Main Street Capital (MAIN)
Market Price (7/5/2026): $52.06 | Market Cap: $4.7 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Main Street Capital (MAIN)
Market Price (7/5/2026): $52.06Market Cap: $4.7 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 7.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -0.7% Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 53% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.0x Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -47% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -31% Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 15.43 Key risksMAIN key risks include [1] deteriorating credit quality in its lower middle-market portfolio and [2] the erosion of its significant stock premium to Net Asset Value (NAV). |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 7.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -0.7% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 53% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.0x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -47% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -31% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 15.43 |
| Key risksMAIN key risks include [1] deteriorating credit quality in its lower middle-market portfolio and [2] the erosion of its significant stock premium to Net Asset Value (NAV). |
Qualitative Assessment
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Main Street Capital (MAIN) stock has remained largely at the same level since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Miss and Negative Market Reaction.
Main Street Capital reported its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings on May 7, 2026, falling short of analyst expectations on both the top and bottom lines. The company posted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.93, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.04 per share by 10.58%. Additionally, revenue came in at $140.1 million, which was below the anticipated $146.14 million. This modest miss triggered an initial negative market response, with the stock dropping 5.79% in after-hours trading following the announcement.
2. Net Fair Value Decrease in the Investment Portfolio.
During fiscal Q1 2026, Main Street Capital's investment portfolio experienced a significant net fair value decrease of $32.6 million. This was primarily driven by $50.6 million in net unrealized depreciation, which was only partially offset by $18.0 million in net realized gains. This downturn in portfolio valuation represented a material drag on the net increase in net assets from operations, standing in stark contrast to the $33.6 million net fair value increase reported in the comparable prior year period (fiscal Q1 2025).
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Main Street Capital (MAIN) stock has remained largely at the same level since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Miss and Negative Market Reaction.
Main Street Capital reported its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings on May 7, 2026, falling short of analyst expectations on both the top and bottom lines. The company posted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.93, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.04 per share by 10.58%. Additionally, revenue came in at $140.1 million, which was below the anticipated $146.14 million. This modest miss triggered an initial negative market response, with the stock dropping 5.79% in after-hours trading following the announcement.
2. Net Fair Value Decrease in the Investment Portfolio.
During fiscal Q1 2026, Main Street Capital's investment portfolio experienced a significant net fair value decrease of $32.6 million. This was primarily driven by $50.6 million in net unrealized depreciation, which was only partially offset by $18.0 million in net realized gains. This downturn in portfolio valuation represented a material drag on the net increase in net assets from operations, standing in stark contrast to the $33.6 million net fair value increase reported in the comparable prior year period (fiscal Q1 2025).
3. Consistent and Increasing Dividend Payouts.
Despite the earnings miss and portfolio valuation challenges, Main Street Capital's consistent and growing dividend declarations provided a stabilizing influence on the stock. The company announced regular monthly dividends totaling $0.78 per share for fiscal Q2 2026 (April, May, and June), marking a 4.0% increase over fiscal Q2 2025. Furthermore, a supplemental dividend of $0.30 per share was declared payable in June 2026, derived from undistributed taxable income as of March 31, 2026. These payouts supported an attractive annualized current yield of 7.9% based on the May 4, 2026, closing price of $55.76, likely appealing to income-focused investors and providing a floor for the stock's price.
4. Neutral Analyst Sentiment and Range-Bound Price Targets.
Analyst coverage of Main Street Capital during the period reflected a largely "Hold" consensus rating as of June 30, 2026. A median price target of $56.00, with a range spanning from $50.00 to $70.00, was provided by three Wall Street analysts as of June 27, 2026. While the median target implied a modest 9.8% upside from the stock's trading price of $51.01 on that date, the most conservative target suggested a 2.0% downside. This mixed analyst outlook, with a lack of strong conviction towards either buying or selling, likely contributed to the stock's trend of remaining largely at the same level.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 0.1% change in MAIN stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 16.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 51.89 | 51.96 | 0.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 592 | 526 | -11.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 83.4% | 81.1% | -2.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.4 | 11.0 | 16.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 90 | 91 | -0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.1% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MAIN | 0.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.5% | 23.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | 12.7% | 37.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -10.5% change in MAIN stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -15.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 58.09 | 51.96 | -10.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 623 | 526 | -15.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 86.1% | 81.1% | -5.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.7 | 11.0 | 13.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 90 | 91 | -1.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -10.5% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MAIN | -10.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.5% | 38.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 2.1% | 45.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -5.4% change in MAIN stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 54.92 | 51.96 | -5.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 608 | 526 | -13.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 85.1% | 81.1% | -4.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.4 | 11.0 | 17.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 89 | 91 | -2.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -5.4% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MAIN | -5.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 21.6% | 38.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 7.5% | 45.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 65.2% change in MAIN stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 54.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 31.45 | 51.96 | 65.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 339 | 526 | 54.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 75.4% | 81.1% | 7.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.8 | 11.0 | 13.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 80 | 91 | -12.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 65.2% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MAIN | 65.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.0% | 52.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 72.4% | 55.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MAIN Return | 48% | -11% | 28% | 47% | 11% | -10% | 146% |
| Peers Return | 32% | -9% | 35% | 21% | -2% | -12% | 69% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MAIN Win Rate | 75% | 33% | 67% | 83% | 58% | 57% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 75% | 48% | 70% | 75% | 57% | 49% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MAIN Max Drawdown | -12% | -27% | -10% | -10% | -21% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -27% | -14% | -12% | -23% | -22% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ARCC, FSK, HTGC, OBDC, TSLX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/2/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MAIN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 92 days | 79 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 137 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -64.4% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 180.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 380 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -13.4% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.5% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 43 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -10.1% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.3% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 9 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -15.2% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 17.9% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 23 days | 15 days |
In The Past
Main Street Capital's stock fell -21.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 26.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | MAIN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 92 days | 79 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 137 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -64.4% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 180.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 380 days | 140 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -28.6% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.1% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 143 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Main Street Capital's stock fell -21.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 26.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Main Street Capital (MAIN)
Main Street Capital (MAIN) is a private equity firm that provides financing solutions primarily to lower middle market companies. The firm acts as a "one-stop shop" for entrepreneurs, business owners, and management teams seeking capital, often partnering with them to facilitate growth and strategic transactions.
MAIN's main products are a combination of equity and debt capital. For lower middle market companies, it offers equity investments for various purposes such as recapitalizations, management buyouts, refinancing, and industry consolidation. Additionally, it provides debt capital to middle market companies to support acquisitions, growth financing, and other strategic initiatives. Equity stakes can range from a minority 5% to a majority 50%.
The firm targets lower middle market companies typically with annual revenues between $5 million and $300 million and annual EBITDA between $1 million and $20 million. Equity investments typically range from $2 million to $75 million, while debt investments are between $5 million and $50 million per transaction. Main Street Capital invests across a very diverse range of industries, including technology, healthcare, consumer services, industrial services, and energy, among many others.
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Here are a few analogies for Main Street Capital (MAIN):
1. It's like a Blackstone or KKR, but focused on providing both loans and equity to smaller, established private companies rather than multi-billion dollar deals.
2. Think of it as a specialized bank for medium-sized businesses that not only provides loans but also takes ownership stakes, acting as a "one-stop shop" for their growth financing needs.
3. It's like a professional "Shark Tank" for businesses that have moved beyond the startup phase but are still too small for the massive private equity funds or traditional investment banks.
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- Equity Investments: Provides equity capital to lower middle market companies for purposes such as recapitalizations, management buyouts, and refinancing.
- Debt Investments: Offers debt capital to middle market companies to finance acquisitions, growth, management buyouts, and recapitalizations.
- One-Stop Financing Solutions: Delivers integrated financing packages that combine both equity and debt capital, simplifying the funding process for portfolio companies.
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Main Street Capital (MAIN) is a private equity firm that provides debt and equity capital to lower middle market and middle market companies. Therefore, its "customers" are the private companies in which it invests and to which it lends capital.
Given the nature of its business, Main Street Capital does not have "major customers" in the traditional sense that a company selling products or services would have. Instead, it has a diversified portfolio of private companies across various industries. These portfolio companies are typically private entities and are not publicly traded, thus they do not have public stock symbols.
Therefore, it is not possible to list specific names or symbols of major customer companies for Main Street Capital.
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Dwayne Hyzak, Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Hyzak has served as Chief Executive Officer of Main Street Capital since November 2018. He joined Main Street in 2002, becoming one of the founding members of the firm. Prior to his CEO role, Mr. Hyzak held several other executive positions at Main Street, including President (2015-2018), Chief Operating Officer (2014-2018), and Chief Financial Officer (2011-2014). Before joining Main Street, he was a Director of Acquisitions and Integration with Quanta Services, Inc. (NYSE: PWR), focusing on mergers and acquisitions and corporate finance. Earlier in his career, Mr. Hyzak was a Manager at Arthur Andersen LLP in its Transaction Advisory Services group.
Ryan R. Nelson, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Nelson was promoted to Chief Financial Officer of Main Street Capital, effective August 12, 2024. He previously served as the company's Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer and Assistant Treasurer since March 2023, and as Vice President of Finance since December 2022. Mr. Nelson began his career at KPMG LLP.
David Magdol, President and Chief Investment Officer
Mr. Magdol has served as Main Street's President since November 2018 and as Chief Investment Officer and Senior Managing Director since August 2011. He is responsible for the firm's investment operations, including originating and executing new investments for the lower middle market investment team. Before joining Main Street, Mr. Magdol managed a portfolio of private equity investments for the McMullen Group, a private investment firm. He started his career in the structured finance services group of JP Morgan Chase.
Jesse Morris, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Morris joined Main Street Capital in July 2019 and serves as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, with management responsibility over the firm's internal operations. He also served as the company's Chief Financial Officer from 2021 until 2024. Prior to joining Main Street, Mr. Morris held various roles of increasing responsibility with Quanta Services, Inc.
Vincent Foster, Chairman of the Board
Mr. Foster has served as Chairman of Main Street Capital's Board since 2007. He previously held the role of Chief Executive Officer from 2007 until 2018 and also served as President from 2012 until 2015. Mr. Foster was a co-founder and co-managing partner of several Main Street predecessor funds and entities from 1997 until 2021. Before his involvement with Main Street, he had a 19-year career with Arthur Andersen, where he was a partner and directed its Corporate Finance and Mergers and Acquisitions practice for the Southwest United States. Mr. Foster also served as a founding director of Quanta Services, Inc. (NYSE: PWR) from its IPO in 1998 until 2025, and as a director for U.S. Concrete, Inc. and Carriage Services, Inc.
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Key Risks to Main Street Capital (MAIN)
- Credit Risk and Portfolio Company Defaults: Main Street Capital, as a Business Development Company (BDC), invests in debt and equity securities of lower middle market and middle market companies, many of which are privately held and may have limited financial resources. These portfolio companies carry a higher risk of defaulting on their loans or underperforming, directly impacting Main Street Capital's investment income and net asset value. This is evidenced by discussions of "portfolio company credit and investment risk" and the potential for increased "non-accruals" within the portfolio.
- Interest Rate Fluctuations: Main Street Capital utilizes borrowed money to finance its investments, exposing it to significant interest rate risk. Changes in prevailing interest rates can affect the company's borrowing costs, reducing its net investment income. While floating-rate loans in its portfolio can offer some protection in a rising rate environment, a decline in interest rates can also mechanically shrink net investment income and threaten dividend coverage.
- Valuation Risk and Illiquidity of Investments: A substantial portion of Main Street Capital's investment portfolio consists of illiquid investments in private companies, which are recorded at fair value. The subjective nature of valuing these private investments introduces uncertainty regarding their true worth, potentially leading to fluctuations in the company's reported net asset value. Furthermore, the illiquid nature of these assets can make it challenging for Main Street Capital to exit investments or raise cash quickly, especially during unfavorable market conditions.
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Main Street Capital (MAIN) operates within two primary addressable markets in the U.S.: providing equity capital to lower middle market companies and offering debt capital to middle market companies.
U.S. Lower Middle Market Equity Capital
The addressable market for Main Street Capital's equity capital investments targets lower middle market companies. This segment in the U.S. includes approximately 33 million small businesses with annual revenues typically ranging between $10 million and $100 million. These companies represent a significant majority, accounting for 99.9% of all U.S. businesses.
U.S. Middle Market Debt Capital
The addressable market for Main Street Capital's debt capital investments focuses on middle market companies. The U.S. middle market encompasses nearly 200,000 businesses. The broader U.S. private credit market, which includes direct lending to these middle market companies, was estimated to be approximately $1.3 trillion as of October 2025. More specifically, U.S. direct lending alone stood at around $1 trillion as of October 2025.
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Main Street Capital (MAIN) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key strategies centered on its investment activities and expanding asset management capabilities.
One primary driver of revenue growth is the **continued expansion of its investment portfolio within the lower middle market and private loan strategies**. Main Street Capital consistently aims to grow its investments in income-producing debt and equity, which directly contributes to increased interest and dividend income. The company has highlighted its strong liquidity position and conservative leverage profile, positioning it well for sustained growth in its investment portfolio. Analysts have also noted the improved private loan pipeline as a factor in future performance.
Another significant factor is the **robust performance of its portfolio companies, leading to higher dividend income and realized capital gains from equity investments**. Main Street Capital's strategy involves providing equity capital to lower middle market companies, and the underlying strength and favorable performance of these businesses are expected to generate consistent dividend income and opportunities for meaningful realized gains when investments are successfully exited. These gains contribute directly to revenue and can also be reinvested for further growth.
The **growth and diversification of its Asset Management Business (AMB)** represent a third expected driver of revenue. This segment provides additional income and is primarily fueled by Main Street Capital's private loan investment strategy. Initiatives like the MSC Income Fund, which co-invests in the private loan strategy, are expected to generate increased management fees as the fund grows. Furthermore, the company is actively fundraising for a second private loan fund, which is anticipated to further expand the benefits derived from its external investment manager.
A fourth driver relates to a **favorable interest rate environment impacting its debt investments**. As a significant provider of debt capital, Main Street Capital's interest income is directly influenced by prevailing interest rates. While there can be fluctuations, a stable or ascending interest rate environment, or at least a moderation in rate decreases, would positively impact the interest income generated from its substantial portfolio of debt investments.
Finally, **increased fee income from new and follow-on investment origination and other related activities** is expected to contribute to revenue growth. Higher closing fees generated from the successful execution of new and additional investments in its portfolio companies represent a direct revenue stream that complements its interest and dividend income. This indicates that a healthy level of transactional activity will continue to be a revenue driver for the firm.
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Share Issuance
- Main Street Capital's shares outstanding significantly increased over the last few years, with a 5.97% rise in 2024, a 9.98% increase in 2023, and an 8.01% increase in 2022.
- The company issued shares through various mechanisms, including an at-the-market (ATM) equity issuance program, its dividend reinvestment plan, and equity incentive plans, which collectively contributed to a 4.7% increase in weighted-average shares outstanding in Q4 2024 compared to Q4 2023.
- Proceeds from public offerings of common stock, net of offering costs, included approximately $203.7 million in 2022 (ending Aug 31), $98.9 million in 2023, $205.7 million in 2022 (ending Dec 31), and $212.4 million in 2021 (ending Dec 31).
Inbound Investments
- Main Street Capital increased total commitments under its multi-year revolving credit facility, as noted in February 2026.
- The firm issued various notes to raise capital, including those in January 2021, October 2021, December 2022, February 2023, June 2024, and September 2024.
- As of December 31, 2024, Main Street Capital had $350.0 million of outstanding Small Business Investment Company ("SBIC") debentures, which are guaranteed by the U.S. Small Business Administration.
Outbound Investments
- In the full year 2025, Main Street Capital completed $701.6 million in total lower middle market (LMM) portfolio investments, which included $482.2 million invested in 13 new portfolio companies.
- For the full year 2024, the company completed $300.0 million in total LMM portfolio investments, with $241.0 million directed to five new portfolio companies, and an additional $231.4 million in total private loan portfolio investments.
- Main Street Capital specializes in providing "one-stop" debt and equity capital solutions to lower middle market companies (typically with annual revenues between $10 million and $150 million) and debt capital to middle market companies (generally with annual revenues between $25 million and $500 million).
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 16.62 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.8 |
| Rev LTM | 439 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 32 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 27 |
| CFO LTM | 32 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 27 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -24.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 20.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | -74.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -20.5% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -31.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -0.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -31.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -0.7% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $51.96 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 4.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/09/2007 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -17.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $51.77 | $55.52 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 0.4% | -6.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 30.4% | 24.9% |
| Downside Capture | 55.13 | 94.10 |
| Upside Capture | 32.01 | 62.69 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 24.3% | 38.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.25 | 0.19 | 0.58 | 0.77 | 0.77 | 0.71 |
| Up Beta | -0.43 | 0.23 | 1.03 | 0.83 | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| Down Beta | 0.10 | 0.25 | 0.13 | 0.83 | 0.82 | 0.85 |
| Up Capture | 66% | -7% | 31% | 47% | 55% | 38% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 18 | 31 | 57 | 123 | 409 |
| Down Capture | 34% | 38% | 59% | 93% | 96% | 84% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 23 | 32 | 67 | 126 | 332 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MAIN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAIN | -5.7% | 24.9% | -0.28 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 6.9% | 14.7% | 0.24 | 45.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.7% | 12.5% | 1.29 | 38.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.1% | 27.7% | 0.73 | 8.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 21.3% | 18.6% | 0.90 | -5.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.6% | 13.8% | 0.68 | 26.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -42.0% | 42.7% | -1.15 | 28.6% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MAIN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAIN | 12.7% | 21.5% | 0.49 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 10.6% | 18.6% | 0.44 | 58.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.3% | 17.1% | 0.60 | 58.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.9% | 18.3% | 0.79 | 7.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.9% | 19.5% | 0.25 | 13.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.1% | 18.9% | 0.06 | 49.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.2% | 53.8% | 0.41 | 28.3% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MAIN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAIN | 13.0% | 27.3% | 0.48 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.7% | 22.2% | 0.56 | 61.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 59.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.1% | 0.61 | 6.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.7% | 18.0% | 0.25 | 22.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.5% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 58.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 59.0% | 66.2% | 0.99 | 18.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/10/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -4.1% | -10.0% | -8.4% |
| 2/26/2026 | -2.2% | 0.4% | -10.4% |
| 1/8/2026 | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| 11/7/2025 | 0.0% | -0.5% | 7.7% |
| 8/7/2025 | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| 5/8/2025 | -0.2% | 1.8% | 10.4% |
| 2/27/2025 | 3.2% | -3.4% | -2.9% |
| 1/10/2025 | 0.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 17 | 17 | 15 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% |
| Median Negative | -0.9% | -3.4% | -3.2% |
| Max Positive | 4.3% | 6.1% | 10.6% |
| Max Negative | -4.1% | -10.0% | -10.4% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -4.1% | -10.0% | -8.4% |
| 2/26/2026 | -2.2% | 0.4% | -10.4% |
| 1/8/2026 | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| 11/7/2025 | 0.0% | -0.5% | 7.7% |
| 8/7/2025 | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| 5/8/2025 | -0.2% | 1.8% | 10.4% |
| 2/27/2025 | 3.2% | -3.4% | -2.9% |
| 1/10/2025 | 0.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% |
| 11/7/2024 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 7.7% |
| 8/8/2024 | -0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| 5/9/2024 | -2.7% | -4.2% | -3.2% |
| 2/22/2024 | -0.9% | -0.1% | 1.8% |
| 11/2/2023 | 1.2% | 1.1% | 4.7% |
| 8/3/2023 | -0.7% | -4.0% | -4.3% |
| 5/4/2023 | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% |
| 2/23/2023 | 2.0% | 4.9% | -1.3% |
| 11/3/2022 | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 8/4/2022 | 2.0% | -3.0% | -8.5% |
| 5/5/2022 | 2.1% | -6.9% | -2.8% |
| 2/25/2022 | 3.4% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| 11/5/2021 | 0.8% | 0.6% | -2.5% |
| 8/6/2021 | 0.7% | 2.6% | -1.2% |
| 5/7/2021 | -0.8% | -2.7% | 0.7% |
| 2/26/2021 | 2.7% | 4.1% | 10.6% |
| 11/5/2020 | -2.0% | 4.6% | 8.7% |
| 8/6/2020 | 3.5% | 6.0% | -3.2% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 17 | 17 | 15 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% |
| Median Negative | -0.9% | -3.4% | -3.2% |
| Max Positive | 4.3% | 6.1% | 10.6% |
| Max Negative | -4.1% | -10.0% | -10.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/28/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/10/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/23/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/28/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/10/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/23/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/06/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/25/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/06/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/07/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/26/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/06/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/07/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/08/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/28/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/08/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/09/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 6/1/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Regular Monthly Dividends | 0.78 | 0 | Same New | Actual: 0.78 for Q1 2026 | |||
| Q2 2026 Supplemental Dividend | 0.3 | 0 | Same New | Actual: 0.3 for Q1 2026 | |||
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Asset Management & Custody Banks Resources |
| Pensions & Investments |
| Institutional Investor |
| Ignites |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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