Old National Bancorp (ONB)
Market Price (7/10/2026): $26.14 | Market Cap: $10.1 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
Old National Bancorp (ONB)
Market Price (7/10/2026): $26.14Market Cap: $10.1 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 7.2% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.1%, Dist 3Y High is -1.1% Moderate capital ratioTier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 12% | Key risksONB key risks include [1] challenges in successfully integrating its significant strategic acquisitions. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 7.2% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.1%, Dist 3Y High is -1.1% |
| Moderate capital ratioTier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 12% |
| Key risksONB key risks include [1] challenges in successfully integrating its significant strategic acquisitions. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Old National Bancorp (ONB) stock has gained about 20% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Performance and Confident Outlook.
Old National Bancorp reported adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.61 for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), which met or slightly exceeded analyst consensus estimates. The company demonstrated robust underlying performance, with total loans growing at an 8.0% annualized rate to $49.8 billion, significantly driven by 16.9% annualized growth in Commercial & Industrial (C&I) loans. Management also highlighted a record commercial pipeline of $5.5 billion, representing a 14% increase from year-end levels, and reiterated confidence in their full-year expectations for 2026, signaling continued momentum and disciplined execution. Net interest income increased to $572.6 million from $387.6 million year-over-year, reflecting a larger loan book and higher yields, while deposit costs decreased.
2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Price Targets.
Following the encouraging fiscal Q1 2026 results, several Wall Street analysts reiterated "Buy" or "Overweight" ratings for ONB and maintained or raised their price targets. The consensus analyst rating for Old National Bancorp shifted towards a "Strong Buy," with a median price target of $28.00, implying a notable upside from its trading price as of late June 2026. This continued endorsement from the analytical community likely boosted investor confidence and contributed to buying activity.
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Old National Bancorp (ONB) stock has gained about 20% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Performance and Confident Outlook.
Old National Bancorp reported adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.61 for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), which met or slightly exceeded analyst consensus estimates. The company demonstrated robust underlying performance, with total loans growing at an 8.0% annualized rate to $49.8 billion, significantly driven by 16.9% annualized growth in Commercial & Industrial (C&I) loans. Management also highlighted a record commercial pipeline of $5.5 billion, representing a 14% increase from year-end levels, and reiterated confidence in their full-year expectations for 2026, signaling continued momentum and disciplined execution. Net interest income increased to $572.6 million from $387.6 million year-over-year, reflecting a larger loan book and higher yields, while deposit costs decreased.
2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Price Targets.
Following the encouraging fiscal Q1 2026 results, several Wall Street analysts reiterated "Buy" or "Overweight" ratings for ONB and maintained or raised their price targets. The consensus analyst rating for Old National Bancorp shifted towards a "Strong Buy," with a median price target of $28.00, implying a notable upside from its trading price as of late June 2026. This continued endorsement from the analytical community likely boosted investor confidence and contributed to buying activity.
