Howard Hughes (HHH)


Market Price (7/21/2026): $67.5 | Market Cap: $4.0 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Real Estate Development

Howard Hughes (HHH)


Market Price (7/21/2026): $67.5
Market Cap: $4.0 Bil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Real Estate Development

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 11%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Urban Living, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Master-Planned Community Development, Green Building Certification, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 98%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%

Key risks
HHH key risks include [1] high leverage compared to peers due to its development-focused model and significant variable-rate debt, Show more.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 11%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Urban Living, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Master-Planned Community Development, Green Building Certification, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 98%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%
7 Key risks
HHH key risks include [1] high leverage compared to peers due to its development-focused model and significant variable-rate debt, Show more.

HHH in ETFs

Weight = HHH's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWB0.00%
VB0.03%
AVUV0.30%
VNQ0.14%
ESML0.11%
DFAS0.09%
+9 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/20/2026

Howard Hughes (HHH) stock has gained about 10% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Completion of Vantage Group Holdings Acquisition.

Howard Hughes Holdings completed its acquisition of Vantage Group Holdings Ltd., a specialty insurance and reinsurance company, for $2.1 billion in June 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026). This strategic move transforms HHH into a diversified holding company, adding an insurance platform designed to diversify earnings and enhance long-term value creation. Following this acquisition, S&P Global Ratings upgraded Howard Hughes to BB+ from B+.

2. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Beat.

The company reported robust financial results for fiscal Q1 2026, announced on May 7, 2026. Howard Hughes posted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.14, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.08 by $0.06. Quarterly revenue increased by 18.4% year-over-year to $235.92 million, with Master Planned Communities (MPC) Earnings Before Taxes (EBT) growing 33% year-over-year to $84.4 million, driven by strong residential land sales.

Show more
Updated on 7/20/2026

Howard Hughes (HHH) stock has gained about 10% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Completion of Vantage Group Holdings Acquisition.

Howard Hughes Holdings completed its acquisition of Vantage Group Holdings Ltd., a specialty insurance and reinsurance company, for $2.1 billion in June 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026). This strategic move transforms HHH into a diversified holding company, adding an insurance platform designed to diversify earnings and enhance long-term value creation. Following this acquisition, S&P Global Ratings upgraded Howard Hughes to BB+ from B+.

2. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Beat.

The company reported robust financial results for fiscal Q1 2026, announced on May 7, 2026. Howard Hughes posted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.14, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.08 by $0.06. Quarterly revenue increased by 18.4% year-over-year to $235.92 million, with Master Planned Communities (MPC) Earnings Before Taxes (EBT) growing 33% year-over-year to $84.4 million, driven by strong residential land sales.

3. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Raised Price Targets.

During fiscal Q2 2026 and early fiscal Q3 2026, several Wall Street analysts demonstrated increased confidence in HHH's outlook. JP Morgan, for instance, maintained a Neutral rating but raised its price target for HHH to $79.00 from $76.00 on July 16, 2026. Similarly, Piper Sandler reiterated its Overweight rating and maintained a $100.00 price target on May 8, 2026. These upward revisions and positive ratings contributed to investor optimism regarding the company's strategic direction and future financial performance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 8.3% change in HHH stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 10.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267202026Change
Stock Price ($)63.2668.498.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,4751,5112.5%
Net Income Margin (%)8.4%8.0%-4.2%
P/E Multiple30.133.210.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5959-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution8.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HHH8.3% 
Market (SPY)14.1%25.3%
Sector (XLRE)10.8%42.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -14.1% change in HHH stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -46.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)123120257202026Change
Stock Price ($)79.7768.49-14.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,8341,511-17.6%
Net Income Margin (%)15.0%8.0%-46.2%
P/E Multiple17.133.294.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5959-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution-14.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HHH-14.1% 
Market (SPY)9.1%29.2%
Sector (XLRE)12.8%40.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 1.5% change in HHH stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 157.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020257202026Change
Stock Price ($)67.5068.491.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,7941,511-15.7%
Net Income Margin (%)14.5%8.0%-44.7%
P/E Multiple12.933.2157.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5059-15.6%
Cumulative Contribution1.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HHH1.5% 
Market (SPY)21.1%36.5%
Sector (XLRE)12.0%44.1%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HHH  
Market (SPY)73.3%48.5%
Sector (XLRE)31.8%55.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
HHH Return--9%-6%4%-12%-6%
Peers Return36%-21%71%-4%2%1%82%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%9%99%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HHH Win Rate--60%42%50%43% 
Peers Win Rate71%35%58%48%40%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%43% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HHH Max Drawdown----31%-21%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-47%-24%-28%-26%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: JOE, FOR, BAM, LEN, DHI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/20/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventHHHS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-13.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven34 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-16.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven47 days24 days

