Tearsheet

Lennox International (LII)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $493.01 | Market Cap: $17.3 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products

Lennox International (LII)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $493.01
Market Cap: $17.3 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Building Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electrification of Everything, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Heat Pump Technology, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electrification of Everything, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Heat Pump Technology, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LII Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Lennox International (LII) experienced a notable decline of -10.1% in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors.

1. Lennox International missed third-quarter revenue expectations and lowered its full-year guidance in October 2025. On October 22, 2025, Lennox reported weaker-than-expected third-quarter results, with revenue falling 4.8% year-on-year to $1.43 billion, missing Wall Street's expectations. The company also lowered its full-year adjusted earnings per share guidance to a midpoint of $23, which contributed to a negative investor sentiment. This news caused an immediate drop in share price.

2. Ongoing challenges in the residential HVAC market and inventory issues impacted investor confidence. Throughout 2025, Lennox faced struggles in the residential HVAC (heating, ventilation, and air conditioning) market, with Wolfe Research highlighting these difficulties when upgrading Lennox's stock rating. KeyBanc Capital Markets also pointed to ongoing inventory challenges in the residential segment. William Blair noted that inventory levels were expected to normalize later than previously anticipated, by the second quarter of 2026, leading to downward revisions in earnings per share expectations for late 2025 and early 2026.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LII Return14%20%-25%90%37%-19%114%
Peers Return25%27%-2%9%36%22%181%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LII Win Rate50%83%33%58%67%40% 
Peers Win Rate63%70%43%47%60%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LII Max Drawdown-32%-2%-42%-3%-6%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-41%-5%-27%-15%-6%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HON, TT, JCI, EMR, CMI. See LII Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLIIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven90.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven406 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-35.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven122 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven399 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-52.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven108.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven448 days1480 days

Compare to HON, TT, JCI, EMR, CMI


In The Past

Lennox International's stock fell -47.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/7/2021. A -47.4% loss requires a 90.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Lennox International (LII)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LII. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
LII_4302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302022LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%34.7%-12.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
LII_4302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302022LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%34.7%-12.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lennox International

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LIIHONTTJCIEMRCMIMedian
NameLennox I.Honeywel.Trane Te.Johnson .Emerson .Cummins  
Mkt Price-------
Mkt Cap-------
Rev LTM-------
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-------
FCF 3Y Avg-------
CFO LTM-------
CFO 3Y Avg-------

Growth & Margins

LIIHONTTJCIEMRCMIMedian
NameLennox I.Honeywel.Trane Te.Johnson .Emerson .Cummins  
Rev Chg LTM-------
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-------
Rev Chg Q-------
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-------
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-------
FCF/Rev LTM-------
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-------

Valuation

LIIHONTTJCIEMRCMIMedian
NameLennox I.Honeywel.Trane Te.Johnson .Emerson .Cummins  
Mkt Cap-------
P/S-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E-------
P/CFO-------
Total Yield-------
Dividend Yield-------
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-------
D/E-------
Net D/E-------

Returns

LIIHONTTJCIEMRCMIMedian
NameLennox I.Honeywel.Trane Te.Johnson .Emerson .Cummins  
1M Rtn-------
3M Rtn-------
6M Rtn-------
12M Rtn-------
3Y Rtn-------
1M Excs Rtn-------
3M Excs Rtn-------
6M Excs Rtn-------
12M Excs Rtn-------
3Y Excs Rtn-------

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Home Comfort Solutions3,2233,1982,7762,3622,291
Business Climate Solutions1,5111,286865801947
Corporate and other248234   
Refrigeration  554472569
Total4,9824,7184,1943,6343,807


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Home Comfort Solutions610597540428465
Business Climate Solutions341163111137165
Loss (gain) on sale from previous dispositions140   
Restructuring charges-3-2-2-11-10
Items in Losses (gains) and other expenses, net that are excluded from segment profit (loss)-15-8-14-13-11
Impairment on assets held for sale-630   
Corporate and other-94-94-96-92-82
Special product quality adjustments 02-11
Refrigeration  493361
Loss (gain) from natural disasters, net of insurance recoveries   -380
Loss (gain), net on sale of businesses and related property    -11
Total790656590478657


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Home Comfort Solutions1,4491,4561,1501,0351,056
Business Climate Solutions989730366366409
Corporate and other360381229244177
Refrigeration  427388393
Total2,7982,5682,1722,0322,035


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,677,883
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.5%
Average Daily Volume432,502
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.88
Basic Shares Quantity35,100,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251022202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025723202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025423202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024211202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241023202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024724202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023213202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022425202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021215202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0TESKE TODD J 11122025Sell491.85600295,1103,728,715Form