Tearsheet

El Pollo Loco (LOCO)


Market Price (2/15/2026): $10.5 | Market Cap: $306.8 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

El Pollo Loco (LOCO)


Market Price (2/15/2026): $10.5
Market Cap: $306.8 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.2%, FCF Yield is 7.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -82%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 79%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
  Key risks
LOCO key risks include its significant geographic concentration in the greater Los Angeles market, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Organic & Natural Products.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.2%, FCF Yield is 7.0%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Organic & Natural Products.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -82%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 79%
5 Key risks
LOCO key risks include its significant geographic concentration in the greater Los Angeles market, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

El Pollo Loco (LOCO) stock has gained about 5% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. El Pollo Loco reported a strong beat in its Q3 2025 earnings.The company announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 30, 2025, reporting an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.27, which surpassed analysts' consensus estimates of $0.23 by $0.04. This positive earnings surprise led to a significant 12.8% surge in LOCO shares the day after the announcement, closing at $10.22 on October 31, 2025.

2. Management provided an optimistic outlook with accelerating unit growth projections and a focus on menu innovation.During the Q3 2025 earnings call on October 30, 2025, CEO Liz Williams highlighted positive traffic growth, margin expansion, and an acceleration in unit growth. Management indicated plans to nearly double unit growth in 2026 compared to previous expectations. The company also announced an ambitious innovation pipeline, including new menu items for 2026 such as "loco tenders" and a "fire-fried chicken sandwich," designed to meet evolving consumer demands.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 2.8% change in LOCO stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 2.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120252142026Change
Stock Price ($)10.2210.512.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4814810.0%
Net Income Margin (%)5.4%5.4%0.0%
P/E Multiple11.511.92.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)29290.0%
Cumulative Contribution2.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LOCO2.8% 
Market (SPY)-0.0%40.3%
Sector (XLY)-3.2%50.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 2.0% change in LOCO stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 1.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)73120252142026Change
Stock Price ($)10.3010.512.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4764811.0%
Net Income Margin (%)5.3%5.4%1.5%
P/E Multiple11.911.90.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2929-0.5%
Cumulative Contribution2.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LOCO2.0% 
Market (SPY)8.2%35.2%
Sector (XLY)5.1%51.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -11.5% change in LOCO stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -17.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120252142026Change
Stock Price ($)11.8710.51-11.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4714812.1%
Net Income Margin (%)5.1%5.4%5.3%
P/E Multiple14.411.9-17.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2929-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution-11.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LOCO-11.5% 
Market (SPY)14.3%27.6%
Sector (XLY)0.7%35.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -14.3% change in LOCO stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -45.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120232142026Change
Stock Price ($)12.2710.51-14.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4634813.8%
Net Income Margin (%)4.4%5.4%22.0%
P/E Multiple21.811.9-45.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)362924.6%
Cumulative Contribution-14.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LOCO-14.3% 
Market (SPY)74.0%33.8%
Sector (XLY)60.0%36.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
LOCO Return-22%-19%-11%31%-9%-1%-34%
Peers Return22%-8%36%39%-16%1%81%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-0%82%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LOCO Win Rate42%17%25%58%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate56%40%63%62%45%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LOCO Max Drawdown-33%-42%-18%-6%-23%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-8%-34%-10%-7%-31%-3% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CMG, YUM, QSR, WING, CAVA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/13/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLOCOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-61.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven157.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-55.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven126.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven79 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-47.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven339 days120 days

Compare to CMG, YUM, QSR, WING, CAVA

In The Past

El Pollo Loco's stock fell -61.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/27/2021. A -61.2% loss requires a 157.8% gain to breakeven.

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About El Pollo Loco (LOCO)

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiary, El Pollo Loco, Inc., develops, franchises, licenses, and operates quick-service restaurants under the El Pollo Loco name. As of December 29, 2021, the company operated 480 restaurants comprising 189 company-operated and 291 franchised restaurants located in California, Nevada, Arizona, Texas, Utah, and Louisiana. It also licenses one restaurant in the Philippines. The company was formerly known as Chicken Acquisition Corp. and changed its name to El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. in April 2014. El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Costa Mesa, California.

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1. KFC, but focused on flame-grilled chicken with a Mexican-inspired menu.

2. Chipotle, but centered around flame-grilled chicken platters and meals.

3. A healthier, quick-service alternative to KFC, specializing in citrus-marinated grilled chicken.

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  • Flame-Grilled Chicken: Their signature product, citrus-marinated and grilled over an open flame.
  • Burritos: Large flour tortillas filled with their flame-grilled chicken or other proteins, rice, beans, and fresh ingredients.
  • Bowls: Customizable meals featuring a base of rice or greens, topped with their chicken or other proteins, and various fresh toppings.
  • Tacos: Soft tortillas filled with flame-grilled chicken or other proteins, fresh toppings, and salsa.
  • Quesadillas: Grilled flour tortillas filled with melted cheese, often with added chicken.
  • Salads: Fresh greens topped with flame-grilled chicken and various fresh ingredients and dressings.
  • Sides & Salsas: A variety of traditional Mexican-inspired sides like rice, beans, and coleslaw, along with fresh house-made salsas.

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El Pollo Loco (LOCO) is a restaurant chain that primarily sells directly to individual consumers.

Here are up to three categories of customers that El Pollo Loco serves:

  1. Families and Groups: Many customers are families or groups seeking a convenient and flavorful meal option. El Pollo Loco often offers family meal bundles that cater to multiple people, making it a popular choice for dinner or casual gatherings.
  2. Health-Conscious Consumers: El Pollo Loco's flame-grilled chicken is often perceived as a healthier alternative to traditional fried fast food. Customers looking for lighter, fresh, and less processed options are drawn to their menu, which includes salads and various grilled chicken dishes.
  3. Convenience and Value Seekers: Customers looking for a quick, affordable, and satisfying meal for lunch or dinner are a significant segment. This includes busy professionals, students, and general consumers seeking a tasty and readily available option without the wait or cost of a full-service restaurant.

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Elizabeth "Liz" Williams, Chief Executive Officer

Liz Williams has served as Chief Executive Officer of El Pollo Loco since March 2024. Prior to this role, Ms. Williams was CEO of Outfox Hospitality, the parent company of Foxtrot and Dom's Kitchen and Market. She also led Hart House, LLC, and was CEO of Drybar Holdings. Previously, Ms. Williams spent over ten years at Yum! Brands, Inc. and Taco Bell (2010-2020), where she held various leadership positions, including President of Taco Bell International and Global Chief Financial Officer of Taco Bell. During her tenure, she was part of the leadership team that drove a significant brand turnaround from 2011-2020. Before joining Yum!, Ms. Williams spent six years at Boston Consulting Group in the Consumer and Retail practice, and began her career at Dell Technologies. She currently serves on the board of Stitch Fix.

Ira Fils, Chief Financial Officer

Ira Fils has served as Chief Financial Officer of El Pollo Loco since June 2022. He has an extensive background in the restaurant industry. Prior to joining El Pollo Loco, Mr. Fils was the Chief Financial Officer and Secretary of The Habit Restaurants, LLC (The Habit Burger Grill) from August 2008 to June 2022. During his time at Habit, he helped lead the company's successful IPO in 2014 and was actively involved in its sale to Yum! Brands in 2020. He was a key member of the executive team that grew Habit restaurants from 20 to over 300 locations. Before Habit, Mr. Fils served as Chief Financial Officer of Mimi's Café from 2005 to 2008, and held various financial roles, including Chief Financial Officer, at Rubio's Restaurants, Inc. from 1998 to 2003. He began his career at Family Restaurants and American Restaurant Group.

Maria Hollandsworth, President and Chief Operating Officer

Maria Hollandsworth was appointed Chief Operating Officer on October 31, 2022, and has served as President and Chief Operating Officer since March 2024. She also served as the company's interim Chief Executive Officer from November 2023 to March 2024. Before joining El Pollo Loco, Ms. Hollandsworth was the Regional Vice President of Operations for Dunkin', a division of Inspire Brands, Inc.

Jill Adams, Chief Marketing Officer

Jill Adams serves as the Chief Marketing Officer for El Pollo Loco. Prior to her current role, Ms. Adams worked at Jack in the Box, Inc., where she held various leadership positions in areas such as field marketing, product marketing, menu strategy, integrated marketing, and innovation and growth.

Tim Welsh, Chief Development Officer

Tim Welsh has served as El Pollo Loco's Chief Development Officer since June 2024. Before joining El Pollo Loco, Mr. Welsh was the Senior Vice President of Design and Construction for TriMark's South and West US Regions.

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Key Risks to El Pollo Loco (LOCO) Business

El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) faces several significant risks to its business operations and financial performance. The most prominent risks include fluctuations in food and labor costs, intense competition within the fast-casual dining sector, and a notable geographic concentration of its restaurants. Firstly, the company is susceptible to **changes in food, supply, and labor costs**. This is a critical concern, as increases in these costs, particularly for chicken, can materially and adversely affect El Pollo Loco's business, financial condition, and results of operations. The company's profitability is partly dependent on its ability to anticipate and react to these cost fluctuations, and there's no guarantee it can fully offset increased expenses through higher menu prices without impacting customer traffic. Secondly, **intense competition in the fast-casual dining sector** poses a continuous challenge. El Pollo Loco operates in a highly competitive market against both direct and indirect rivals such as Chipotle Mexican Grill and QDOBA Mexican Eats. This competitive landscape can affect pricing strategies, customer traffic, and overall market share, as highlighted by observations that El Pollo Loco's average check sizes are higher and traffic tends to be lower compared to some competitors. Finally, a significant portion of El Pollo Loco's revenue is derived from a **regional geographic concentration**, primarily in the greater Los Angeles area. Approximately 71% of their revenue in fiscal years 2022 and 2023 came from company-operated and franchised restaurants in this region. This concentration makes the business vulnerable to adverse changes in demographic, economic, unemployment, or regulatory conditions specifically within the greater Los Angeles area or the State of California.

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El Pollo Loco's main products and services consist primarily of Mexican-style grilled chicken and related Mexican food items such as tacos, burritos, tostada salads, chicken bowls, quesadillas, and catering services.

The addressable market sizes for El Pollo Loco's main products and services in the U.S. are as follows:

  • U.S. Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) Market: The market size for the Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) industry in the United States is estimated at approximately $447.2 billion in 2025. This market is projected to reach $731.6 billion by 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 10.35% during the forecast period (2025-2030).
  • U.S. Fast Food Chicken Restaurants Market: The market size for the Fast Food Chicken Restaurants industry in the United States is projected to be $63.7 billion in 2025. This segment has shown a growth rate (CAGR) of 5.6% between 2020 and 2025.

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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for El Pollo Loco (LOCO) over the next 2-3 years:
  1. Menu Innovation: El Pollo Loco is focusing on a robust pipeline of new menu items and flavor innovations to attract and retain customers. Recent and upcoming launches include Mango Habanero chicken, fresco wraps, salads, and new quesadilla combos, with additional options being tested for 2026. This strategy aims to drive trial from both new and existing customers by offering diverse and craveable products. The company believes that flavor innovation is a significant opportunity in the chicken category to excite consumers and drive engagement.
  2. New Unit Growth and Geographic Expansion: The company plans to accelerate its restaurant footprint, particularly outside of its core California market. El Pollo Loco expects to open at least 10-11 new system-wide restaurants in 2025, with a significant majority outside California, and aims to nearly double its development pace in 2026. This expansion includes targeting new markets such as Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, New Mexico, Texas, and Washington, with a focus on a new, more affordable restaurant prototype to reduce build costs and drive long-term growth.
  3. Digital Engagement and Operational Enhancements: El Pollo Loco is investing in a "digital-first approach" to enhance customer interaction and drive sales. This includes leveraging its Loco Rewards app for exclusive offers, improving online ordering, and rolling out kiosks in company-owned and franchised restaurants to streamline ordering and improve efficiency. Additionally, operational improvements, such as the rollout of holding cabinets for chicken and new salsa preparation equipment, are expected to enhance food quality and labor efficiency, contributing to an improved customer experience.
  4. Menu Price Increases: Management expects to implement menu pricing increases. For 2025, menu pricing is anticipated to average 3%, moderating to 2% in the second half of the year. In Q3 2024, the effective price increase was 8.4% year-over-year, and Q3 2025 saw an effective price increase of 2.8%. These price adjustments are intended to contribute to revenue growth and offset cost pressures.
  5. Restaurant Remodels and Brand Relaunch: The company is undertaking extensive remodeling efforts to modernize existing restaurants and enhance the customer experience. Plans include remodeling 60-70 restaurants in 2025, with a goal to reach approximately half of its system over the next four years in partnership with franchisees. These remodels, alongside a brand relaunch campaign such as "Let's get Loco," are designed to emphasize El Pollo Loco's heritage and differentiate it in the QSR landscape, thereby attracting more customers and improving comparable store sales.