Compare to JOE, FOR, BAM, LEN, DHI

In The Past

Howard Hughes's stock fell -13.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 15.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

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Compare to JOE, FOR, BAM, LEN, DHI

In The Past

Howard Hughes's stock fell -13.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 15.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Howard Hughes (HHH)

Howard Hughes Corporation (HHH) operates as a real estate development company primarily focused on creating large-scale master-planned communities (MPCs) and engaging in other strategic real estate development opportunities across the United States. The company's business model centers on transforming undeveloped land into integrated residential and commercial environments.

The core products and services of HHH involve the development and subsequent sale of residential and commercial land. This is prominently featured in its Master Planned Communities segment, where it undertakes extensive, multi-year projects in key markets such as Columbia, Maryland; Houston, Texas; and Las Vegas, Nevada. These communities offer planned infrastructure, amenities, and various property types for diverse needs.

In addition to its MPCs, HHH also manages a Strategic Development segment, which encompasses a portfolio of real estate properties and development projects with varying time horizons. The primary customers for Howard Hughes Corporation include individual homebuyers seeking residences within its planned communities, as well as businesses and other developers looking for commercial land or properties for their operations within these strategically developed areas.

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  • "A super-sized Lennar that develops entire towns and commercial hubs instead of just individual homes."
  • "Like Disney, but for building master-planned towns and communities where people live, work, and shop, instead of theme parks."

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  • Master Planned Community Development: Developing and selling large-scale residential and commercial land parcels within pre-planned communities.
  • Strategic Real Estate Development: Engaging in the development, acquisition, and management of various other real estate properties and projects across different time horizons.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Howard Hughes Corporation (HHH) operates in real estate development, focusing on master-planned communities and strategic development projects involving the sale of both residential and commercial land. Given the diverse nature of its offerings and the lack of specific sales breakdowns in the background information, it is not definitively stated whether the company sells primarily to other companies or primarily to individuals. Therefore, identifying major customers is best achieved by describing the categories of customers that it serves across its business segments.

The major customer categories for Howard Hughes Corporation are:

  1. Residential Homebuilders: These are companies that purchase large parcels of residential land from Howard Hughes within its master-planned communities. They then develop these parcels, construct homes, and sell the finished houses to individual buyers. This constitutes a significant business-to-business (B2B) relationship for HHH.
  2. Commercial Developers and Businesses: This category includes various entities that acquire commercial land or developed properties from Howard Hughes. These customers range from commercial real estate developers building office parks, retail centers, or industrial facilities, to specific businesses establishing their own corporate campuses, retail outlets, or service providers within HHH's communities. This also represents a key B2B customer segment.
  3. Individual Homebuyers: While much of the residential land is sold to homebuilders, Howard Hughes also sells residential lots directly to individuals within its master-planned communities. These individuals purchase land to build custom homes, forming a business-to-consumer (B2C) customer base.

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David R. O'Reilly, Chief Executive Officer

Mr. O'Reilly has served as the Chief Executive Officer and a Director of Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. (HHH) since December 2020. He previously held the roles of President and Chief Financial Officer at HHH, joining the company in 2016. Prior to joining HHH, Mr. O'Reilly served as Executive Vice President, Chief Investment Officer, and Chief Financial Officer for Parkway Properties, Inc., a publicly traded real estate investment trust. His career also includes experience in investment banking as a Senior Vice President at Barclays Capital Inc. and Lehman Brothers, where he was involved in financial advisory and merger and acquisition activities, including leveraged buyouts and IPOs.