3. Favorable Broader Regional Banking Sector Performance.
Old National Bancorp benefited from a positive trend within the broader regional banking sector during the period. The regional banking ETF (KRE) notably outperformed the S&P 500 year-to-date, showing a gain of 16.72% by late June 2026. This improved sentiment for regional banks stemmed from expectations of resilient credit quality and healthy balance sheets, as reported by S&P Global Ratings, which anticipated that North American banks would perform well after strengthening their balance sheets and reducing interest-rate risk following challenges in 2023.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 19.1% change in ONB stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 8.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.97 | 26.17 | 19.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,524 | 2,738 | 8.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 26.5% | 27.7% | 4.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.7 | 13.3 | 4.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 388 | 386 | 0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 19.1% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ONB | 19.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.6% | 30.1% |
| Sector (XLF) | 12.5% | 65.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 18.7% change in ONB stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 17.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 22.04 | 26.17 | 18.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,324 | 2,738 | 17.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 26.1% | 27.7% | 6.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.1 | 13.3 | -5.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 389 | 386 | 0.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 18.7% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ONB | 18.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.5% | 41.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | 1.9% | 69.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 25.7% change in ONB stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 41.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 20.82 | 26.17 | 25.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,933 | 2,738 | 41.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 29.2% | 27.7% | -5.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.7 | 13.3 | 14.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 316 | 386 | -18.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 25.7% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ONB | 25.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 22.7% | 43.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 7.3% | 67.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 104.7% change in ONB stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 115.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.78 | 26.17 | 104.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,892 | 2,738 | 44.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 31.8% | 27.7% | -13.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.2 | 13.3 | 115.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 291 | 386 | -24.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 104.7% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ONB | 104.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.6% | 56.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | 72.2% | 73.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ONB Return | 13% | 3% | -2% | 32% | 5% | 17% | 84% |
| Peers Return | 25% | -19% | 22% | 6% | 42% | 17% | 115% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ONB Win Rate | 75% | 33% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 57% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 52% | 53% | 50% | 67% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ONB Max Drawdown | -24% | -27% | -35% | -12% | -26% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -17% | -32% | -32% | -23% | -21% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, CBC, NU, FITB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/9/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ONB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 288 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.5% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.7% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 40 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -32.2% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 217 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -20.9% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.4% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 60 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -32.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.5% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -26.5% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.0% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 791 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Old National Bancorp's stock fell -25.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.5% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | ONB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 288 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -32.2% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 217 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -20.9% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.4% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 60 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -32.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.5% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -26.5% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.0% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 791 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -25.2% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.8% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 201 days | 62 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -27.0% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.0% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 577 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -38.3% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.0% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 31 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Old National Bancorp's stock fell -25.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Old National Bancorp (ONB)
Old National Bancorp (ONB) is a bank holding company operating Old National Bank, providing a comprehensive range of financial services to both individual consumers and commercial businesses. Headquartered in Evansville, Indiana, the company has a significant regional presence with 162 banking centers primarily across the states of Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin as of December 31, 2021.
The company's core offerings include traditional banking services such as accepting various deposit accounts, including noninterest-bearing demand, interest-bearing checking, savings, money market, and time deposits. It also provides a broad portfolio of lending products, including residential real estate loans, home equity lines of credit, consumer loans, commercial loans, commercial real estate loans, and lease financing. These services are complemented by modern electronic banking solutions like debit and ATM cards, online banking, and mobile banking.
Beyond its core deposit and lending activities, Old National Bancorp extends its services to include cash management, private banking, brokerage, trust, and investment advisory services. It also offers wealth management, investment solutions, foreign currency services, treasury management, merchant services, health savings, and capital markets services. These diverse offerings cater to its primary customers, which are individuals and commercial customers located within its multi-state operational footprint.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Old National Bancorp (ONB):
- A regional version of U.S. Bank, focused on the Midwest.
- Like a smaller-scale Bank of America, serving primarily the Midwest.
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- Deposit Accounts: Old National Bancorp accepts various deposit accounts including noninterest-bearing demand, interest-bearing checking, negotiable order of withdrawal, savings, money market, and time deposits.
- Loan Products: The company offers a wide range of loans such as home equity lines of credit, residential real estate, consumer, commercial, commercial real estate, letters of credit, and lease financing.
- Electronic & Mobile Banking Services: Customers are provided with debit and automated teller machine cards, telephone access, online banking, and other electronic and mobile banking services.
- Wealth Management & Investment Services: ONB provides private banking, brokerage, trust, investment advisory, wealth management, and investment services.
- Business & Treasury Management Services: The company offers cash management, treasury management, merchant, and capital markets services for commercial clients.
- Specialized Financial Services: Additional offerings include foreign currency services, health savings accounts, and community development lending and equity investment solutions.
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Old National Bancorp (ONB) sells primarily to a broad base of individual and commercial customers rather than a few specific major customers. Based on the services provided, its customer base can be categorized as:
- Individual Customers: This category includes everyday consumers who utilize the bank's services such as noninterest-bearing demand accounts, interest-bearing checking, savings and money market accounts, time deposits, home equity lines of credit, residential real estate loans, consumer loans, debit and ATM cards, online/mobile banking, and health savings accounts.
- Commercial Customers (Businesses): This category comprises various businesses that use the bank's commercial loans, commercial real estate loans, letters of credit, lease financing, cash management, treasury management, merchant services, and capital markets services.
- High-Net-Worth Individuals and Families: Catering to clients with substantial assets, this group benefits from specialized services like private banking, wealth management, trust services, and investment advisory.
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- Fiserv, Inc. (symbol: FISV)
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- Crowe LLP
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Mr. Ryan joined Old National Bancorp in 2005 and has served as CEO since 2019. Prior to his current role, he was Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer from 2016-2019. His previous roles at the company also include Director of Corporate Development and Mortgage Banking, Integration Executive, and Treasurer. Before joining Old National, he held senior finance positions at Wells Fargo Home Mortgage and Old Kent Financial Corp. He started his banking career as an intern at Old Kent Bank. Under his leadership, Old National has undergone significant mergers and acquisitions, including with First Midwest Bancorp in 2022, CapStar Bank in 2024, and the announced acquisition of Bremer Bank in 2025.
John V. Moran IV, Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Moran was appointed Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer effective August 31, 2024, after serving as Interim CFO from April 1, 2024. From 2021 to 2024, he was Old National's Chief Strategy Officer. He previously served as Executive Vice President and CFO of NBT Bancorp from 2019 to 2021. Additionally, he was the Director of Corporate Development and Strategy at Old National from 2017 to 2019. Earlier in his career, Mr. Moran held senior positions in investment research for more than 15 years, working with firms such as Macquarie Group, Cohen & Co., and Ryan Beck & Co.
Timothy M. Burke, Jr., President and Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Burke joined Old National Bancorp as President and Chief Operating Officer in July 2025. He previously served as Executive Vice President of the Central Region and Field Enablement for the Commercial Bank at KeyBank, overseeing commercial banking in 12 Midwestern markets. Prior to KeyBank, he was a regional CEO for seven years at FirstMerit Bank, which was acquired by Huntington Bancshares in 2016. He also spent 11 years with National City Corporation, rising to Managing Director, Senior Vice President of Corporate Banking, before its sale to PNC Bank.
James A. Sandgren, Chief Executive Officer, Commercial Banking
Mr. Sandgren is the Chief Executive Officer of Commercial Banking at Old National. He has a tenure of nearly 35 years with Old National, having held various executive leadership positions including President and Chief Operating Officer (May 2016-February 2022) and Chief Banking Officer (April 2014-May 2016). He joined the company in 1992 as a loan development officer. Mr. Sandgren is slated to retire in April 2026.
Chady M. AlAhmar, Chief Executive Officer, Wealth Management
Mr. AlAhmar is the Chief Executive Officer of Wealth Management at Old National, a role he assumed in 2020. Before joining Old National, he was a Senior Executive of Wealth Management at U.S. Bank. He has also held strategy, finance, and management positions with GMAC (Ally Bank) and ACG in New York. He was instrumental in creating 1834, a division of Old National Bank, which focuses on comprehensive wealth management and investment advisory services for high-net-worth individuals and institutions.
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The key risks to Old National Bancorp's business include significant exposure to commercial real estate, broader credit risk, and pressure on its net interest margin.
- Commercial Real Estate (CRE) Exposure: Old National Bancorp has a substantial portion of its loan portfolio tied to commercial real estate. Approximately 46.6% of its loan portfolio, or about $22.08 billion, involves commercial real estate, which creates particular vulnerability to the office property sector due to rising vacancy rates and higher interest rates. This concentration exposes the company to potential losses if market conditions for commercial properties deteriorate further.
- Credit Risk: Beyond the specific CRE exposure, Old National Bancorp faces general credit risk, which is the possibility of financial loss stemming from borrowers failing to meet their contractual payment obligations. This risk is increasing across the federal banking system, and Old National maintains allowances for credit losses based on estimated expected losses over the life of its loan and debt security portfolios. The broader economic environment and the creditworthiness of its diverse client base directly impact this risk.
- Net Interest Margin (NIM) Pressure and Interest Rate Risk: As a regional bank, Old National Bancorp's primary revenue source is net interest income, accounting for a significant portion of its total revenue (79.1% over the last five years). The company's net interest margin has been under pressure due to strong deposit competition and fluctuating interest rates. The uncertain direction and timing of future interest rate movements, coupled with evolving depositor behavior, pose ongoing challenges to managing funding costs and maintaining profitability.
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The emergence and growth of digital-only banks (neobanks) and specialized fintech companies offering core banking services, such as deposit accounts, payments, and various loan types, through purely digital channels. These competitors often feature lower fees, enhanced digital user experiences, and cater to customer segments that prioritize online convenience, directly challenging Old National Bancorp's traditional branch-based model and its ability to attract and retain customers.
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Old National Bancorp (ONB) operates within several large financial markets in the U.S. region. Below are the estimated market sizes for their main products and services:
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Deposit Accounts: The total deposits in all commercial banks in the U.S. were approximately $18.12 trillion in April 2025.
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Residential Real Estate Loans and Home Equity Lines of Credit (HELOCs): The U.S. home loan market was estimated at $2.42 trillion in 2026. Total mortgage debt, including home equity loans, outstanding in the U.S. amounted to $13.17 trillion at the end of December 2025, with HELOC balances at $433 billion as of Q4 2025.
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Consumer Loans: The overall consumer lending market in the U.S. was estimated at $27 trillion as of January 2025. Total non-mortgage consumer debt in the U.S. was $4.66 trillion as of April 2023. More specifically, auto loan balances reached $1.66 trillion, and credit card balances were $1.28 trillion outstanding as of Q4 2025.
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Commercial Loans and Commercial Real Estate Loans: The U.S. commercial lending market was approximated at $2.4 trillion in 2025. Another estimate for the U.S. commercial lending market size mentions $9.7 trillion. Total commercial real estate mortgage borrowing and lending in the U.S. was estimated to be $498 billion in 2024.
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Wealth Management, Investment Advisory, and Trust Services: The global wealth management market was valued at $1.25 trillion in 2020 and is projected to reach $3.43 trillion by 2030, with North America holding the largest share in 2020. The North American wealth management platform market, which supports these services, was valued at $1.4 billion in 2026. The global wealth of High Net Worth Individuals (HNWIs) reached $86.8 trillion in 2023.
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Old National Bancorp (ONB) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key strategies:
- Strong Loan Growth: Management anticipates continued loan growth, with expectations of 4%-6% growth for the full year 2026. This organic loan growth is consistently highlighted as a core focus, supported by a healthy demand environment.
- Expansion of Net Interest Income and Net Interest Margin: As the largest source of Old National Bank's revenue, net interest income (NII) is projected to benefit from loan repricing dynamics and favorable interest rate conditions, including potential rate cuts. The company also anticipates stable to improving net interest margins (NIM) and enhanced securities yields resulting from portfolio restructuring.
- Growth in Non-Interest Fee Income: Old National Bancorp is focusing on increasing its non-interest income, particularly from wealth management, mortgage banking, and capital markets services. Furthermore, the bank aims for double-digit growth in treasury and card fee income by 2026, driven by an expanded commercial client base.
- Strategic Acquisitions and Geographic Market Expansion: The successful integration of recent acquisitions, such as the Bremer Bank partnership and the CapStar purchase, has significantly expanded ONB's balance sheet, enhanced its capital position, and broadened its multi-state commercial banking footprint across the Midwest and Mid-South. This expanded presence targets middle-market clients and supports organic growth priorities in key metropolitan areas like Chicago, Minneapolis–St. Paul, Nashville, and Indianapolis, aiming to increase commercial treasury relationships and overall market share.
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Share Repurchases
- Old National Bancorp's Board of Directors approved doubling its share repurchase program to $400 million in February 2026, which is effective until February 28, 2027. This program replaced a prior $200 million authorization.
- In February 2025, the company announced a new share repurchase program authorizing up to $200 million worth of shares, set to expire on February 28, 2026.
- The company repurchased 2.2 million shares of common stock in 2025, reducing equity by $50.0 million. In 2022, 3.5 million common shares were repurchased under a $200 million program, which reduced equity by $63.8 million.
Share Issuance
- In November 2024, Old National entered into a forward sale agreement to issue 19,047,619 shares of common stock for an aggregate offering amount of $400.0 million. An additional 2,857,143 shares were subject to an exercised option and additional forward sale agreement.
- The merger of equals transaction with First Midwest Bancorp, Inc. in February 2022 was an all-stock transaction.
- Through its Employee Stock Purchase Plan, Old National issued 52,000 shares in 2022 with proceeds of approximately $809,000, and 35,000 shares in 2021 with proceeds of approximately $583,000.
Outbound Investments
- Old National entered into a definitive merger agreement to acquire Bremer Bank in November 2024, valuing the transaction at approximately $1.4 billion. Bremer Bank had $16.5 billion in total assets as of December 31, 2024, and the acquisition was anticipated to close on May 1, 2025. This acquisition significantly contributed to Old National's asset and loan growth in 2025.
- In April 2024, Old National completed its acquisition of CapStar and its wholly owned subsidiary, CapStar Bank, in an all-stock transaction. CapStar contributed $3.1 billion in total assets and the acquisition was targeted to achieve annual cost synergies of $32 million by the end of 2025.
- Old National completed its merger of equals with First Midwest Bancorp, Inc. in February 2022, in an all-stock transaction, creating an entity with over $46 billion of assets at the time of the announcement.
Capital Expenditures
- Old National Bancorp has focused on taking significant steps to enhance its technology, including expanding its partnership with Infosys and creating an internal Transformation Factory for process improvement and automation.
- The company plans for continued investment in technology and client-facing capabilities in 2026, aiming to drive tangible book value per share growth.
- Strategic initiatives include investing in treasury management and expanding into the mid-cap space, with a focus on organic growth and technological innovation.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 27.61 |
| Mkt Cap | 28.4 |
| Rev LTM | 1,869 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 593 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 619 |
| CFO LTM | 635 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 658 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 21.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 30.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 7.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 25.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 30.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 20.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.6% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 2,524 | 1,885 | 1,836 | 1,728 | 811 |
| Total | 2,524 | 1,885 | 1,836 | 1,728 | 811 |
| $ Mil | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Community Banking | 142 | 129 | 73 | 48 | 65 |
| Other | 3 | 0 | -3 | -5 | -1 |
| Treasury | -18 | -30 | -26 | -50 | -2 |
| Total | 128 | 100 | 43 | -7 | 62 |
| $ Mil | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banking | 11,846 | 11,501 | 9,431 | ||
| Other | 84 | 84 | 70 | 456 | 197 |
| Insurance | 62 | 63 | 65 | ||
| Wealth Management | 15 | ||||
| Community Banking | 5,403 | 5,035 | |||
| Treasury | 3,685 | 3,378 | |||
| Total | 11,992 | 11,648 | 9,582 | 9,544 | 8,610 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $26.17 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 10.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/26/1990 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -1.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $24.44 | $22.79 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 7.1% | 14.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 22.8% | 27.4% |
| Downside Capture | 44.29 | 97.99 |
| Upside Capture | 69.18 | 92.53 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 22.3% | 44.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.01 | 0.27 | 0.52 | 0.73 | 0.95 | 1.14 |
| Up Beta | -0.52 | 0.16 | 0.76 | 0.81 | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Down Beta | 0.29 | 0.02 | -0.04 | 0.39 | 0.85 | 1.16 |
| Up Capture | 56% | 62% | 74% | 89% | 89% | 140% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 14 | 25 | 38 | 69 | 131 | 377 |
| Down Capture | -38% | 17% | 32% | 78% | 91% | 102% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 6 | 15 | 24 | 54 | 118 | 366 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ONB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONB | 17.1% | 27.4% | 0.56 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 7.7% | 14.8% | 0.29 | 68.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 22.3% | 12.5% | 1.33 | 44.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.4% | 27.8% | 0.77 | 8.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 23.6% | 18.7% | 1.00 | -14.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.2% | 13.9% | 0.65 | 44.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -42.8% | 42.8% | -1.18 | 25.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ONB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONB | 11.6% | 30.0% | 0.40 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 10.5% | 18.6% | 0.43 | 69.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 53.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.0% | 18.3% | 0.80 | -0.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.5% | 0.28 | 8.