Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, Dividend Yield is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 6.8%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.9%, Dist 3Y High is -4.7%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -63%
Key risks
O key risks include [1] potentially diluted portfolio quality and elevated tenant credit risk from recent large acquisitions, Show more.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 67%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 67%, CFO LTM is 3.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.8 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 18%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, Dividend Yield is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 6.8%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 67%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 67%, CFO LTM is 3.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.8 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 18%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.9%, Dist 3Y High is -4.7%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -63%
7 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51%
8 Key risks
O key risks include [1] potentially diluted portfolio quality and elevated tenant credit risk from recent large acquisitions, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

O Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Realty Income (O) stock experienced minor fluctuations between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025. During this period, the stock's movement was influenced by its quarterly earnings reports, strategic investments, and dividend performance.

1. Q3 2025 Earnings Report: On November 3, 2025, Realty Income released its Q3 2025 earnings, reporting mixed results. The company slightly missed earnings per share (EPS) forecasts at $0.35, below the anticipated $0.36, but significantly exceeded revenue projections with $1.47 billion against a forecast of $1.36 billion. Following the announcement, the stock experienced a minor decline of 0.29% in aftermarket trading.

2. Increased Investment Guidance: Realty Income raised its 2025 investment volume guidance to approximately $5.5 billion, up from its previous guidance of $5.0 billion. This increase, driven by a strong pipeline of opportunities, particularly in Europe, signaled the company's aggressive expansion strategy. In Q3 2025 alone, the company invested $1.4 billion at an initial weighted average cash yield of 7.7%.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
O Return-12%24%-7%-5%-2%14%8%
Peers Return-12%35%-1%3%6%9%41%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
O Win Rate67%58%58%42%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate53%67%47%45%63%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
O Max Drawdown-42%-7%-20%-24%-10%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-50%-5%-19%-20%-11%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NNN, ADC, WPC, SPG, VICI. See O Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven61.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven94.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven279 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-50.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven101.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven377 days1,480 days

Compare to SPG, KIM, REG, FRT, NNN


In The Past

Realty Income's stock fell -38.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/15/2022. A -38.2% loss requires a 61.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Realty Income (O)

Better Bets than Realty Income (O)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to O. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-3.6%-3.6%-5.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-3.6%-3.6%-5.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Realty Income

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ONNNADCWPCSPGVICIMedian
NameRealty I.NNN REIT Agree Re.W.P. Car.Simon Pr.VICI Pro. 
Mkt Price57.7640.6872.1765.15184.2228.3961.45
Mkt Cap52.87.68.014.460.130.322.3
Rev LTM5,6129066891,6786,1553,9692,824
Op Inc LTM2,5645573308483,1203,6751,706
FCF LTM3,7636594841,2743,1212,4601,867
FCF 3Y Avg3,3186344371,3953,0662,2851,840
CFO LTM3,7636594841,2744,0182,4621,868
CFO 3Y Avg3,3186344371,3953,8702,2891,842

Growth & Margins

ONNNADCWPCSPGVICIMedian
NameRealty I.NNN REIT Agree Re.W.P. Car.Simon Pr.VICI Pro. 
Rev Chg LTM14.7%4.5%14.7%5.6%4.2%4.3%5.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg21.5%6.0%19.5%5.6%5.7%23.5%12.7%
Rev Chg Q9.1%5.3%18.7%8.5%8.2%4.4%8.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%1.3%4.4%2.1%2.0%1.1%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM45.7%61.5%47.9%50.5%50.7%92.6%50.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg42.6%62.0%48.4%48.0%50.4%93.4%49.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.1%-0.1%0.0%1.0%-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM67.1%72.7%70.3%75.9%65.3%62.0%68.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg69.5%73.6%73.1%84.4%66.1%61.2%71.3%
FCF/Rev LTM67.1%72.7%70.3%75.9%50.7%62.0%68.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg69.5%73.6%73.1%84.4%52.3%61.0%71.3%

Valuation

ONNNADCWPCSPGVICIMedian
NameRealty I.NNN REIT Agree Re.W.P. Car.Simon Pr.VICI Pro. 
Mkt Cap52.87.68.014.460.130.322.3
P/S9.98.811.58.910.08.89.4
P/EBIT25.913.624.421.517.39.519.4
P/E57.720.440.840.827.312.534.0
P/CFO14.812.116.311.715.214.114.4
Total Yield6.9%10.4%6.6%7.7%4.4%13.2%7.3%
Dividend Yield5.2%5.5%4.2%5.2%0.7%5.2%5.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.9%8.3%6.4%10.4%6.4%6.9%6.9%
D/E0.50.60.40.60.40.50.5
Net D/E0.50.60.40.60.40.50.5

Returns

ONNNADCWPCSPGVICIMedian
NameRealty I.NNN REIT Agree Re.W.P. Car.Simon Pr.VICI Pro. 
1M Rtn1.8%-0.9%-1.9%-2.8%3.0%-4.3%-1.4%
3M Rtn-1.9%-3.0%1.3%-2.8%2.7%-10.3%-2.4%
6M Rtn3.2%-1.9%-2.1%5.2%20.1%-9.5%0.6%
12M Rtn12.1%2.9%2.7%22.6%7.6%0.0%5.2%
3Y Rtn7.2%5.7%16.8%-0.7%86.2%1.6%6.5%
1M Excs Rtn1.1%-1.6%-2.6%-3.5%2.3%-5.0%-2.1%
3M Excs Rtn-2.3%-3.7%0.6%-3.5%2.2%-11.5%-2.9%
6M Excs Rtn-9.2%-14.3%-14.5%-7.2%7.7%-21.9%-11.8%
12M Excs Rtn-0.6%-9.8%-10.3%10.1%-3.3%-13.2%-6.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-63.2%-65.4%-53.2%-68.7%14.2%-69.1%-64.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment4,079    
Industrial 495   
Other Rental 74   
Other revenue 44   
Retail 2,730   
Automotive service    32
Beverages    32
Child care    32
Convenience stores - U.S.    167
Dollar stores    103
Drug stores    128
Financial services    30
General merchandise - U.S.    35
Grocery stores - U.K.    18
Grocery stores - U.S.    70
Health and fitness    106
Home improvement - U.S.    42
Other    7
Other non-reportable segments (and contractually obligated reimbursements by our clients)    361
Restaurants - casual dining    45
Restaurants - quick service - U.S.    92
Theaters - U.S.    88
Transportation services    66
Wholesale club    38
Total4,0793,344  1,492


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity47,209,585
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202516.5%
Average Daily Volume6,113,909
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.72
Basic Shares Quantity913,949,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/2025-3.5%-3.1%0.5%
8/6/20250.3%1.7%4.7%
5/5/2025-0.3%-1.8%-1.3%
2/24/2025-1.9%0.9%-2.4%
11/4/2024-0.8%-2.8%-4.8%
8/5/20242.1%1.9%6.4%
5/6/2024-0.8%-0.9%-2.1%
2/20/20240.4%-0.3%0.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151313
# Negative91111
Median Positive0.7%1.9%3.4%
Median Negative-1.2%-1.7%-3.8%
Max Positive4.1%6.7%19.4%
Max Negative-3.5%-7.0%-39.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021