Tearsheet

Affirm (AFRM)


Market Price (12/23/2025): $78.66 | Market Cap: $27.4 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Affirm (AFRM)


Market Price (12/23/2025): $78.66
Market Cap: $27.4 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 117x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.3%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, and Online Banking & Lending.
Key risks
AFRM key risks include [1] intense competitive pressure from rivals like Apple Pay Later, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, and Online Banking & Lending.
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 117x
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.3%
5 Key risks
AFRM key risks include [1] intense competitive pressure from rivals like Apple Pay Later, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AFRM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Based on available information for Affirm (AFRM) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 23, 2025, several factors could have exerted downward pressure on the stock, contributing to negative movements within the period. While the overall trend for AFRM during this time included significant gains, the following points highlight potential reasons for a hypothetical -11.2% decline or contributing negative sentiment:

1. Significant insider selling activities impacted investor confidence. Affirm's CEO, Max R. Levchin, executed a substantial sale of 651,713 shares for approximately $58.18 million on September 22, 2025, which could have been perceived negatively by the market.

2. Concerns over consumer spending influenced market sentiment. Following impressive fiscal first-quarter earnings, Affirm's stock experienced a drift lower due to ongoing concerns about broader consumer spending trends, as noted by financial analysts.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -12.8% change in AFRM stock from 9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a -79.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
922202512222025Change
Stock Price ($)90.1278.57-12.82%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3224.413459.277.28%
Net Income Margin (%)1.62%6.74%316.35%
P/E Multiple564.51117.39-79.20%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)326.89348.28-6.54%
Cumulative Contribution-13.19%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AFRM-12.8% 
Market (SPY)2.7%57.7%
Sector (XLK)2.7%49.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 26.3% change in AFRM stock from 6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 18.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
623202512222025Change
Stock Price ($)62.1978.5726.34%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3007.183459.2715.03%
P/S Multiple6.707.9118.04%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)324.05348.28-7.48%
Cumulative Contribution25.63%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AFRM26.3% 
Market (SPY)14.4%50.4%
Sector (XLK)19.7%42.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 19.7% change in AFRM stock from 12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 37.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1222202412222025Change
Stock Price ($)65.6478.5719.70%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2524.933459.2737.00%
P/S Multiple8.277.91-4.38%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)318.23348.28-9.44%
Cumulative Contribution18.63%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AFRM19.7% 
Market (SPY)16.9%63.1%
Sector (XLK)23.8%61.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 755.0% change in AFRM stock from 12/23/2022 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 326.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1223202212222025Change
Stock Price ($)9.1978.57754.95%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1441.533459.27139.97%
P/S Multiple1.857.91326.50%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)290.93348.28-19.71%
Cumulative Contribution721.73%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/23/2023 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AFRM60.2% 
Market (SPY)47.7%53.1%
Sector (XLK)52.9%46.2%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AFRM Return��-90%408%24%25%�
Peers Return����272%22%�
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%113%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AFRM Win Rate�36%25%67%33%58% 
Peers Win Rate���57%62%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AFRM Max Drawdown��-91%-7%-51%-41% 
Peers Max Drawdown����-24%-34% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PYPL, SEZL, SHOP, BFH, UPST.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/22/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAFRMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-94.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1791.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to

In The Past

Affirm's stock fell -94.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/4/2021. A -94.7% loss requires a 1791.4% gain to breakeven.

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About Affirm (AFRM)

Affirm Holdings, Inc. operates a platform for digital and mobile-first commerce in the United States and Canada. The company's platform includes point-of-sale payment solution for consumers, merchant commerce solutions, and a consumer-focused app. Its payments network and partnership with an originating bank, enables consumers to pay for a purchase over time with terms ranging from one to forty-eight months. As of June 30, 2021, the company had approximately 29,000 merchants integrated on its platform covering small businesses, large enterprises, direct-to-consumer brands, brick-and-mortar stores, and companies. Its merchants represent a range of industries, including sporting goods and outdoors, furniture and homewares, travel, apparel, accessories, consumer electronics, and jewelry. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Like PayPal, but exclusively focused on offering transparent 'buy now, pay later' installment payments directly at checkout.

Imagine a bank's personal loan department, but one that offers instant, fixed-term loans for your online and in-store purchases, right at the point of sale.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) Installment Loans: These financial services allow consumers to split purchases into fixed payments over a set period, often with interest or sometimes interest-free.
  • Affirm Card: This physical or virtual card enables users to extend Affirm's pay-over-time functionality to a wider range of purchases, leveraging their existing Affirm credit line.
  • Affirm Savings Account: A high-yield savings account offered to consumers, provided in partnership with Cross River Bank.
  • Merchant Solutions: Affirm provides businesses with tools and platforms to integrate its BNPL options directly into their checkout process, helping merchants increase sales and customer conversion.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Affirm (AFRM) primarily sells its "Buy Now, Pay Later" (BNPL) payment and financing solutions to other companies, specifically merchants, who then offer Affirm as a payment option to their individual customers. Affirm generates revenue through merchant fees and interest charged to consumers on the loans it originates through these partnerships. Therefore, its major customers are the large merchant partners that integrate its platform.

Its major merchant customers and partners include:

  • Amazon (AMZN)
  • Shopify (SHOP)
  • Walmart (WMT)
  • Target (TGT)
  • Peloton Interactive (PTON)

These companies integrate Affirm's payment platform into their checkout process, enabling their shoppers to split purchases into installments. The high volume of transactions facilitated through these key partnerships represents significant business for Affirm.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Cross River Bank
  • Amazon Web Services (AMZN)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Max Levchin, Founder and CEO

Max Levchin co-founded PayPal, serving as its Chief Technology Officer until its acquisition by eBay in 2002. He later founded Slide, a personal media-sharing service, which was acquired by Google in 2010 for $182 million. Levchin also helped create Yelp Inc., where he was Chairman of its Board of Directors from its founding in 2005 until July 2015. He is also the co-founder and Chairman of Glow, a data-driven fertility company, both launched from his innovation lab, HVF (Hard, Valuable, Fun).

Robert O'Hare, Chief Financial Officer

Robert O'Hare was appointed CFO of Affirm in November 2024. Prior to this, he served as Affirm's Senior Vice President of Finance for over four years. He previously held CFO roles at Tile and Spark Networks. O'Hare also worked in finance and strategy at Square (now Block, Inc.), was Director of Financial Planning & Analysis at Pandora, and held roles at Spitfire Capital LLC and Spectrum Equity, a private equity firm.

Libor Michalek, President

Libor Michalek oversees engineering, risk, operations, product, and design at Affirm. He previously served as President of Technology and Chief Technology Officer at Affirm. Before joining Affirm, Michalek was an Engineering Director at YouTube and Google. Earlier in his career, he was the Chief Technology Officer of Slide, a personal media-sharing service, which was acquired by Google in 2010.

Michael Linford, Chief Operating Officer

Michael Linford is the Chief Operating Officer at Affirm, overseeing finance, capital markets, internal audit, and people functions. He previously served as Chief Financial Officer for Hewlett-Packard Enterprise Software, where he led commercial work for all HPE separations and was VP of M&A Integration at HP. Linford also spent seven years as a Principal in the KKR Capstone operations team at global investment firm KKR & CO.

Katherine Adkins, Chief Legal Officer and Chief Compliance Officer

Katherine Adkins has served as Affirm's Chief Legal Officer and Chief Compliance Officer since July 2021. Before joining Affirm, she spent nearly 20 years at the finance arm of Toyota Motor Corp., where she served as Group Vice President, General Counsel, and Secretary of Toyota Financial Services. Adkins has over 25 years of experience in the automotive, financial services, and financial technology industries.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Affirm (AFRM) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from the intensely competitive landscape, exposure to consumer credit risk, and evolving regulatory scrutiny.

Competitive Pressure

The Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) market is characterized by fierce competition from a growing number of players, including established financial institutions like PayPal and Klarna, as well as newer entrants such as Apple Pay Later. This intense competition can significantly impact Affirm's market share, pricing strategies, and the fees it charges merchants, ultimately pressuring profitability. Merchants have various alternative payment solutions, enabling them to negotiate for lower fees or switch to rival providers if Affirm does not offer sufficient value. This competitive environment can also incentivize Affirm to offer more 0% APR financing, which may lead to lower take rates and reduced revenue per transaction.

Credit Risk and Macroeconomic Conditions

Affirm's business model is highly susceptible to consumer credit risk and broader macroeconomic fluctuations. Factors such as rising interest rates, an increasingly indebted consumer population, and a challenging job market can elevate the risk of default on discretionary BNPL loans. While Affirm utilizes proprietary risk models and machine learning to assess creditworthiness, a significant increase in default rates could materially impair its revenue growth and undermine investor confidence. Consumers can incur interest rates as high as 36% APR on Affirm loans, which further compounds the risk for borrowers who may struggle with timely repayments. Missed payments can negatively impact a borrower's credit score, potentially by 30 to 100 points.

Regulatory Uncertainty

The BNPL industry is operating under increasing scrutiny from regulatory bodies, including the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB). Regulators are considering implementing rules that would require BNPL providers to adhere to regulations similar to those applied to credit card companies. Such regulatory changes could lead to increased compliance costs, tighter margins, and reduced product flexibility for Affirm. Affirm has expressed concerns that applying credit card regulations directly to BNPL transactions could create confusion for both companies and consumers, advocating instead for BNPL-specific rules.

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  • Intensified competition from established technology companies and financial institutions: The rollout and expansion of offerings like Apple Pay Later, as well as similar installment payment options from PayPal and major banks (e.g., Citi Flex Pay, Chase My Chase Plan), directly compete with Affirm's core Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) service. These competitors possess vast existing customer bases, significant financial resources, and often integrate their solutions directly into their platforms or hardware, potentially bypassing third-party BNPL providers.
  • Increased regulatory scrutiny and potential for new regulations: Financial regulators, notably the U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB), are actively investigating and considering new rules for the BNPL industry. Potential regulations include requirements for mandatory credit checks, stricter disclosure standards, limits on fees, and reporting consumer payment activity to credit bureaus. Such regulatory changes could significantly increase Affirm's operating costs, constrain its customer acquisition strategies, reduce its addressable market, and alter its profitability model.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) primarily operates in the Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) sector, offering point-of-sale installment loans to consumers. Additionally, the company provides the Affirm Card and savings accounts. The addressable market sizes for Affirm's main products and services are as follows:

Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) / Point-of-Sale Installment Loans

The core of Affirm's business is providing flexible payment options, including interest-free "Pay in 4" and longer-term interest-bearing installment loans.
  • United States: The Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) market in the United States is projected to reach approximately $122.26 billion to $170.32 billion in 2025. Some estimates indicate total spending climbing to $97.25 billion in 2025. Another report indicates the US BNPL market was valued at USD 170.32 billion in 2025 and is on course to reach USD 367.85 billion by 2030. The BNPL sector is projected to expand from its 2024 value of USD 109.00 billion to approximately USD 184.05 billion by the end of 2030.
  • Global: The global BNPL market reached $340 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow at a 12.3% CAGR through 2030. Other projections estimate the global market to grow from USD 37.19 billion in 2024 to USD 167.58 billion by 2032 or from USD 19.22 billion in 2024 to USD 83.36 billion by 2034. There is also a more optimistic projection that the BNPL market, valued at $120 billion in 2020, is on track to reach $3.2 trillion by 2030.

Overall U.S. E-commerce Market

Given that online commerce heavily drives the BNPL market, the overall U.S. e-commerce market size is also a relevant addressable market.
  • United States: The U.S. e-commerce market is expected to reach between $1.25 trillion and $1.29 trillion by the end of 2025. This market reached approximately USD 1.11 Trillion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 4.37 Trillion by 2034.

Affirm Card and Savings Account

Specific addressable market sizes for the Affirm Card and its savings accounts, separate from the broader BNPL and financial services ecosystem, are not readily available in the provided information. The Affirm Card's Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) was $1.4 billion as of November 2025, but this represents Affirm's product volume rather than an overall addressable market for such cards.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Affirm (AFRM) is positioned for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several strategic initiatives and market expansions:

  1. Increased Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) from a Growing Base of Active Consumers and Merchants: Affirm continues to demonstrate significant growth in its core business metric, Gross Merchandise Volume. The company reported a record GMV of $10.8 billion in Q1 Fiscal Year 2026, marking a 42% increase from the prior year. This growth is fueled by an expanding active consumer base, which reached 24.1 million (up 24% year-over-year), and an increase in transactions per active consumer to 6.1 (up 20%). The expansion of active merchants also contributes to this fundamental growth in transaction volume.
  2. Expansion and Deepening of Strategic Partnerships and Merchant Integrations: Key partnerships are pivotal for Affirm's revenue growth. The extended agreement with Amazon, now through January 2031, and the expansion with Shopify in the UK are significant contributors to Affirm's robust performance. Affirm is also expanding its wallet partnerships, including integrations with Apple Pay and Google Pay, to move beyond e-commerce into in-store commerce and further embed its buy-now-pay-later options at the point of checkout for a broader network of merchants.
  3. Growth and Diversification of Product Offerings: The Affirm Card has shown substantial growth, with its Gross Merchandise Volume increasing by 135% and active cardholders reaching 2.8 million. The company plans to further scale the Affirm Card and enhance engagement through personalized incentives. Additionally, Affirm is expanding into new verticals, such as service, automotive repair, and elective medical procedures, and focusing on broadening its 0% APR offerings, which attract a wider range of consumers.
  4. International Market Expansion: Affirm is actively pursuing growth in new geographies. Following its launch in the UK, the company has plans to extend its operations into Continental Europe and Australia. This international expansion strategy is expected to open new markets and significantly contribute to future revenue generation by reaching a larger global consumer and merchant base.

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Share Repurchases

  • Affirm repurchased $250 million of common stock in connection with the issuance of 2029 Notes.
  • The board authorized the repurchase of up to $200 million in outstanding 2026 convertible notes for the period from July 1, 2025, through December 31, 2025.
  • As of September 30, 2025, $174 million of this authorization for convertible note repurchases remained available.

Share Issuance

  • As of June 30, 2025, 284,378,565 shares of Class A common stock were issued and outstanding, an increase from 267,305,456 shares as of June 30, 2024.
  • Additional paid-in capital rose to $6,053,917 thousand as of September 30, 2024, from $5,862,555 thousand as of June 30, 2024.
  • As of June 30, 2024, there were 43,492,755 shares of Class A common stock available for future grants under the company's plan.

Inbound Investments

  • Affirm has issued convertible senior notes with an aggregate principal balance of $1.2 billion.
  • The company maintains a revolving credit facility with a $330 million commitment and has drawn $1.1 billion on its warehouse credit facilities.
  • Affirm has attracted a diverse array of investors, including insurance companies, alternative asset managers, sovereign wealth funds, pension funds, and hedge funds, through its expanded and diversified capital platform.

Outbound Investments

No information available.

Capital Expenditures

  • In fiscal year 2025, Affirm Holdings's capital expenditure was -$192.19 million.
  • Stock-based compensation included in capitalized internal-use software amounted to $178,461 thousand for the year ended June 30, 2025.
  • Affirm continues to invest in all of its channels and long-term capital partnerships to expand funding capacity, focusing on deepening stable access to funding and driving operational efficiencies.

Better Bets than Affirm (AFRM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to AFRM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
15.3%15.3%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.2%10.2%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.4%8.4%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

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Peer Comparisons for Affirm

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AFRMPYPLSEZLSHOPBFHUPSTMedian
NameAffirm PayPal Sezzle Shopify Bread Fi.Upstart  
Mkt Price78.5759.8675.15169.6777.7548.7776.45
Mkt Cap27.456.92.6220.63.64.716.0
Rev LTM3,45932,86241910,6963,7959593,627
Op Inc LTM5406,2961391,681--1,111
FCF LTM7695,565541,9032,003-3851,336
FCF 3Y Avg3615,265221,2951,946-153828
CFO LTM9726,426571,9232,003-3671,447
CFO 3Y Avg5275,972241,3221,956-139924

Growth & Margins

AFRMPYPLSEZLSHOPBFHUPSTMedian
NameAffirm PayPal Sezzle Shopify Bread Fi.Upstart  
Rev Chg LTM37.0%4.5%88.7%30.2%-3.4%73.6%33.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg34.4%6.7%-26.8%1.5%10.8%10.8%
Rev Chg Q33.6%7.3%67.0%31.5%-1.2%70.9%32.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.3%1.8%12.6%6.8%-0.3%13.6%7.0%
Op Mgn LTM15.6%19.2%33.1%15.7%--17.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-13.4%17.9%18.7%7.6%--12.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM5.1%0.1%-0.4%0.4%--0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM28.1%19.6%13.5%18.0%52.8%-38.3%18.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg17.8%19.0%6.2%14.9%49.0%-16.7%16.3%
FCF/Rev LTM22.2%16.9%12.9%17.8%52.8%-40.2%17.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.2%16.8%5.5%14.5%48.7%-18.8%12.8%

Valuation

AFRMPYPLSEZLSHOPBFHUPSTMedian
NameAffirm PayPal Sezzle Shopify Bread Fi.Upstart  
Mkt Cap27.456.92.6220.63.64.716.0
P/S7.91.76.120.61.04.95.5
P/EBIT40.68.718.5131.2--29.5
P/E117.411.622.1123.97.7146.469.7
P/CFO28.28.845.2114.71.8-12.818.5
Total Yield0.9%8.6%4.5%0.8%14.2%0.7%2.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.2%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.6%7.5%0.0%1.1%89.8%-4.3%1.3%
D/E0.30.20.00.01.00.40.2
Net D/E0.20.00.0-0.0-0.00.30.0

Returns

AFRMPYPLSEZLSHOPBFHUPSTMedian
NameAffirm PayPal Sezzle Shopify Bread Fi.Upstart  
1M Rtn22.0%-1.2%38.0%14.8%20.2%31.5%21.1%
3M Rtn-12.8%-11.3%-18.3%8.0%24.6%-24.9%-12.1%
6M Rtn26.3%-16.7%-48.2%54.3%43.1%-17.4%4.8%
12M Rtn19.7%-31.1%66.3%55.7%25.7%-28.7%22.7%
3Y Rtn755.0%-13.1%-403.3%119.7%269.5%269.5%
1M Excs Rtn20.4%-2.2%38.2%12.2%20.9%31.9%20.7%
3M Excs Rtn-8.4%-14.2%-15.9%9.8%24.5%-25.1%-11.3%
6M Excs Rtn6.8%-31.4%-66.0%35.4%27.4%-37.7%-12.3%
12M Excs Rtn6.9%-46.9%69.1%37.5%12.9%-50.6%9.9%
3Y Excs Rtn581.1%-90.6%-289.7%30.9%130.9%130.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment2,3231,588   
Card network revenue  1015019
Gain on sales of loans  1969032
Interest income  528326187
Merchant network revenue  459380257
Servicing income  662515
Total2,3231,5881,349870510


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$78.57 
Market Cap ($ Bil)27.4 
First Trading Date01/13/2021 
Distance from 52W High-14.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$71.00$64.94
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA10.7%21.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility65.1%75.5%
Downside Capture352.33256.37
Upside Capture243.64237.21
Correlation (SPY)56.5%63.1%
AFRM Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta3.213.033.142.812.472.95
Up Beta-0.270.961.373.112.352.47
Down Beta1.383.223.423.272.482.74
Up Capture495%351%260%330%601%65657%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days9202969127382
Down Capture388%327%354%217%156%112%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days10213355120364

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
null
Based On 5-Year Data
null
Based On 10-Year Data
null

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15,266,385
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202510.4%
Average Daily Volume4,864,692
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.14
Basic Shares Quantity348,278,403
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/202511.6%10.9%3.7%
8/28/202510.6%9.2%-4.3%
5/8/2025-14.5%-4.6%13.0%
2/6/202521.8%28.4%-24.9%
11/7/2024-4.7%9.1%41.1%
8/28/202431.9%25.5%30.3%
5/8/2024-9.5%-4.2%-10.6%
2/8/2024-10.9%-15.6%-24.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive8119
# Negative11810
Median Positive25.3%19.4%41.1%
Median Negative-10.9%-13.4%-25.3%
Max Positive34.4%50.7%93.3%
Max Negative-22.6%-35.8%-55.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025828202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024828202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023825202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022208202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022829202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021214202210-Q 12/31/2021