nLight (LASR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $33.9 | Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
nLight (LASR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $33.9Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Battery Technology & Metals, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Factory Automation, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -42 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -18% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 212% | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.8% | |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.5% | |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 253% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.1% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Battery Technology & Metals, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Factory Automation, Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -42 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -18% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 212% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.8% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.5% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 253% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.1% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LASR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Several factors contributed to nLight (LASR) stock movements around the specified period, with a significant 14% rise in early November 2025. While the precise 18.5% movement over the entire August 31 to December 4, 2025 period cannot be directly confirmed or attributed in the search results, the following key points highlight relevant developments for nLight during that timeframe.
1. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Raised Price Targets: In early December 2025, nLight's stock experienced a gain following continued positive analyst sentiment. Firms like Cantor Fitzgerald, Needham, and Stifel maintained "buy-equivalent" ratings and increased their price targets for the stock, with some reaching as high as $40. This strong "Strong Buy" consensus among analysts contributed to investor confidence.
2. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat: On November 6, 2025, nLight announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results, which significantly surpassed market expectations. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of 8 cents, beating the consensus estimate by 6 cents, and net revenues of $66.74 million, an 18.9% increase year-over-year, exceeding estimates by 6.8%. This strong earnings performance led to a 14% rise in shares after the announcement.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LASR Return | 61% | -27% | -58% | 33% | -22% | 221% | 66% |
| Peers Return | 230% | -2% | -46% | 247% | 59% | 41% | 1262% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LASR Win Rate | 67% | 25% | 42% | 42% | 33% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 27% | 27% | 38% | 46% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LASR Max Drawdown | -54% | -29% | -61% | -19% | -27% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -24% | -51% | -11% | -38% | -43% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AAOI, KOPN, LPTH, AMBQ, GLSA. See LASR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LASR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -81.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 445.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -56.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 130.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 38 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -68.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 222.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 539 days | 120 days |
Compare to AAOI, KOPN, LPTH, AMBQ, GLSA
In The Past
nLight's stock fell -81.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/19/2021. A -81.7% loss requires a 445.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LASR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for nLight
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 25.65 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.0 |
| Rev LTM | 69 |
| Op Inc LTM | -38 |
| FCF LTM | -17 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -11 |
| CFO LTM | -16 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -9 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 30.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 7.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -27.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -22.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -22.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -16.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -29.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -25.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.0 |
| P/S | 4.7 |
| P/EBIT | -14.3 |
| P/E | -14.6 |
| P/CFO | -16.1 |
| Total Yield | -7.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -8.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -6.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 18.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 86.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 158.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 394.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 10.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 71.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 149.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 324.0% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2262024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |