Tearsheet

Commerce Bancshares (CBSH)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $52.355 | Market Cap: $6.9 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

Commerce Bancshares (CBSH)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $52.355
Market Cap: $6.9 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.4%, FCF Yield is 6.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -32%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -85%
 
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -63%
Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 10%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
  
4 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 18%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.4%, FCF Yield is 6.0%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -63%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
4 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 18%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -32%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -85%
7 Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 10%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CBSH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

I cannot provide the requested information as the specified time period is in the future.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CBSH Return-2%11%6%-16%19%-13%0%
Peers Return-11%37%-17%13%36%29%99%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CBSH Win Rate50%58%58%33%58%30% 
Peers Win Rate48%62%45%52%60%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CBSH Max Drawdown-32%0%-7%-35%-6%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-4%-28%-19%-6%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BAC, WFC, MS, C, USB. See CBSH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCBSHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-46.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven86.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-35.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven54.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven294 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven750 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-48.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven92.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2803 days1480 days

Compare to BAC, WFC, MS, C, USB


In The Past

Commerce Bancshares's stock fell -46.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/6/2021. A -46.2% loss requires a 86.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Commerce Bancshares (CBSH)

Better Bets than Commerce Bancshares (CBSH)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CBSH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Commerce Bancshares

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CBSHBACWFCMSCUSBMedian
NameCommerce.Bank of .Wells Fa.Morgan S.CitigroupU.S. Ban. 
Mkt Price52.3654.0989.35173.72106.7250.9371.72
Mkt Cap6.9403.8284.3272.9194.379.3233.6
Rev LTM1,715107,26482,53264,24785,24428,18273,390
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM49561,472-14,218-6,747-75,9689,900-3,126
FCF 3Y Avg46534,2449,172-23,827-64,79910,5814,819
CFO LTM54561,472-14,218-3,679-69,3919,900-1,567
CFO 3Y Avg53034,2449,172-20,550-58,15310,5814,851

Growth & Margins

CBSHBACWFCMSCUSBMedian
NameCommerce.Bank of .Wells Fa.Morgan S.CitigroupU.S. Ban. 
Rev Chg LTM6.4%8.9%0.2%17.6%8.4%4.0%7.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.3%5.2%2.9%7.6%5.0%6.5%5.7%
Rev Chg Q6.8%10.8%5.3%19.1%9.6%6.8%8.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.7%2.6%1.3%4.5%2.3%1.7%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM31.8%57.3%-17.2%-5.7%-81.4%35.1%13.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg32.4%32.7%11.2%-38.8%-72.0%38.2%21.8%
FCF/Rev LTM28.9%57.3%-17.2%-10.5%-89.1%35.1%9.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg28.4%32.7%11.2%-44.6%-80.3%38.2%19.8%

Valuation

CBSHBACWFCMSCUSBMedian
NameCommerce.Bank of .Wells Fa.Morgan S.CitigroupU.S. Ban. 
Mkt Cap6.9403.8284.3272.9194.379.3233.6
P/S4.83.63.23.92.22.73.4
P/EBIT-------
P/E14.813.012.715.412.610.512.8
P/CFO15.16.3-18.8-67.9-2.77.61.8
Total Yield8.6%7.7%9.9%6.5%8.0%13.7%8.3%
Dividend Yield1.8%0.0%2.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.2%11.7%6.9%-15.6%-55.7%17.3%6.6%
D/E0.00.90.81.42.01.01.0
Net D/E-0.6-0.7-0.61.0-1.2-1.0-0.7

Returns

CBSHBACWFCMSCUSBMedian
NameCommerce.Bank of .Wells Fa.Morgan S.CitigroupU.S. Ban. 
1M Rtn5.5%1.0%2.9%6.2%5.0%9.2%5.3%
3M Rtn-9.5%8.1%11.6%17.7%13.0%6.0%9.8%
6M Rtn-11.9%23.3%19.9%37.3%41.4%18.6%21.6%
12M Rtn-18.5%18.2%23.1%36.9%53.6%2.1%20.7%
3Y Rtn-13.5%61.4%110.4%108.8%151.9%28.9%85.1%
1M Excs Rtn5.5%1.0%2.9%6.2%5.1%9.3%5.3%
3M Excs Rtn-15.3%1.5%4.4%10.8%5.2%-0.7%3.0%
6M Excs Rtn-26.6%8.6%5.1%22.6%26.7%3.8%6.9%
12M Excs Rtn-37.3%3.0%6.3%22.1%41.2%-13.7%4.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-84.8%-13.9%32.9%41.1%79.2%-38.3%9.5%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Commercial768768665609547
Consumer653688475470451
Wealth318340285247229
Other/Elimination-167-307110119
Investment securities gains, net   114
Total1,5711,4891,4261,3471,350


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,816,442
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-0.1%
Average Daily Volume1,030,540
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.67
Basic Shares Quantity132,455,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211105202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Kellerhals Patricia RSenior Vice President5142025Sell65.621,00065,6201,160,687Form
1FOWLER JUNE MCALLISTER 5052025Sell60.721,61898,250192,796Form
2ROWE MARGARET MSenior Vice President3072025Sell61.9225015,479307,784Form
3KIM CHARLES GExec. Vice President and CFO2102025Sell67.7613,493914,2455,843,770Form
4Roller David L.Senior Vice President2062025Sell67.813,348227,0282,105,840Form