Tearsheet

Kingsway Financial Services (KFS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $12.32 | Market Cap: $351.2 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Retail

Kingsway Financial Services (KFS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $12.32
Market Cap: $351.2 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 74%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.1%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, AI in Financial Services, and Niche Financial Services. Themes include Private Equity, Show more.
Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 21.45
3  Key risks
KFS key risks include [1] profitability challenges and potential overvaluation, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, AI in Financial Services, and Niche Financial Services. Themes include Private Equity, Show more.
3 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 74%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.1%
5 Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 21.45
6 Key risks
KFS key risks include [1] profitability challenges and potential overvaluation, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KFS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Kingsway Financial Services (KFS) experienced a decline of 14.3% in its stock price between approximately August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, influenced by several factors.

1. The company reported a consolidated net loss of $2.4 million for the third quarter of 2025, which was slightly higher than the net loss in the prior year's quarter. This indicates ongoing challenges in achieving profitability, with the company also showing a negative net margin of 8.55% and a negative return on equity of 76.94%.

2. Kingsway Financial Services received a consensus "Sell" rating from analysts during this period. Weiss Ratings, for instance, restated a "sell (d-)" rating on the company's shares in October 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KFS Return153%17%45%6%-0%52%583%
Peers Return-5%37%-6%29%30%8%120%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KFS Win Rate75%50%58%50%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate60%68%42%68%67%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KFS Max Drawdown-22%-7%-7%-19%-8%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-4%-17%-4%-3%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AIZ, ORI, ARCC, MAIN, FSK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKFSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-37.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven573 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-36.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven57.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven41 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-74.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven291.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven959 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-93.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1525.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to AN, MUSA, GPI, BGSI, OTH


In The Past

Kingsway Financial Services's stock fell -37.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/8/2023. A -37.1% loss requires a 59.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Kingsway Financial Services (KFS)

Better Bets than Kingsway Financial Services (KFS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KFS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Kingsway Financial Services

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KFSAIZORIARCCMAINFSKMedian
NameKingsway.Assurant Old Repu.Ares Cap.Main Str.FS KKR C. 
Mkt Price12.30237.0445.8020.1960.5315.0232.99
Mkt Cap0.412.011.214.35.44.28.3
Rev LTM12812,5698,7491,5516233621,087
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-11,0221,291-1,5583181,375670
FCF 3Y Avg-171,0861,103-1,0891271,459607
CFO LTM-01,2661,291-1,5583181,375792
CFO 3Y Avg-161,3041,103-1,0891271,459615

Growth & Margins

KFSAIZORIARCCMAINFSKMedian
NameKingsway.Assurant Old Repu.Ares Cap.Main Str.FS KKR C. 
Rev Chg LTM17.7%6.9%7.1%-11.2%9.8%-39.6%7.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.5%7.5%1.4%20.8%27.6%61.4%14.7%
Rev Chg Q31.9%8.9%3.5%5.5%-0.2%34.1%7.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.7%2.1%1.0%1.6%-0.0%19.1%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-0.1%10.1%14.8%-100.5%51.0%379.8%12.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-14.8%11.1%13.4%-63.3%22.2%274.7%12.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.7%8.1%14.8%-100.5%51.0%379.8%11.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-15.3%9.3%13.4%-63.3%22.2%274.7%11.3%

Valuation

KFSAIZORIARCCMAINFSKMedian
NameKingsway.Assurant Old Repu.Ares Cap.Main Str.FS KKR C. 
Mkt Cap0.412.011.214.35.44.28.3
P/S2.70.91.29.39.111.65.9
P/EBIT-46.09.59.3---9.3
P/E-33.013.012.510.610.615.411.6
P/CFO-3,506.58.78.1-9.317.93.05.6
Total Yield-3.0%9.2%15.5%18.0%15.3%25.3%15.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.5%7.5%8.6%5.9%18.7%6.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.4%11.2%12.3%-7.6%2.7%29.1%7.0%
D/E0.20.20.21.10.41.80.3
Net D/E0.2-0.2-0.11.00.41.70.3

Returns

KFSAIZORIARCCMAINFSKMedian
NameKingsway.Assurant Old Repu.Ares Cap.Main Str.FS KKR C. 
1M Rtn-1.8%5.8%6.0%5.0%6.4%2.6%5.4%
3M Rtn-14.4%13.6%16.3%-2.0%-6.4%-2.0%-2.0%
6M Rtn-12.0%22.3%25.5%-1.8%7.1%-20.3%2.6%
12M Rtn45.4%12.9%37.1%3.7%17.0%-17.7%14.9%
3Y Rtn69.7%101.9%127.1%45.9%108.9%35.5%85.8%
1M Excs Rtn-2.5%5.1%5.3%4.3%5.7%1.9%4.7%
3M Excs Rtn-16.7%12.5%14.7%-4.9%-8.2%-2.3%-3.6%
6M Excs Rtn-24.4%9.9%13.1%-14.2%-5.3%-32.7%-9.7%
12M Excs Rtn36.1%-0.6%24.7%-9.3%5.9%-29.5%2.6%
3Y Excs Rtn1.5%20.5%54.2%-25.2%38.2%-38.8%11.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Service fee and commission revenue - Extended Warranty6874754846
Service fee and commission revenue - Kingsway Search Xcelerator (KSX)3519   
Leased Real Estate  31314
Total10393786160


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,076,771
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520259.0%
Average Daily Volume50,191
Days-to-Cover Short Interest21.45
Basic Shares Quantity28,508,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-10.8%-12.6%-13.4%
8/7/2025-2.7%-1.4%3.6%
3/17/2025-0.3%4.9%4.9%
11/6/2024-2.3%-6.7%-10.9%
8/6/2024-0.5%-3.7%0.0%
3/5/20240.2%-6.8%-10.0%
11/7/20232.7%-6.4%2.1%
8/8/2023-2.3%2.5%5.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive7613
# Negative11125
Median Positive2.7%5.5%4.9%
Median Negative-1.3%-4.0%-10.9%
Max Positive16.0%20.1%34.3%
Max Negative-10.8%-14.7%-14.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024317202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023305202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022308202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021