Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

O Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period for the stock movement analysis of Realty Income (symbol: O) is from August 31, 2025, to today, December 4, 2025. This timeframe lies in the future relative to the available real-time information. Therefore, I cannot provide an analysis of actual stock movements or the specific reasons for a 0.7% change during this future period. However, based on the most recent available information, here are some key points related to Realty Income (O) up to December 3, 2025, which may provide context for its ongoing performance and analyst sentiment: **1. Barclays raised its price target for Realty Income (O) to $64.00 on December 3, 2025, while maintaining an Equal-Weight rating.** This adjustment suggests a positive outlook from the analyst's previous assessment, reflecting a 1.59% increase in the price target.

**2. Realty Income announced an $800 million perpetual preferred equity investment in CityCenter Las Vegas real estate assets on December 1, 2025.** This investment deepens its relationship with Blackstone Real Estate, expands its gaming exposure, and is expected to carry an initial unlevered return of 7.4% with annual escalators. This transaction also led to an increase in Realty Income's 2025 investment volume outlook to over $6.0 billion.

**3. Realty Income reported its Q3 2025 operating results on November 3, 2025, with adjusted FFO per share of $1.08, surpassing Wall Street expectations of $1.07.** The company's revenue for the quarter was $1.47 billion, beating analysts' expectations of $1.35 billion. The company also increased its 2025 investment volume guidance.

**4. Realty Income consistently pays monthly dividends, with its 665th consecutive common stock monthly dividend announced on November 7, 2025.** The company has an annual dividend of $3.23 per share, with a yield of 5.57%, and has increased its dividends for 25 consecutive years.

**5. Analyst consensus for Realty Income (O) generally indicates a "Hold" rating with an average target price suggesting potential upside.** As of December 3, 2025, the average brokerage recommendation is 2.7, indicating "Hold" status, and the average one-year target price from 20 analysts is $62.80, implying an upside of 8.86% from a current price of $57.69.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
O Return-12%24%-7%-5%-2%14%8%
Peers Return-27%65%-14%11%14%-1%29%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
O Win Rate67%58%58%42%42%70% 
Peers Win Rate42%78%35%55%62%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
O Max Drawdown-42%-7%-20%-24%-10%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-56%-4%-29%-16%-9%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SPG, KIM, REG, FRT, NNN. See O Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven61.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven94.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven279 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-50.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven101.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven377 days1480 days

Compare to SPG, KIM, REG, FRT, NNN


In The Past

Realty Income's stock fell -38.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/15/2022. A -38.2% loss requires a 61.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Realty Income (O)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to O. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.5%8.5%-5.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.5%8.5%-5.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Realty Income

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OSPGKIMREGFRTNNNMedian
NameRealty I.Simon Pr.Kimco Re.Regency .Federal .NNN REIT  
Mkt Price-------
Mkt Cap-------
Rev LTM-------
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-------
FCF 3Y Avg-------
CFO LTM-------
CFO 3Y Avg-------

Growth & Margins

OSPGKIMREGFRTNNNMedian
NameRealty I.Simon Pr.Kimco Re.Regency .Federal .NNN REIT  
Rev Chg LTM-------
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-------
Rev Chg Q-------
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-------
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-------
FCF/Rev LTM-------
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-------

Valuation

OSPGKIMREGFRTNNNMedian
NameRealty I.Simon Pr.Kimco Re.Regency .Federal .NNN REIT  
Mkt Cap-------
P/S-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E-------
P/CFO-------
Total Yield-------
Dividend Yield-------
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-------
D/E-------
Net D/E-------

Returns

OSPGKIMREGFRTNNNMedian
NameRealty I.Simon Pr.Kimco Re.Regency .Federal .NNN REIT  
1M Rtn-------
3M Rtn-------
6M Rtn-------
12M Rtn-------
3Y Rtn-------
1M Excs Rtn-------
3M Excs Rtn-------
6M Excs Rtn-------
12M Excs Rtn-------
3Y Excs Rtn-------

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment4,079    
Industrial 495   
Other Rental 74   
Other revenue 44   
Retail 2,730   
Automotive service    32
Beverages    32
Child care    32
Convenience stores - U.S.    167
Dollar stores    103
Drug stores    128
Financial services    30
General merchandise - U.S.    35
Grocery stores - U.K.    18
Grocery stores - U.S.    70
Health and fitness    106
Home improvement - U.S.    42
Other    7
Other non-reportable segments (and contractually obligated reimbursements by our clients)    361
Restaurants - casual dining    45
Restaurants - quick service - U.S.    92
Theaters - U.S.    88
Transportation services    66
Wholesale club    38
Total4,0793,344  1,492


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity40,508,924
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-8.2%
Average Daily Volume6,848,775
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.91
Basic Shares Quantity913,949,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021