Realty Income (O)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $57.2 | Market Cap: $52.3 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Retail REITs
Realty Income (O)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $57.2Market Cap: $52.3 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Retail REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, Dividend Yield is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 6.8% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.9%, Dist 3Y High is -4.7% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -63% | Key risksO key risks include [1] potentially diluted portfolio quality and elevated tenant credit risk from recent large acquisitions, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 67%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 67%, CFO LTM is 3.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.8 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 18% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, Dividend Yield is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 6.8% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 67%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 67%, CFO LTM is 3.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.8 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 18% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.9%, Dist 3Y High is -4.7% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -63% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51% |
| Key risksO key risks include [1] potentially diluted portfolio quality and elevated tenant credit risk from recent large acquisitions, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
O Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Realty Income (O) stock experienced minor fluctuations between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025. During this period, the stock's movement was influenced by its quarterly earnings reports, strategic investments, and dividend performance.
1. Q3 2025 Earnings Report: On November 3, 2025, Realty Income released its Q3 2025 earnings, reporting mixed results. The company slightly missed earnings per share (EPS) forecasts at $0.35, below the anticipated $0.36, but significantly exceeded revenue projections with $1.47 billion against a forecast of $1.36 billion. Following the announcement, the stock experienced a minor decline of 0.29% in aftermarket trading.
2. Increased Investment Guidance: Realty Income raised its 2025 investment volume guidance to approximately $5.5 billion, up from its previous guidance of $5.0 billion. This increase, driven by a strong pipeline of opportunities, particularly in Europe, signaled the company's aggressive expansion strategy. In Q3 2025 alone, the company invested $1.4 billion at an initial weighted average cash yield of 7.7%.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| O Return | -12% | 24% | -7% | -5% | -2% | 14% | 8% |
| Peers Return | -12% | 35% | -1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 41% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| O Win Rate | 67% | 58% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 67% | 47% | 45% | 63% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| O Max Drawdown | -42% | -7% | -20% | -24% | -10% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -50% | -5% | -19% | -20% | -11% | -7% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NNN, ADC, WPC, SPG, VICI. See O Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | O | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -38.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -48.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 279 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -50.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 101.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 377 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to SPG, KIM, REG, FRT, NNN
In The Past
Realty Income's stock fell -38.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/15/2022. A -38.2% loss requires a 61.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Realty Income Earnings Notes | |||
| How Low Can Realty Income Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| Realty Income vs Southern Copper: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Realty Income vs Essential Properties Realty Trust: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| How Does Realty Income Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Better Bet Than O Stock: Pay Less Than Realty Income To Get More From CALM, PTCT | |||
| O Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Realty Income Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 3.4% in 2024 and 1.0% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| Realty Income (O) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Realty Income (O) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| How Will Realty Income Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings? | October 31st, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to O. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Realty Income
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 61.45 |
| Mkt Cap | 22.3 |
| Rev LTM | 2,824 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,706 |
| FCF LTM | 1,867 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,840 |
| CFO LTM | 1,868 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,842 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 12.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 50.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 49.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 68.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 71.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 68.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 71.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 22.3 |
| P/S | 9.4 |
| P/EBIT | 19.4 |
| P/E | 34.0 |
| P/CFO | 14.4 |
| Total Yield | 7.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 5.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 0.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 5.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 6.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -2.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -6.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -64.3% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 4,079 | ||||
| Industrial | 495 | ||||
| Other Rental | 74 | ||||
| Other revenue | 44 | ||||
| Retail | 2,730 | ||||
| Automotive service | 32 | ||||
| Beverages | 32 | ||||
| Child care | 32 | ||||
| Convenience stores - U.S. | 167 | ||||
| Dollar stores | 103 | ||||
| Drug stores | 128 | ||||
| Financial services | 30 | ||||
| General merchandise - U.S. | 35 | ||||
| Grocery stores - U.K. | 18 | ||||
| Grocery stores - U.S. | 70 | ||||
| Health and fitness | 106 | ||||
| Home improvement - U.S. | 42 | ||||
| Other | 7 | ||||
| Other non-reportable segments (and contractually obligated reimbursements by our clients) | 361 | ||||
| Restaurants - casual dining | 45 | ||||
| Restaurants - quick service - U.S. | 92 | ||||
| Theaters - U.S. | 88 | ||||
| Transportation services | 66 | ||||
| Wholesale club | 38 | ||||
| Total | 4,079 | 3,344 | 1,492 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/3/2025 | -3.5% | -3.1% | 0.5% |
| 8/6/2025 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 4.7% |
| 5/5/2025 | -0.3% | -1.8% | -1.3% |
| 2/24/2025 | -1.9% | 0.9% | -2.4% |
| 11/4/2024 | -0.8% | -2.8% | -4.8% |
| 8/5/2024 | 2.1% | 1.9% | 6.4% |
| 5/6/2024 | -0.8% | -0.9% | -2.1% |
| 2/20/2024 | 0.4% | -0.3% | 0.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 13 | 13 |
| # Negative | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 0.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% |
| Median Negative | -1.2% | -1.7% | -3.8% |
| Max Positive | 4.1% | 6.7% | 19.4% |
| Max Negative | -3.5% | -7.0% | -39.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |