Murano Global Investments (MRNO)
Market Price (10/31/2025): $2.62 | Market Cap: $207.8 MilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Real Estate Development
Murano Global Investments (MRNO)
Market Price (10/31/2025): $2.62Market Cap: $207.8 MilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Real Estate Development
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 155% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -141%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -151% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.5 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -211% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 5010% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -195% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1722% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 155% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -141%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -151% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.5 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -211% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 5010% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -195% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1722% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
MRNO Stock
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MRNO Return | - | - | - | 9% | -8% | -74% | -73% |
| Peers Return | 27% | 26% | -29% | 59% | 3% | 10% | 104% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 110% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MRNO Win Rate | - | - | 67% | 100% | 50% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 50% | 30% | 53% | 38% | 49% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MRNO Max Drawdown | - | - | - | 0% | -58% | -77% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -30% | -5% | -39% | -4% | -23% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JOE, FOR, AXR, HHH, FPH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/30/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MRNO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -2.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 77 days | 464 days |
Compare to JOE, FOR, AXR, HHH, FPH
In The Past
Murano Global Investments's stock fell -2.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/20/2022. A -2.0% loss requires a 2.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MRNO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -8.8% | -8.8% | -26.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -8.8% | -8.8% | -26.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Murano Global Investments
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 24.23 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.1 |
| Rev LTM | 609 |
| Op Inc LTM | 82 |
| FCF LTM | 78 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 22 |
| CFO LTM | 80 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 67 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 21.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 24.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 23.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.1 |
| P/S | 2.5 |
| P/EBIT | 8.8 |
| P/E | 10.0 |
| P/CFO | 6.9 |
| Total Yield | 7.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 14.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -7.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 83.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -5.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -2.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -7.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -24.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 26.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12312024 | 5152025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 12312024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 9042024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 7162024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 5012024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232024 | 424B3 12/31/2022 |
| 6302022 | 10102023 | F-4/A 6/30/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |