NNN REIT (NNN)
Market Price (4/4/2026): $42.96 | Market Cap: $8.1 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Retail REITs
NNN REIT (NNN)
Market Price (4/4/2026): $42.96Market Cap: $8.1 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Retail REITs
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 5.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 8.3% Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 61% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 72%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 72% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 18% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Experiential Retail, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -46% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60% Key risksNNN key risks include [1] tenant bankruptcies and defaults, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 5.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 8.3% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 61% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 72%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 72% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 18% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Experiential Retail, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -46% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60% |
| Key risksNNN key risks include [1] tenant bankruptcies and defaults, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. NNN REIT reported strong 2025 financial results and issued optimistic 2026 guidance. The company announced on February 11, 2026, that Core FFO and AFFO per diluted share increased by 2.7% in 2025 over the prior year. They also introduced initial 2026 AFFO guidance in the range of $3.52 to $3.58 per share, representing an increase of 3.2% at the midpoint, signaling continued growth prospects.
2. The company executed a record volume of strategic acquisitions in 2025. NNN REIT closed on $931.0 million of investments in 2025, acquiring properties at an initial cash capitalization rate of 7.4% and with a weighted average remaining lease term of 17.6 years. This significant investment activity is expected to drive future Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) growth.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 9.5% change in NNN stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 10.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 39.06 | 42.77 | 9.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 906 | 926 | 2.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 43.2% | 42.1% | -2.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 18.7 | 20.7 | 10.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 188 | 189 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 9.5% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NNN | 9.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 2.2% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 3.1% | 64.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 3.5% change in NNN stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 5.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 41.34 | 42.77 | 3.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 895 | 926 | 3.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 43.9% | 42.1% | -4.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 19.7 | 20.7 | 5.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 187 | 189 | -1.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 3.5% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NNN | 3.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 8.0% |
| Sector (XLRE) | -0.2% | 62.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 6.2% change in NNN stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 40.26 | 42.77 | 6.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 869 | 926 | 6.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 45.7% | 42.1% | -7.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 18.9 | 20.7 | 9.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 186 | 189 | -1.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 6.2% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NNN | 6.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 29.8% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 2.2% | 70.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 14.6% change in NNN stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 19.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 37.33 | 42.77 | 14.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 773 | 926 | 19.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 43.3% | 42.1% | -2.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.0 | 20.7 | 3.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 179 | 189 | -5.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 14.6% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NNN | 14.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 26.1% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 22.6% | 72.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NNN Return | 23% | -0% | -1% | -0% | 3% | 9% | 37% |
| Peers Return | 48% | -8% | 11% | 13% | 4% | 12% | 99% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -4% | 75% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NNN Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 75% | 47% | 50% | 57% | 58% | 75% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NNN Max Drawdown | -6% | -17% | -21% | -7% | -7% | -0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -5% | -27% | -17% | -8% | -14% | -1% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: O, FRT, GTY, WSR, SPG. See NNN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/2/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NNN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -27.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 334 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -55.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 122.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -20.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 469 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 133.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 639 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to O, FRT, GTY, WSR, SPG
In The Past
NNN REIT's stock fell -27.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/2/2023. A -27.1% loss requires a 37.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About NNN REIT (NNN)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe NNN REIT:
- American Tower for retail stores.
- Prologis for retail buildings.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Leasing of Retail Properties: Provides commercial real estate space to retail tenants through long-term, net lease agreements.
AI Analysis | Feedback
NNN REIT (National Retail Properties) invests primarily in retail properties subject to long-term net leases. Therefore, its major customers are the businesses that lease its properties to operate their retail stores, restaurants, or service centers.
As of December 31, 2020 (the closest available major tenant data to the September 30, 2020 date mentioned in the background), NNN REIT's top tenants (based on annualized base rent) were a diversified group of companies, primarily in the convenience store, restaurant, and automotive service sectors. No single tenant accounted for more than 5.0% of its total rental revenues.
Here are some of NNN REIT's major customer companies:
- 7-Eleven (Convenience Stores) - Parent: Seven & i Holdings (TYO: 3382)
- GPM Investments (Convenience Stores) - Parent: ARKO Corp (NASDAQ: ARKO)
- Bojangles (Quick-Service Restaurants) - Private Company
- Circle K (Convenience Stores) - Parent: Alimentation Couche-Tard (TSE: ATD.A, ATD.B)
- Mister Car Wash (Car Washes) - Private Company at the time
- Sunoco (Gas Stations & Convenience Stores) - (NYSE: SUN)
- Best Buy (Consumer Electronics Retail) - (NYSE: BBY)
- Walgreens (Drug Stores) - (NASDAQ: WBA)
- Camping World (RV Sales and Service) - (NYSE: CWH)
- BJ's Wholesale Club (Warehouse Clubs) - (NYSE: BJ)
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Stephen A. Horn, Jr. President & Chief Executive Officer
Stephen A. Horn, Jr. has served as Chief Executive Officer and President of NNN REIT since April 2022, having joined the Board of Directors in February 2022. Prior to this role, he held positions including Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer from August 2020, and Executive Vice President and Chief Acquisition Officer from January 2014 to August 2020. He also served as Senior Vice President of Acquisitions from June 2008 to December 2013, and Vice President of Acquisitions from 2003 to 2008. Before joining the company, Mr. Horn worked in the mergers and acquisitions group at A.G. Edwards & Sons.
Vincent H. Chao Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Vincent H. Chao joined NNN REIT in January 2025 as Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, Assistant Secretary, and Treasurer. Previously, Mr. Chao was the Managing Director, Finance at RPT Realty, a publicly-traded retail real estate investment trust that was acquired by Kimco Realty in 2024, where he was responsible for capital markets, corporate finance, investor relations, portfolio management, and data analytics. His past experience also includes serving as the Head of U.S. REIT Research at Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc., and holding operational and project management roles at Procter & Gamble.
Gina M. Steffens Executive Vice President, General Counsel
Gina M. Steffens has served as Executive Vice President, General Counsel, and Secretary since November 2023. In her role, Ms. Steffens leads the legal department and human resources, and oversees corporate governance, compliance, ethics, and the company’s corporate sustainability program. Before joining NNN REIT, she was the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Legal Officer of a privately held food and agricultural company.
Joshua P. Lewis Executive Vice President, Chief Investment Officer
Joshua P. Lewis serves as Executive Vice President, Chief Investment Officer, responsible for leading the company's real estate investments, including structuring, negotiation, and deal execution. He joined the company in 2008 and has held various roles of increasing responsibility within the Acquisitions team, including Senior Vice President, Head of Acquisitions since August 2022.
Michelle L. Miller Chief Accounting & Technology Officer and Executive VP
Michelle L. Miller holds the title of Chief Accounting & Technology Officer and Executive Vice President.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Risks to NNN REIT
NNN REIT (National Retail Properties) faces several key risks inherent to its business model of investing in single-tenant retail properties with long-term net leases. These risks are primarily driven by tenant stability, macroeconomic factors, and the cost of capital.- Tenant Default Risk and Retail Sector Concentration: As a net lease REIT, NNN's revenue stream is highly dependent on its individual tenants fulfilling their lease obligations. A significant risk arises from the possibility of tenant defaults, bankruptcies, or early lease terminations, especially given the company's focus on single-tenant properties where a vacancy means 0% occupancy for that specific asset. The company's exclusive concentration on the U.S. retail sector further amplifies this risk, making it particularly vulnerable to downturns or secular shifts within the retail industry. Evidence from past events, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, demonstrated a material weakness when rent collection significantly dropped due to widespread retail disruptions.
- Interest Rate Sensitivity: REITs, including NNN, are generally sensitive to fluctuations in interest rates. Rising interest rates can negatively impact NNN by increasing its borrowing costs for new acquisitions and for refinancing existing debt. This can pressure the company's profitability, slow its growth initiatives, and potentially affect its stock price and ability to pay dividends, as higher rates make REIT dividends less attractive compared to other income-generating investments.
- Economic Downturns and Disruptive Events: Broader economic crises, major disruptive events (such as pandemics), or significant technological shifts pose a risk to NNN's business. Economic downturns can impair the financial health of its retail tenants, affecting their ability to pay rent or leading to business closures. Furthermore, new technologies and evolving consumer behavior can disrupt traditional retail models, impacting the long-term viability of some of NNN's tenants and properties. While NNN diversifies across different retail industries, a widespread economic contraction can still have a significant impact across its portfolio.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The accelerated shift of consumer spending towards e-commerce and digital platforms, leading to decreased demand for traditional physical retail space and increased tenant bankruptcies, thereby challenging the long-term viability and value of retail properties.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable market for NNN REIT's main products or services, which involve investing in and leasing single-tenant retail properties under long-term net leases, is primarily the U.S. net-lease retail market.
The annual net-lease investment volume in the U.S. reached approximately $51.4 billion in 2025. Of this total, the retail sector accounted for 21% of the share. Therefore, the addressable market for net-lease retail properties in the U.S. is estimated to be approximately $10.8 billion annually (21% of $51.4 billion).
AI Analysis | Feedback
NNN REIT (NYSE: NNN) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through a combination of strategic property acquisitions, consistent rent growth from its existing portfolio, high occupancy rates supported by active re-leasing efforts, and the strategic disposition and reinvestment of capital.
Here are the key drivers:
- Strategic Acquisitions of New Properties: NNN REIT consistently expands its portfolio through disciplined acquisitions of high-quality retail properties. The company executed over $550 million in acquisition volume in 2024. In 2025, NNN achieved a record year, deploying over $900 million in real estate investments, with an initial cash cap rate of 7.4% and a weighted average remaining lease term of 17.6 years. For 2026, the company anticipates an acquisition volume between $550 million and $650 million. This ongoing acquisition strategy, focused on properties with long-term, net leases, is a primary driver of increased rental income.
- Rent Growth and Lease Escalations from Existing Portfolio: The company's long-term net leases generally include built-in rent escalations, providing a stable and growing revenue stream. NNN REIT reported an increase in Annualized Base Rent (ABR) by 6.7% in the second quarter of 2025 compared to the prior year period. For the full year 2025, ABR increased by 7.8% over prior-year results, reaching $928.1 million. This organic growth from its existing property base contributes significantly to overall revenue expansion.
- Maintenance of High Occupancy Rates and Proactive Re-leasing: NNN REIT maintains consistently high occupancy rates, which are crucial for maximizing rental income. The company reported a strong occupancy rate of 98.5% in the fourth quarter of 2024, and 98.3% by the fourth quarter of 2025. Furthermore, NNN actively manages its portfolio by re-leasing properties from troubled tenants. For example, in 2024, it re-leased 28 out of 64 properties from a mid-western restaurant operator, with rent commencing in May 2025. In the first quarter of 2025, NNN repositioned properties by re-leasing 31 out of 64 repossessed properties, demonstrating a proactive management approach to maintain and grow revenue.
- Strategic Dispositions and Reinvestment of Capital: While dispositions involve selling existing assets, NNN REIT uses this strategy to optimize its portfolio and fund higher-yielding investments. In 2025, the company sold 116 properties for $190.5 million, including income-producing properties, at a weighted average cap rate of 6.4%. The proceeds from these sales are often reinvested into new acquisitions with more attractive cap rates, enhancing future revenue generation. For 2026, planned dispositions are expected to be between $110 million and $150 million. This capital recycling approach ensures continuous portfolio enhancement and revenue growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- No share repurchases have been reported for NNN REIT over the last several years.
Share Issuance
- NNN REIT issued 1,992,955 common shares in 2025, generating $85.4 million in gross proceeds.
- The shares issued in 2025 were primarily through the company's at-the-market equity program at an average price of $42.86 per share.
Outbound Investments
- NNN REIT completed over $931.0 million in acquisitions in 2025, marking the highest annual volume in its history.
- The company plans for $600 million in acquisitions in 2026.
- NNN also sold 116 properties for $190.5 million in 2025, and has planned $130 million in dispositions for 2026.
Capital Expenditures
- NNN REIT reported capital expenditures of $123 million in 2021, $67 million in 2022, $116 million in 2023, and $191 million in 2025.
- Due to its triple-net lease structure, tenants are generally responsible for property operating expenses, including maintenance, taxes, insurance, and utilities, resulting in minimal ongoing capital expenditure requirements for NNN.
- Capital expenditures primarily focus on acquisitions and property development/redevelopment to enhance portfolio value.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to NNN.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03272026 | SBAC | SBA Communications | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| 03132026 | HIW | Highwoods Properties | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.2% | -0.2% | -4.1% |
| 03062026 | ARE | Alexandria Real Estate Equities | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -7.8% |
| 03062026 | VNO | Vornado Realty Trust | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -3.5% | -3.5% | -8.3% |
| 02272026 | KRC | Kilroy Realty | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.4% |
| 09302020 | NNN | NNN REIT | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 31.5% | 31.7% | -6.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 52.49 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.6 |
| Rev LTM | 1,103 |
| Op Inc LTM | 514 |
| FCF LTM | 499 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 470 |
| CFO LTM | 645 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 611 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 48.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 47.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 61.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 62.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 53.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 55.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.6 |
| P/S | 8.6 |
| P/EBIT | 14.3 |
| P/E | 21.5 |
| P/CFO | 14.8 |
| Total Yield | 8.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.5% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 9.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 7.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 17.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 20.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 14.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 9.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -1.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -39.8% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real estate leased to tenants under long-term net leases | 869 | 828 | |||
| Earned income from direct financing leases | 1 | ||||
| Interest and other income from real estate transactions | 1 | 3 | 2 | ||
| Percentage rent | 2 | ||||
| Real estate expense reimbursement from tenants | 18 | 19 | 18 | ||
| Rental income from operating leases | 752 | ||||
| Rental revenues | 705 | 641 | |||
| Total | 869 | 828 | 773 | 726 | 661 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $42.77 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 8.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/26/1990 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -6.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $43.45 | $41.35 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -1.6% | 3.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 16.2% | 18.0% |
| Downside Capture | -0.21 | 0.13 |
| Upside Capture | 10.87 | 23.69 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 1.8% | 29.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.49 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.11 | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| Up Beta | -0.11 | -0.30 | -0.28 | -0.04 | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| Down Beta | 0.68 | 0.52 | 0.48 | 0.22 | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| Up Capture | 7% | 1% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 12% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 22 | 36 | 63 | 123 | 375 |
| Down Capture | 73% | -13% | -33% | 6% | 29% | 64% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 14 | 20 | 27 | 62 | 127 | 370 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NNN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NNN | 6.6% | 18.0% | 0.21 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLRE) | 2.1% | 16.4% | -0.05 | 70.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.1% | 19.0% | 0.67 | 29.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 50.5% | 28.0% | 1.46 | 14.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 16.2% | 17.7% | 0.77 | 13.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.6% | 16.5% | 0.04 | 72.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -21.5% | 44.0% | -0.42 | 12.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NNN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NNN | 4.6% | 19.8% | 0.15 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLRE) | 4.1% | 19.0% | 0.12 | 74.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.6% | 17.0% | 0.53 | 42.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.7% | 17.8% | 1.00 | 13.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 10.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.3% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 76.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.9% | 56.5% | 0.29 | 15.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NNN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NNN | 4.3% | 28.1% | 0.20 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLRE) | 6.4% | 20.4% | 0.27 | 73.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 46.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.0% | 15.9% | 0.73 | 8.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 19.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 78.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.2% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 10.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/11/2026 | -0.5% | 0.6% | 3.8% |
| 11/4/2025 | -2.6% | -0.9% | -0.6% |
| 8/5/2025 | -2.5% | -3.4% | -1.2% |
| 5/1/2025 | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% |
| 2/11/2025 | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.6% |
| 10/31/2024 | -4.3% | -8.7% | -3.1% |
| 8/1/2024 | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% |
| 5/1/2024 | 0.4% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 15 | 14 |
| # Negative | 12 | 9 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% |
| Median Negative | -1.8% | -1.1% | -2.7% |
| Max Positive | 5.7% | 7.3% | 19.2% |
| Max Negative | -4.3% | -8.7% | -8.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/11/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/11/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/08/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/09/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/03/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/11/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Net earnings per share excluding any gains on disposition of real estate, impairment losses and retirement and severance costs | 2.02 | 2.05 | 2.08 | 5.1% | Raised | Guidance: 1.95 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Real estate depreciation and amortization per share | 1.45 | 1.4% | Raised | Guidance: 1.43 for 2025 | |||
| 2026 Core FFO per share | 3.47 | 3.5 | 3.53 | 3.6% | Raised | Guidance: 3.38 for 2025 | |
| 2026 AFFO per share | 3.52 | 3.55 | 3.58 | 3.5% | Raised | Guidance: 3.43 for 2025 | |
| 2026 General and administrative expenses | 53.00 Mil | 54.00 Mil | 55.00 Mil | 13.7% | Raised | Guidance: 47.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Real estate expenses, net of tenant reimbursements | 14.00 Mil | 14.50 Mil | 15.00 Mil | -17.1% | Lowered | Guidance: 17.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Acquisition volume | 550.00 Mil | 600.00 Mil | 650.00 Mil | -33.3% | Lowered | Guidance: 900.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Disposition volume | 110.00 Mil | 130.00 Mil | 150.00 Mil | -29.7% | Lowered | Guidance: 185.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Net earnings per share excluding any gains on disposition of real estate, impairment losses and retirement and severance costs | 1.93 | 1.95 | 1.97 | -0.3% | Lowered | Guidance: 1.96 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Core FFO per share | 3.36 | 3.38 | 3.4 | 0.4% | Raised | Guidance: 3.37 for 2025 | |
| 2025 AFFO per share | 3.41 | 3.43 | 3.45 | 0.1% | Raised | Guidance: 3.42 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Acquisition volume | 850.00 Mil | 900.00 Mil | 950.00 Mil | 38.5% | Raised | Guidance: 650.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Disposition volume | 170.00 Mil | 185.00 Mil | 200.00 Mil | 37.0% | Raised | Guidance: 135.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Real estate depreciation and amortization per share | 1.43 | ||||||
| 2025 General and administrative expenses | 47 | 47.5 | 48 | ||||
| 2025 Real estate expenses, net of tenant reimbursements | 17 | 17.5 | 18 | ||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miller, Michelle Lynn | EVP,Chief Acctg & Tech Officer | Direct | Sell | 8212025 | 42.20 | 10,000 | 422,000 | 3,449,850 | Form |
| 2 | Adamo, Jonathan | EVP, Portfolio Operations | Direct | Sell | 6122025 | 42.47 | 4,800 | 203,856 | 4,054,441 | Form |
| 3 | Horn, Stephen A Jr | President & CEO | Direct | Sell | 3182025 | 42.46 | 55,356 | 2,350,416 | 30,236,106 | Form |
| 4 | Horn, Stephen A Jr | President & CEO | Direct | Sell | 3092026 | 44.98 | 33,192 | 1,492,976 | 37,005,541 | Form |
| 5 | Adamo, Jonathan | EVP Chief Portfolio Operations | Direct | Sell | 3092026 | 44.99 | 6,000 | 269,940 | 5,684,846 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.