El Pollo Loco (LOCO)
Market Price (2/15/2026): $10.5 | Market Cap: $306.8 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants
El Pollo Loco (LOCO)
Market Price (2/15/2026): $10.5Market Cap: $306.8 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Restaurants
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.2%, FCF Yield is 7.0% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -82% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 79% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% | Key risksLOCO key risks include its significant geographic concentration in the greater Los Angeles market, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Organic & Natural Products. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.2%, FCF Yield is 7.0% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Organic & Natural Products. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -82% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 79% |
| Key risksLOCO key risks include its significant geographic concentration in the greater Los Angeles market, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. El Pollo Loco reported a strong beat in its Q3 2025 earnings.The company announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 30, 2025, reporting an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.27, which surpassed analysts' consensus estimates of $0.23 by $0.04. This positive earnings surprise led to a significant 12.8% surge in LOCO shares the day after the announcement, closing at $10.22 on October 31, 2025.
2. Management provided an optimistic outlook with accelerating unit growth projections and a focus on menu innovation.During the Q3 2025 earnings call on October 30, 2025, CEO Liz Williams highlighted positive traffic growth, margin expansion, and an acceleration in unit growth. Management indicated plans to nearly double unit growth in 2026 compared to previous expectations. The company also announced an ambitious innovation pipeline, including new menu items for 2026 such as "loco tenders" and a "fire-fried chicken sandwich," designed to meet evolving consumer demands.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 2.8% change in LOCO stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 2.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.22 | 10.51 | 2.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 481 | 481 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.4% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.5 | 11.9 | 2.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 29 | 29 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 2.8% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LOCO | 2.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | -0.0% | 40.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | -3.2% | 50.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 2.0% change in LOCO stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 1.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.30 | 10.51 | 2.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 476 | 481 | 1.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.3% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.9 | 11.9 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 29 | 29 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 2.0% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LOCO | 2.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.2% | 35.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | 5.1% | 51.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -11.5% change in LOCO stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -17.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.87 | 10.51 | -11.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 471 | 481 | 2.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.4 | 11.9 | -17.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 29 | 29 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -11.5% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LOCO | -11.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.3% | 27.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | 0.7% | 35.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -14.3% change in LOCO stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -45.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.27 | 10.51 | -14.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 463 | 481 | 3.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.4% | 5.4% | 22.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 21.8 | 11.9 | -45.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 29 | 24.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -14.3% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LOCO | -14.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.0% | 33.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 60.0% | 36.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LOCO Return | -22% | -19% | -11% | 31% | -9% | -1% | -34% |
| Peers Return | 22% | -8% | 36% | 39% | -16% | 1% | 81% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 82% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LOCO Win Rate | 42% | 17% | 25% | 58% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 56% | 40% | 63% | 62% | 45% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LOCO Max Drawdown | -33% | -42% | -18% | -6% | -23% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -34% | -10% | -7% | -31% | -3% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CMG, YUM, QSR, WING, CAVA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LOCO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -61.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 157.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -55.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 126.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 79 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -47.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 89.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 339 days | 120 days |
Compare to CMG, YUM, QSR, WING, CAVA
In The Past
El Pollo Loco's stock fell -61.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/27/2021. A -61.2% loss requires a 157.8% gain to breakeven.
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About El Pollo Loco (LOCO)
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. KFC, but focused on flame-grilled chicken with a Mexican-inspired menu.
2. Chipotle, but centered around flame-grilled chicken platters and meals.
3. A healthier, quick-service alternative to KFC, specializing in citrus-marinated grilled chicken.
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- Flame-Grilled Chicken: Their signature product, citrus-marinated and grilled over an open flame.
- Burritos: Large flour tortillas filled with their flame-grilled chicken or other proteins, rice, beans, and fresh ingredients.
- Bowls: Customizable meals featuring a base of rice or greens, topped with their chicken or other proteins, and various fresh toppings.
- Tacos: Soft tortillas filled with flame-grilled chicken or other proteins, fresh toppings, and salsa.
- Quesadillas: Grilled flour tortillas filled with melted cheese, often with added chicken.
- Salads: Fresh greens topped with flame-grilled chicken and various fresh ingredients and dressings.
- Sides & Salsas: A variety of traditional Mexican-inspired sides like rice, beans, and coleslaw, along with fresh house-made salsas.
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El Pollo Loco (LOCO) is a restaurant chain that primarily sells directly to individual consumers.
Here are up to three categories of customers that El Pollo Loco serves:
- Families and Groups: Many customers are families or groups seeking a convenient and flavorful meal option. El Pollo Loco often offers family meal bundles that cater to multiple people, making it a popular choice for dinner or casual gatherings.
- Health-Conscious Consumers: El Pollo Loco's flame-grilled chicken is often perceived as a healthier alternative to traditional fried fast food. Customers looking for lighter, fresh, and less processed options are drawn to their menu, which includes salads and various grilled chicken dishes.
- Convenience and Value Seekers: Customers looking for a quick, affordable, and satisfying meal for lunch or dinner are a significant segment. This includes busy professionals, students, and general consumers seeking a tasty and readily available option without the wait or cost of a full-service restaurant.
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Elizabeth "Liz" Williams, Chief Executive Officer
Liz Williams has served as Chief Executive Officer of El Pollo Loco since March 2024. Prior to this role, Ms. Williams was CEO of Outfox Hospitality, the parent company of Foxtrot and Dom's Kitchen and Market. She also led Hart House, LLC, and was CEO of Drybar Holdings. Previously, Ms. Williams spent over ten years at Yum! Brands, Inc. and Taco Bell (2010-2020), where she held various leadership positions, including President of Taco Bell International and Global Chief Financial Officer of Taco Bell. During her tenure, she was part of the leadership team that drove a significant brand turnaround from 2011-2020. Before joining Yum!, Ms. Williams spent six years at Boston Consulting Group in the Consumer and Retail practice, and began her career at Dell Technologies. She currently serves on the board of Stitch Fix.
Ira Fils, Chief Financial Officer
Ira Fils has served as Chief Financial Officer of El Pollo Loco since June 2022. He has an extensive background in the restaurant industry. Prior to joining El Pollo Loco, Mr. Fils was the Chief Financial Officer and Secretary of The Habit Restaurants, LLC (The Habit Burger Grill) from August 2008 to June 2022. During his time at Habit, he helped lead the company's successful IPO in 2014 and was actively involved in its sale to Yum! Brands in 2020. He was a key member of the executive team that grew Habit restaurants from 20 to over 300 locations. Before Habit, Mr. Fils served as Chief Financial Officer of Mimi's Café from 2005 to 2008, and held various financial roles, including Chief Financial Officer, at Rubio's Restaurants, Inc. from 1998 to 2003. He began his career at Family Restaurants and American Restaurant Group.
Maria Hollandsworth, President and Chief Operating Officer
Maria Hollandsworth was appointed Chief Operating Officer on October 31, 2022, and has served as President and Chief Operating Officer since March 2024. She also served as the company's interim Chief Executive Officer from November 2023 to March 2024. Before joining El Pollo Loco, Ms. Hollandsworth was the Regional Vice President of Operations for Dunkin', a division of Inspire Brands, Inc.
Jill Adams, Chief Marketing Officer
Jill Adams serves as the Chief Marketing Officer for El Pollo Loco. Prior to her current role, Ms. Adams worked at Jack in the Box, Inc., where she held various leadership positions in areas such as field marketing, product marketing, menu strategy, integrated marketing, and innovation and growth.
Tim Welsh, Chief Development Officer
Tim Welsh has served as El Pollo Loco's Chief Development Officer since June 2024. Before joining El Pollo Loco, Mr. Welsh was the Senior Vice President of Design and Construction for TriMark's South and West US Regions.
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Key Risks to El Pollo Loco (LOCO) Business
El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) faces several significant risks to its business operations and financial performance. The most prominent risks include fluctuations in food and labor costs, intense competition within the fast-casual dining sector, and a notable geographic concentration of its restaurants. Firstly, the company is susceptible to **changes in food, supply, and labor costs**. This is a critical concern, as increases in these costs, particularly for chicken, can materially and adversely affect El Pollo Loco's business, financial condition, and results of operations. The company's profitability is partly dependent on its ability to anticipate and react to these cost fluctuations, and there's no guarantee it can fully offset increased expenses through higher menu prices without impacting customer traffic. Secondly, **intense competition in the fast-casual dining sector** poses a continuous challenge. El Pollo Loco operates in a highly competitive market against both direct and indirect rivals such as Chipotle Mexican Grill and QDOBA Mexican Eats. This competitive landscape can affect pricing strategies, customer traffic, and overall market share, as highlighted by observations that El Pollo Loco's average check sizes are higher and traffic tends to be lower compared to some competitors. Finally, a significant portion of El Pollo Loco's revenue is derived from a **regional geographic concentration**, primarily in the greater Los Angeles area. Approximately 71% of their revenue in fiscal years 2022 and 2023 came from company-operated and franchised restaurants in this region. This concentration makes the business vulnerable to adverse changes in demographic, economic, unemployment, or regulatory conditions specifically within the greater Los Angeles area or the State of California.AI Analysis | Feedback
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El Pollo Loco's main products and services consist primarily of Mexican-style grilled chicken and related Mexican food items such as tacos, burritos, tostada salads, chicken bowls, quesadillas, and catering services.
The addressable market sizes for El Pollo Loco's main products and services in the U.S. are as follows:
- U.S. Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) Market: The market size for the Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) industry in the United States is estimated at approximately $447.2 billion in 2025. This market is projected to reach $731.6 billion by 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 10.35% during the forecast period (2025-2030).
- U.S. Fast Food Chicken Restaurants Market: The market size for the Fast Food Chicken Restaurants industry in the United States is projected to be $63.7 billion in 2025. This segment has shown a growth rate (CAGR) of 5.6% between 2020 and 2025.
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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for El Pollo Loco (LOCO) over the next 2-3 years:- Menu Innovation: El Pollo Loco is focusing on a robust pipeline of new menu items and flavor innovations to attract and retain customers. Recent and upcoming launches include Mango Habanero chicken, fresco wraps, salads, and new quesadilla combos, with additional options being tested for 2026. This strategy aims to drive trial from both new and existing customers by offering diverse and craveable products. The company believes that flavor innovation is a significant opportunity in the chicken category to excite consumers and drive engagement.
- New Unit Growth and Geographic Expansion: The company plans to accelerate its restaurant footprint, particularly outside of its core California market. El Pollo Loco expects to open at least 10-11 new system-wide restaurants in 2025, with a significant majority outside California, and aims to nearly double its development pace in 2026. This expansion includes targeting new markets such as Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, New Mexico, Texas, and Washington, with a focus on a new, more affordable restaurant prototype to reduce build costs and drive long-term growth.
- Digital Engagement and Operational Enhancements: El Pollo Loco is investing in a "digital-first approach" to enhance customer interaction and drive sales. This includes leveraging its Loco Rewards app for exclusive offers, improving online ordering, and rolling out kiosks in company-owned and franchised restaurants to streamline ordering and improve efficiency. Additionally, operational improvements, such as the rollout of holding cabinets for chicken and new salsa preparation equipment, are expected to enhance food quality and labor efficiency, contributing to an improved customer experience.
- Menu Price Increases: Management expects to implement menu pricing increases. For 2025, menu pricing is anticipated to average 3%, moderating to 2% in the second half of the year. In Q3 2024, the effective price increase was 8.4% year-over-year, and Q3 2025 saw an effective price increase of 2.8%. These price adjustments are intended to contribute to revenue growth and offset cost pressures.
- Restaurant Remodels and Brand Relaunch: The company is undertaking extensive remodeling efforts to modernize existing restaurants and enhance the customer experience. Plans include remodeling 60-70 restaurants in 2025, with a goal to reach approximately half of its system over the next four years in partnership with franchisees. These remodels, alongside a brand relaunch campaign such as "Let's get Loco," are designed to emphasize El Pollo Loco's heritage and differentiate it in the QSR landscape, thereby attracting more customers and improving comparable store sales.
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Share Repurchases
- In 2023, El Pollo Loco repurchased approximately $59 million in common stock, including a $12.6 million repurchase agreement completed on December 4, 2023.
- During the first quarter of 2025, the company repurchased approximately $1.8 million in common stock.
- The share repurchase program was terminated on March 31, 2025, with less than $0.1 million remaining available.
Share Issuance
- In the first quarter of 2025, El Pollo Loco recorded $0.426 million in proceeds from the issuance of common stock upon the exercise of stock options, net of expenses.
- The number of common shares outstanding decreased from approximately 36.7 million as of March 3, 2023, to around 30.05 million as of April 2025, indicating that share repurchases generally outpaced issuances during this period.
Inbound Investments
- In June 2025, private equity firm CapitalSpring acquired a 5.2% stake in El Pollo Loco, representing a $14.7 million investment, with intentions to discuss potential transactions to maximize shareholder value.
- Biglari Capital Corp., holding approximately 15% of El Pollo Loco, made an unsolicited non-binding offer in April 2025 to acquire the remaining outstanding shares.
Capital Expenditures
- For the full year 2025, El Pollo Loco projects capital expenditures to be between $28 million and $34 million.
- These capital expenditures are primarily focused on supporting the opening of at least 10 new system-wide restaurants and funding technology upgrades.
