Nu (NU)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $15.92 | Market Cap: $77.0 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
Nu (NU)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $15.92Market Cap: $77.0 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% | Key risksNU key risks include [1] a Brazilian regulatory challenge to its "Nubank" brand identity that requires it to secure a banking license, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, CFO LTM is 4.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.7 Bil | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, CFO LTM is 4.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.7 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology. |
| Key risksNU key risks include [1] a Brazilian regulatory challenge to its "Nubank" brand identity that requires it to secure a banking license, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NU Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
I am unable to provide specific reasons for stock movements for the period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, as this timeframe is in the future. My capabilities are limited to providing information based on historical data up to my last training update. Therefore, I cannot identify key points for a stock movement that has not yet occurred.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NU Return | � | � | -57% | 105% | 24% | 56% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | -62% | 149% | -4% | 51% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NU Win Rate | � | � | 42% | 75% | 58% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | 41% | 37% | 57% | 35% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NU Max Drawdown | � | � | -65% | -14% | -3% | -7% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | -69% | -9% | -42% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MELI, STNE, PAGS, SOFI, AFRM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NU | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -72.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 258.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 642 days | 464 days |
Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU
In The Past
Nu's stock fell -72.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/10/2021. A -72.1% loss requires a 258.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| How Low Can Nu Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| NU Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Time To Buy Nu Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| Fundamental Metrics: ... | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Large Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | December 3rd, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Nu
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 20.56 |
| Mkt Cap | 27.3 |
| Rev LTM | 12,066 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5,056 |
| FCF LTM | 1,786 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 481 |
| CFO LTM | 2,506 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,357 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 28.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 33.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 31.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 7.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 25.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 23.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 26.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 27.3 |
| P/S | 5.9 |
| P/EBIT | 37.8 |
| P/E | 39.5 |
| P/CFO | 6.3 |
| Total Yield | 1.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -22.5% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -15.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 10.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 39.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 216.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -16.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -2.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 24.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 137.7% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11132025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4162025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8132024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5142024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4192024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8152023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 4202023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8162022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5162022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 4212022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |