Tearsheet

Mogo (MOGO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.22 | Market Cap: $29.5 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Mogo (MOGO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.22
Market Cap: $29.5 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -2.5 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.6%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
  Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 147%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.5%
3   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 146%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.6%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -2.5 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.6%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 147%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.5%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 146%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MOGO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining recent movements in Mogo's stock price: 1. Declining Interest Revenue: In its Q3 2025 earnings report, Mogo indicated a 5% year-over-year decline in interest revenue, which was attributed to a new rate cap. This regulatory impact directly affects a core revenue stream.

2. Decreased Net Cash Flow: During Q3 2025, Mogo experienced a year-over-year decrease in net cash flow before the loan book. This was primarily due to the timing of working capital items, suggesting operational challenges in cash management.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MOGO Return47%-9%-85%16%-26%-10%-84%
Peers Return9%6%-31%39%-9%-3%-4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MOGO Win Rate50%42%33%58%25%40% 
Peers Win Rate12%27%20%38%33%72% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MOGO Max Drawdown-78%-16%-88%-36%-48%-45% 
Peers Max Drawdown0%-1%-34%-10%-22%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GEN, PATH, S, CHOW, NTSK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMOGOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3273.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-81.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven435.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven253 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-48.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven93.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven136 days120 days

Compare to GEN, PATH, S, CHOW, NTSK


In The Past

Mogo's stock fell -97.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/19/2021. A -97.0% loss requires a 3273.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Mogo (MOGO)

Better Bets than Mogo (MOGO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MOGO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Mogo

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MOGOGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NameMogo Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
Mkt Price1.2527.1914.8616.969.8018.3315.91
Mkt Cap0.016.78.05.6--6.8
Rev LTM704,4731,497907--1,202
Op Inc LTM-31,697-46-328---24
FCF LTM11,30031017--163
FCF 3Y Avg-91,463268-44--130
CFO LTM41,32433541--188
CFO 3Y Avg-51,480282-22--138

Growth & Margins

MOGOGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NameMogo Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
Rev Chg LTM1.7%16.2%8.3%25.4%--12.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.5%16.5%14.6%45.6%--15.5%
Rev Chg Q-3.5%25.3%14.4%21.7%--18.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.9%5.8%3.1%5.0%--4.1%
Op Mgn LTM-3.6%37.9%-3.1%-36.2%---3.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-10.4%36.7%-12.6%-53.2%---11.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.0%-1.3%5.8%2.1%--1.5%
CFO/Rev LTM5.1%29.6%22.4%4.5%--13.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-7.9%37.1%20.7%-5.5%--7.6%
FCF/Rev LTM1.2%29.1%20.7%1.8%--11.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-13.3%36.7%19.6%-8.7%--5.5%

Valuation

MOGOGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NameMogo Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
Mkt Cap0.016.78.05.6--6.8
P/S0.43.94.66.7--4.2
P/EBIT2.910.9-148.1-19.8---8.4
P/E7.830.7340.3-14.1--19.2
P/CFO8.613.220.5148.8--16.9
Total Yield12.8%5.0%0.3%-7.1%--2.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.8%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-20.7%9.5%3.6%-1.0%--1.3%
D/E2.70.50.00.0--0.3
Net D/E1.50.5-0.2-0.1--0.2

Returns

MOGOGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NameMogo Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
1M Rtn-20.2%3.9%-6.4%-4.1%11.4%-24.4%-5.2%
3M Rtn-31.2%-7.9%36.6%-5.9%---6.9%
6M Rtn-7.8%-5.7%13.9%-5.6%---5.7%
12M Rtn-22.7%-10.3%3.3%-38.4%---16.5%
3Y Rtn-32.2%21.7%2.3%14.7%--8.5%
1M Excs Rtn-20.2%4.0%-6.3%-4.0%11.4%-24.4%-5.2%
3M Excs Rtn-34.6%-12.8%31.6%-11.9%---12.4%
6M Excs Rtn-22.5%-20.4%-0.9%-20.3%---20.4%
12M Excs Rtn-29.7%-23.9%-9.0%-52.9%---26.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-103.6%-47.0%-49.8%-67.2%---58.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment6569   
Interest revenue  232534
Subscription and services  341925
Total6569584460


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity298,244
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-11.1%
Average Daily Volume165,038
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.81
Basic Shares Quantity24,221,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202580720256-K 6/30/2025
331202550820256-K 3/31/2025
12312024429202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024110620246-K 9/30/2024
630202480820246-K 6/30/2024
331202450920246-K 3/31/2024
12312023430202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023110920236-K 9/30/2023
630202381020236-K 6/30/2023
331202351120236-K 3/31/2023
12312022323202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022111020226-K 9/30/2022
630202281120226-K 6/30/2022
331202251220226-K 3/31/2022
12312021323202240-F 12/31/2021
9302021111020216-K 9/30/2021