Tearsheet

Five Point (FPH)


Market Price (5/7/2026): $4.965 | Market Cap: $732.9 Mil
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: Real Estate Operating Companies

Five Point (FPH)


Market Price (5/7/2026): $4.965
Market Cap: $732.9 Mil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Real Estate Operating Companies

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.2%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, Water Infrastructure, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Green Building Certification, Show more.

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -11 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.8%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 183x

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -54%

Key risks
FPH key risks include [1] the management of its substantial debt load and capital structure and [2] an exclusive business concentration in the California real estate market.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.2%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, Water Infrastructure, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Green Building Certification, Show more.
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -11 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.8%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 183x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -54%
6 Key risks
FPH key risks include [1] the management of its substantial debt load and capital structure and [2] an exclusive business concentration in the California real estate market.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Five Point (FPH) stock has lost about 5% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Five Point (FPH) reported a consolidated net loss of $5 million in the first quarter of 2026. This loss was attributed primarily to the timing of land sales, as the company did not have significant closings during the quarter, despite management having anticipated a relatively quiet quarter for land sales.

2. The company experienced a substantial decrease in consolidated revenue for Q1 2026, generating $13.6 million. This figure is significantly lower than the $58.7 million in net income reported for Q4 2025, which included a $42.5 million industrial land sale and $33 million from management services, highlighting the impact of the lack of land sales in the most recent quarter.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -6.6% change in FPH stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -43.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120265062026Change
Stock Price ($)5.314.96-6.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)194110-43.0%
Net Income Margin (%)48.6%41.2%-15.3%
P/E Multiple8.416.191.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1491481.0%
Cumulative Contribution-6.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FPH-6.6% 
Market (SPY)3.6%47.7%
Sector (XLRE)8.7%54.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -15.2% change in FPH stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -43.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)103120255062026Change
Stock Price ($)5.854.96-15.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)194110-43.0%
Net Income Margin (%)48.6%41.2%-15.3%
P/E Multiple9.316.174.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1491481.0%
Cumulative Contribution-15.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FPH-15.2% 
Market (SPY)5.5%35.7%
Sector (XLRE)11.3%40.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -5.7% change in FPH stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -54.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020255062026Change
Stock Price ($)5.264.96-5.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)241110-54.2%
Net Income Margin (%)37.0%41.2%11.2%
P/E Multiple8.816.183.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1491480.8%
Cumulative Contribution-5.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FPH-5.7% 
Market (SPY)30.4%32.3%
Sector (XLRE)12.1%35.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 102.4% change in FPH stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 153.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020235062026Change
Stock Price ($)2.454.96102.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)44110153.8%
P/S Multiple8.36.6-20.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1481480.2%
Cumulative Contribution102.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FPH102.4% 
Market (SPY)78.7%24.0%
Sector (XLRE)31.4%27.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
FPH Return20%-64%32%23%48%-12%-10%
Peers Return24%-19%69%-11%10%12%85%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%6%93%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FPH Win Rate58%33%58%42%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate62%44%52%42%46%75% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FPH Max Drawdown-3%-70%-13%-9%-3%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-7%-40%-7%-17%-12%-1% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: JOE, FOR, GRBK, TRC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/6/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventFPHS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-16.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.2%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven17 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-38.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven61.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven94 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-15.4%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.2%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven30 days31 days

Compare to JOE, FOR, GRBK, TRC

In The Past

Five Point's stock fell -16.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 19.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventFPHS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-38.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven61.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven94 days24 days

Compare to JOE, FOR, GRBK, TRC

In The Past

Five Point's stock fell -16.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 19.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Five Point (FPH)

Five Point Holdings, LLC, through its subsidiary, Five Point Operating Company, LP, owns and develops mixed-use and planned communities in Orange County, Los Angeles County, and San Francisco County. The company operates in four segments: Valencia, San Francisco, Great Park, and Commercial. It sells residential and commercial land sites to homebuilders, commercial developers, and commercial buyers; operates and owns a commercial office, medical campus, and other properties; and provides development and property management services. The company was formerly known as Newhall Holding Company, LLC and changed its name to Five Point Holdings, LLC in May 2016. Five Point Holdings, LLC was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.

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The Howard Hughes Corporation of California, developing large master-planned communities.

