Healthcare Services (HCSG)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $19.33 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services
Healthcare Services (HCSG)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $19.33Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Environmental & Facilities Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 58% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -23% | Key risksHCSG key risks include [1] substantial legal liability and reputational damage stemming from a recent data breach that compromised the personal and medical details of over 624,000 individuals. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Geriatric Care. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Geriatric Care. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -23% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 58% |
| Key risksHCSG key risks include [1] substantial legal liability and reputational damage stemming from a recent data breach that compromised the personal and medical details of over 624,000 individuals. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
HCSG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining Healthcare Services Group (HCSG) stock movement for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025:
1. Exceeded Q3 2025 Revenue and Earnings Expectations.
Healthcare Services Group reported strong third-quarter 2025 results on October 22, 2025, with revenue of $464.34 million, surpassing analyst expectations of $460.36 million. The company's diluted earnings per share reached $0.59, significantly higher than analyst estimates of $0.21, partly due to a $0.36 benefit from an Employee Retention Credit. This strong financial performance generated positive market reaction, including a 14% stock surge after the earnings report.
2. Strong Client Acquisition and Retention.
The company's growth was significantly driven by successful new client wins and high client retention rates, contributing to an 8.5% increase in revenue over the prior year and stable margins. This indicates healthy operational performance and sustained business demand.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HCSG Return | 20% | -35% | -29% | -14% | 12% | 65% | -11% |
| Peers Return | 8% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 17% | -1% | 52% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HCSG Win Rate | 75% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 54% | 52% | 56% | 65% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HCSG Max Drawdown | -26% | -39% | -29% | -25% | -13% | -19% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -49% | -10% | -18% | -14% | -8% | -12% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ARMK, ABM, CTAS, UNF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HCSG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -73.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 278.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 298 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -62.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 163.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -48.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 93.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 809 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to CWST, GEO, CECO, FTEK, YDDL
In The Past
Healthcare Services's stock fell -73.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/27/2021. A -73.6% loss requires a 278.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to HCSG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.0% | 18.0% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 3.6% | 3.6% | -0.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.0% | 18.0% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 3.6% | 3.6% | -0.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Healthcare Services
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 42.17 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.1 |
| Rev LTM | 8,746 |
| Op Inc LTM | 325 |
| FCF LTM | 158 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 171 |
| CFO LTM | 297 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 269 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.1 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/EBIT | 16.9 |
| P/E | 30.6 |
| P/CFO | 10.8 |
| Total Yield | 4.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -4.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 1.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 30.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -2.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -18.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -20.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -43.6% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/22/2025 | 13.8% | 16.1% | 4.1% |
| 7/23/2025 | 12.1% | 1.7% | 16.7% |
| 4/23/2025 | 29.5% | 49.1% | 54.1% |
| 2/12/2025 | -1.8% | -2.2% | -2.2% |
| 10/23/2024 | 2.8% | 7.1% | 10.7% |
| 7/24/2024 | -6.7% | -3.0% | -9.9% |
| 4/24/2024 | -6.1% | -11.1% | -5.0% |
| 2/14/2024 | 27.2% | 28.0% | 28.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 11 | 13 |
| # Negative | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 12.1% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| Median Negative | -6.7% | -5.4% | -17.0% |
| Max Positive | 29.5% | 49.1% | 54.1% |
| Max Negative | -16.2% | -23.8% | -21.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10242025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7252025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4252025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10252024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7262024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4262024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2162024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2172023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10212022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7222022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4222022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2182022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |