Tearsheet

Cava (CAVA)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $59.34 | Market Cap: $6.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Cava (CAVA)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $59.34
Market Cap: $6.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is 0.0%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 6.1x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 87x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 39x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 50x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -32%
  Key risks
CAVA key risks include [1] reduced spending from its key Gen Z demographic due to its premium pricing and [2] potential market saturation resulting from its own ambitious expansion plans.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -32%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is 0.0%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 6.1x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 87x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 39x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 50x
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2%
8 Key risks
CAVA key risks include [1] reduced spending from its key Gen Z demographic due to its premium pricing and [2] potential market saturation resulting from its own ambitious expansion plans.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CAVA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -12.1% movement of CAVA stock from August 31, 2025, to December 24, 2025: 1. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss and Weakened Outlook: CAVA reported its fiscal third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 4, 2025, with an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.12, which missed the consensus estimate of $0.13. Quarterly revenue also fell slightly short of analyst expectations. This financial performance, coupled with a more conservative outlook for 2025, including reset guidance for same-restaurant sales growth and margins, contributed to a negative investor sentiment.

2. Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Reductions: Following the disappointing Q3 2025 earnings, analysts lowered their price targets for CAVA. These reductions reflected concerns about potential challenges the company faced in the fourth quarter, including tougher comparisons to previous periods and ongoing macroeconomic headwinds.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -8.9% change in CAVA stock from 9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -6.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
923202512232025Change
Stock Price ($)65.1459.35-8.89%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1083.651132.074.47%
Net Income Margin (%)12.98%12.14%-6.47%
P/E Multiple53.6250.07-6.61%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)115.78115.96-0.15%
Cumulative Contribution-8.89%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
CAVA-8.9% 
Market (SPY)3.7%40.5%
Sector (XLY)2.7%46.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -20.0% change in CAVA stock from 6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -17.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
624202512232025Change
Stock Price ($)74.2359.35-20.05%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1036.531132.079.22%
Net Income Margin (%)13.70%12.14%-11.40%
P/E Multiple60.3850.07-17.06%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)115.53115.96-0.38%
Cumulative Contribution-20.05%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
CAVA-20.0% 
Market (SPY)13.7%34.0%
Sector (XLY)13.5%29.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -49.6% change in CAVA stock from 12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -80.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1223202412232025Change
Stock Price ($)117.8459.35-49.64%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)913.491132.0723.93%
Net Income Margin (%)5.88%12.14%106.34%
P/E Multiple250.8950.07-80.04%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)114.43115.96-1.33%
Cumulative Contribution-49.64%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
CAVA-49.6% 
Market (SPY)16.7%58.7%
Sector (XLY)7.3%56.0%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

12/24/2023 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
CAVA41.6% 
Market (SPY)48.4%51.4%
Sector (XLY)38.2%48.1%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CAVA Return162%-49%
Peers Return-39%44%44%-31%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CAVA Win Rate67%83%42% 
Peers Win Rate40%33%57%53%35% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CAVA Max Drawdown-8%-61% 
Peers Max Drawdown-53%-19%-22%-41% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CMG, SG, SHAK, WING, NDLS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/23/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

CAVA has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven680 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven82 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven779 days1,480 days

Compare to

In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -40.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -40.3% loss requires a 67.4% gain to breakeven.

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About Cava (CAVA)

Our Mission To Bring Heart, Health, And Humanity To Food CAVA is the category-defining Mediterranean fast-casual restaurant brand, bringing together healthful food and bold, satisfying flavors at scale. Rooted in our rich Mediterranean heritage, we bring a timeless approach to modern wellness through our authentic cuisine and vibrant brand experience. Guided by our mission, we believe food is a unifier for a more diverse and inclusive world for our guests, Team Members, and our grower and rancher partners, where all are welcome at our table. We believe that consumers should not have to choose between taste and health – our innovative cuisine appeals to a wide variety of preferences, satisfying the modern consumer’s desires for flavorful, craveable, and nutritious food without compromise. Over the past 12 years, we have established ourselves as the only national player at scale in the fast-growing Mediterranean category, with more than twice the number of restaurants compared to our next largest competitor in the category. Our brand and our opportunity transcend the Mediterranean category to compete in the large and growing limited-service restaurant sector as well as the health and wellness food category. CAVA serves guests across gender lines, age groups, and income levels and benefits from generational tailwinds created by consumer demand for healthy living and a demographic shift towards greater ethnic diversity. We meet consumers’ desire to engage with convenient, authentic, purpose-driven brands that view food as a source of self-expression. The broad appeal of our food combined with these favorable industry trends drive our vast opportunity for continued growth. We have assembled an experienced and passionate team and made significant investments in differentiated digital and manufacturing infrastructure to drive powerful national growth and unit economics. Our strong results reflect our broad appeal and are highlighted by having: • Driven total revenue from $45.4 million in fiscal 2016 to $564.1 million in fiscal 2022, a 52.2% compound annual growth rate (“CAGR”), and from $159.0 million in the first quarter of 2022 to $203.1 million in the first quarter of 2023, an increase of 27.7%; • Driven CAVA Revenue from $41.2 million in fiscal 2016 to $448.6 million in fiscal 2022, a 49.0% CAGR, and from $112.0 million in the first quarter of 2022 to $196.8 million in the first quarter of 2023, an increase of 75.7%; • Achieved CAVA Same Restaurant Sales Growth for fiscal 2022 of 14.2% (when compared to fiscal 2021) and 23.6% (when compared to fiscal 2019), and 28.4% for the first quarter of 2023 (when compared to the first quarter of 2022); • Delivered net loss of $59.0 million in fiscal 2022 compared to $37.4 million in fiscal 2021, and $2.1 million in the first quarter of 2023 compared to $20.0 million in the first quarter of 2022, and delivered Adjusted EBITDA of $12.6 million in fiscal 2022 compared to $14.6 million in fiscal 2021, and $16.7 million in the first quarter of 2023 compared to $(1.6) million in the first quarter of 2022; and • Proven portability across 22 states and Washington, D.C., with a 82% suburban, 14% urban, and 4% specialty location mix as of April 16, 2023. CAVA Group, Inc. was originally incorporated in Delaware on February 27, 2015. Our principal offices are located at 14 Ridge Square NW, Suite 500, Washington, D.C. 20016.

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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Cava:

  • Chipotle for Mediterranean food

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Customizable Mediterranean Meals: Fast-casual bowls and pitas built to order with fresh Mediterranean-inspired ingredients.
  • Retail Spreads & Dips: Packaged versions of their popular hummus, tzatziki, and other dips available in grocery stores.
  • Beverages & Sides: A variety of aguas frescas, teas, and complementary side dishes offered in their restaurants.
  • Catering Services: Group orders and platters of their Mediterranean dishes designed for events and meetings.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Cava (symbol: CAVA) is primarily a fast-casual restaurant chain that sells directly to individual consumers rather than other businesses. Therefore, its major customers are individuals. Here are up to three categories of individual customers that Cava serves:
  • Health-Conscious Professionals & Urban Diners: This segment includes individuals (typically 25-55+) who prioritize healthy, fresh, and customizable meal options for lunch or dinner. They are often busy, working professionals or urban residents who seek convenient, nutrient-dense food that fits various dietary preferences such as vegetarian, vegan, gluten-free, or paleo lifestyles. They value Cava for its perceived wellness benefits and fresh ingredients.
  • Families & Groups Seeking Convenient, Wholesome Meals: This category encompasses parents and families, or groups of friends, looking for a quick, customizable, and perceived "healthier" alternative to traditional fast food or more formal dining. They appreciate Cava's ability to cater to diverse tastes and dietary needs within a group setting, making it suitable for takeout or casual dine-in options that are both convenient and satisfying.
  • Trend-Aware & Experiential Eaters: Primarily younger consumers (often 18-35, including Millennials and Gen Z), this group is attuned to current food trends, appreciates modern branding, and values customization. They seek fresh, flavorful, and ethnically-inspired dining experiences that align with their active lifestyles, social media engagement, and desire to try new cuisines like Mediterranean. They are drawn to Cava for its vibrant atmosphere and ability to create a personalized meal.

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Brett Schulman, Chief Executive Officer

Brett Schulman co-founded CAVA in 2010 and serves as the company's Chief Executive Officer. He previously served as Chief Operating Officer at Snikiddy, a natural and organic food company, which he helped expand from its conceptual stage to a nationally distributed growth business. Snikiddy was subsequently acquired by Utz Quality Foods. Prior to Snikiddy, Mr. Schulman spent over a decade in the financial sector, holding positions at firms such as Deutsche Bank Alex. Brown and FBR Securities. He led CAVA's efforts to go public in 2023.

Tricia Tolivar, Chief Financial Officer

Tricia Tolivar joined CAVA as Chief Financial Officer in 2020. Before joining CAVA, she spent five years as the Chief Financial Officer for GNC, and was offered the chance to take the company public. From 2007 to 2015, she held various financial leadership roles at Ernst & Young, where she oversaw finance, accounting, and operations for a $3 billion client service organization. Ms. Tolivar also served as Chief Financial Officer of the Greater Memphis Arts Council from 2006 to 2008. Earlier in her career, from 1996 to 2005, she held several supply chain and finance executive leadership positions with AutoZone, including forming the company's internal audit department. She has been involved in executing multiple acquisitions and divestiture activities, and successfully led CAVA's IPO launch.

Jennifer Somers, Chief Operations Officer

Jennifer Somers serves as CAVA's Chief Operations Officer.

Kelly Costanza, Chief People Officer

Kelly Costanza joined CAVA as Chief People Officer in 2020. She previously spent five years as Senior Vice President, Human Resources at Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings. Her prior experience includes roles as Vice President, Talent Management at rue21 and EDMC, and Vice President, Human Resources at American Eagle Outfitters.

Rob Bertram, Chief Legal Officer & Secretary

Rob Bertram joined CAVA in 2021 as Chief Legal Officer & Secretary. He previously served for seven years as General Counsel & Assistant Secretary for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings. His legal career also includes practicing law at McNees Wallace & Nurick LLC and working as a corporate and securities industry regulatory attorney at Stevens & Lee.

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Key Risks to Cava (CAVA) Business

  1. Macroeconomic Headwinds and Shifting Consumer Behavior

    Cava faces significant challenges from a complex and fluid macroeconomic environment, which includes inflationary pressures and changing consumer spending habits. Reduced spending by Gen Z consumers, a key demographic for Cava, particularly impacts its sales and overall performance. This has led to slowed same-restaurant sales growth and raises concerns about demand for Cava's premium-priced offerings, as price-sensitive consumers may opt for lower-cost alternatives during economic downturns.

  2. Intense Competition and Potential Market Saturation

    The fast-casual dining sector in which Cava operates is highly competitive. Cava competes with both direct Mediterranean-inspired rivals and a wide array of broader fast-casual chains that vie for the same consumer dollars. The company's ambitious expansion plans, targeting over 1,000 restaurants by 2032, carry the risk of entering increasingly saturated markets, which could undermine its growth narrative and profitability. Maintaining a competitive edge requires continuous innovation and customer loyalty in this crowded landscape.

  3. Rising Operating Expenses and Supply Chain Vulnerabilities

    Cava's profitability is vulnerable to increasing operating expenses, including higher costs for food, commodities, energy, and labor. The company relies on high-quality ingredients, and any inability to manage or pass on these increased input costs could decrease margins. Additionally, supply chain disruptions and price fluctuations of key ingredients, such as chicken, pose risks to consistent operations and cost control.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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U.S. Fast Casual Restaurant Market

The addressable market for Cava's fast-casual restaurant services in the United States was valued at approximately $76.2 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $183.99 billion by 2032, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.65% from 2024 to 2032.

U.S. Mediterranean Restaurants Industry

The addressable market for Mediterranean restaurants in the United States is estimated to be $33.4 billion in 2025. This industry has experienced a CAGR of 3.0% over the past five years.