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Share Repurchases

  • In 2023, El Pollo Loco repurchased approximately $59 million in common stock, including a $12.6 million repurchase agreement completed on December 4, 2023.
  • During the first quarter of 2025, the company repurchased approximately $1.8 million in common stock.
  • The share repurchase program was terminated on March 31, 2025, with less than $0.1 million remaining available.

Share Issuance

  • In the first quarter of 2025, El Pollo Loco recorded $0.426 million in proceeds from the issuance of common stock upon the exercise of stock options, net of expenses.
  • The number of common shares outstanding decreased from approximately 36.7 million as of March 3, 2023, to around 30.05 million as of April 2025, indicating that share repurchases generally outpaced issuances during this period.

Inbound Investments

  • In June 2025, private equity firm CapitalSpring acquired a 5.2% stake in El Pollo Loco, representing a $14.7 million investment, with intentions to discuss potential transactions to maximize shareholder value.
  • Biglari Capital Corp., holding approximately 15% of El Pollo Loco, made an unsolicited non-binding offer in April 2025 to acquire the remaining outstanding shares.

Capital Expenditures

  • For the full year 2025, El Pollo Loco projects capital expenditures to be between $28 million and $34 million.
  • These capital expenditures are primarily focused on supporting the opening of at least 10 new system-wide restaurants and funding technology upgrades.
  • The company plans to remodel 60 to 70 restaurants in 2025 as part of a broader four-year strategy to update approximately half of its system.

Better Bets vs. El Pollo Loco (LOCO)

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

LOCOCMGYUMQSRWINGCAVAMedian
NameEl Pollo.Chipotle.Yum Bran.Restaura.Wingstop Cava  
Mkt Price10.5136.30160.5766.14221.6563.5064.82
Mkt Cap0.347.744.621.76.27.414.5
Rev LTM48111,9268,0619,2646831,1324,597
Op Inc LTM412,0132,4852,399180791,096
FCF LTM211,4481,5641,4006325731
FCF 3Y Avg261,3941,4131,292921692
CFO LTM402,1141,9061,640103174907
CFO 3Y Avg462,0011,7121,469133134802

Growth & Margins

LOCOCMGYUMQSRWINGCAVAMedian
NameEl Pollo.Chipotle.Yum Bran.Restaura.Wingstop Cava  
Rev Chg LTM2.1%5.4%11.6%16.8%15.6%23.9%13.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.3%11.4%6.4%13.4%28.5%-11.4%
Rev Chg Q0.9%4.9%8.4%6.9%8.1%19.9%7.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.2%1.2%1.9%1.7%2.0%4.5%1.8%
Op Mgn LTM8.5%16.9%30.8%25.9%26.3%7.0%21.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.3%17.0%31.7%28.4%26.0%5.6%21.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-0.1%-0.0%0.1%0.8%0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM8.3%17.7%23.6%17.7%15.2%15.4%16.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.7%18.1%23.0%18.4%23.8%14.4%18.3%
FCF/Rev LTM4.5%12.1%19.4%15.1%9.2%2.2%10.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.4%12.6%18.9%16.2%16.5%-0.9%14.4%

Valuation

LOCOCMGYUMQSRWINGCAVAMedian
NameEl Pollo.Chipotle.Yum Bran.Restaura.Wingstop Cava  
Mkt Cap0.347.744.621.76.27.414.5
P/S0.64.05.52.39.16.54.8
P/EBIT7.523.717.99.823.093.420.4
P/E11.931.130.823.535.553.631.0
P/CFO7.722.623.413.259.842.223.0
Total Yield8.4%3.2%5.0%9.3%3.3%1.9%4.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.7%5.0%0.5%0.0%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.2%2.3%3.6%5.8%1.2%-0.2%2.9%
D/E0.80.10.30.70.20.10.2
Net D/E0.80.10.20.70.20.00.2

