Integral Ad Science (IAS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $10.27 | Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Advertising
Integral Ad Science (IAS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $10.27Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Advertising
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% | ||
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.9% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Advertising, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.9% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Advertising, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
IAS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period for the stock movement analysis of Integral Ad Science (IAS), from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, is in the future. However, there are relevant reports from within and leading up to this approximate timeframe that discuss stock performance and significant company events.
1. Integral Ad Science announced strong second-quarter 2025 financial results on August 7, 2025, exceeding analyst expectations. The company reported a 16% year-over-year revenue increase to over $149 million and a more than doubled GAAP net income to $16.4 million ($0.10 per share). This performance led to a double-digit jump in the stock price the following day, beating the S&P 500 index. Integral Ad Science also raised its revenue guidance for the entirety of 2025 to between $597 million and $605 million.
2. Integral Ad Science entered into a definitive agreement to be acquired by private equity firm Novacap on September 24, 2025. This all-cash transaction valued IAS at approximately $1.9 billion, with Novacap acquiring all outstanding shares for $10.30 per share. The announcement caused IAS shares to surge nearly 20% in premarket trading.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| IAS Return | - | - | -60% | 64% | -27% | -2% | -54% |
| Peers Return | -34% | 67% | -48% | -44% | -68% | ||
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| IAS Win Rate | - | 33% | 33% | 58% | 42% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 50% | ||
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| IAS Max Drawdown | - | - | -70% | 0% | -42% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -45% | -1% | -56% | -51% | |||
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DV, EVON, KASH, LIAI, OCP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | IAS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -74.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 294.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to DV, EVON, KASH, LIAI, OCP
In The Past
Integral Ad Science's stock fell -74.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/11/2021. A -74.7% loss requires a 294.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to IAS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| 04302025 | IAS | Integral Ad Science | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 44.4% | 45.3% | 0.0% |
| 02292024 | IAS | Integral Ad Science | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.8% | 1.5% | -19.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| 04302025 | IAS | Integral Ad Science | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 44.4% | 45.3% | 0.0% |
| 02292024 | IAS | Integral Ad Science | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.8% | 1.5% | -19.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Integral Ad Science
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 10.54 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| Rev LTM | 662 |
| Op Inc LTM | 72 |
| FCF LTM | 137 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 107 |
| CFO LTM | 177 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 140 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 17.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 27.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 20.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| P/S | 2.8 |
| P/EBIT | 25.4 |
| P/E | 39.8 |
| P/CFO | 10.3 |
| Total Yield | 2.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -8.4% |
| 6M Rtn | -0.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -28.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -28.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -15.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -41.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -97.1% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3022023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5112022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3032022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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