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SoFi Technologies (SOFI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $29.22 | Market Cap: $34.2 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Consumer Finance

SoFi Technologies (SOFI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $29.22
Market Cap: $34.2 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Consumer Finance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.3x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 48x
1 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 13%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 116%
2 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 5.6%
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -89%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -96%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology.
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 104%
4  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
1 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 13%
2 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 5.6%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology.
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.3x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 48x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 116%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -89%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -96%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 104%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SOFI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why SoFi Technologies (SOFI) stock moved by 13.8% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. SoFi exceeded analyst expectations with its Q3 2025 earnings report.

The company reported $0.11 earnings per share (EPS) for the third quarter of 2025, surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.09. Additionally, SoFi's revenue reached $949.63 million, beating the analyst forecast of $880.33 million and representing a 37.7% increase year-over-year. 2. The company provided strong full-year 2025 EPS guidance.

Following its robust quarterly performance, SoFi Technologies set its full-year 2025 EPS guidance at $0.37, signaling continued profitability and a positive outlook to investors.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SOFI Return-27%-71%116%55%92%137%
Peers Return-4%17%-10%41%14%-2%60%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SOFI Win Rate100%33%25%50%50%80% 
Peers Win Rate29%50%38%46%48%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SOFI Max Drawdown--3%-73%-2%-36%-38% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-6%-18%-5%-6%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: OBDC, BUR, GFCX, SUIG, AXP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSOFIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-83.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven499.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven992 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-2.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven9 days148 days

Compare to OBDC, BUR, GFCX, SUIG, AXP


In The Past

SoFi Technologies's stock fell -83.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/1/2021. A -83.3% loss requires a 499.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About SoFi Technologies (SOFI)

Better Bets than SoFi Technologies (SOFI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SOFI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for SoFi Technologies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SOFIOBDCBURGFCXSUIGAXPMedian
NameSoFi Tec.Blue Owl.Burford .GoodFait.Sui American. 
Mkt Price29.0713.419.54-2.02368.1313.41
Mkt Cap34.06.92.1--254.720.5
Rev LTM3,322742268-470,428742
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-3,1791,36532-618,94432
FCF 3Y Avg-4,671770-94--016,904-0
CFO LTM-2,9511,36532-621,13932
CFO 3Y Avg-4,506770-93--018,801-0

Growth & Margins

SOFIOBDCBURGFCXSUIGAXPMedian
NameSoFi Tec.Blue Owl.Burford .GoodFait.Sui American. 
Rev Chg LTM34.0%5.7%-43.8%-76.6%9.1%9.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg33.4%18.9%--0.3%11.6%15.3%
Rev Chg Q38.6%-0.7%-93.1%-250.4%10.8%10.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.8%-0.1%-39.8%-49.0%2.6%2.6%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-88.8%183.8%12.0%-158.3%30.0%30.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-204.8%98.6%-3.8%--15.0%29.2%-3.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-95.7%183.8%11.8%-158.3%26.9%26.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-211.1%98.6%-4.0%--15.0%26.3%-4.0%

Valuation

SOFIOBDCBURGFCXSUIGAXPMedian
NameSoFi Tec.Blue Owl.Burford .GoodFait.Sui American. 
Mkt Cap34.06.92.1--254.720.5
P/S9.38.89.8--3.39.1
P/EBIT-------
P/E48.39.830.1--21.826.0
P/CFO-10.54.881.4--10.97.8
Total Yield2.1%21.3%3.8%--4.6%4.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%11.1%0.5%--0.0%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-50.4%12.8%-2.9%--10.7%3.9%
D/E0.11.50.8--0.30.5
Net D/E-0.11.40.6--0.00.3

Returns

SOFIOBDCBURGFCXSUIGAXPMedian
NameSoFi Tec.Blue Owl.Burford .GoodFait.Sui American. 
1M Rtn-5.1%2.8%-3.0%--29.1%1.8%-3.0%
3M Rtn18.7%-3.0%-27.2%--67.1%14.0%-3.0%
6M Rtn116.0%-2.7%-24.7%--25.0%11.2%
12M Rtn83.1%-3.0%-27.8%--23.2%10.1%
3Y Rtn518.5%46.7%10.0%--143.8%95.2%
1M Excs Rtn-5.1%2.8%-3.0%--29.1%1.8%-3.0%
3M Excs Rtn9.2%-9.3%-33.2%--72.5%6.3%-9.3%
6M Excs Rtn101.3%-17.4%-39.5%--10.3%-3.6%
12M Excs Rtn63.6%-15.3%-42.8%--8.6%-3.4%
3Y Excs Rtn480.5%-25.2%-63.6%--80.5%27.6%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity116,122,820
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.3%
Average Daily Volume84,534,415
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.37
Basic Shares Quantity1,171,205,000
Short % of Basic Shares9.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024224202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021