Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 6.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 8.8%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -20%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 4.9x
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 59%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.9%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, CFO LTM is 8.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 8.7 Bil
  Key risks
MO key risks include [1] an accelerating decline in its core combustible cigarette volumes, Show more.
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Consumer Product Evolution. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, and Alternative Nicotine Products.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 6.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 8.8%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 59%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, CFO LTM is 8.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 8.7 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Consumer Product Evolution. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, and Alternative Nicotine Products.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -20%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 4.9x
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.9%
8 Key risks
MO key risks include [1] an accelerating decline in its core combustible cigarette volumes, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

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1. Disappointing Third-Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Altria reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 30, 2025. While adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) slightly beat analyst expectations, revenue of $5.25 billion missed consensus estimates of $5.31 billion and represented a 3.0% decrease year-over-year. This led to an 8% drop in the stock immediately following the announcement.

2. Significant Decline in Domestic Cigarette Shipment Volumes: The company's core smokeable products segment continued to face headwinds, with domestic cigarette shipment volumes declining by 8.2% in the third quarter of 2025. This persistent decline reflects ongoing challenges and decreasing smoking rates in the U.S. market.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -9.5% change in MO stock from 9/25/2025 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a -9.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
925202512252025Change
Stock Price ($)65.1958.98-9.53%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)20259.0020259.000.00%
Net Income Margin (%)43.37%43.37%0.00%
P/E Multiple12.4911.30-9.53%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1684.001684.000.00%
Cumulative Contribution-9.53%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/25/2025 to 12/25/2025
ReturnCorrelation
MO-9.5% 
Market (SPY)4.9%-6.4%
Sector (XLP)0.5%42.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 1.9% change in MO stock from 6/26/2025 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a 18.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
626202512252025Change
Stock Price ($)57.8558.981.94%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)20246.0020259.000.06%
Net Income Margin (%)50.44%43.37%-14.01%
P/E Multiple9.5711.3018.06%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1690.001684.000.36%
Cumulative Contribution1.94%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/26/2025 to 12/25/2025
ReturnCorrelation
MO1.9% 
Market (SPY)13.1%-9.6%
Sector (XLP)-1.9%38.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 18.3% change in MO stock from 12/25/2024 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a 37.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1225202412252025Change
Stock Price ($)49.8458.9818.34%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)20362.0020259.00-0.51%
Net Income Margin (%)50.51%43.37%-14.13%
P/E Multiple8.2511.3036.97%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1703.001684.001.12%
Cumulative Contribution18.33%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/25/2024 to 12/25/2025
ReturnCorrelation
MO18.3% 
Market (SPY)15.8%-1.5%
Sector (XLP)0.2%49.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 59.1% change in MO stock from 12/26/2022 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a 91.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
1226202212252025Change
Stock Price ($)37.0858.9859.06%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)20691.0020259.00-2.09%
Net Income Margin (%)22.71%43.37%91.03%
P/E Multiple14.2011.30-20.39%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1799.001684.006.39%
Cumulative Contribution58.41%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/26/2023 to 12/25/2025
ReturnCorrelation
MO67.1% 
Market (SPY)48.3%0.2%
Sector (XLP)14.4%49.3%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MO Return-10%24%4%-4%41%18%87%
Peers Return16%-8%-19%-6%22%3%2%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%115%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MO Win Rate50%58%75%42%75%50% 
Peers Win Rate55%45%43%55%53%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MO Max Drawdown-37%-1%-10%-8%-2%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-43%-19%-30%-23%-19%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PM, TPB, STZ, TAP, CGC. See MO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-27.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven870 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-38.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven63.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven364 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-48.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven93.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-81.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven448.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to

In The Past

Altria's stock fell -27.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/6/2022. A -27.2% loss requires a 37.4% gain to breakeven.

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About Altria (MO)

Altria Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells smokeable and oral tobacco products in the United States. The company provides cigarettes primarily under the Marlboro brand; cigars and pipe tobacco principally under the Black & Mild brand; and moist smokeless tobacco products under the Copenhagen, Skoal, Red Seal, and Husky brands, as well as provides on! oral nicotine pouches. It sells its tobacco products primarily to wholesalers, including distributors; and large retail organizations, such as chain stores. Altria Group, Inc. was founded in 1822 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.

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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Altria (MO):

  • The Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) of tobacco, holding iconic brands like Marlboro.

  • The Procter & Gamble (PG) of the tobacco world, managing a portfolio of well-known, albeit controversial, brands.

  • The Harley-Davidson (HOG) of the tobacco industry – an iconic American brand known for its loyal customer base and dividends, navigating a shifting market.

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  • Cigarettes: Altria's primary product, including leading brands like Marlboro, Parliament, and Virginia Slims, sold in the U.S. market.
  • Smokeless Tobacco: This category includes moist smokeless tobacco brands such as Copenhagen, Skoal, and Red Seal.
  • Cigars: Altria produces machine-made large cigars under the Black & Mild brand.
  • Oral Nicotine Pouches: A modern oral product offering tobacco-leaf-free nicotine pouches under the on! brand.

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Altria Group, Inc. (MO) primarily sells its products to other companies, specifically wholesale distributors and large retail chains, which then sell to individual consumers. Due to the widespread distribution of its products (like cigarettes, smokeless tobacco, and wine), Altria typically does not have one or two "major customers" that account for a significant percentage of its net revenues, as confirmed by their financial filings which state no single customer accounts for 10% or more of net revenues. However, the companies that serve as key partners in the distribution chain, moving Altria's products from manufacturing facilities to the point of sale, are major customers in terms of their volume and strategic importance. Here are examples of major companies that operate as crucial links in Altria's distribution network:
  • Performance Food Group Company (NYSE: PFGC): Through its subsidiary Core-Mark, Performance Food Group is one of the largest wholesale distributors to convenience stores in North America, a primary channel for Altria's tobacco products.
  • McLane Company (a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. - NYSE: BRK.A, BRK.B): McLane is one of the largest wholesale distributors in the United States, providing grocery and non-food items (including tobacco) to convenience stores, drug stores, and mass merchandisers across the country.
While many other large retail chains (e.g., Walmart, Kroger, 7-Eleven) ultimately sell Altria's products, their direct purchasing relationships can be with these large distributors or, in some cases, directly with Altria's subsidiaries for high-volume orders.

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Billy Gifford, Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Gifford was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Altria Group in April 2020. He previously served as Vice Chairman and Chief Financial Officer since May 2018. A 25-year veteran of the company, he joined Philip Morris USA in 1994. Mr. Gifford has held numerous leadership roles in Strategy & Business Development, Finance, Marketing Information & Consumer Research, and served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Philip Morris USA Inc. Before joining Philip Morris USA, he worked at the public accounting firm of Coopers & Lybrand (now PwC). He serves on the board of Anheuser-Busch InBev.

Sal Mancuso, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Mancuso serves as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for Altria Group. With over 32 years at Altria, he has held a variety of leadership roles across the Finance, Compliance, and Strategy & Business Development organizations. His previous roles include Senior Vice President, Finance and Procurement, and Treasurer & Senior Vice President, Investor Relations and Accounting. Prior to joining the Altria family of companies, Mr. Mancuso worked for Pittston Company. He serves on the Board of Directors of Anheuser-Busch InBev and as Chair of the Board of the Greater Richmond Partnership.

Jody Begley, Executive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer

Mr. Begley serves as Executive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer for Altria Group. He has over 25 years of experience with Altria, bringing extensive sales, marketing, and strategy expertise from across Altria's family of companies. Prior to his current appointment, he served as Senior Vice President, Tobacco Products for Altria Group and as President and General Manager of Nu Mark, where he led the development and marketing of innovative tobacco products. He joined Philip Morris USA in 1995. Mr. Begley serves on the Board of Directors for Cronos Group.

Paige Magness, Senior Vice President, Regulatory Affairs

Ms. Magness serves as Senior Vice President, Regulatory Affairs for Altria Client Services. In this role, she leads U.S. Food and Drug Administration-related regulatory strategy, engagement, communications, and advocacy for Altria's tobacco operating companies. She joined the Altria family of companies in 2002 and has held various communications and corporate affairs roles within Kraft Foods, Philip Morris USA, and Altria Client Services.

Murray R. Garnick, Executive Vice President & General Counsel

Mr. Garnick serves as Executive Vice President & General Counsel for Altria.