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.9% | 18.9% | 0.06 | 49.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.3% | 53.5% | 0.42 | 21.7% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ONB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONB | 11.6% | 30.6% | 0.42 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 14.1% | 22.1% | 0.58 | 74.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.8% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 57.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.7% | 16.1% | 0.59 | -6.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.1% | 18.0% | 0.27 | 16.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 49.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.0% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 13.4% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/2/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/22/2026 | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| 1/21/2026 | 4.9% | 4.3% | 8.7% |
| 10/22/2025 | 0.6% | -1.5% | -1.8% |
| 7/22/2025 | -1.5% | -4.7% | -4.9% |
| 4/22/2025 | 3.8% | 8.1% | 12.5% |
| 1/21/2025 | 3.2% | 2.3% | 6.0% |
| 10/22/2024 | 0.0% | 2.3% | 11.1% |
| 7/23/2024 | 2.2% | 1.0% | -6.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 17 | 16 | 16 |
| # Negative | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% |
| Median Negative | -1.5% | -2.2% | -3.9% |
| Max Positive | 7.1% | 8.1% | 21.7% |
| Max Negative | -6.2% | -6.2% | -6.1% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/22/2026 | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| 1/21/2026 | 4.9% | 4.3% | 8.7% |
| 10/22/2025 | 0.6% | -1.5% | -1.8% |
| 7/22/2025 | -1.5% | -4.7% | -4.9% |
| 4/22/2025 | 3.8% | 8.1% | 12.5% |
| 1/21/2025 | 3.2% | 2.3% | 6.0% |
| 10/22/2024 | 0.0% | 2.3% | 11.1% |
| 7/23/2024 | 2.2% | 1.0% | -6.1% |
| 4/23/2024 | 0.1% | 1.5% | 5.2% |
| 1/23/2024 | -1.4% | 2.6% | -4.1% |
| 10/24/2023 | -2.7% | -1.9% | 5.6% |
| 7/25/2023 | 2.2% | 8.0% | -3.7% |
| 4/25/2023 | -2.3% | -2.4% | -2.4% |
| 1/24/2023 | -6.2% | -6.2% | -3.2% |
| 10/25/2022 | 3.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| 7/26/2022 | 2.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% |
| 4/26/2022 | 0.1% | -1.5% | 0.7% |
| 1/18/2022 | -0.8% | -5.3% | -5.5% |
| 10/19/2021 | 2.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% |
| 7/20/2021 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 2.9% |
| 4/19/2021 | -0.5% | 0.4% | 2.0% |
| 1/19/2021 | 1.8% | -0.4% | 0.4% |
| 10/19/2020 | 2.6% | 7.0% | 21.7% |
| 7/20/2020 | 7.1% | 7.8% | 12.1% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 17 | 16 | 16 |
| # Negative | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% |
| Median Negative | -1.5% | -2.2% | -3.9% |
| Max Positive | 7.1% | 8.1% | 21.7% |
| Max Negative | -6.2% | -6.2% | -6.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/29/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/19/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/19/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/22/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/29/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/19/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/19/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/22/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/10/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 10/27/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/04/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 04/28/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/10/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 10/28/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 07/29/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 04/29/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/12/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 10/30/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 07/31/2019 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Updated 7/8/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Otto, Bremer Trust | Direct | Sell | 3022026 | 25.95 | 1,926,782 | 49,999,993 | 1,069,413,721 | Form | |
| 2 | Chulos, Nicholas J | Chief Legal Officer & Corp Sec | Trust for Spouse | Sell | 2052026 | 25.05 | 15,000 | 375,748 | 511,995 | Form |
| 3 | Chulos, Nicholas J | Chief Legal Officer & Corp Sec | Trust | Sell | 2052026 | 25.05 | 15,000 | 375,748 | 511,970 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Otto, Bremer Trust | Direct | Sell | 3022026 | 25.95 | 1,926,782 | 49,999,993 | 1,069,413,721 | Form | |
| 2 | Chulos, Nicholas J | Chief Legal Officer & Corp Sec | Trust for Spouse | Sell | 2052026 | 25.05 | 15,000 | 375,748 | 511,995 | Form |
| 3 | Chulos, Nicholas J | Chief Legal Officer & Corp Sec | Trust | Sell | 2052026 | 25.05 | 15,000 | 375,748 | 511,970 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Regional Banks Resources |
| Bank Director |
| Independent Banker |
| S&P Global Market Intelligence |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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