Tearsheet

ICL (ICL)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $5.45 | Market Cap: $7.0 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals

ICL (ICL)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $5.45
Market Cap: $7.0 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 6.8%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -95%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.7%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Resource Efficiency Solutions, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 6.8%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Resource Efficiency Solutions, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -95%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.7%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

ICL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

I cannot provide information about future stock movements as my knowledge cutoff is always in the past. Therefore, I am unable to highlight key points for why the stock of ICL moved by -13.7% for the approximate time period from 7/31/2025 to today (November 18, 2025).

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ICL Return8%97%-17%-27%3%11%46%
Peers Return6%49%6%-22%-3%-3%24%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ICL Win Rate50%83%50%33%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate53%60%55%40%52%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ICL Max Drawdown-41%-1%-19%-32%-23%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-6%-13%-36%-17%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CF, FMC, IPI, CTVA, NTR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventICLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-62.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven169.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-41.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven270 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven612 days120 days

Compare to CF, FMC, IPI, CTVA, NTR


In The Past

ICL's stock fell -62.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/14/2022. A -62.9% loss requires a 169.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About ICL (ICL)

Better Bets than ICL (ICL)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ICL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-2.5%
SLGN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025SLGNSilganDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.6%-1.6%-1.6%
TGLS_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025TGLSTecnoglassDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-25.1%-25.1%-25.2%
NEM_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025NEMNewmontQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
5.3%5.3%-5.7%
RGLD_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025RGLDRoyal GoldQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.8%1.8%-7.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-2.5%
SLGN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025SLGNSilganDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.6%-1.6%-1.6%
TGLS_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025TGLSTecnoglassDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-25.1%-25.1%-25.2%
NEM_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025NEMNewmontQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
5.3%5.3%-5.7%
RGLD_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025RGLDRoyal GoldQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.8%1.8%-7.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for ICL

Financials

ICLCFFMCIPICTVANTRMedian
NameICL CF Indus.FMC Intrepid.Corteva Nutrien  
Mkt Price5.4180.6912.9524.9663.8856.9940.98
Mkt Cap7.013.01.60.343.427.710.0
Rev LTM6,9536,7363,60827817,46926,6246,844
Op Inc LTM7392,09743372,7163,5781,418
FCF LTM4761,710-409282,6692,1321,093
FCF 3Y Avg8311,574-4091,4212,4491,126
CFO LTM1,2942,633-318543,2194,1531,964
CFO 3Y Avg1,5912,60962611,9904,7891,790

Growth & Margins

ICLCFFMCIPICTVANTRMedian
NameICL CF Indus.FMC Intrepid.Corteva Nutrien  
Rev Chg LTM-1.2%12.6%-13.4%8.9%5.0%0.3%2.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-8.7%-13.5%-13.6%-6.1%0.8%-10.6%-9.7%
Rev Chg Q4.6%21.1%-49.1%-7.5%12.6%12.3%8.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.2%4.5%-12.7%-1.5%1.7%2.5%1.4%
Op Mgn LTM10.6%31.1%12.0%2.5%15.5%13.4%12.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg16.0%33.2%15.4%1.6%13.0%13.7%14.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%1.9%-4.8%0.9%0.9%2.0%0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM18.6%39.1%-8.8%19.6%18.4%15.6%18.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg21.0%38.5%1.2%22.3%11.6%17.0%19.0%
FCF/Rev LTM6.8%25.4%-11.3%10.0%15.3%8.0%9.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.8%22.3%-1.2%3.7%8.3%8.7%8.5%

Valuation

ICLCFFMCIPICTVANTRMedian
NameICL CF Indus.FMC Intrepid.Corteva Nutrien  
Mkt Cap7.013.01.60.343.427.710.0
P/S1.01.90.41.22.51.01.1
P/EBIT8.85.9736.91,236.717.38.613.1
P/E19.09.4-3.0-1.727.015.312.4
P/CFO5.44.9-5.16.013.56.75.7
Total Yield7.7%13.2%-24.0%-60.1%4.0%10.4%5.8%
Dividend Yield2.4%2.6%9.0%0.0%0.3%3.8%2.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.3%10.1%-2.1%2.3%3.2%9.0%6.1%
D/E0.40.32.80.00.10.50.3
Net D/E0.30.12.5-0.20.00.50.2

Returns

ICLCFFMCIPICTVANTRMedian
NameICL CF Indus.FMC Intrepid.Corteva Nutrien  
1M Rtn-13.9%-2.8%-56.0%-8.8%4.0%-0.7%-5.8%
3M Rtn-13.6%-3.9%-65.3%-11.7%-11.4%1.5%-11.5%
6M Rtn-17.4%-6.8%-66.6%-30.5%-6.7%0.2%-12.1%
12M Rtn25.4%-5.1%-74.8%-8.1%16.9%28.7%5.9%
3Y Rtn-23.5%-14.6%-88.6%-28.7%1.0%-17.0%-20.3%
1M Excs Rtn-14.0%-2.9%-56.1%-9.0%3.9%-0.9%-5.9%
3M Excs Rtn-17.6%-7.4%-69.9%-13.7%-15.6%-2.8%-14.6%
6M Excs Rtn-29.3%-18.7%-78.5%-42.3%-18.6%-11.7%-24.0%
12M Excs Rtn17.4%-13.9%-86.9%-20.4%0.5%15.5%-6.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-95.3%-88.6%-157.1%-98.5%-70.4%-87.1%-91.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Phosphate Solutions2,3502,9312,2541,9481,980
Potash2,1823,3131,7761,3461,494
Growing Solutions2,0732,4221,670  
Industrial Products1,2271,7661,6171,2551,318
Other activities172198283537
Reconciliations-468-615-390-272-275
Innovative Agriculture Solutions   731717
Total7,53610,0156,9555,0435,271


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Potash6681,822399120289
Phosphate Solutions35078529466100
Industrial Products220628435303338
Growing Solutions51378135  
Other activities-34-17-8-519
Reconciliations-37-87-61-15-7
Other expenses not allocated to the segments-77 16 -4
Other income not allocated to the segments 7 -307 
Innovative Agriculture Solutions   4021
Total1,1413,5161,210202756


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,924,960
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-9.4%
Average Daily Volume461,155
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.17
Basic Shares Quantity1,290,751,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202580620256-K 6/30/2025
331202551920256-K 3/31/2025
12312024313202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024111220246-K 9/30/2024
630202481420246-K 6/30/2024
331202450920246-K 3/31/2024
12312023314202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023110820236-K 9/30/2023
630202380920236-K 6/30/2023
331202351020236-K 3/31/2023
12312022228202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022110920226-K 9/30/2022
630202272720226-K 6/30/2022
331202251120226-K 3/31/2022
12312021223202220-F 12/31/2021
9302021110420216-K 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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