Tearsheet

IonQ (IONQ)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $48.28 | Market Cap: $14.2 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

IonQ (IONQ)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $48.28
Market Cap: $14.2 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 113%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -483 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -604%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Quantum Technologies. Themes include Quantum Computing Hardware, Quantum Software & Algorithms, and Quantum Computing as a Service.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 227x
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -311%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -332%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 93%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 119%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 113%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Quantum Technologies. Themes include Quantum Computing Hardware, Quantum Software & Algorithms, and Quantum Computing as a Service.
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -483 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -604%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 227x
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -311%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -332%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 93%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 119%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

IONQ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, IonQ (IONQ) experienced a 13.8% stock movement, influenced by several key developments in its financial performance, technological advancements, strategic partnerships, and analyst sentiment.

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: IonQ reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, recognizing revenue of $39.9 million, which was 37% above the high end of its guidance and represented a 222% year-over-year growth. The company also raised its full-year 2025 revenue expectations to between $106 million and $110 million.

2. Significant Technological Milestones Achieved: The company announced major technological breakthroughs, including achieving a world-record 99.99% two-qubit gate performance. Additionally, IonQ reached its 2025 technical milestone of #AQ 64 on its IonQ Tempo system three months ahead of schedule, which unlocks a significantly larger computational space.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
IONQ Return---79%259%237%12%181%
Peers Return27%35%-21%43%18%50%241%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
IONQ Win Rate-64%33%67%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate38%42%18%45%38%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
IONQ Max Drawdown---81%0%-47%-56% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20%-4%-25%-3%-5%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BGIN, VELO, AAPL, DELL, STX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventIONQS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-90.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven900.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven695 days464 days

Compare to BGIN, VELO, AAPL, DELL, STX


In The Past

IonQ's stock fell -90.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/17/2021. A -90.0% loss requires a 900.0% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About IonQ (IONQ)

Better Bets than IonQ (IONQ)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to IONQ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for IonQ

Peers to compare with:

Financials

IONQBGINVELOAAPLDELLSTXMedian
NameIonQ BGIN Blo.Velo3D Apple Dell Tec.Seagate . 
Mkt Price48.652.695.76284.15133.63258.6791.14
Mkt Cap14.3--4,234.790.655.673.1
Rev LTM80-44408,625101,4519,0979,097
Op Inc LTM-483--64130,2146,9131,9151,915
FCF LTM-265--1896,1844,860818818
FCF 3Y Avg-155--73100,5034,496703703
CFO LTM-248--18108,5657,4771,0831,083
CFO 3Y Avg-136--69111,5597,215981981

Growth & Margins

IONQBGINVELOAAPLDELLSTXMedian
NameIonQ BGIN Blo.Velo3D Apple Dell Tec.Seagate . 
Rev Chg LTM113.1%--4.3%6.0%10.5%38.9%10.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg107.6%-11.9%1.8%-1.3%-3.0%1.8%
Rev Chg Q221.5%-31.2%9.6%19.0%29.5%29.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM52.4%-8.0%2.1%4.9%6.5%6.5%
Op Mgn LTM-604.5%--147.1%31.9%6.8%21.1%6.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-602.1%--174.7%30.8%6.1%9.4%6.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM96.1%-32.5%0.1%0.1%1.8%1.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-310.8%--40.6%26.6%7.4%11.9%7.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-299.5%--106.9%28.4%7.5%12.9%7.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-331.7%--40.6%23.5%4.8%9.0%4.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-351.5%--111.2%25.6%4.7%9.2%4.7%

Valuation

IONQBGINVELOAAPLDELLSTXMedian
NameIonQ BGIN Blo.Velo3D Apple Dell Tec.Seagate . 
Mkt Cap14.3--4,234.790.655.673.1
P/S226.9--9.30.85.67.4
P/EBIT-37.5--29.111.127.719.4
P/E-12.4--38.216.934.525.7
P/CFO-73.0--35.011.146.923.0
Total Yield-8.1%--3.0%7.6%4.1%3.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%--0.4%1.7%1.2%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.5%--3.1%7.6%3.0%3.1%
D/E0.0--0.00.30.10.1
Net D/E-0.1--0.00.20.10.0

Returns

IONQBGINVELOAAPLDELLSTXMedian
NameIonQ BGIN Blo.Velo3D Apple Dell Tec.Seagate . 
1M Rtn-16.7%-31.6%19.3%5.7%-16.5%-2.6%-9.6%
3M Rtn18.7%-50.0%19.3%8.1%47.2%19.3%
6M Rtn22.7%--40.4%19.5%104.4%31.6%
12M Rtn48.4%--17.6%8.4%168.2%33.0%
3Y Rtn884.8%--95.1%219.4%440.0%329.7%
1M Excs Rtn-16.7%-31.5%19.3%5.7%-16.5%-2.6%-9.5%
3M Excs Rtn10.2%-52.5%13.3%0.5%35.7%13.3%
6M Excs Rtn8.0%--25.7%4.8%89.7%16.8%
12M Excs Rtn19.7%--6.7%-6.9%147.9%13.2%
3Y Excs Rtn812.0%--27.2%153.6%374.0%263.8%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity57,871,095
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202517.7%
Average Daily Volume27,010,188
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.14
Basic Shares Quantity294,524,786
Short % of Basic Shares19.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022330202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021328202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0TEUBER WILLIAM J JR 11132025Buy54.812,000109,630351,529Form

Industry Resources

Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources
The Verge
TechRadar
Tom’s Hardware
PCMag
CNET