National Health Investors (NHI)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $77.57 | Market Cap: $3.7 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Health Care REITs
National Health Investors (NHI)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $77.57Market Cap: $3.7 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Health Care REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.3%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.1%, FCF Yield is 6.0% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.1%, Dist 3Y High is -3.2% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 11x |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 52% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -5.8% | Key risksNHI key risks include [1] high tenant concentration, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 64%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 64% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.15 | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 20% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Geriatric Care. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.3%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.1%, FCF Yield is 6.0% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 52% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 64%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 64% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 20% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Geriatric Care. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.1%, Dist 3Y High is -3.2% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -5.8% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.15 |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 11x |
| Key risksNHI key risks include [1] high tenant concentration, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NHI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
I am unable to provide information on stock movements for the specified time period (8/31/2025 to 12/18/2025) as it is in the future.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NHI Return | -9% | -12% | -3% | 15% | 31% | 15% | 34% |
| Peers Return | -17% | 10% | -14% | 15% | 19% | 26% | 35% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NHI Win Rate | 67% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 53% | 42% | 57% | 67% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NHI Max Drawdown | -59% | -23% | -10% | -8% | -8% | -5% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -57% | -10% | -26% | -13% | -15% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VTR, HR, SBRA, UHT, WELL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NHI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 996 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -63.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 170.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -21.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 300 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -45.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 378 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to VTR, HR, SBRA, UHT, WELL
In The Past
National Health Investors's stock fell -34.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -34.5% loss requires a 52.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NHI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
| 06302020 | NHI | National Health Investors | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.2% | 17.5% | -8.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
| 06302020 | NHI | National Health Investors | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.2% | 17.5% | -8.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for National Health Investors
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 60.07 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.3 |
| Rev LTM | 965 |
| Op Inc LTM | 225 |
| FCF LTM | 284 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 270 |
| CFO LTM | 402 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 402 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 26.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 25.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 42.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 42.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 37.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 35.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.3 |
| P/S | 5.9 |
| P/EBIT | 17.2 |
| P/E | 27.9 |
| P/CFO | 15.1 |
| Total Yield | 5.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 5.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 14.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 15.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 80.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 2.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 3.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 8.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Estate Investments | 271 | 242 | ||
| Senior Housing Operating Portfolio (SHOP) | 49 | 36 | ||
| Non-segment/Corporate | 0 | 0 | ||
| Interest income and other | 26 | 24 | ||
| Rental income | 307 | 294 | ||
| Total | 320 | 278 | 333 | 318 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Estate Investments | 209 | 132 | ||
| Senior Housing Operating Portfolio (SHOP) | 0 | 1 | ||
| Non-segment/Corporate | -75 | -68 | ||
| Total | 134 | 66 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Estate Investments | 2,203 | 2,225 | ||
| Senior Housing Operating Portfolio (SHOP) | 270 | 274 | ||
| Non-segment/Corporate | 16 | 8 | ||
| Total | 2,488 | 2,507 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.1% |
| 8/6/2025 | 2.5% | 2.4% | 7.8% |
| 2/25/2025 | -0.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% |
| 11/5/2024 | 0.0% | 4.6% | -1.5% |
| 8/6/2024 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 11.0% |
| 5/6/2024 | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% |
| 2/20/2024 | 6.6% | 10.5% | 14.6% |
| 11/7/2023 | 2.2% | 6.7% | 9.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 15 | 16 |
| # Negative | 11 | 8 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 2.2% | 3.2% | 7.5% |
| Median Negative | -2.5% | -4.1% | -8.0% |
| Max Positive | 8.2% | 10.5% | 21.3% |
| Max Negative | -6.7% | -6.9% | -62.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5052025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2202024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2212023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2222022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |