Tearsheet

Wintrust Financial (WTFC)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $140.77 | Market Cap: $9.4 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

Wintrust Financial (WTFC)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $140.77
Market Cap: $9.4 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7%, FCF Yield is 13%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8%
 
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -54%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -3.4%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7%, FCF Yield is 13%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -54%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -3.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WTFC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Wintrust Financial reported strong third-quarter 2025 earnings that surpassed analyst expectations. The company announced its Q3 2025 results around October 21, 2025, with an adjusted earnings per share of $3.06, significantly beating the analyst consensus of $2.71. Revenue also exceeded estimates, reaching $697.8 million against a forecast of $689.4 million. This positive earnings surprise led to a 1.22% rise in the stock after hours following the announcement.

2. The company achieved record net income and demonstrated robust loan growth in Q3 2025. Wintrust Financial recorded a net income of $216 million for the quarter, marking a third consecutive quarterly record and an 11% increase quarter-over-quarter. Total loans grew approximately 11% year-to-date, reaching $52 billion, driven by broad-based loan growth.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WTFC Return-12%51%-6%12%37%16%123%
Peers Return-9%23%-14%7%8%11%24%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WTFC Win Rate58%67%42%50%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate55%65%43%48%50%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WTFC Max Drawdown-66%-1%-15%-27%-2%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-8%-26%-28%-15%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CADE, VLY, FNB, FFIN, EEFT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWTFCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-42.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven431 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-65.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven192.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven341 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-38.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven61.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven875 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-80.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven401.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2260 days1480 days

Compare to CADE, VLY, FNB, FFIN, EEFT


In The Past

Wintrust Financial's stock fell -42.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2022. A -42.2% loss requires a 73.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Wintrust Financial (WTFC)

Better Bets than Wintrust Financial (WTFC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WTFC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.5%16.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
11.3%11.3%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.8%-1.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.4%5.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.8%-8.8%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.5%16.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
11.3%11.3%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.8%-1.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.4%5.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.8%-8.8%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Wintrust Financial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WTFCCADEVLYFNBFFINEEFTMedian
NameWintrust.Cadence .Valley N.F N B First Fi.Euronet . 
Mkt Price140.8943.7811.9217.5231.5978.5137.69
Mkt Cap9.48.26.76.34.53.26.5
Rev LTM2,6501,8921,9591,6806004,1831,925
Op Inc LTM-----552552
FCF LTM1,113-539555297334539
FCF 3Y Avg760-424425281576425
CFO LTM1,150-539680309462539
CFO 3Y Avg815-424532296686532

Growth & Margins

WTFCCADEVLYFNBFFINEEFTMedian
NameWintrust.Cadence .Valley N.F N B First Fi.Euronet . 
Rev Chg LTM11.2%43.2%7.7%7.6%17.7%7.2%9.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.2%13.5%5.3%8.7%5.5%8.2%8.4%
Rev Chg Q13.3%13.2%10.2%10.9%15.8%4.2%12.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.2%3.3%2.5%2.8%3.7%1.1%3.0%
Op Mgn LTM-----13.2%13.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-----12.3%12.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-----0.2%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM43.4%-27.5%40.5%51.5%11.1%40.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg33.2%-21.6%32.4%55.8%17.9%32.4%
FCF/Rev LTM42.0%-27.5%33.0%49.5%8.0%33.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg30.9%-21.6%25.8%53.0%15.1%25.8%

Valuation

WTFCCADEVLYFNBFFINEEFTMedian
NameWintrust.Cadence .Valley N.F N B First Fi.Euronet . 
Mkt Cap9.48.26.76.34.53.26.5
P/S3.34.33.03.58.00.83.4
P/EBIT-----6.86.8
P/E11.315.311.511.519.911.711.6
P/CFO7.7-11.08.515.67.78.5
Total Yield8.9%8.3%12.8%11.7%7.2%8.6%8.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.7%4.1%3.0%2.2%0.0%2.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.6%-8.7%9.0%6.3%14.5%9.0%
D/E0.50.30.60.50.00.70.5
Net D/E-0.5-0.60.3-0.4-0.70.1-0.5

Returns

WTFCCADEVLYFNBFFINEEFTMedian
NameWintrust.Cadence .Valley N.F N B First Fi.Euronet . 
1M Rtn9.8%14.0%10.3%11.2%1.4%11.1%10.7%
3M Rtn4.3%17.0%10.5%7.5%-12.3%-13.6%5.9%
6M Rtn20.4%47.0%41.2%30.5%-10.2%-27.1%25.4%
12M Rtn9.0%23.4%21.9%13.6%-20.7%-24.1%11.3%
3Y Rtn83.3%100.9%22.0%53.8%-1.3%-13.8%37.9%
1M Excs Rtn8.3%13.0%7.9%9.2%1.1%10.8%8.8%
3M Excs Rtn2.6%15.7%8.7%5.5%-14.0%-15.5%4.0%
6M Excs Rtn6.1%32.7%27.0%16.3%-24.4%-41.4%11.2%
12M Excs Rtn-5.0%9.5%7.3%-1.3%-34.0%-37.8%-3.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-3.4%8.7%-54.3%-25.1%-78.6%-86.8%-39.7%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Community Banking1,7041,4791,2911,2781,116
Specialty Finance435344294263241
Wealth Management169163161134130
Intersegment Eliminations-36-30-35-31-26
Total2,2721,9561,7111,6441,462


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Community Banking414349319164238
Specialty Finance17612110910089
Wealth Management3339382928
Intersegment Eliminations00   
Total623510466293356


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Community Banking44,35641,36840,25436,77029,583
Specialty Finance10,6659,8268,3837,0165,917
Wealth Management1,2391,7551,5061,2961,121
Intersegment Eliminations00   
Total56,26052,95050,14245,08136,621


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,763,438
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520259.6%
Average Daily Volume448,884
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.93
Basic Shares Quantity66,952,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/20/20252.3%3.8%-0.7%
7/21/20253.0%0.5%-2.2%
4/21/20255.2%10.6%20.8%
1/21/2025-2.7%-3.5%-5.6%
10/21/20242.2%3.4%17.2%
7/17/2024-5.0%-4.3%-9.6%
4/17/20240.4%5.4%8.1%
1/17/20242.7%6.2%5.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161314
# Negative81110
Median Positive2.2%5.4%9.9%
Median Negative-1.8%-3.5%-4.6%
Max Positive8.5%26.4%20.8%
Max Negative-5.0%-8.7%-10.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021