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The key risks to Altria's business (MO) are:

  1. Accelerating Decline in Combustible Cigarette Volumes: Altria faces a significant operational challenge due to the ongoing and accelerating decline in domestic cigarette shipment volumes, which are decreasing at an annual rate of 8-10%. This trend is driven by decreasing smoking rates and a shift towards discount brands, leading to a shrinking customer base for traditional tobacco products. While pricing power has historically offset some revenue loss, this strategy has limitations, and the company remains heavily reliant on its smokeable segment.
  2. Intense Regulatory Scrutiny and Potential Bans: The tobacco industry is subject to extensive regulation, posing constant threats to Altria's business model. Risks include scrutiny from the FDA and the potential for federal bans on menthol cigarettes and flavored cigars, as well as state and local flavor bans that are a continuous and growing threat. Additionally, proposed FDA rules to reduce nicotine levels in combustible products could fundamentally alter Altria's core business if finalized.
  3. Challenges and Competition in Reduced-Risk Products (RRPs): Despite efforts to diversify into smoke-free products, Altria faces significant challenges in its reduced-risk product portfolio. These include setbacks such as a U.S. International Trade Commission ruling in 2025 that found Altria's NJOY ACE e-vapor products infringed on patents, leading to a prohibition on their import and sale. The proliferation of unregulated and illicit disposable e-vapor products further undermines Altria's legal, FDA-authorized products, hindering its smoke-free volume and revenue goals. The RRP market is highly competitive and rapidly evolving, requiring continuous innovation and regulatory authorization to maintain market share.

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The proposed ban by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) on menthol cigarettes and flavored cigars poses a clear emerging threat. Menthol cigarettes represent a significant portion of Altria's core cigarette portfolio and the overall U.S. market. A ban would necessitate a major disruption to Altria's product offerings and sales strategy in its most profitable segment.

The rapid growth and market share expansion of nicotine pouch products, particularly brands like ZYN (owned by Philip Morris International, but sold in the US), represents a clear emerging threat. These smoke-free, spit-free oral nicotine products are disrupting the broader oral tobacco market, attracting consumers from traditional moist snuff (a segment where Altria has a significant presence with Copenhagen and Skoal) and potentially from cigarettes, thereby shifting consumer preferences away from Altria's established product categories.

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Altria (MO) primarily operates within the United States tobacco market, offering a diversified portfolio of smokeable and smoke-free products. The addressable markets for their main products or services are as follows:

  • U.S. Cigarette Market: The U.S. cigarette market was valued at approximately $87.3 billion in 2022 and is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 1% from 2022 to 2027. In 2022, cigarettes accounted for 68.1% of the overall U.S. tobacco market share.
  • U.S. Moist Smokeless Tobacco (MST) and Oral Nicotine Pouch Market: The U.S. smokeless tobacco market, which includes moist smokeless tobacco and oral nicotine pouches, was valued at approximately $4.02 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $5.3 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 3.12% between 2025 and 2033. In 2024, moist snuff alone held a 91.87% share of the smokeless tobacco market. Oral nicotine products represented 5.0% of the overall U.S. tobacco market in 2022.
  • U.S. E-Vapor (E-cigarette) Market: The U.S. e-cigarette and vape market was valued at $8.98 billion in 2022 and is expected to expand at a CAGR of 29.8% from 2023 to 2030, reaching an estimated $69.53 billion by 2030. Other estimates place the U.S. e-cigarette market at $13.7 billion currently and $6.04 billion in 2025, projected to reach $6.59 billion by 2030 with a CAGR of 1.74%. The market for e-cigarettes in the U.S. is also projected to grow from $45.19 billion in 2024 to $200.42 billion by 2035. In 2022, e-cigarettes (ENDS) accounted for 4.2% of the total U.S. tobacco market.
  • U.S. Heated Tobacco Products Market: The United States heated tobacco products market was valued at $8.36 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $46.5 billion by 2033, demonstrating a substantial CAGR of 20.95% during the forecast period of 2025-2033.

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Altria Group (MO) is strategically positioning itself for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years by focusing on a diversified approach that leverages pricing power in its traditional tobacco segment while aggressively expanding its smoke-free and non-nicotine product portfolios, both domestically and internationally. The expected drivers of future revenue growth include:

  1. Strategic Pricing in Smokeable Products: Despite ongoing declines in domestic cigarette volumes, Altria has consistently demonstrated the ability to offset these reductions through strategic price increases on its leading brands, such as Marlboro. This pricing power has been a critical factor in maintaining and growing operating income within the smokeable products segment.
  2. Growth and Expansion of Oral Tobacco Products (on! brand): Altria's 'on!' nicotine pouches continue to be a significant growth engine within its oral tobacco products segment. The company is actively investing in and expanding the market presence of 'on!', including the recent launch of 'on! PLUS' in key U.S. markets such as Florida, North Carolina, and Texas. This expansion aims to capture a larger share of the growing nicotine pouch category.
  3. Innovation and Market Penetration in E-Vapor Products (NJOY and Ploom): Altria's acquisition of NJOY is central to its strategy in the e-vapor market. Despite past regulatory challenges and the discontinuation of certain products like NJOY ACE, Altria plans to introduce new, compliant e-vapor alternatives and is working towards bringing heated tobacco products, such as Ploom, to the U.S. market. These efforts are expected to help recapture and expand market share in the evolving e-vapor category.
  4. International Expansion of Smoke-Free Portfolio: Altria is collaborating with partners like KT&G to explore opportunities for international expansion of its smoke-free product portfolio. The company is particularly focused on commercializing its oral tobacco products, like 'on!', in international markets with proven potential, with plans for broader expansion of 'on! PLUS' in regions such as Sweden and the United Kingdom.
  5. Development of Non-Nicotine Products: As part of its long-term vision, Altria is exploring and investing in non-nicotine product innovation. The company aims to achieve broad commercial distribution of at least five non-nicotine products by 2028, signaling a strategic diversification beyond traditional nicotine offerings.

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Share Repurchases

  • Altria completed a $3.4 billion share repurchase program in 2024.
  • The company completed a $1 billion share repurchase program in 2023.
  • Altria's Board of Directors authorized a new $2 billion share repurchase program, which is expected to expire by December 31, 2026.

Outbound Investments

  • In March 2023, Altria divested its entire minority economic investment in JUUL Labs, Inc. in exchange for a non-exclusive, irrevocable global license to certain of JUUL's heated tobacco intellectual property. The carrying value of this investment was $250 million as of December 31, 2022.
  • Altria acquired NJOY Holdings in 2023, expanding its smoke-free product portfolio.
  • In December 2022, Altria abandoned its warrant to purchase additional common shares of Cronos Group Inc., resulting in an expected capital loss of $483 million on its 2022 U.S. federal consolidated income tax return. Altria continues to hold its approximate 41% ownership interest in Cronos.

Capital Expenditures

  • Altria's capital expenditures for 2024 were $142 million, and $196 million in 2023.
  • The company expects its full-year 2025 capital expenditures to be between $175 million and $225 million.
  • Capital expenditures are focused on maintaining and modernizing operations, and investing in new product categories, especially smoke-free and non-nicotine products.

Better Bets than Altria (MO)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to MO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.5%-6.5%-7.4%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.1%-8.1%-9.2%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.2%13.2%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.3%-5.3%-6.0%
MO_9302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302020MOAltriaDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
37.5%26.7%-6.6%
MO_2292020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02292020MOAltriaDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.3%18.0%-22.3%
MO_12312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312018MOAltriaDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.5%7.9%-14.7%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Altria

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MOPMTPBSTZTAPCGCMedian
NameAltria Philip M.Turning .Constell.Molson C.Canopy G. 
Mkt Price58.98162.64107.58140.4946.331.3183.28
Mkt Cap99.3253.22.024.79.20.416.9
Rev LTM20,25939,9924369,62411,21427910,419
Op Inc LTM11,96114,819933,0421,661-562,352
FCF LTM8,72810,123391,8481,093-961,471
FCF 3Y Avg8,7109,267531,6771,202-2611,440
CFO LTM8,87611,526502,7691,738-882,254
CFO 3Y Avg8,88710,679602,8411,872-2532,357

Growth & Margins

MOPMTPBSTZTAPCGCMedian
NameAltria Philip M.Turning .Constell.Molson C.Canopy G. 
Rev Chg LTM-0.2%7.5%53.5%-5.6%-4.0%-0.7%-0.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.9%8.0%6.4%0.7%1.7%-10.8%1.2%
Rev Chg Q0.2%9.4%31.2%-15.0%-2.3%5.9%3.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.1%2.4%6.9%-4.4%-0.6%1.3%0.7%
Op Mgn LTM59.0%37.1%21.4%31.6%14.8%-20.3%26.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg57.1%35.9%25.3%31.7%14.6%-50.2%28.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.7%0.7%-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%2.6%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM43.8%28.8%11.5%28.8%15.5%-31.7%22.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg43.5%28.7%18.4%28.8%16.3%-86.6%23.6%
FCF/Rev LTM43.1%25.3%8.9%19.2%9.8%-34.5%14.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg42.7%24.9%16.4%17.0%10.5%-89.3%16.7%

Valuation

MOPMTPBSTZTAPCGCMedian
NameAltria Philip M.Turning .Constell.Molson C.Canopy G. 
Mkt Cap99.3253.22.024.79.20.416.9
P/S4.96.34.52.60.81.33.5
P/EBIT8.516.519.611.75.6-1.110.1
P/E11.329.337.520.2-4.4-0.915.8
P/CFO11.222.039.18.95.3-4.110.1
Total Yield15.8%6.7%2.9%6.4%-18.7%-107.5%4.7%
Dividend Yield6.9%3.3%0.3%1.5%4.1%0.0%2.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.8%4.9%7.8%4.9%10.6%-52.2%6.3%
D/E0.20.20.20.40.70.70.3
Net D/E0.20.20.10.40.6-0.10.2

Returns

MOPMTPBSTZTAPCGCMedian
NameAltria Philip M.Turning .Constell.Molson C.Canopy G. 
1M Rtn1.1%3.3%9.0%6.3%0.9%10.1%4.8%
3M Rtn-9.5%0.1%9.8%6.7%5.4%-4.4%2.8%
6M Rtn1.9%-8.4%44.7%-11.7%0.0%5.6%1.0%
12M Rtn18.3%37.3%83.0%-36.1%-18.0%-53.4%0.2%
3Y Rtn59.1%81.9%448.0%-36.1%-1.9%-94.4%28.6%
1M Excs Rtn-0.5%4.3%7.8%3.0%-2.1%11.5%3.6%
3M Excs Rtn-14.5%-4.9%4.9%1.8%0.5%-9.3%-2.2%
6M Excs Rtn-10.9%-21.3%31.8%-24.6%-12.8%-7.2%-11.9%
12M Excs Rtn0.6%18.9%65.7%-53.6%-35.9%-70.6%-17.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-19.7%4.7%382.4%-117.1%-83.0%-176.1%-51.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Smokeable products21,75622,47622,86623,08921,996
Oral tobacco products2,6672,5802,6082,5332,367
All other604045-8358
Wine 0494614689
Total24,48325,09626,01326,15325,110


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Smokeable products10,67010,68810,3949,9859,009
Oral tobacco products1,7221,6321,6591,7181,580
All other-74-36-97-172-16
Amortization of intangibles-128-73-72-72-44
General corporate expenses-643-292-345-227-199
Wine 021-360-3
Corporate asset impairment and exit costs   1-1
Total11,54711,91911,56010,87310,326


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$58.98 
Market Cap ($ Bil)99.1 
First Trading Date01/02/1970 
Distance from 52W High-11.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$59.52$59.76
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-0.9%-1.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility21.5%20.0%
Downside Capture7.91-30.74
Upside Capture-40.59-9.44
Correlation (SPY)-7.1%-1.5%
MO Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.15-0.15-0.21-0.200.000.13
Up Beta-0.66-0.66-0.74-0.360.060.11
Down Beta0.790.210.330.300.170.17
Up Capture8%-54%-51%-22%-6%5%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days10193170134402
Down Capture-30%21%-5%-54%-38%13%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days9223155113340

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of MO With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 MOSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return19.4%0.7%19.2%71.9%8.9%6.0%-10.1%
Annualized Volatility19.9%13.9%19.5%19.3%15.3%17.1%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio0.78-0.190.782.690.360.18-0.12
Correlation With Other Assets 49.3%-1.2%-2.1%-3.5%21.8%-4.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of MO With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 MOSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return15.2%5.8%14.9%18.7%11.7%4.8%32.7%
Annualized Volatility20.4%13.0%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.7%
Sharpe Ratio0.630.240.700.970.510.170.60
Correlation With Other Assets 51.6%22.1%5.5%10.0%29.7%8.1%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of MO With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 MOSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return6.8%7.1%14.7%14.9%6.9%5.2%69.3%
Annualized Volatility22.5%14.7%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.290.360.700.830.310.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 61.1%38.8%1.4%15.0%42.7%7.3%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity45,456,022
Short Interest: % Change Since 113020252.9%
Average Daily Volume7,763,874
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.85
Basic Shares Quantity1,684,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.7%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-7.8%-7.8%-4.6%
7/30/20253.6%5.3%11.9%
4/29/20251.0%2.9%2.2%
1/30/2025-2.1%-0.2%6.1%
10/31/20247.8%7.5%14.3%
7/31/2024-3.0%-2.1%5.3%
4/25/20241.4%2.1%6.3%
2/1/20244.0%0.3%1.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121215
# Negative12129
Median Positive1.9%2.3%4.3%
Median Negative-2.6%-3.0%-3.5%
Max Positive7.8%7.5%14.3%
Max Negative-8.3%-11.7%-19.4%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021