,750 | Form |
| 6 | Salem, Matthew A | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 11102025 | 7.84 | 32,000 | 250,963 | 4,406,169 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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