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  • Residential and Commercial Land Sales: Sells developed land sites to homebuilders, commercial developers, and commercial buyers.
  • Commercial Property Ownership and Operation: Owns and operates commercial properties, including office and medical campuses.
  • Development Services: Provides expertise in the development of mixed-use and planned communities.
  • Property Management Services: Offers management services for various properties within its communities.

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  • Lennar Corporation (LEN)
  • Commercial Real Estate Management, Inc.

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Daniel Hedigan, President and Chief Executive Officer

Daniel Hedigan was appointed CEO of Five Point Holdings, LLC in February 2022. He brings over 40 years of experience in the residential real estate sector and expertise in mixed-use planned communities. Prior to joining Five Point, Mr. Hedigan served as President of Land Sales & Home Building at The Irvine Company from 2013 to 2021, where he oversaw all aspects of development, including design, project management, construction, customer service, sales, and marketing teams. He holds a J.D. and a Master's Degree in Economics from the University of California, Los Angeles, and a B.A. in Economics and Political Science from the University of California, Irvine.

Kim Tobler, Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer and Vice President

Kim Tobler was appointed Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer, and Vice President of Five Point Holdings, LLC in September 2023. He has over 35 years of experience primarily in real estate tax, financial reporting, and corporate finance. Mr. Tobler previously served as Five Point's Vice President – Treasury and Tax since 2016. Before his tenure at Five Point, he was a tax partner at Ernst & Young LLP from 2008 to 2016 and also from 1995 to 2003. Additionally, from 2003 to 2008, he held the position of Senior Vice President – Finance and Reporting at The Irvine Company. He earned a B.S. and a Master's degree in Accounting from Brigham Young University.

Michael Alvarado, Chief Operating Officer, Chief Legal Officer, Vice President and Secretary

Michael Alvarado serves as the Chief Operating Officer, Chief Legal Officer, Vice President, and Secretary for Five Point Holdings, LLC.

Greg McWilliams, Chief Policy Officer and Vice President

Greg McWilliams holds the position of Chief Policy Officer and Vice President at Five Point Holdings, LLC.

Emile Haddad, Chairman Emeritus

Emile Haddad is the Chairman Emeritus and was previously the Chairman and CEO of Five Point Holdings, LLC. An entrepreneur by background, he started a business in Beirut focused on weatherproofing buildings. After moving to the U.S., he rose to become the Chief Investment Officer at Lennar. Mr. Haddad has also served as Chairman at UCLA and the UC Irvine Foundation.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH) primarily revolve around its sensitivity to market conditions and the inherent challenges of large-scale development projects.

  1. Sensitivity to Interest Rates: A primary risk factor for Five Point Holdings is the adverse scenario of higher interest rates. Elevated interest rates tend to reduce demand for new properties and homes, which directly impacts the company's core business of selling residential and commercial land sites. Five Point was significantly affected by the surge of inflation and interest rates in recent years, which dampened demand for new houses.
  2. Volatile Earnings History and Choppy Performance: Five Point Holdings has demonstrated a volatile earnings history, having posted losses in several of the last ten years, and has underperformed the broad market over a five-year period. This inconsistent financial performance indicates challenges in maintaining stable profitability.
  3. Long-Term Project Risks: The company's business model involves developing large, mixed-use planned communities, which inherently carry risks such as potential delays, cost overruns, and shifts in market conditions. Projects like those in Valencia and San Francisco entail substantial development costs and long timelines, making them susceptible to these challenges.

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Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH) operates in the land development sector, primarily focusing on mixed-use and planned communities in Orange County, Los Angeles County, and San Francisco County, California. Their main products and services involve selling residential and commercial land sites, operating commercial properties, and providing development and property management services. The addressable markets for their offerings can be understood through the overall land development market in California and the real estate activity in their key operating regions.

The overall land development industry in California is projected to be valued at approximately $2.2 billion in 2026.

Commercial Land Development and Property Operations

The broader California Commercial Building Market was valued at approximately USD 151.04 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 154.86 billion in 2025. It is expected to grow to USD 198.85 billion by 2035, expanding at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.53% from 2025 to 2035. California accounts for approximately 45% of the North American commercial building market. In 2023, direct spending on California commercial real estate was $22.6 billion, with top asset classes including warehouse ($8.8 billion), office ($6.8 billion), industrial ($5 billion), and retail ($2.02 billion).

Within Five Point's specific operating regions:

  • In Orange County, California, combined sales of office, industrial, retail, and multifamily properties in the commercial real estate market totaled $2.8 billion year-to-date in Q3 2024. Industrial sales activity surged to $573 million in Q1 2025. The retail sector saw a sales volume of $479 million in Q2 2025, with year-to-date totals exceeding $1.1 billion.
  • In Los Angeles County, California, the industrial market spans over 902.1 million square feet. The retail market has a total rentable building area of 317.6 million square feet.
  • In San Francisco County, California, the office market inventory was 86.4 million square feet in September 2025, while the retail market inventory was 11.8 million square feet in Q2 2025. The San Francisco Bay Area was ranked #3 among U.S. metros for commercial real estate investment in CBRE's 2026 North America Investor Intentions Survey.

Residential Land Development

For residential markets, Five Point sells land to homebuilders. The scale of these markets in their operating regions provides context for the demand for their land products:

  • In Orange County, California, the median home sale price was approximately $1.2 million to $1,299,999 in early 2026. The market is described as a seller's market and is expected to see modest appreciation of 1% to 3% in 2026.
  • In Los Angeles County, California, the median home sale price was around $904,000 to $949,000 in early 2026. The market is considered balanced, trending towards a seller's market.
  • In San Francisco County, California, the median home sale price was between $1.4 million and $1.5 million in early 2026. The average home value was $1,299,355 in February 2026. San Francisco County is also characterized as a seller's market.

Across California, new home sales were forecasted at 39,000 in 2024 for the markets tracked by John Burns Real Estate Consulting. The statewide median home price is projected to rise to approximately $905,000 in 2026. California had 14.88 million total housing units in 2024.

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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Five Point Holdings (FPH)

Over the next 2-3 years, Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH) is expected to drive revenue growth through several key initiatives and market factors:

  1. Expanded Land Sales in Key Master-Planned Communities: Five Point Holdings anticipates significant revenue generation from continued and expanded land sales in its core communities, including Great Park in Orange County, Valencia in Los Angeles County, and Candlestick in San Francisco. The company plans to expand active selling programs in Great Park and Valencia, and Candlestick is projected to begin generating meaningful sales in the coming years. For example, Five Point projects selling 20 acres in Valencia and 50 acres at The Great Park during 2026.
  2. Growth of the Hearthstone Land Banking Platform: The acquisition and integration of the Hearthstone land banking platform is a strategic move to introduce new recurring revenue streams and expand Five Point's partnerships with institutional capital. This venture offers fee-based earnings growth and diversifies the company's earnings profile. Hearthstone's assets under management are projected to exceed $4 billion by the end of 2026, with a larger contribution to Five Point's net income expected in 2026 and beyond.
  3. Commercial Land Conversion and Development: The company is exploring commercial land conversion opportunities, particularly in Irvine, to maximize value from its existing land holdings beyond residential sales. This strategy allows Five Point to monetize commercial sites within its mixed-use communities.
  4. Increasing Management Fee Revenue: Five Point Holdings anticipates an increase in recurring management fee revenue. The annual base management fee is expected to rise from $12 million to $13.5 million through 2026, with projections suggesting this revenue stream could reach $30 million a year, providing a stable source of income.
  5. Favorable Macroeconomic Conditions, Particularly Declining Mortgage Rates: While an external factor, a sustained decline in U.S. mortgage rates is expected to significantly improve housing affordability in California. This improvement is anticipated to boost demand from homebuyers, directly benefiting Five Point Holdings' land sales and overall revenue.

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Capital Allocation Decisions for Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH)

Share Repurchases

  • Five Point Holdings, LLC had an authorized share repurchase program of up to $100,000,000, with $44,900,000 remaining as of February 1, 2025.
  • Actual repurchases of common stock for the last few years include $2.0 million in 2021, $2.7 million in 2022, $0.2 million in 2023, and $0.8 million in 2024.

Share Issuance

  • In February 2026, Five Point issued warrants to affiliates of Blue Owl Capital Inc. to purchase up to 1,500,000 Class A shares at $7.00 per share. These warrants vest over five years, contingent on Blue Owl's capital contributions to a land banking partnership reaching specific thresholds, from $500 million to $1.7 billion.
  • In March 2026, an executive settled restricted share units (RSUs) into Class A common shares and received a grant of 179,372 Class A shares as compensation. In December 2025, the CFO received 36,423 Class A common shares from vested restricted share units as equity compensation.

Inbound Investments

  • Five Point Holdings acquired a 75% interest in Hearthstone Residential Holdings, LLC for approximately $59.25 million in mid-2025.
  • Following the Hearthstone acquisition, Five Point established a new residential land banking investment partnership with funds managed by Blue Owl Capital. This partnership aims to facilitate the acquisition of up to $1.7 billion of land in the U.S. housing market.
  • Blue Owl's participation in the land banking partnership includes the potential to receive warrants for Five Point shares, which vest upon meeting cumulative capital contribution targets starting at $500 million and rising to $1.7 billion.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were reported as $0.2 million in 2021, $0.1 million in 2022, $0.0 million in 2023, and $0.8 million in 2024.
  • The primary focus of capital expenditures is on the development of mixed-use communities in coastal California, including the Great Park in Orange County, Valencia in Los Angeles County, and communities in San Francisco County.
  • Development activities supported by capital allocation include significant residential land sales, such as 920 homesites for $781.7 million in 2025 at the Great Park Venture, and an industrial land sale for $42.5 million at Valencia.

Better Bets vs. Five Point (FPH)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleDate
0DASHBOARDS 
1Five Point Earnings Notes12/16/2025
2How Low Can Five Point Stock Really Go?10/17/2025
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to FPH.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
SBAC_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026SBACSBA CommunicationsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
32.4%32.4%0.0%
HIW_3132026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03132026HIWHighwoods PropertiesDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%-4.1%
ARE_3062026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V203062026AREAlexandria Real Estate EquitiesInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
-18.9%-18.9%-19.1%
VNO_3062026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V203062026VNOVornado Realty TrustInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
11.0%11.0%-8.3%
KRC_2272026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02272026KRCKilroy RealtyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
13.7%13.7%-5.4%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FPHJOEFORGRBKTRCMedian
NameFive Poi.St. Joe Forestar Green Br.Tejon Ra. 
Mkt Price4.9665.7027.1266.8219.7227.12
Mkt Cap0.73.81.42.90.51.4
Rev LTM110-1,7082,09850909
Op Inc LTM-11-210409-8101
FCF LTM4178265208-65178
FCF 3Y Avg11783-8145-4483
CFO LTM42042672136204
CFO 3Y Avg117142-615111117

Growth & Margins

FPHJOEFORGRBKTRCMedian
NameFive Poi.St. Joe Forestar Green Br.Tejon Ra. 
Rev Chg LTM-54.2%-16.1%-0.0%18.4%8.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg117.9%-13.2%6.4%-10.5%9.8%
Rev Chg Q3.2%-6.6%-2.6%17.7%4.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%-1.4%-0.7%6.8%0.9%
Op Inc Chg LTM-115.7%-4.1%-14.2%13.5%-5.0%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg67.4%-9.3%6.3%-87.4%7.8%
Op Mgn LTM-9.8%-12.3%19.5%-16.0%1.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.9%-14.0%20.7%-15.4%12.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.1%--0.1%-1.3%1.5%-0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM3.6%-15.6%10.2%12.4%11.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg51.8%--1.4%7.8%25.7%16.7%
FCF/Rev LTM3.6%-15.5%9.9%-131.3%6.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg51.8%--1.5%7.5%-95.2%3.0%

Valuation

FPHJOEFORGRBKTRCMedian
NameFive Poi.St. Joe Forestar Green Br.Tejon Ra. 
Mkt Cap0.73.81.42.90.51.4
P/S6.6-0.81.410.74.0
P/Op Inc-67.3-6.67.1-66.7-30.1
P/EBIT-67.3-6.67.1-66.7-30.1
P/E16.1-8.39.37,075.812.7
P/CFO183.118.55.213.686.518.5
Total Yield6.2%-12.1%10.8%0.0%8.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg19.3%2.5%-3.7%5.8%-10.2%2.5%
D/E0.60.10.60.10.20.2
Net D/E0.20.10.30.10.10.1

Returns

FPHJOEFORGRBKTRCMedian
NameFive Poi.St. Joe Forestar Green Br.Tejon Ra. 
1M Rtn-0.4%1.2%8.0%0.8%2.6%1.2%
3M Rtn-3.3%-1.6%-7.6%-11.2%20.5%-3.3%
6M Rtn-18.0%11.0%8.3%5.9%23.5%8.3%
12M Rtn-6.1%53.4%39.8%13.5%16.0%16.0%
3Y Rtn112.9%61.2%38.4%39.0%16.5%39.0%
1M Excs Rtn-10.1%-10.4%-1.6%-7.3%-9.4%-9.4%
3M Excs Rtn-10.3%-8.6%-14.6%-18.2%13.5%-10.3%
6M Excs Rtn-23.1%4.9%-1.7%-0.8%18.2%-0.8%
12M Excs Rtn-36.4%21.0%6.3%-18.1%-14.5%-14.5%
3Y Excs Rtn28.2%-10.7%-39.0%3.9%-62.0%-10.7%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
San Francisco1,4251,3601,3141,2761,232
Valencia915896972878815
Corporate and unallocated477370152292331
Great Park260305407450558
Commercial 38414949
Other eliminations -0-0-2-22
Total3,0762,9692,8862,9432,962


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$4.96 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.7 
First Trading Date05/10/2017 
Distance from 52W High-23.6% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$5.09$5.60
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-2.6%-11.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility27.6%33.2%
Downside Capture0.530.47
Upside Capture59.2955.77
Correlation (SPY)43.9%31.9%
FPH Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.080.830.840.720.850.75
Up Beta1.281.251.241.211.220.81
Down Beta3.760.800.680.170.750.82
Up Capture49%24%43%42%43%45%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days13193156115341
Down Capture116%107%99%96%91%86%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days8222962122355

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FPH
FPH-5.3%33.2%-0.12-
Sector ETF (XLRE)10.6%13.7%0.4935.3%
Equity (SPY)28.5%12.5%1.7832.2%
Gold (GLD)40.6%27.2%1.2310.6%
Commodities (DBC)50.9%18.0%2.20-5.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.8%13.5%0.6538.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-14.2%42.1%-0.2517.9%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FPH
FPH-7.0%47.2%-0.00-
Sector ETF (XLRE)4.4%19.1%0.1427.3%
Equity (SPY)12.7%17.1%0.5828.0%
Gold (GLD)21.0%17.9%0.965.3%
Commodities (DBC)13.9%19.1%0.608.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.5%18.8%0.0929.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.7%56.1%0.3712.9%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FPH
FPH-10.4%47.7%-0.08-
Sector ETF (XLRE)7.1%20.4%0.3037.7%
Equity (SPY)14.9%17.9%0.7138.7%
Gold (GLD)13.7%16.0%0.712.0%
Commodities (DBC)9.5%17.7%0.4516.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.7%20.7%0.2441.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)68.4%66.9%1.0714.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.4 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 33120268.5%
Average Daily Volume0.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity147.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares0.3%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
1/29/2026-5.0%-8.8%0.4%
10/29/2025-1.0%3.8%5.3%
7/24/2025-14.9%-17.1%-11.4%
4/24/20259.2%0.2%3.7%
1/23/202541.6%58.1%29.3%
10/17/2024-2.6%-8.6%-10.2%
7/18/20243.7%6.6%0.7%
4/18/2024-0.3%-5.8%2.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111210
# Negative10911
Median Positive6.5%6.6%3.1%
Median Negative-2.7%-8.6%-7.0%
Max Positive41.6%58.1%29.3%
Max Negative-14.9%-17.1%-24.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/24/202610-Q
12/31/202503/06/202610-K
09/30/202510/31/202510-Q
06/30/202507/25/202510-Q
03/31/202504/25/202510-Q
12/31/202402/24/202510-K
09/30/202410/18/202410-Q
06/30/202407/19/202410-Q
03/31/202404/22/202410-Q
12/31/202303/04/202410-K
09/30/202310/23/202310-Q
06/30/202307/21/202310-Q
03/31/202304/24/202310-Q
12/31/202203/06/202310-K
09/30/202210/31/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/29/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Net Income 100.00 Mil 76.5% Higher NewActual: 56.65 Mil for 2025

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/29/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Net Income 56.65 Mil -68.1% LoweredActual: 177.60 Mil for 2024

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1McWilliams, GregSee RemarksDirectSell31020265.23111,037580,7243,079,084Form
2Tobler, KimSee RemarksDirectSell120520256.0118,714112,471214,172Form