- The company plans to remodel 60 to 70 restaurants in 2025 as part of a broader four-year strategy to update approximately half of its system.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| El Pollo Loco Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| El Pollo Loco Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 64.82 |
| Mkt Cap | 14.5 |
| Rev LTM | 4,597 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,096 |
| FCF LTM | 731 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 692 |
| CFO LTM | 907 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 802 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 21.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 21.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 10.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 14.5 |
| P/S | 4.8 |
| P/EBIT | 20.4 |
| P/E | 31.0 |
| P/CFO | 23.0 |
| Total Yield | 4.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.9% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -8.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -4.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -21.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 19.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 2.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -9.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -33.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -45.9% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 469 | ||||
| Company-operated restaurant revenue | 403 | 395 | 374 | 391 | |
| Franchise advertising fee revenue | 29 | 26 | 23 | 22 | |
| Franchise revenue | 38 | 34 | 29 | 29 | |
| Total | 469 | 470 | 454 | 426 | 442 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 40 | ||||
| Total | 40 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 26 | ||||
| Total | 26 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $10.51 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/25/2014 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -16.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $10.87 | $10.37 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -3.3% | 1.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 29.2% | 36.9% |
| Downside Capture | 112.65 | 71.88 |
| Upside Capture | 100.14 | 46.02 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 41.6% | 27.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.46 | 1.06 | 1.02 | 1.14 | 0.51 | 0.75 |
| Up Beta | 3.13 | 1.28 | 0.78 | 1.39 | 0.14 | 0.47 |
| Down Beta | 0.84 | 0.80 | 0.51 | 0.73 | 0.85 | 0.90 |
| Up Capture | 96% | 64% | 125% | 99% | 39% | 44% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 19 | 30 | 61 | 119 | 361 |
| Down Capture | 217% | 165% | 136% | 141% | 85% | 100% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 22 | 31 | 64 | 130 | 386 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LOCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOCO | -11.4% | 36.8% | -0.27 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 4.6% | 24.2% | 0.13 | 35.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 19.4% | 0.55 | 27.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 74.3% | 25.3% | 2.17 | -10.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.0% | 16.7% | 0.24 | 4.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 7.9% | 16.6% | 0.28 | 26.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -29.8% | 44.9% | -0.65 | 9.6% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LOCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOCO | -8.5% | 34.7% | -0.18 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.9% | 23.7% | 0.25 | 42.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.3% | 17.0% | 0.62 | 40.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.1% | 17.0% | 1.06 | 3.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.5% | 18.9% | 0.44 | 7.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 18.8% | 0.18 | 36.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.3% | 57.2% | 0.37 | 17.9% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LOCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOCO | 0.9% | 40.9% | 0.16 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 13.9% | 21.9% | 0.58 | 38.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.6% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 35.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.3% | 15.6% | 0.82 | -0.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.1% | 17.6% | 0.38 | 13.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.4% | 20.7% | 0.27 | 32.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.9% | 66.7% | 1.07 | 9.4% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | 12.8% | 14.2% | 20.8% |
| 7/31/2025 | 1.5% | 0.3% | 3.2% |
| 3/6/2025 | -0.1% | -7.1% | -12.5% |
| 10/31/2024 | -2.1% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| 8/1/2024 | 0.7% | -0.1% | 16.7% |
| 3/7/2024 | -4.0% | -7.2% | 2.3% |
| 11/2/2023 | 0.8% | -5.6% | -0.2% |
| 8/3/2023 | 3.1% | 3.0% | -4.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 7 | 8 |
| # Negative | 9 | 12 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% |
| Median Negative | -7.2% | -5.7% | -11.0% |
| Max Positive | 14.9% | 14.2% | 20.8% |
| Max Negative | -19.8% | -22.3% | -34.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 10/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/02/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/07/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/08/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/10/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/06/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/11/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buller, Mark | Direct | Sell | 6102025 | 11.00 | 11,363 | 124,993 | 426,811 | Form | |
| 2 | Buller, Mark | Direct | Sell | 4072025 | 11.76 | 10,500 | 123,480 | 600,266 | Form | |
| 3 | Borgese, Samuel N | Direct | Sell | 4072025 | 11.06 | 20,011 | 221,322 | 429,847 | Form | |
| 4 | Borgese, Samuel N | Direct | Sell | 4072025 | 9.30 | 4,643 | 43,180 | 318,265 | Form | |
| 5 | Borgese, Samuel N | Direct | Sell | 4072025 | 10.19 | 1,000 | 10,190 | 338,532 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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