Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.6%, Dist 3Y High is -2.6%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 40x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 134x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
  Key risks
VTR key risks include [1] significant labor cost pressures and staffing shortages within its senior housing portfolio, Show more.
2 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 2.6%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Geriatric Care, and ESG REITs.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
2 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 2.6%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Geriatric Care, and ESG REITs.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.6%, Dist 3Y High is -2.6%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 40x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 134x
7 Key risks
VTR key risks include [1] significant labor cost pressures and staffing shortages within its senior housing portfolio, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VTR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Financial Performance and Positive 2025 Outlook.

Ventas reported robust financial performance and growth for the full year 2024, with expectations for significant net operating income (NOI) growth in its Senior Housing Operating Portfolio (SHOP) and accretive senior housing investments in 2025. This positive outlook and strong past performance likely boosted investor confidence.

2. Continued Double-Digit Growth in Senior Housing Operating Portfolio (SHOP).

The company achieved its third consecutive year of double-digit growth in its SHOP segment for 2024, a trend anticipated to extend into 2025. This strong organic growth in a key segment was a significant driver. Furthermore, Q3 2025 results showed SHOP same-store NOI growth at 16% year-over-year.

3. Improved Financial Position and Dividend Increase.

Ventas's Net Debt-to-Further Adjusted EBITDA improved to within its long-term targeted range by the end of the fourth quarter of 2024. Additionally, a 7% increase in the quarterly dividend was declared in February 2025, payable in April 2025, signaling financial strength and a commitment to shareholder returns.

4. Exceeding Q3 2025 Earnings Estimates.

Ventas reported better-than-expected results for the third quarter of 2025, with EPS of $0.14 surpassing the analyst estimate of $0.09 and revenue reaching $1.49 billion against an expectation of $1.44 billion. This positive earnings surprise, along with a 10% year-over-year growth in Normalized FFO per share, contributed to a stock price increase.

5. Favorable Demographics and Demand in Senior Housing.

Management consistently highlighted the unprecedented demand for senior housing due to a rapidly growing senior population and favorable supply/demand fundamentals. This demographic trend was expected to drive advantaged growth from Ventas's portfolio in 2024 and subsequent years, fostering a positive market sentiment for the company.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VTR Return-10%8%-9%15%22%36%70%
Peers Return-1%19%-25%-0%10%14%10%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VTR Win Rate75%50%50%58%67%75% 
Peers Win Rate57%52%35%57%63%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VTR Max Drawdown-71%-6%-28%-9%-16%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-44%-10%-34%-25%-18%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WELL, OHI, HR, MPW, ARE. See VTR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVTRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-43.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven696 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-73.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven271.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven741 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-34.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven479 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-64.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven179.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven602 days1,480 days

Compare to WELL, MPW, ALX, VTR, OHI


In The Past

Ventas's stock fell -43.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/29/2022. A -43.4% loss requires a 76.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ventas (VTR)

Better Bets than Ventas (VTR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VTR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-1.7%-1.7%-5.8%
VTR_6302020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302020VTRVentasDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
35.3%61.6%-6.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-1.7%-1.7%-5.8%
VTR_6302020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302020VTRVentasDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
35.3%61.6%-6.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ventas

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VTRWELLOHIHRMPWAREMedian
NameVentas WelltowerOmega He.Healthca.Medical .Alexandr. 
Mkt Price78.90189.1644.5117.115.0047.5646.03
Mkt Cap36.0127.213.26.03.08.110.6
Rev LTM5,5559,7521,1501,1859342,9802,082
Op Inc LTM8181,58071861499569643
FCF LTM9682,7468771571471,376922
FCF 3Y Avg6872,0657232283341,546705
CFO LTM1,5492,7878774631471,3761,126
CFO 3Y Avg1,2972,1137234913341,5461,010

Growth & Margins

VTRWELLOHIHRMPWAREMedian
NameVentas WelltowerOmega He.Healthca.Medical .Alexandr. 
Rev Chg LTM15.7%32.6%13.7%-6.8%45.6%-1.6%14.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.7%20.9%6.3%24.9%-6.8%6.4%8.6%
Rev Chg Q20.4%30.7%12.9%-5.6%5.2%-5.1%9.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.8%6.8%3.2%-1.5%1.3%-1.3%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM14.7%16.2%62.4%5.2%53.5%19.1%17.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.0%15.1%54.3%4.6%32.8%23.1%19.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%0.7%0.1%1.1%15.0%-2.3%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM27.9%28.6%76.2%39.1%15.8%46.2%33.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg26.3%26.8%71.6%38.8%34.4%53.0%36.6%
FCF/Rev LTM17.4%28.2%76.2%13.2%15.8%46.2%22.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg13.8%26.1%71.6%17.8%34.4%53.0%30.3%

Valuation

VTRWELLOHIHRMPWAREMedian
NameVentas WelltowerOmega He.Healthca.Medical .Alexandr. 
Mkt Cap36.0127.213.26.03.08.110.6
P/S5.712.310.95.33.34.85.5
P/EBIT39.979.815.8-40.71.4-682.48.6
P/E134.1124.723.2-17.2-4.3-34.59.4
P/CFO20.643.014.213.620.710.317.4
Total Yield3.3%0.8%10.4%0.7%-16.9%3.5%2.1%
Dividend Yield2.6%0.0%6.1%6.5%6.3%6.4%6.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.8%2.7%7.0%3.7%10.1%9.1%5.3%
D/E0.40.20.40.73.21.00.6
Net D/E0.40.10.30.73.10.90.6

Returns

VTRWELLOHIHRMPWAREMedian
NameVentas WelltowerOmega He.Healthca.Medical .Alexandr. 
1M Rtn-0.1%-4.1%0.7%-5.5%-1.1%-6.5%-2.6%
3M Rtn18.0%14.5%8.7%-3.5%2.5%-43.3%5.6%
6M Rtn27.7%24.5%24.3%16.9%17.0%-30.6%20.7%
12M Rtn34.9%48.9%21.2%4.4%34.5%-50.6%27.9%
3Y Rtn96.2%215.7%97.0%12.0%-41.9%-62.0%54.1%
1M Excs Rtn-0.9%-4.8%0.0%-6.2%-1.8%-7.2%-3.3%
3M Excs Rtn15.5%12.7%7.0%-5.4%-0.5%-46.1%3.3%
6M Excs Rtn15.3%12.1%11.9%4.5%4.6%-43.0%8.3%
12M Excs Rtn24.5%38.0%10.6%-4.9%23.1%-61.8%16.8%
3Y Excs Rtn22.6%140.5%22.4%-59.8%-112.6%-131.8%-18.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Senior Housing Operating Portfolio (SHOP)12,86412,36912,81210,65310,142
Outpatient Medical and Research Portfolio (OM&R)6,9436,5586,3426,7107,173
Triple-net leased properties (NNN)4,1214,2724,5795,1486,382
Non-Segment797958   
All other assets  9861,419995
Total24,72524,15824,71823,92924,692


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,671,608
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520258.7%
Average Daily Volume3,056,706
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.80
Basic Shares Quantity456,032,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/20256.6%7.5%15.2%
7/30/20251.1%3.0%1.6%
4/30/2025-6.5%-5.7%-8.3%
2/12/20258.3%11.5%11.6%
8/1/20242.0%6.7%12.3%
5/1/20245.5%8.3%14.7%
2/15/2024-3.1%-3.3%-6.9%
11/2/20230.3%-4.3%7.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151413
# Negative8910
Median Positive2.3%5.3%12.3%
Median Negative-3.3%-4.3%-7.4%
Max Positive11.2%16.1%68.7%
Max Negative-6.8%-9.7%-66.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021