Tearsheet

JFB Construction (JFB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $17.16 | Market Cap: $159.1 Mil
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: Real Estate Development

JFB Construction (JFB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $17.16
Market Cap: $159.1 Mil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Real Estate Development

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more.
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -2.6 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -10%
1  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 227%
2  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -26%
3  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%
4  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.0%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more.
1 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -2.6 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -10%
2 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 227%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -26%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.0%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

JFB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate 184% stock movement for JFB Construction (symbol: JFB) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Significant Contract Wins and Project Initiations: JFB Construction Holdings announced over $69.5 million in new contracts in 2025, spanning various sectors like hospitality, commercial retail, industrial, and high-end residential development. A notable achievement within this period was securing an $18.8 million contract to serve as the general contractor for a public high school project in DeSoto County, Florida. Construction for this project was slated to begin in mid-October 2025, with an immediate revenue impact expected in Q4 2025, further bolstered by the approval and issuance of an $18.9 million bond for the project.

2. Substantial Private Placement Investment: On September 26, 2025, JFB Construction secured a significant $43.9 million Private Investment in Public Equity (PIPE) from American ventures. This substantial capital infusion would have greatly boosted the company's financial position and signaled strong investor confidence, acting as a major catalyst for stock appreciation during the period.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
JFB Return------ 
Peers Return27%26%-29%59%3%17%116%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
JFB Win Rate-----71% 
Peers Win Rate47%50%30%53%38%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
JFB Max Drawdown------ 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-5%-39%-4%-23%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JOE, FOR, AXR, HHH, FPH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

JFB has limited trading history. Below is the Real Estate sector ETF (XLRE) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLRES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-37.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven61.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven393 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-13.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven15.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven43 days120 days

Compare to


In The Past

Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (The)'s stock fell -37.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -37.9% loss requires a 61.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About JFB Construction (JFB)

Better Bets than JFB Construction (JFB)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1How Low Can JFB Construction Stock Really Go?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to JFB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.5%8.5%-5.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.5%8.5%-5.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for JFB Construction

Peers to compare with:

Financials

JFBJOEFORAXRHHHFPHMedian
NameJFB Cons.St. Joe Forestar Amrep Howard H.Five Poi. 
Mkt Price17.6461.8027.0822.0387.676.0724.55
Mkt Cap0.23.61.40.14.90.91.1
Rev LTM254891,543481,771194341
Op Inc LTM-3132202135412478
FCF LTM-3148-336953620978
FCF 3Y Avg-22-45121679422
CFO LTM-3176-335953820993
CFO 3Y Avg-125-43121709494

Growth & Margins

JFBJOEFORAXRHHHFPHMedian
NameJFB Cons.St. Joe Forestar Amrep Howard H.Five Poi. 
Rev Chg LTM4.3%26.9%2.3%-19.5%80.5%-1.5%3.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-19.4%0.9%-4.7%14.5%10.1%10.1%
Rev Chg Q-26.3%62.7%22.6%-6.5%-8.0%-20.7%-7.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-5.1%14.5%4.9%-2.5%-1.3%-1.8%-1.5%
Op Mgn LTM-10.4%27.1%13.1%27.4%30.6%12.3%20.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-24.2%14.3%18.6%26.2%9.4%18.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-10.0%3.5%-0.6%3.0%-0.9%-3.6%-0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-11.8%36.0%-21.7%18.7%30.4%107.8%24.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-29.9%-1.6%22.6%7.4%55.3%22.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-12.4%30.3%-21.8%17.6%30.3%107.8%23.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2.6%-1.7%21.9%7.1%55.3%7.1%

Valuation

JFBJOEFORAXRHHHFPHMedian
NameJFB Cons.St. Joe Forestar Amrep Howard H.Five Poi. 
Mkt Cap0.23.61.40.14.90.91.1
P/S2.55.90.72.32.14.72.4
P/EBIT-26.016.65.08.47.538.47.9
P/E-26.327.46.38.416.49.79.0
P/CFO-21.316.2-3.012.36.94.45.7
Total Yield-3.8%4.8%16.0%12.0%6.1%10.3%8.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.9%-4.6%11.7%-12.7%6.3%
D/E0.00.20.90.01.40.50.3
Net D/E-0.10.20.7-0.41.00.10.1

Returns

JFBJOEFORAXRHHHFPHMedian
NameJFB Cons.St. Joe Forestar Amrep Howard H.Five Poi. 
1M Rtn7.8%5.5%5.7%1.9%11.8%3.2%5.6%
3M Rtn145.7%26.3%-1.3%7.5%14.6%8.6%11.6%
6M Rtn227.3%38.4%38.3%9.8%29.8%6.9%34.1%
12M Rtn-24.0%-8.9%-40.5%1.7%50.6%1.7%
3Y Rtn-71.0%80.3%98.3%-149.8%89.3%
1M Excs Rtn7.9%5.5%5.7%2.0%11.9%3.3%5.6%
3M Excs Rtn140.3%18.1%-9.2%0.6%7.5%2.5%5.0%
6M Excs Rtn212.6%23.6%23.6%-4.9%15.1%-7.9%19.3%
12M Excs Rtn-8.8%-22.8%-52.4%-12.5%36.0%-12.5%
3Y Excs Rtn--0.1%14.3%21.6%-92.3%18.0%

Financials

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity29,415
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202541.2%
Average Daily Volume40,554
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity9,273,674
Short % of Basic Shares0.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
630202411082024S-1 6/30/2024
33120247192024DRS 3/31/2024
123120233072025424B3 12/31/2023