Carlos Olea, Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Olea was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. (HHH) in January 2022. Before becoming CFO, he served as HHH's Chief Accounting Officer from 2019 to 2022. Prior to his tenure at HHH, Mr. Olea held the position of Chief Accounting Officer at Carr Properties and gained experience at Ernst & Young in advisory services and at AvalonBay Communities as Director of Technical Accounting & Financial Reporting.

L. Jay Cross, President

Mr. Cross serves as the President of The Howard Hughes Corporation. He previously held the position of President of Related Hudson Yards, where he led the development efforts for the 28-acre Hudson Yards site in New York City. His extensive career of over 30 years in real estate and corporate business also includes serving as President of the New York Jets LLC and President of Business Operations for the Miami Heat LP, where he was responsible for the development of MetLife Stadium and the American Airlines Arena.

Douglas Johnstone, President of the Hawaii Region & National Condominium Development

Mr. Johnstone holds the title of President of the Hawaii Region & National Condominium Development at Howard Hughes Holdings Inc.

Joseph Valane, General Counsel

Mr. Valane is the General Counsel for Howard Hughes Holdings Inc.

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The key risks to The Howard Hughes Corporation (HHH) primarily revolve around the cyclical nature of the real estate market and its significant financial exposures.

1. Real Estate Market Cyclicality and Economic Conditions: The Howard Hughes Corporation's performance is highly sensitive to the broader economic environment and the cyclicality of the real estate industry. Downturns in homebuilding, condominium development, retail, and office sectors, driven by factors such as employment levels, consumer confidence, and overall economic uncertainty, can significantly impact tenant occupancy rates, property values, and the company's ability to expand and finance its projects.

2. Interest Rate Volatility, Inflation, and Financing Risks: Fluctuations in interest rates pose a substantial threat to HHH's financial stability. Rising interest rates can escalate the cost of financing for the company's considerable indebtedness, making it more challenging to refinance existing debt. Additionally, higher interest rates can reduce consumer demand for housing and condominiums by increasing mortgage costs, directly affecting sales and the profitability of development projects. Inflation also contributes to increased construction costs, further impacting project margins.

3. High Indebtedness and Access to Capital: The company carries substantial debt, which, as of December 31, 2025, was approximately $5.1 billion. The ability to manage this debt, including refinancing upcoming maturities, is critical. Any decrease in credit availability or increase in borrowing costs, whether due to market conditions or potential credit rating downgrades, could severely limit HHH's capacity to secure capital for its ongoing and future real estate developments.

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The addressable markets for Howard Hughes Corporation's main products and services, primarily master-planned communities and strategic real estate development opportunities, vary by region and property type across the United States.

United States (Overall Real Estate Market)

The U.S. real estate market was estimated at USD 130.02 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 217.63 billion by 2031 for real estate services. Another estimate places the U.S. real estate market value at USD 1.8 trillion in 2025, expected to reach USD 2.3 trillion by 2034. The residential property segment constitutes a significant portion, leading the market with a 57.09% revenue share in 2024. North America, as a whole, dominated the global real estate market in 2025, holding a 33.4% share of the USD 7,517.4 billion global market.

Master Planned Communities (U.S.)

In 2025, nearly 33,000 new homes were purchased across the top 50 master-planned communities in the United States. Howard Hughes' communities, Summerlin in Las Vegas and Bridgeland in the Greater Houston area, ranked among the nation's top 15 best-selling master-planned communities for 2025, with 962 and 812 home sales respectively. The Houston metropolitan area is noted as a top-performing metro for master-planned communities, while Florida accounted for approximately 42% and Texas for about 32% of all sales among the top 50 U.S. master-planned communities in 2025.

Columbia, Maryland

Residential Development:

The broader Baltimore-Columbia-Towson Housing Market Area (HMA) is projected to have demand for 11,950 new homes over a three-year forecast period (as of June 2023). Additionally, demand is expected for 4,565 rental units in the same HMA during the forecast period. Anne Arundel County, where Columbia is located, anticipates demand for over 28,000 new residential units by 2035.

Commercial Development:

The "Land Development in Maryland" industry is projected to have a market size of $261.9 million in 2026. Columbia's retail market size is approximately 10.12 million square feet. The total suburban office inventory in Maryland is about 63 million square feet.

Houston, Texas

Residential Development:

Brokers closed on 4,999 single-family homes in Houston in January 2026. The Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands metropolitan area has a luxury housing market entry threshold starting at $794,170 as of February 2026.

Commercial Development:

Houston's office market had an inventory of 253.4 million square feet as of Q4 2025. The industrial market in Houston comprises nearly 530 million square feet of total inventory. The retail market in Houston recorded more than 2 million square feet of leasing activity and $3 billion in annual sales volume. The multifamily market in Houston includes 801,616 multi-unit inventory units, with over 12,600 units under construction as of Q2 2025.

Las Vegas, Nevada

Residential Development:

The median sale price of a home in Las Vegas was $440,000 in February 2026, with 641 homes sold during that month. The median single-family home price in Las Vegas was approximately $470,000 at year-end 2025. In November 2025, the median list price for existing single-family homes "sold" in Southern Nevada was $488,995. The Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise metro's multifamily housing inventory stands at 238,200 units, with more than 4,600 units under construction as of Q2 2025.

Commercial Development:

The Las Vegas retail market has an inventory of approximately 68.72 million square feet. The office market inventory in Las Vegas is around 42.62 million square feet. The industrial real estate market in Las Vegas features 174.5 million square feet of inventory. The Las Vegas industrial sector reported 2.0 million square feet of positive absorption by the end of 2025, with 7.3 million square feet delivered in the same year.

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Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. (HHH) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through a combination of its core real estate operations and a significant strategic diversification.

  1. Continued Master Planned Community (MPC) Land Sales and Favorable Pricing: The company anticipates ongoing strong demand and pricing power for residential and commercial land within its established Master Planned Communities, such as Summerlin in Las Vegas and Bridgeland in Greater Houston. While 2026 is projected to see a normalization of MPC earnings before taxes (EBT) after a record 2025, the underlying demand for developed land and high average prices per acre are expected to continue driving revenue. The Teravalis project in Greater Phoenix is also identified as a significant long-term growth asset, with early monetization phases expected to contribute over time.
  2. Condominium Closings and Strong Pre-Sales at Ward Village: HHH has a substantial backlog of contracted future condominium revenue, primarily from its Ward Village development in Honolulu. Key projects like The Park Ward Village, Victoria Place, Ulana, Melia, and 'Ilima have high pre-sale rates, with significant revenue recognition expected from closings over the next few years. For 2026, the company projects condominium gross revenue of approximately $720 million to $750 million, mainly driven by closings at The Park Ward Village.
  3. Growth in Net Operating Income (NOI) from Operating Assets: Howard Hughes Holdings expects continued growth in Net Operating Income from its portfolio of operating assets, including office, multifamily, and retail properties within its MPCs. Strong lease-up activity and abatement expirations in locations like The Woodlands, Merriweather District, and Summerlin contributed to an 8% increase in Total Operating Assets NOI in 2025, and management guides for a 1% to 5% increase in 2026.
  4. Diversification through the Acquisition of Vantage Group Holdings Ltd.: A significant driver of future revenue growth stems from HHH's strategic transformation into a diversified holding company, marked by the pending acquisition of Vantage Group Holdings Ltd., a specialty insurance and reinsurance company, for approximately $2.1 billion. This acquisition, expected to close in the second quarter of 2026, is anticipated to diversify revenue streams, accelerate the company's overall growth profile, and reduce reliance on real estate market cycles.

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Share Repurchases

  • In November 2021, The Howard Hughes Corporation announced a share repurchase program authorizing up to $250 million of its shares.
  • In March 2022, the company's Board of Directors approved a second $250 million share buyback program, following the completion of the prior November 2021 authorization.
  • A proposed $500 million share repurchase was discussed in January 2025 as part of a larger transaction, intended to be financed by newly issued bonds.

Share Issuance

  • In 2025, Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. sold 9,000,000 newly issued shares to Pershing Square for $900 million.

Inbound Investments

  • In May 2025, Pershing Square Capital Management made a significant $900 million investment in Howard Hughes Holdings Inc., acquiring 9 million newly issued shares at $100 per share, which represented a 48% premium at the time.
  • This investment is a key component of the company's strategic transformation into a diversified holding company.

Outbound Investments

  • In late 2025, Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. agreed to acquire 100% of Vantage Group Holdings Ltd., a privately held specialty insurance and reinsurance company, for approximately $2.1 billion in cash.
  • In 2021, the company acquired the 37,000-acre Douglas Ranch development in the Phoenix area, later renamed Teravalis, for $600 million.

Capital Expenditures

  • In 2024, the company progressed on construction of seven commercial development projects that are expected to generate nearly $24 million of incremental stabilized Net Operating Income (NOI).
  • Construction on The Launiu, a condominium project, is expected to commence in 2025.
  • The company continues to allocate capital to its Master Planned Communities (MPCs) and strategic developments, with the MPC segment projected to generate excess cash for investments in new ventures over time.

Better Bets vs. Howard Hughes (HHH)

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HHHJOEFORBAMLENDHIMedian
NameHoward H.St. Joe Forestar Brookfie.Lennar D.R. Hor. 
Mkt Price68.4960.2428.2047.3782.90144.7964.36
Mkt Cap4.03.51.476.120.341.712.2
Rev LTM1,511-1,7084,77133,17533,3484,771
Op Inc LTM318-2103,1592,2703,9202,270
FCF LTM4521782652,319-903,498358
FCF 3Y Avg16783-81,6301,9682,815899
CFO LTM4582042672,319723,652362
CFO 3Y Avg172142-61,6312,1292,961902

Growth & Margins

HHHJOEFORBAMLENDHIMedian
NameHoward H.St. Joe Forestar Brookfie.Lennar D.R. Hor. 
Rev Chg LTM-15.7%-16.1%17.8%-7.2%-5.6%-5.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.8%-13.2%--0.7%-0.1%6.6%
Rev Chg Q18.4%-6.6%15.1%-13.3%-2.3%6.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%-1.4%3.5%-3.0%-0.5%1.4%
Op Inc Chg LTM-43.5%-4.1%20.2%-51.1%-26.7%-26.7%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg54.2%-9.3%--27.5%-15.7%-3.2%
Op Mgn LTM21.0%-12.3%66.2%6.8%11.8%12.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg23.0%-14.0%66.1%11.9%14.6%14.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.6%--0.1%0.4%-1.2%-0.5%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM30.3%-15.6%48.6%0.2%11.0%15.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.1%--1.4%36.1%6.0%8.5%6.1%
FCF/Rev LTM29.9%-15.5%48.6%-0.3%10.5%15.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.7%--1.5%36.0%5.6%8.1%5.7%

Valuation

HHHJOEFORBAMLENDHIMedian
NameHoward H.St. Joe Forestar Brookfie.Lennar D.R. Hor. 
Mkt Cap4.03.51.476.120.341.712.2
P/S2.7-0.816.00.61.21.2
P/Op Inc12.7-6.824.18.910.610.6
P/EBIT12.3-6.822.08.910.610.6
P/E33.2-8.630.211.313.113.1
P/CFO8.817.05.432.8280.111.414.2
Total Yield3.0%-11.6%7.1%11.4%8.8%8.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.0%0.0%3.8%2.5%1.2%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.3%2.5%-3.7%2.3%5.2%6.6%3.4%
D/E1.40.20.60.10.30.20.2
Net D/E1.00.10.30.00.10.10.1

Returns

HHHJOEFORBAMLENDHIMedian
NameHoward H.St. Joe Forestar Brookfie.Lennar D.R. Hor. 
1M Rtn2.4%-8.6%-3.8%-0.1%-7.1%-8.3%-5.4%
3M Rtn1.5%-12.5%6.6%-2.4%-10.9%-5.3%-3.9%
6M Rtn-18.1%-7.4%2.9%-8.4%-29.0%-6.6%-7.9%
12M Rtn-0.4%23.1%29.1%-19.2%-22.8%11.1%5.4%
3Y Rtn-8.0%16.2%4.3%55.7%-31.3%17.0%10.2%
1M Excs Rtn2.7%-5.4%-1.1%-1.6%-3.9%-5.4%-2.7%
3M Excs Rtn-0.6%-16.1%1.4%-7.4%-14.1%-7.5%-7.5%
6M Excs Rtn-25.1%-14.8%-6.1%-14.3%-38.3%-16.7%-15.7%
12M Excs Rtn-18.9%3.7%9.6%-38.3%-41.1%-6.9%-12.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-73.1%-48.4%-45.4%-5.8%-98.1%-47.0%-47.7%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Master Planned Communities (MPC) Segment635523448408410
Operating Assets Segment466444444432443
Strategic Developments Segment37478350680520
Corporate income000  
Seaport Segment  828855
Total1,4751,7511,0241,6081,428


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Master Planned Communities (MPC) Segment401301255234216
Operating Assets Segment261250233237234
Strategic Developments Segment-20181-3017683
Seaport Segment  -21-16-22
Total642731436632511


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Operating Assets Segment3,6063,5483,5783,4493,608
Master Planned Communities (MPC) Segment3,4873,3743,3593,2733,056
Strategic Developments Segment2,3791,8371,6391,3591,194
Corporate1,167452516356677
Seaport Segment  4861,1671,047
Total10,6399,2119,5779,6039,582


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$68.49 
Market Cap ($ Bil)4.0 
First Trading Date08/14/2023 
Distance from 52W High-23.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$67.48$74.26
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA1.5%-7.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility26.3%30.0%
Downside Capture51.9583.07
Upside Capture47.9165.18
Correlation (SPY)25.2%36.1%
HHH Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.130.450.390.600.850.03
Up Beta-0.090.760.460.511.01-0.34
Down Beta1.810.920.671.020.98-0.06
Up Capture35%64%42%26%57%54%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days13233459125356
Down Capture-104%-28%3%69%84%100%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days8172764124360

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with HHH
HHH-0.7%29.9%-0.02-
Sector ETF (XLRE)11.2%14.3%0.5243.6%
Equity (SPY)19.2%12.6%1.1236.2%
Gold (GLD)19.6%28.0%0.6314.7%
Commodities (DBC)29.7%19.0%1.24-14.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)15.2%14.0%0.7848.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-46.6%42.9%-1.3420.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with HHH
HHH-1.6%29.3%-0.09-
Sector ETF (XLRE)2.7%19.1%0.0555.8%
Equity (SPY)12.6%17.1%0.5748.5%
Gold (GLD)16.8%18.4%0.7410.2%
Commodities (DBC)8.8%19.5%0.343.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.6%18.9%0.0459.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)14.0%53.5%0.4419.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with HHH
HHH-0.8%29.3%-0.09-
Sector ETF (XLRE)6.4%20.4%0.2755.8%
Equity (SPY)15.1%17.9%0.7248.5%
Gold (GLD)10.9%16.1%0.5510.2%
Commodities (DBC)7.0%17.9%0.313.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%20.7%0.2159.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)57.9%66.2%0.9819.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 6152026-10.8%
Average Daily Volume0.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity59.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.5%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 7/17/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/20263.5%1.8%2.3%
2/19/2026-9.7%-11.8%-25.0%
11/10/202511.3%7.3%6.5%
8/6/20251.7%7.8%14.1%
5/7/20251.8%3.4%-0.1%
2/26/20254.5%4.7%1.9%
11/4/20246.6%10.0%12.9%
7/26/2024-1.8%-9.7%5.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive878
# Negative343
Median Positive2.7%4.7%4.6%
Median Negative-1.8%-6.1%-5.6%
Max Positive11.3%10.0%14.1%
Max Negative-9.7%-11.8%-25.0%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/20263.5%1.8%2.3%
2/19/2026-9.7%-11.8%-25.0%
11/10/202511.3%7.3%6.5%
8/6/20251.7%7.8%14.1%
5/7/20251.8%3.4%-0.1%
2/26/20254.5%4.7%1.9%
11/4/20246.6%10.0%12.9%
7/26/2024-1.8%-9.7%5.4%
5/8/20240.7%1.9%0.0%
2/27/2024-0.2%-2.4%-5.6%
11/6/20230.8%-2.3%3.9%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive878
# Negative343
Median Positive2.7%4.7%4.6%
Median Negative-1.8%-6.1%-5.6%
Max Positive11.3%10.0%14.1%
Max Negative-9.7%-11.8%-25.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/19/202610-K
09/30/202511/10/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202402/26/202510-K
09/30/202411/04/202410-Q
06/30/202407/26/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/27/202410-K
09/30/202311/06/202310-Q
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/08/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/19/202610-K
09/30/202511/10/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202402/26/202510-K
09/30/202411/04/202410-Q
06/30/202407/26/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/27/202410-K
09/30/202311/06/202310-Q
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/08/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
03/31/202205/09/202210-Q
12/31/202102/28/202210-K
09/30/202111/04/202110-Q
06/30/202108/04/202110-Q
03/31/202105/10/202110-Q
12/31/202002/25/202110-K
09/30/202011/05/202010-Q
06/30/202008/03/202010-Q
03/31/202005/11/202010-Q
12/31/201902/27/202010-K
09/30/201911/04/201910-Q
06/30/201908/07/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/12/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2028 The Launiu Pre-sold Percentage 0.74    

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/19/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted Operating Cash Flow415.00 Mil440.00 Mil465.00 Mil0 Same NewGuidance: 440.00 Mil for 2025
2026 MPC EBT343.00 Mil367.00 Mil391.00 Mil-18.4% Lower NewGuidance: 450.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Operating Assets NOI279.00 Mil284.00 Mil290.00 Mil6.4% Higher NewGuidance: 267.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Condominium sales revenue720.00 Mil735.00 Mil750.00 Mil   
2026 Cash G&A82.00 Mil87.00 Mil92.00 Mil7.4% Higher NewGuidance: 81.00 Mil for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/10/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Condo sales revenues 360.00 Mil    
2025 Adjusted Operating Cash Flow415.00 Mil440.00 Mil465.00 Mil7.3% RaisedGuidance: 410.00 Mil for 2025
2025 MPC EBT 450.00 Mil 4.7% RaisedGuidance: 430.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Total Operating Assets NOI 267.00 Mil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 267.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Cash G&A76.00 Mil81.00 Mil86.00 Mil0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 81.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 7/17/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Carman, JamesPresident, Houston RegionDirectSell518202664.201,50096,3001,418,563Form
2Davis, Andrew DChief Operating Officer, HHCDirectSell326202663.871,636104,4912,013,821Form
3Valane, JosephGeneral Counsel & SecretaryDirectBuy316202664.451,26081,2071,882,517Form
4Sellers, R ScotDirectBuy1229202577.945,000389,7135,262,451Form
5Tighe, Mary AnnSee FootnoteSell1201202588.836,000532,9661,198,728Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Carman, JamesPresident, Houston RegionDirectSell518202664.201,50096,3001,418,563Form
2Davis, Andrew DChief Operating Officer, HHCDirectSell326202663.871,636104,4912,013,821Form
3Valane, JosephGeneral Counsel & SecretaryDirectBuy316202664.451,26081,2071,882,517Form
4Sellers, R ScotDirectBuy1229202577.945,000389,7135,262,451Form
5Tighe, Mary AnnSee FootnoteSell1201202588.836,000532,9661,198,728Form
6Williams, AnthonyDirectSell1007202579.581,10087,538644,757Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Jul 21, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Pershing Square Capital Management, L.P.$1.2 Bil8.7%11Hold13F
Northern Right Capital Management, L.P.$24.2 Mil8.6%25ADD +13.6%13F
Incline Global Management LLC$11.7 Mil4.6%24New13F
Flat Footed LLC$13.6 Mil4.5%15New13F
Consulta Ltd$19.0 Mil0.9%13Hold13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Flat Footed LLC$13.6 Mil4.5%15New13F
Incline Global Management LLC$11.7 Mil4.6%24New13F
Northern Right Capital Management, L.P.$24.2 Mil8.6%25ADD +13.6%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
CRCM LP$48.9 Mil16.5%30Exited13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Pershing Square Capital Management, L.P.$1.2 Bil8.7%11Hold13F
Northern Right Capital Management, L.P.$24.2 Mil8.6%25ADD +13.6%13F
Consulta Ltd$19.0 Mil0.9%13Hold13F
Flat Footed LLC$13.6 Mil4.5%15New13F
Incline Global Management LLC$11.7 Mil4.6%24New13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/20/2026