Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.7%, FCF Yield is 9.0%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Key risks
HBT key risks include [1] heightened credit risk from its concentration in small to mid-sized business clients and [2] execution risks tied to its growth-through-acquisitions strategy, Show more.
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -74%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -5.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -16%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.7%, FCF Yield is 9.0%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -74%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -5.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -16%
6 Key risks
HBT key risks include [1] heightened credit risk from its concentration in small to mid-sized business clients and [2] execution risks tied to its growth-through-acquisitions strategy, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HBT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. HBT Financial announced strong Third Quarter 2025 financial results on October 20, 2025. The company reported net income of $19.8 million, or $0.63 diluted EPS, with adjusted net income reaching $20.5 million, or $0.65 adjusted EPS, beating analysts' consensus estimates for earnings per share. Key profitability metrics included a return on average assets (ROAA) of 1.56% and return on average stockholders' equity (ROAE) of 13.31%. The stock price was pushed up by over 4% on the day these results were published.

2. A definitive merger agreement with CNB Bank Shares, Inc. was jointly announced on October 20, 2025. This strategic transaction, valued at approximately $170.2 million, is expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, subject to shareholder and regulatory approvals. The combined company is projected to have approximately $6.9 billion in total assets and $5.9 billion in total deposits. News of this merger contributed to HBT's stock rising more than 4% pre-bell on the announcement day.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HBT Return-17%28%8%12%8%27%76%
Peers Return-11%29%1%-1%21%8%49%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HBT Win Rate58%67%50%58%33%67% 
Peers Win Rate53%68%47%45%52%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HBT Max Drawdown-52%-3%-12%-13%-13%-5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-2%-16%-32%-7%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WTFC, ONB, CBSH, ASB, BUSE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHBTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-27.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven38.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven434 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-54.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven118.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven949 days148 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

HBT Financial's stock fell -27.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/6/2023. A -27.8% loss requires a 38.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About HBT Financial (HBT)

Better Bets than HBT Financial (HBT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HBT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for HBT Financial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HBTWTFCONBCBSHASBBUSEMedian
NameHBT Fina.Wintrust.Old Nati.Commerce.Associat.First Bu. 
Mkt Price26.98141.1722.9953.1726.3625.2026.67
Mkt Cap0.89.58.97.44.42.25.9
Rev LTM2342,6502,3241,7391,1536361,446
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM711,113729189563157376
FCF 3Y Avg75760563448464163456
CFO LTM781,150758242605173423
CFO 3Y Avg80815596512515173513

Growth & Margins

HBTWTFCONBCBSHASBBUSEMedian
NameHBT Fina.Wintrust.Old Nati.Commerce.Associat.First Bu. 
Rev Chg LTM6.4%11.2%24.9%5.9%5.8%40.1%8.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.5%13.2%20.7%6.2%1.1%14.8%12.4%
Rev Chg Q6.4%13.3%45.1%5.6%17.7%65.7%15.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.6%3.2%10.4%1.4%5.3%13.9%4.2%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM33.5%43.4%32.6%13.9%52.5%27.1%33.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg35.7%33.2%29.0%31.2%43.5%34.5%33.9%
FCF/Rev LTM30.4%42.0%31.4%10.9%48.8%24.7%30.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg33.5%30.9%27.3%27.3%39.2%32.6%31.8%

Valuation

HBTWTFCONBCBSHASBBUSEMedian
NameHBT Fina.Wintrust.Old Nati.Commerce.Associat.First Bu. 
Mkt Cap0.89.58.97.44.42.25.9
P/S3.43.33.74.23.73.23.5
P/EBIT-------
P/E10.111.314.113.224.120.113.6
P/CFO10.17.711.330.57.011.910.7
Total Yield9.9%8.9%7.1%9.6%7.8%5.0%8.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%2.0%3.6%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.1%11.6%9.5%5.7%14.1%11.5%11.3%
D/E0.10.50.80.00.90.10.3
Net D/E-0.7-0.50.5-0.70.6-0.1-0.3

Returns

HBTWTFCONBCBSHASBBUSEMedian
NameHBT Fina.Wintrust.Old Nati.Commerce.Associat.First Bu. 
1M Rtn17.6%14.4%17.0%9.3%10.2%13.7%14.0%
3M Rtn5.5%5.8%5.3%-5.3%2.6%4.0%4.6%
6M Rtn16.3%19.9%13.8%-6.7%17.3%14.5%15.4%
12M Rtn21.2%10.1%5.5%-14.8%9.0%2.4%7.2%
3Y Rtn53.9%85.7%47.5%-4.1%35.4%18.1%41.5%
1M Excs Rtn16.9%13.6%16.2%8.6%9.5%12.9%13.3%
3M Excs Rtn1.3%2.3%1.2%-8.2%-1.1%-0.0%0.6%
6M Excs Rtn3.9%7.5%1.4%-19.1%4.9%2.1%3.0%
12M Excs Rtn8.1%-1.9%-6.4%-26.9%-4.0%-10.6%-5.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-16.1%6.0%-29.0%-76.0%-39.5%-54.5%-34.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment226180158  
Community Banking   150164
Total226180158150164


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity106,290
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.0%
Average Daily Volume39,134
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.72
Basic Shares Quantity31,481,135
Short % of Basic Shares0.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/20/20254.2%6.0%-2.0%
7/21/20254.1%1.5%0.1%
4/21/20251.5%6.4%12.1%
1/22/2025-0.0%7.6%13.9%
10/21/2024-5.7%-6.5%6.7%
7/22/20242.4%5.1%-4.9%
4/22/20242.2%2.0%7.4%
1/24/2024-0.9%1.2%-4.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive171618
# Negative897
Median Positive2.0%5.0%8.3%
Median Negative-0.7%-4.0%-4.8%
Max Positive4.3%10.9%13.9%
Max Negative-5.7%-6.5%-14.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024307202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023306202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022308202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021311202210-K 12/31/2021