Returns

LOCOCMGYUMQSRWINGCAVAMedian
NameEl Pollo.Chipotle.Yum Bran.Restaura.Wingstop Cava  
1M Rtn-7.4%-10.1%-0.3%-4.9%-18.1%-11.8%-8.7%
3M Rtn-0.6%15.0%8.3%-2.8%-4.8%34.5%3.8%
6M Rtn0.9%-17.6%9.4%3.2%-34.1%-9.2%-4.1%
12M Rtn-15.0%-36.4%10.7%6.4%-26.9%-51.6%-21.0%
3Y Rtn-14.8%9.6%29.2%10.7%28.5%45.0%19.6%
1M Excs Rtn-3.7%-9.3%3.5%-4.0%-18.0%-8.7%-6.4%
3M Excs Rtn-3.6%16.1%8.2%-3.3%-7.8%30.5%2.5%
6M Excs Rtn-5.8%-21.6%4.8%-2.3%-37.5%-13.6%-9.7%
12M Excs Rtn-27.3%-49.6%-1.2%-8.7%-39.8%-64.2%-33.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-82.5%-55.2%-36.6%-57.4%-25.0%-21.0%-45.9%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment469    
Company-operated restaurant revenue 403395374391
Franchise advertising fee revenue 29262322
Franchise revenue 38342929
Total469470454426442


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment40    
Total40    


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment26    
Total26    


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$10.51 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.3 
First Trading Date07/25/2014 
Distance from 52W High-16.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$10.87$10.37
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-3.3%1.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility29.2%36.9%
Downside Capture112.6571.88
Upside Capture100.1446.02
Correlation (SPY)41.6%27.2%
LOCO Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.461.061.021.140.510.75
Up Beta3.131.280.781.390.140.47
Down Beta0.840.800.510.730.850.90
Up Capture96%64%125%99%39%44%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days8193061119361
Down Capture217%165%136%141%85%100%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days12223164130386

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LOCO
LOCO-11.4%36.8%-0.27-
Sector ETF (XLY)4.6%24.2%0.1335.7%
Equity (SPY)14.0%19.4%0.5527.2%
Gold (GLD)74.3%25.3%2.17-10.7%
Commodities (DBC)7.0%16.7%0.244.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)7.9%16.6%0.2826.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-29.8%44.9%-0.659.6%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LOCO
LOCO-8.5%34.7%-0.18-
Sector ETF (XLY)6.9%23.7%0.2542.3%
Equity (SPY)13.3%17.0%0.6240.8%
Gold (GLD)22.1%17.0%1.063.4%
Commodities (DBC)10.5%18.9%0.447.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.2%18.8%0.1836.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.3%57.2%0.3717.9%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LOCO
LOCO0.9%40.9%0.16-
Sector ETF (XLY)13.9%21.9%0.5838.0%
Equity (SPY)15.6%17.9%0.7535.2%
Gold (GLD)15.3%15.6%0.82-0.1%
Commodities (DBC)8.1%17.6%0.3813.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.4%20.7%0.2732.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.9%66.7%1.079.4%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 1152026-10.4%
Average Daily Volume0.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity29.2 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares5.6%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/202512.8%14.2%20.8%
7/31/20251.5%0.3%3.2%
3/6/2025-0.1%-7.1%-12.5%
10/31/2024-2.1%6.6%3.5%
8/1/20240.7%-0.1%16.7%
3/7/2024-4.0%-7.2%2.3%
11/2/20230.8%-5.6%-0.2%
8/3/20233.1%3.0%-4.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1078
# Negative91211
Median Positive3.2%3.0%4.9%
Median Negative-7.2%-5.7%-11.0%
Max Positive14.9%14.2%20.8%
Max Negative-19.8%-22.3%-34.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202510/31/202510-Q
06/30/202508/01/202510-Q
03/31/202505/02/202510-Q
12/31/202403/07/202510-K
09/30/202411/01/202410-Q
06/30/202408/02/202410-Q
03/31/202405/03/202410-Q
12/31/202303/08/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202203/10/202310-K
09/30/202211/04/202210-Q
06/30/202208/05/202210-Q
03/31/202205/06/202210-Q
12/31/202103/11/202210-K

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Buller, MarkDirectSell610202511.0011,363124,993426,811Form
2Buller, MarkDirectSell407202511.7610,500123,480600,266Form
3Borgese, Samuel NDirectSell407202511.0620,011221,322429,847Form
4Borgese, Samuel NDirectSell40720259.304,64343,180318,265Form
5Borgese, Samuel NDirectSell407202510.191,00010,190338,532Form