Tearsheet

Lennox International (LII)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $487.715 | Market Cap: $17.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products

Lennox International (LII)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $487.715
Market Cap: $17.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Building Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -26%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.8%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
  Key risks
LII key risks include [1] potential margin compression from higher costs, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electrification of Everything, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Heat Pump Technology, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electrification of Everything, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Heat Pump Technology, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -26%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.8%
5 Key risks
LII key risks include [1] potential margin compression from higher costs, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LII Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Lennox International (LII) stock moved by -12.4% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Lennox International reported third-quarter 2025 revenue that fell short of analysts' expectations, alongside a downward revision of its full-year revenue and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) guidance. This mixed earnings report, despite beating EPS forecasts, led to the stock closing down over 10% on October 22, 2025.

2. The company experienced soft demand in both residential and commercial HVAC markets, characterized by declining industry shipments and ongoing inventory destocking among distributors and dealers. This contributed to the company's underperformance.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LII Return14%20%-25%90%37%-19%116%
Peers Return52%-21%35%23%6%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LII Win Rate50%83%33%58%67%33% 
Peers Win Rate66%78%37%55%62%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LII Max Drawdown-32%-2%-42%-3%-6%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-5%-39%-5%-8%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CARR, TT, JCI, AOS, IR. See LII Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLIIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven90.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven406 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-35.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven122 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven399 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-52.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven108.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven448 days1,480 days

Compare to HON, TT, JCI, EMR, CMI


In The Past

Lennox International's stock fell -47.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/7/2021. A -47.4% loss requires a 90.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Lennox International (LII)

Better Bets than Lennox International (LII)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LII. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
LII_4302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302022LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%34.7%-12.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
LII_4302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302022LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%34.7%-12.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lennox International

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LIICARRTTJCIAOSIRMedian
NameLennox I.Carrier .Trane Te.Johnson .A.O. Smi.Ingersol. 
Mkt Price487.4752.40382.30116.3868.0878.1297.25
Mkt Cap17.144.585.173.49.530.937.7
Rev LTM5,34522,05821,05123,5963,8307,45814,255
Op Inc LTM1,0622,2323,9562,8287201,4771,855
FCF LTM5341,1272,5339655721,2501,046
FCF 3Y Avg5431,4812,4311,4485361,2001,324
CFO LTM6841,6052,9361,3996561,3831,391
CFO 3Y Avg7221,9222,7771,9066211,3281,617

Growth & Margins

LIICARRTTJCIAOSIRMedian
NameLennox I.Carrier .Trane Te.Johnson .A.O. Smi.Ingersol. 
Rev Chg LTM3.8%1.9%8.6%2.8%-1.6%4.2%3.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.2%3.3%10.8%4.6%0.2%9.4%4.9%
Rev Chg Q-4.8%-6.8%5.5%3.1%4.4%5.1%3.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.3%-1.8%1.5%0.8%1.1%1.3%0.9%
Op Mgn LTM19.9%10.1%18.8%12.0%18.8%19.8%18.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.3%10.0%17.4%11.1%19.2%19.1%17.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-0.8%0.4%-0.4%0.2%-0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM12.8%7.3%13.9%5.9%17.1%18.5%13.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.0%9.6%14.4%8.3%16.2%18.7%14.2%
FCF/Rev LTM10.0%5.1%12.0%4.1%14.9%16.8%11.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.5%7.5%12.6%6.3%14.0%16.9%11.6%

Valuation

LIICARRTTJCIAOSIRMedian
NameLennox I.Carrier .Trane Te.Johnson .A.O. Smi.Ingersol. 
Mkt Cap17.144.585.173.49.530.937.7
P/S3.52.34.53.12.74.43.3
P/EBIT17.417.224.033.414.427.820.7
P/E22.112.732.022.319.460.022.2
P/CFO27.231.632.052.515.723.729.4
Total Yield5.0%9.3%4.0%5.8%7.1%1.8%5.4%
Dividend Yield0.4%1.5%0.9%1.3%1.9%0.1%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.0%2.9%3.4%3.1%4.9%3.7%3.2%
D/E0.10.20.00.10.00.10.1
Net D/E0.10.20.00.10.00.10.1

Returns

LIICARRTTJCIAOSIRMedian
NameLennox I.Carrier .Trane Te.Johnson .A.O. Smi.Ingersol. 
1M Rtn6.0%-1.4%-7.4%0.0%7.5%6.0%3.0%
3M Rtn-10.5%-13.4%-4.0%8.8%-6.4%-1.1%-5.2%
6M Rtn-10.6%-24.5%-8.5%13.3%9.0%-3.3%-5.9%
12M Rtn-25.2%-24.4%-1.5%44.5%-1.9%-19.8%-10.9%
3Y Rtn104.3%30.9%132.5%94.6%28.3%51.3%73.0%
1M Excs Rtn5.3%-2.1%-8.1%-0.7%6.8%5.3%2.3%
3M Excs Rtn-11.1%-15.3%-6.1%6.3%-7.7%-5.5%-6.9%
6M Excs Rtn-23.0%-36.9%-20.9%0.9%-3.3%-15.6%-18.3%
12M Excs Rtn-37.1%-38.3%-14.4%32.1%-15.2%-33.7%-24.5%
3Y Excs Rtn25.2%-42.1%57.6%20.4%-45.5%-24.0%-1.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Home Comfort Solutions3,2233,1982,7762,3622,291
Business Climate Solutions1,5111,286865801947
Corporate and other248234   
Refrigeration  554472569
Total4,9824,7184,1943,6343,807


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Home Comfort Solutions610597540428465
Business Climate Solutions341163111137165
Loss (gain) on sale from previous dispositions140   
Restructuring charges-3-2-2-11-10
Items in Losses (gains) and other expenses, net that are excluded from segment profit (loss)-15-8-14-13-11
Impairment on assets held for sale-630   
Corporate and other-94-94-96-92-82
Special product quality adjustments 02-11
Refrigeration  493361
Loss (gain) from natural disasters, net of insurance recoveries   -380
Loss (gain), net on sale of businesses and related property    -11
Total790656590478657


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Home Comfort Solutions1,4491,4561,1501,0351,056
Business Climate Solutions989730366366409
Corporate and other360381229244177
Refrigeration  427388393
Total2,7982,5682,1722,0322,035


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,774,127
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520255.7%
Average Daily Volume443,616
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4
Basic Shares Quantity35,100,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/22/2025-10.2%-8.7%-18.7%
7/23/20256.6%3.2%-5.0%
4/23/2025-9.0%-4.3%2.2%
1/29/2025-8.8%-12.7%-9.1%
10/23/20242.6%2.8%5.2%
7/24/2024-4.9%0.8%2.1%
4/24/2024-1.8%-2.8%4.6%
1/31/2024-4.4%-5.0%5.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101319
# Negative14115
Median Positive4.4%3.2%5.2%
Median Negative-3.0%-4.3%-9.1%
Max Positive9.0%13.0%22.7%
Max Negative-10.2%-13.6%-18.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251022202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025723202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025423202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024211202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241023202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024724202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023213202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022425202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021215202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0TESKE TODD J 11122025Sell491.85600295,1103,728,715Form