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Cava Group, Inc. (CAVA) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. New Restaurant Openings and Unit Expansion: Cava is pursuing an aggressive expansion strategy, with plans to significantly increase its physical footprint. The company opened 17 net new restaurants in the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, bringing its total to 415 locations. Cava has provided guidance for 68 to 70 net new restaurant openings for the full year 2025 and has a long-term goal of reaching at least 1,000 locations by 2032. This accelerated unit growth is consistently highlighted as a primary driver of future revenue.
  2. Same Restaurant Sales Growth: Cava expects to increase revenue through growth in same restaurant sales. In the third quarter of 2025, same restaurant sales grew by 1.9%, primarily influenced by menu price adjustments and product mix, despite guest traffic remaining approximately flat. The company forecasts same-restaurant sales growth of 3% to 4% for the full fiscal year 2025.
  3. Menu Innovation and Product Launches: The introduction of new menu items and proteins is expected to attract new customers and increase the frequency of visits from existing guests. Recent successful additions include chicken shawarma, and the company is exploring a broader launch of salmon in late spring 2026 if market test performance continues positively. These innovations are designed to enhance culinary offerings and adapt to consumer preferences.
  4. Expansion of Loyalty Program and Digital Engagement: Cava is investing in its digital platforms and loyalty program to drive customer engagement and frequency. The rewards program has seen substantial growth, increasing membership by 36% year-over-year. This program is being leveraged to promote new menu items and encourage repeat business. Additionally, investments in technology, such as the rollout of new kitchen display systems and TurboChef ovens, aim to improve operational efficiency, order accuracy, and the overall guest experience, which can contribute to sustained revenue growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • Cava's annual share buybacks totaled $3.108 million in 2023.
  • Quarterly share repurchases included $9.30 million in July 2024 and $1.54 million in December 2023.

Share Issuance

  • Cava Group completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) on June 15, 2023, with shares priced at $22.00 each.
  • A total of 16,611,110 shares were issued in the IPO, including the full exercise of the underwriters' option to purchase additional shares, raising approximately $365.4 million.
  • The net proceeds from the IPO were designated for funding future new restaurant openings and general corporate purposes, including the repayment of delayed draw term loans for construction and capital expenditures related to a new production facility in Verona, Virginia.

Inbound Investments

  • In April 2021, Cava Group secured a $190 million Series F funding round, led by T. Rowe Price Group, to support restaurant expansion, growth in consumer packaged goods, and enhancement of digital channels.
  • This funding round valued the company at nearly $1.3 billion.

Capital Expenditures

  • Cava's capital expenditures in the last 12 months amounted to approximately $149.01 million.
  • The primary focus of capital expenditures is on expanding the restaurant footprint, with plans to open a midpoint of 64 new restaurants in 2025, targeting 1,000 total locations by 2032.
  • Investments also include a new food-preparation facility in Virginia, opened in February 2024 to support future growth, and technology enhancements such as TurboChef ovens and new kitchen display systems to improve operational efficiency.

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to CAVA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.9%3.9%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.8%3.8%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.9%19.9%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Cava

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CAVACMGSGSHAKWINGNDLSMedian
NameCava Chipotle.Sweetgre.Shake Sh.Wingstop Noodles  
Mkt Price59.3537.796.6684.95251.530.6348.57
Mkt Cap6.950.40.83.47.00.05.2
Rev LTM1,13211,7876851,373683494909
Op Inc LTM791,996-9677180-1178
FCF LTM251,573-1096363-1544
FCF 3Y Avg11,404-851692-199
CFO LTM1742,2152204103-2139
CFO 3Y Avg1341,9931616213315134

Growth & Margins

CAVACMGSGSHAKWINGNDLSMedian
NameCava Chipotle.Sweetgre.Shake Sh.Wingstop Noodles  
Rev Chg LTM23.9%7.3%2.4%13.5%15.6%-0.3%10.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.9%15.6%16.7%28.5%0.5%15.6%
Rev Chg Q19.9%7.5%-0.6%15.9%8.1%-0.5%7.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.5%1.8%-0.2%3.8%2.0%-0.1%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM7.0%16.9%-14.0%5.6%26.3%-2.2%6.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.6%17.0%-16.2%3.7%26.0%-0.7%4.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-0.3%-1.2%0.5%0.8%0.3%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM15.4%18.8%0.3%14.9%15.2%-0.3%15.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.4%18.6%2.4%13.2%23.8%3.0%13.8%
FCF/Rev LTM2.2%13.3%-15.9%4.6%9.2%-3.1%3.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.9%13.1%-13.8%0.9%16.5%-3.8%0.0%

Valuation

CAVACMGSGSHAKWINGNDLSMedian
NameCava Chipotle.Sweetgre.Shake Sh.Wingstop Noodles  
Mkt Cap6.950.40.83.47.00.05.2
P/S6.14.31.12.510.30.13.4
P/EBIT87.325.3-6.951.726.1-0.825.7
P/E50.132.8-6.980.340.3-0.636.6
P/CFO39.522.8379.316.767.8-18.031.1
Total Yield2.0%3.0%-14.4%1.2%2.9%-155.3%1.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.4%2.4%-7.0%0.1%1.1%-36.8%-0.1%
D/E0.10.10.50.20.29.20.2
Net D/E0.00.10.30.10.19.10.1

Returns

CAVACMGSGSHAKWINGNDLSMedian
NameCava Chipotle.Sweetgre.Shake Sh.Wingstop Noodles  
1M Rtn21.3%19.5%-1.2%-3.7%2.2%3.4%2.8%
3M Rtn-8.9%-4.8%-20.1%-13.3%-0.9%3.1%-6.8%
6M Rtn-20.0%-30.9%-50.0%-36.6%-30.8%-18.1%-30.8%
12M Rtn-49.6%-38.6%-79.9%-34.4%-13.1%-5.9%-36.5%
3Y Rtn-33.8%-24.6%89.2%74.7%-87.8%33.8%
1M Excs Rtn16.7%14.8%-5.8%-8.3%-2.4%-1.2%-1.8%
3M Excs Rtn-10.5%-8.5%-24.0%-14.9%-4.6%-0.9%-9.5%
6M Excs Rtn-33.2%-44.9%-60.9%-50.0%-42.6%-30.1%-43.8%
12M Excs Rtn-67.1%-56.6%-98.6%-52.2%-30.8%-25.0%-54.4%
3Y Excs Rtn--50.1%-111.5%-4.0%-14.5%-167.8%-50.1%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil202420232022
CAVA717449278
Other revenue876
Zoes Kitchen4108216
Total729564500


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$59.35 
Market Cap ($ Bil)6.9 
First Trading Date06/15/2023 
Distance from 52W High-58.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$54.05$73.23
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA9.8%-19.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility53.5%57.2%
Downside Capture190.33191.94
Upside Capture113.3995.40
Correlation (SPY)40.0%58.4%
CAVA Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.171.921.841.741.750.02
Up Beta1.460.991.201.721.780.37
Down Beta0.422.772.692.881.940.18
Up Capture197%91%47%25%82%192%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days7162355115311
Down Capture278%231%232%198%146%108%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days12253868131299

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
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Based On 5-Year Data
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Based On 10-Year Data
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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,151,191
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-11.2%
Average Daily Volume4,504,857
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.14
Basic Shares Quantity115,960,000
Short % of Basic Shares12.2%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-2.6%-4.7%3.2%
8/12/2025-16.6%-19.0%-23.9%
5/15/2025-2.3%-14.8%-24.8%
2/25/2025-0.3%-13.1%-12.7%
11/12/20241.6%-2.6%-13.6%
8/22/202419.6%8.7%25.8%
5/28/20247.0%7.2%11.1%
2/27/202412.2%14.8%35.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive534
# Negative576
Median Positive7.0%8.7%18.5%
Median Negative-2.6%-7.8%-17.9%
Max Positive19.6%14.8%35.1%
Max Negative-16.6%-19.0%-24.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 10/5/2025
6302025813202510-Q 7/13/2025
3312025516202510-Q 4/20/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/29/2024
93020241113202410-Q 10/6/2024
6302024823202410-Q 7/14/2024
3312024529202410-Q 4/21/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 10/1/2023
6302023816202310-Q 7/9/2023
123120226162023424B4 12/25/2022
123120212062023DRS 12/26/2021