Tearsheet

Nebius (NBIS)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $84.03 | Market Cap: $20.1 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Nebius (NBIS)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $84.03
Market Cap: $20.1 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 543%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -477 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -197%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS), Show more.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 85x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 144x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 84x
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 129%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 389%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.2%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 115%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 543%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS), Show more.
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -477 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -197%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 85x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 144x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 84x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 129%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 389%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.2%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 115%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

NBIS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Nebius (NBIS) experienced a 58% increase for the approximate period from July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025, driven by several key developments:

1. Landmark AI Infrastructure Contracts: Nebius secured significant multi-year agreements, including a partnership with Microsoft valued at up to $19.4 billion for dedicated GPU capacity in September 2025, and a new agreement with Meta Platforms for approximately $3 billion over five years to deliver AI infrastructure, announced in November 2025. These major deals underscored strong demand for Nebius's AI infrastructure and validated its technological capabilities.

2. Exceptional Third Quarter 2025 Revenue Growth: The company's unaudited financial results for the third quarter, released on November 11, 2025, revealed a substantial 355% year-over-year surge in total revenue to $146.1 million. Its core AI infrastructure business demonstrated even stronger performance, growing 400% year-over-year and accounting for nearly 90% of total revenue.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NBIS Return60%-13%-69%0%46%210%98%
Peers Return37%-10%-10%16%6%-16%13%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NBIS Win Rate67%67%0%0%25%70% 
Peers Win Rate15%10%8%12%10%49% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NBIS Max Drawdown-34%-14%-69%0%-9%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown-9%-12%-12%0%-6%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: Z, TTGT, GIBO, NXDR, STUB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNBISS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-78.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven356.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1292 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-40.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven97 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-41.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven429 days120 days

Compare to Z, TTGT, GIBO, NXDR, STUB


In The Past

Nebius's stock fell -78.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/8/2021. A -78.1% loss requires a 356.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Nebius (NBIS)

Better Bets than Nebius (NBIS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NBIS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-18.7%-18.7%-18.7%
CABO_10032025_Short_Squeeze10032025CABOCable OneSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-39.6%-39.6%-39.6%
DV_9122025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09122025DVDoubleVerifyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.0%-20.0%-27.9%
CMCSA_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025CMCSAComcastMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-16.3%-16.3%-17.9%
PINS_5312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-14.4%-14.4%-17.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-18.7%-18.7%-18.7%
CABO_10032025_Short_Squeeze10032025CABOCable OneSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-39.6%-39.6%-39.6%
DV_9122025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09122025DVDoubleVerifyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.0%-20.0%-27.9%
CMCSA_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025CMCSAComcastMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-16.3%-16.3%-17.9%
PINS_5312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-14.4%-14.4%-17.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Nebius

Financials

NBISZTTGTGIBONXDRSTUBMedian
NameNebius Zillow TechTarg.GIBO Nextdoor Stubhub  
Mkt Price85.9868.435.011.771.6412.828.91
Mkt Cap20.516.60.4-0.6-8.6
Rev LTM2422,483345-253-299
Op Inc LTM-477-90-59--82--86
FCF LTM-149-30-8-8
FCF 3Y Avg-187---35-76
CFO LTM-418-17-9-9
CFO 3Y Avg-387---34-177

Growth & Margins

NBISZTTGTGIBONXDRSTUBMedian
NameNebius Zillow TechTarg.GIBO Nextdoor Stubhub  
Rev Chg LTM542.6%15.2%--6.6%-15.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg160.6%7.0%--5.1%-7.0%
Rev Chg Q624.8%16.4%97.2%-5.0%-56.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM60.0%4.0%20.6%-1.3%-12.3%
Op Mgn LTM-197.4%-3.6%-17.1%--32.2%--24.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--8.5%---56.9%--32.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM119.1%1.9%0.2%-1.8%-1.9%
CFO/Rev LTM-16.8%-5.0%-3.5%-3.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-17.8%---15.3%-1.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-6.0%-8.6%-3.2%-3.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-8.8%---15.6%--3.4%

Valuation

NBISZTTGTGIBONXDRSTUBMedian
NameNebius Zillow TechTarg.GIBO Nextdoor Stubhub  
Mkt Cap20.516.60.4-0.6-8.6
P/S84.96.71.0-2.5-4.6
P/EBIT144.2-2,072.8-0.4--7.8--4.1
P/E84.3-518.2-0.4--10.2--5.3
P/CFO-39.7-20.6-72.5-39.7
Total Yield1.2%-0.2%-274.1%--9.8%--5.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.4%----1.4%
D/E0.10.00.4-0.1-0.1
Net D/E-0.0-0.10.2--0.6--0.0

Returns

NBISZTTGTGIBONXDRSTUBMedian
NameNebius Zillow TechTarg.GIBO Nextdoor Stubhub  
1M Rtn-24.2%-6.2%-6.0%-29.8%-16.3%-25.2%-20.3%
3M Rtn18.5%-19.0%-19.5%6,779.8%-18.4%--18.4%
6M Rtn128.9%0.9%-38.8%-44.5%---18.9%
12M Rtn388.5%-6.3%----191.1%
3Y Rtn354.0%94.1%----224.0%
1M Excs Rtn-24.3%-6.3%-6.1%-30.0%-16.5%-25.4%-20.4%
3M Excs Rtn23.9%-22.1%-21.5%7,891.4%-21.2%--21.2%
6M Excs Rtn117.0%-10.9%-50.6%-56.4%---30.8%
12M Excs Rtn351.5%-19.8%----165.8%
3Y Excs Rtn285.3%22.4%----153.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Toloka1110   
Nebius100   
TripleTen82   
Avride00   
Eliminations-80-364-184-143
Classifieds  1248587
E-commerce, Mobility and Delivery  2,2361,113 
Other Business Units and Initiatives  360151 
Plus and Entertainment  24710562
Search and Portal  2,1751,6641,961
Other Bets and Experiments    127
Taxi    735
Total21144,7762,9352,829


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
One-off restructuring and other expenses-20  -14
Certain SBC expense-13-6   
Depreciation and amortization-29-28   
TripleTen-37-36   
Toloka-42-22   
Avride-70-23   
Nebius-134-44   
Amortization of acquisition-related intangible assets    -19
Classifieds    5
Compensation expense related to contingent consideration    -1
Goodwill impairment    -12
Other Bets and Experiments    -96
Plus and Entertainment    -36
Search and Portal    740
Share-based compensation expense    -159
Taxi    -9
Total-328-158  398


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity24,015,750
Short Interest: % Change Since 101520256.5%
Average Daily Volume16,662,118
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.44
Basic Shares Quantity238,705,092
Short % of Basic Shares10.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202580720256-K 6/30/2025
331202552020256-K 3/31/2025
12312024430202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024103120246-K 9/30/2024
630202480120246-K 6/30/2024
331202442620246-K 3/31/2024
12312023426202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023111720236-K 9/30/2023
630202381720236-K 6/30/2023
331202352320236-K 3/31/2023
12312022420202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022112320226-K 9/30/2022
630202282420226-K 6/30/2022
331202252620226-K 3/31/2022
12312021420202220-F 12/31/2021
9302021112320216-K 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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