Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Geriatric Care, and ESG REITs.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Geriatric Care, and ESG REITs.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VTR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the period between approximately August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, Ventas (VTR) stock experienced an upward movement, driven by several key factors: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results.

Ventas reported robust third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 29, 2025, significantly exceeding analyst expectations. The company's normalized Funds From Operations (FFO) reached $0.88 per share, surpassing the analyst estimate of $0.12 per share and marking a 10% increase year-over-year. Additionally, revenue climbed to $1.489 billion, exceeding estimates of $1.440 billion and representing a 20.5% year-over-year increase. This strong performance, which also included raised full-year 2025 guidance, led to a 6.6% jump in the stock price following the announcement. 2. Strategic Expansion Through Senior Housing Acquisitions.

Ventas actively pursued its growth strategy by completing $2.2 billion in senior housing acquisitions through October 2025. These strategic investments are anticipated to bolster future earnings growth and strengthen the company's market position, particularly within the senior housing sector.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VTR Return-10%8%-9%15%22%39%74%
Peers Return-7%9%-17%7%18%40%48%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VTR Win Rate75%50%50%58%67%80% 
Peers Win Rate58%47%42%60%65%64% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VTR Max Drawdown-71%-6%-28%-9%-16%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-9%-28%-20%-13%-4% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WELL, MPW, ALX, VTR, OHI. See VTR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVTRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-43.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven696 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-73.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven271.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven741 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-34.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven479 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-64.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven179.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven602 days1480 days

Compare to WELL, MPW, ALX, VTR, OHI


In The Past

Ventas's stock fell -43.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/29/2022. A -43.4% loss requires a 76.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ventas (VTR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VTR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.5%8.5%-5.8%
VTR_6302020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302020VTRVentasDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
35.3%61.6%-6.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.5%8.5%-5.8%
VTR_6302020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302020VTRVentasDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
35.3%61.6%-6.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ventas

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VTRWELLMPWALXOHIMedian
NameVentas WelltowerMedical .Alexande.Omega He. 
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Growth & Margins

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NameVentas WelltowerMedical .Alexande.Omega He. 
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Valuation

VTRWELLMPWALXOHIMedian
NameVentas WelltowerMedical .Alexande.Omega He. 
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Returns

VTRWELLMPWALXOHIMedian
NameVentas WelltowerMedical .Alexande.Omega He. 
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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Senior Housing Operating Portfolio (SHOP)12,86412,36912,81210,65310,142
Outpatient Medical and Research Portfolio (OM&R)6,9436,5586,3426,7107,173
Triple-net leased properties (NNN)4,1214,2724,5795,1486,382
Non-Segment797958   
All other assets  9861,419995
Total24,72524,15824,71823,92924,692


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13,492,279
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202513.6%
Average Daily Volume3,164,684
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.26
Basic Shares Quantity456,032,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021