Intercorp Financial Services (IFS)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $38.53 | Market Cap: $4.3 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
Intercorp Financial Services (IFS)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $38.53Market Cap: $4.3 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 38%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 33% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is 0.0% | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -497% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 38%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 33% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -497% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is 0.0% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
IFS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the 6.8% stock movement of Intercorp Financial Services (IFS) between July 31, 2025, and November 18, 2025:
1. Strong Q2 2025 Earnings Beat. Intercorp Financial Services reported robust second-quarter 2025 results on August 11, 2025, significantly surpassing analyst expectations for both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. The company's EPS of $5 was considerably higher than the forecasted $3.86, and its revenue of $1.68 billion also outperformed the anticipated $1.42 billion. This strong performance led to an immediate positive market reaction, with IFS shares rising by 4.14% post-announcement.
2. Favorable Peruvian Macroeconomic Environment. The company benefited from a positive economic outlook in Peru during the period. The central bank of Peru raised its economic growth forecast for 2025 to 3.2% (from 3.1%) in September, driven by stronger-than-expected non-primary sector activity and private spending. Additionally, GDP growth accelerated in the third quarter to approximately 3.5% year-over-year, with robust expansion in domestic demand, creating a supportive operating environment for financial services.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| IFS Return | -20% | -14% | -5% | -2% | 40% | 35% | 22% |
| Peers Return | -3% | 16% | -8% | -4% | -5% | 3% | -3% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| IFS Win Rate | 33% | 42% | 42% | 42% | 75% | 90% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 27% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 19% | 49% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| IFS Max Drawdown | -51% | -43% | -20% | -19% | -1% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -23% | -2% | -12% | -16% | -12% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | IFS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -48.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 238 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -55.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 124.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU
In The Past
Intercorp Financial Services's stock fell -48.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/19/2021. A -48.5% loss requires a 94.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to IFS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | BRO | Brown & Brown | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.2% | 1.2% | -4.2% |
| 10312025 | CPAY | Corpay | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.2% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| 10312025 | EEFT | Euronet Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.9% | -6.9% | -7.4% |
| 10312025 | GPN | Global Payments | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.7% | -4.7% | -4.7% |
| 10102025 | APO | Apollo Asset Management | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | BRO | Brown & Brown | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.2% | 1.2% | -4.2% |
| 10312025 | CPAY | Corpay | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.2% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| 10312025 | EEFT | Euronet Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.9% | -6.9% | -7.4% |
| 10312025 | GPN | Global Payments | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.7% | -4.7% | -4.7% |
| 10102025 | APO | Apollo Asset Management | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Intercorp Financial Services
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 15.27 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.3 |
| Rev LTM | 180 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | -2 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 16 |
| CFO LTM | 0 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 18 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 19.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 6.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.3 |
| P/S | 2.0 |
| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | 8.9 |
| P/CFO | 4.4 |
| Total Yield | 17.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| D/E | 1.5 |
| Net D/E | -2.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 6.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 13.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 14.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 49.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 1.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -1.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -31.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4252025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8152024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5142024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4262024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 4252023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8162022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 4252022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11092021 | 6-K 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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