Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 4.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.3%, FCF Yield is 12%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.3%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -452%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -19%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -61%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 4.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.3%, FCF Yield is 12%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -452%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -19%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -61%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ATLO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Ames National (ATLO) stock moved by 10.9% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Report. Ames National Corporation announced robust earnings for the third quarter of 2025, reporting a significant increase in net income to $4.6 million, or $0.51 per share, compared to $2.2 million, or $0.25 per share, in the third quarter of 2024. This substantial growth was primarily attributed to a 26.8% increase in net interest income, an improvement in net interest margin to 2.83% from 2.21% in the prior year, and a decrease in noninterest expenses, leading to a much-improved efficiency ratio.

2. Announcement of a New Stock Repurchase Program. In August 2025, Ames National announced that its board had approved a new stock repurchase program. This program authorized the buyback of up to 200,000 shares of the company's common stock, signaling management's confidence in the company's valuation and potentially reducing the number of outstanding shares, which can positively impact earnings per share.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ATLO Return-10%6%1%-4%-19%36%1%
Peers Return-6%20%-17%21%2%16%34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ATLO Win Rate42%33%58%50%42%80% 
Peers Win Rate25%29%30%37%27%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ATLO Max Drawdown-38%-6%-8%-33%-21%-2% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-1%-27%-17%-11%-10% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CWBC, NEWT, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventATLOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-40.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-27.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-64.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven182.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to CWBC, NEWT, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

Ames National's stock fell -45.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/10/2021. A -45.0% loss requires a 81.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ames National (ATLO)

Better Bets than Ames National (ATLO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ATLO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ames National

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ATLOCWBCNEWTAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameAmes Nat.Communit.NewtekOneAvidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price21.9523.5311.3116.4715.0917.4416.95
Mkt Cap0.20.40.3--84.20.4
Rev LTM6014026990268,967115
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM2038-520-843,65712
FCF 3Y Avg1626-229-52,31716
CFO LTM2041-519-443,94112
CFO 3Y Avg1832-228-52,50618

Growth & Margins

ATLOCWBCNEWTAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameAmes Nat.Communit.NewtekOneAvidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM13.1%36.1%21.8%-2.1%23.7%21.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.3%20.1%31.6%-0.0%70.1%20.1%
Rev Chg Q19.4%22.2%20.7%-16.5%20.4%20.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.6%5.1%4.7%-4.0%5.0%4.7%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM33.7%29.3%-193.4%-4.2%17.4%44.0%23.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg31.7%29.1%-91.8%-19.2%37.8%29.1%
FCF/Rev LTM33.0%26.9%-193.4%-8.3%15.3%40.8%21.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg27.6%23.7%-91.9%-17.8%34.9%23.7%

Valuation

ATLOCWBCNEWTAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameAmes Nat.Communit.NewtekOneAvidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap0.20.40.3--84.20.4
P/S2.72.81.1--7.42.7
P/EBIT-------
P/E11.611.74.9--28.811.6
P/CFO7.99.7-0.6--16.88.8
Total Yield13.5%10.9%20.2%--3.5%12.2%
Dividend Yield4.9%2.3%0.0%--0.0%1.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.6%10.0%-76.1%--4.3%6.9%
D/E0.20.22.6--0.00.2
Net D/E-4.5-0.81.8---0.4-0.6

Returns

ATLOCWBCNEWTAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameAmes Nat.Communit.NewtekOneAvidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn5.5%11.0%9.4%7.2%7.0%8.1%7.6%
3M Rtn13.0%12.9%-6.0%9.1%13.4%17.0%12.9%
6M Rtn29.3%34.3%10.7%--46.1%31.8%
12M Rtn32.6%10.3%-14.3%--49.4%21.4%
3Y Rtn8.7%23.2%-24.8%--291.0%16.0%
1M Excs Rtn5.5%11.1%9.4%7.2%7.1%8.2%7.7%
3M Excs Rtn4.9%6.4%-12.1%1.3%9.3%11.9%5.7%
6M Excs Rtn14.6%19.6%-4.0%--31.3%17.1%
12M Excs Rtn21.1%-3.5%-30.2%--25.6%8.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-60.5%-49.3%-94.1%--240.5%-54.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Banking5463676554
Total5463676554


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity96,557
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120257.2%
Average Daily Volume14,420
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.70
Basic Shares Quantity8,900,515
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024312202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023308202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022310202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021311202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211108202110-Q 9/30/2021