Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
Key risks
NU key risks include [1] a Brazilian regulatory challenge to its "Nubank" brand identity that requires it to secure a banking license, Show more.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, CFO LTM is 4.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.7 Bil
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
 
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
 
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, CFO LTM is 4.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.7 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
4 Key risks
NU key risks include [1] a Brazilian regulatory challenge to its "Nubank" brand identity that requires it to secure a banking license, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NU Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

I am unable to provide specific reasons for stock movements for the period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, as this timeframe is in the future. My capabilities are limited to providing information based on historical data up to my last training update. Therefore, I cannot identify key points for a stock movement that has not yet occurred.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NU Return-57%105%24%56%
Peers Return-62%149%-4%51%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NU Win Rate42%75%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate41%37%57%35%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NU Max Drawdown-65%-14%-3%-7% 
Peers Max Drawdown-69%-9%-42%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MELI, STNE, PAGS, SOFI, AFRM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNUS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-72.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven258.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven642 days464 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

Nu's stock fell -72.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/10/2021. A -72.1% loss requires a 258.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Nu (NU)

Better Bets than Nu (NU)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Nu

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NUMELISTNEPAGSSOFIAFRMMedian
NameNu MercadoL.StoneCo PagSegur.SoFi Tec.Affirm  
Mkt Price15.861,916.2814.409.3425.2772.0420.56
Mkt Cap77.597.23.82.929.625.127.3
Rev LTM9,60026,19314,53319,5213,3223,45912,066
Op Inc LTM-3,1326,9797,065-5405,056
FCF LTM3,6668,610-1,5372,803-3,1797691,786
FCF 3Y Avg1,9686,370-1,727600-4,671361481
CFO LTM4,0409,831-3345,034-2,9519722,506
CFO 3Y Avg2,1887,169-5552,726-4,5065271,357

Growth & Margins

NUMELISTNEPAGSSOFIAFRMMedian
NameNu MercadoL.StoneCo PagSegur.SoFi Tec.Affirm  
Rev Chg LTM22.3%36.9%23.5%10.9%34.0%37.0%28.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg62.1%39.5%21.3%10.6%33.4%34.4%33.9%
Rev Chg Q30.2%39.5%16.0%4.5%38.6%33.6%31.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.1%8.7%3.3%1.1%8.8%7.3%7.2%
Op Mgn LTM-12.0%48.0%36.2%-15.6%25.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-13.1%48.3%34.5%--13.4%23.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.3%0.4%1.6%-5.1%1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM42.1%37.5%-2.3%25.8%-88.8%28.1%26.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg21.7%35.9%-4.0%15.6%-204.8%17.8%16.7%
FCF/Rev LTM38.2%32.9%-10.6%14.4%-95.7%22.2%18.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg18.7%32.1%-13.5%3.4%-211.1%11.2%7.3%

Valuation

NUMELISTNEPAGSSOFIAFRMMedian
NameNu MercadoL.StoneCo PagSegur.SoFi Tec.Affirm  
Mkt Cap77.597.23.82.929.625.127.3
P/S8.14.50.30.19.37.45.9
P/EBIT-39.84.8--37.837.8
P/E30.657.0-4.61.348.3109.239.5
P/CFO19.212.1-15.00.6-10.526.26.3
Total Yield3.3%1.8%-22.0%82.6%2.1%0.9%1.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%6.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.7%-46.6%--50.4%1.6%-22.5%
D/E-0.13.2-0.10.30.2
Net D/E-0.01.7--0.10.20.1

Returns

NUMELISTNEPAGSSOFIAFRMMedian
NameNu MercadoL.StoneCo PagSegur.SoFi Tec.Affirm  
1M Rtn1.7%-6.9%-10.8%-0.3%-6.5%5.7%-3.4%
3M Rtn-0.6%-21.7%-24.3%-11.1%-6.9%-20.3%-15.7%
6M Rtn29.6%-20.2%-3.1%3.7%64.5%16.8%10.3%
12M Rtn35.6%5.9%65.3%44.0%51.7%1.6%39.8%
3Y Rtn306.7%127.1%60.2%26.6%444.6%611.9%216.9%
1M Excs Rtn0.9%-7.6%-11.6%-1.1%-7.3%4.9%-4.2%
3M Excs Rtn-2.2%-24.0%-26.3%-12.4%-11.5%-21.2%-16.8%
6M Excs Rtn17.2%-32.6%-15.5%-8.6%52.1%4.4%-2.1%
12M Excs Rtn21.8%-6.0%48.6%27.2%44.4%-9.2%24.5%
3Y Excs Rtn226.1%49.3%-16.9%-57.6%399.4%418.7%137.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Monitoring operations, making decisions on fund allocation, and evaluating performance5,6322,9711,145360
Total5,6322,9711,145360


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity101,595,694
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520250.4%
Average Daily Volume44,024,733
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.31
Basic Shares Quantity4,838,814,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

Returns Analyses

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025111320256-K 9/30/2025
630202581420256-K 6/30/2025
331202551320256-K 3/31/2025
12312024416202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024111320246-K 9/30/2024
630202481320246-K 6/30/2024
331202451420246-K 3/31/2024
12312023419202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023111420236-K 9/30/2023
630202381520236-K 6/30/2023
331202351520236-K 3/31/2023
12312022420202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022111420226-K 9/30/2022
630202281620226-K 6/30/2022
331202251620226-K 3/31/2022
12312021421202220-F 12/31/2021