Ventas (VTR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $80.98 | Market Cap: $36.9 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Health Care REITs
Ventas (VTR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $80.98Market Cap: $36.9 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Health Care REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Geriatric Care, and ESG REITs. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Geriatric Care, and ESG REITs. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
VTR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the period between approximately August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, Ventas (VTR) stock experienced an upward movement, driven by several key factors:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results.
Ventas reported robust third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 29, 2025, significantly exceeding analyst expectations. The company's normalized Funds From Operations (FFO) reached $0.88 per share, surpassing the analyst estimate of $0.12 per share and marking a 10% increase year-over-year. Additionally, revenue climbed to $1.489 billion, exceeding estimates of $1.440 billion and representing a 20.5% year-over-year increase. This strong performance, which also included raised full-year 2025 guidance, led to a 6.6% jump in the stock price following the announcement.
2. Strategic Expansion Through Senior Housing Acquisitions.
Ventas actively pursued its growth strategy by completing $2.2 billion in senior housing acquisitions through October 2025. These strategic investments are anticipated to bolster future earnings growth and strengthen the company's market position, particularly within the senior housing sector.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VTR Return | -10% | 8% | -9% | 15% | 22% | 39% | 74% |
| Peers Return | -7% | 9% | -17% | 7% | 18% | 40% | 48% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VTR Win Rate | 75% | 50% | 50% | 58% | 67% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 47% | 42% | 60% | 65% | 64% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VTR Max Drawdown | -71% | -6% | -28% | -9% | -16% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -52% | -9% | -28% | -20% | -13% | -4% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WELL, MPW, ALX, VTR, OHI. See VTR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VTR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -43.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 696 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -73.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 271.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 741 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -34.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 479 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -64.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 179.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 602 days | 1480 days |
Compare to WELL, MPW, ALX, VTR, OHI
In The Past
Ventas's stock fell -43.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/29/2022. A -43.4% loss requires a 76.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to VTR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| 06302020 | VTR | Ventas | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 35.3% | 61.6% | -6.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| 06302020 | VTR | Ventas | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 35.3% | 61.6% | -6.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Ventas
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Valuation
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Returns
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Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senior Housing Operating Portfolio (SHOP) | 12,864 | 12,369 | 12,812 | 10,653 | 10,142 |
| Outpatient Medical and Research Portfolio (OM&R) | 6,943 | 6,558 | 6,342 | 6,710 | 7,173 |
| Triple-net leased properties (NNN) | 4,121 | 4,272 | 4,579 | 5,148 | 6,382 |
| Non-Segment | 797 | 958 | |||
| All other assets | 986 | 1,419 | 995 | ||
| Total | 24,725 | 24,158 | 24,718 | 23,929 | 24,692 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2102023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2182022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |