Tearsheet

Nexa Resources (NEXA)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $6.0 | Market Cap: $794.6 Mil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Nexa Resources (NEXA)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $6.0
Market Cap: $794.6 Mil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 188%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 4.2%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.9%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.0%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Sustainable Resource Management, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 4.2%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Sustainable Resource Management, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 188%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.9%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.0%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

NEXA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for Nexa Resources' stock movement of 23.3% from July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025:

1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results. Nexa Resources reported robust financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, significantly surpassing revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts. The company's net revenues reached $764 million, exceeding analyst estimates, and it posted an EPS of $0.52, a substantial beat over forecasts. This strong earnings report contributed to a positive stock reaction.

2. Increased Production and Operational Efficiency. The company demonstrated strong operational growth in Q3 2025, with net revenues increasing by 8% both sequentially and year-over-year. Zinc production notably rose by 14% quarter-over-quarter, reaching 84,000 tons, driven by higher mining output and record output at the Cajamarquilla smelter.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NEXA Return29%-16%-20%22%23%-32%-12%
Peers Return34%3%14%-7%-11%33%74%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NEXA Win Rate50%50%50%42%58%40% 
Peers Win Rate33%27%32%32%28%76% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NEXA Max Drawdown-64%-29%-41%-27%-18%-47% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-10%-9%-15%-17%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VALE, WRN, XPL, ALM, CRML.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNEXAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-65.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven189.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-70.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven239.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven283 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-66.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven193.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to VALE, WRN, XPL, ALM, CRML


In The Past

Nexa Resources's stock fell -65.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/18/2021. A -65.4% loss requires a 189.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Nexa Resources (NEXA)

Better Bets than Nexa Resources (NEXA)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NEXA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-2.5%
SLGN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025SLGNSilganDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.6%-1.6%-1.6%
TGLS_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025TGLSTecnoglassDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-25.1%-25.1%-25.2%
NEM_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025NEMNewmontQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
5.3%5.3%-5.7%
RGLD_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025RGLDRoyal GoldQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.8%1.8%-7.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-2.5%
SLGN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025SLGNSilganDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.6%-1.6%-1.6%
TGLS_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025TGLSTecnoglassDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-25.1%-25.1%-25.2%
NEM_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025NEMNewmontQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
5.3%5.3%-5.7%
RGLD_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025RGLDRoyal GoldQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.8%1.8%-7.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Nexa Resources

Financials

NEXAVALEWRNXPLALMCRMLMedian
NameNexa Res.Vale Western .Solitari.Almonty .Critical. 
Mkt Price5.9712.172.070.596.498.306.23
Mkt Cap0.852.00.40.11.4-0.8
Rev LTM2,84037,4670030-30
Op Inc LTM36210,908-8-5-21--5
FCF LTM302,871-24-5-69--5
FCF 3Y Avg-434,191-22-4-45--22
CFO LTM3269,014-3-5-5--3
CFO 3Y Avg26510,182-4-4-8--4

Growth & Margins

NEXAVALEWRNXPLALMCRMLMedian
NameNexa Res.Vale Western .Solitari.Almonty .Critical. 
Rev Chg LTM6.9%-8.6%--7.5%-6.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.9%-5.8%--7.9%--0.9%
Rev Chg Q7.6%9.1%--28.0%-9.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%2.4%--6.7%-2.4%
Op Mgn LTM12.7%29.1%---70.2%-12.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.2%33.3%---38.4%-9.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%1.0%--1.2%-1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM11.5%24.1%---16.7%-11.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.6%25.6%---28.5%-9.6%
FCF/Rev LTM1.0%7.7%---228.9%-1.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1.6%10.5%---160.7%--1.6%

Valuation

NEXAVALEWRNXPLALMCRMLMedian
NameNexa Res.Vale Western .Solitari.Almonty .Critical. 
Mkt Cap0.852.00.40.11.4-0.8
P/S0.31.4--46.6-1.4
P/EBIT1.77.1-50.7-9.8-23.2--9.8
P/E-48.79.4-111.2-10.8-21.5--21.5
P/CFO2.45.8-121.2-11.1-278.2--11.1
Total Yield2.1%10.6%-0.9%-9.2%-4.6%--0.9%
Dividend Yield4.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.4%8.1%-8.0%-8.1%---6.2%
D/E2.50.40.00.00.1-0.1
Net D/E1.90.3-0.1-0.20.1-0.1

Returns

NEXAVALEWRNXPLALMCRMLMedian
NameNexa Res.Vale Western .Solitari.Almonty .Critical. 
1M Rtn7.0%9.6%-4.2%-14.9%-21.0%-60.2%-9.5%
3M Rtn20.1%24.1%63.0%-23.0%38.7%35.2%29.6%
6M Rtn14.1%28.0%95.3%-3.9%-472.4%28.0%
12M Rtn-23.2%34.5%60.5%3.7%-40.7%34.5%
3Y Rtn19.7%3.3%26.2%4.6%--12.2%
1M Excs Rtn6.9%9.5%-4.3%-15.0%-21.2%-60.3%-9.7%
3M Excs Rtn18.1%21.3%62.9%-25.0%55.8%41.5%31.4%
6M Excs Rtn2.3%16.1%83.4%-15.8%-460.5%16.1%
12M Excs Rtn-33.1%22.0%50.2%-6.8%-20.9%20.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-40.7%-56.3%-27.8%-64.0%---48.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity118,775
Short Interest: % Change Since 1015202570.9%
Average Daily Volume100,078
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.19
Basic Shares Quantity132,439,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025103020256-K 9/30/2025
630202573120256-K 6/30/2025
331202542920256-K 3/31/2025
12312024327202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024103120246-K 9/30/2024
630202480120246-K 6/30/2024
331202450220246-K 3/31/2024
12312023327202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023103020236-K 9/30/2023
630202372720236-K 6/30/2023
331202342720236-K 3/31/2023
12312022320202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022102720226-K 9/30/2022
630202272820226-K 6/30/2022
331202242820226-K 3/31/2022
12312021317202220-F 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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