Tearsheet

GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GFS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $38.0 | Market Cap: $21.1 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GFS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $38.0
Market Cap: $21.1 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -113%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.7%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.8%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -113%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.7%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.8%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GFS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GFS) stock moved by 14.1% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, driven by several key developments:

1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results in Key Growth Segments. While GLOBALFOUNDRIES reported Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.34, which missed analysts' consensus estimates of $0.39, its quarterly revenue of $1.69 billion surpassed analyst estimates of $1.68 billion. The company also highlighted its fourth consecutive quarter of strong year-over-year revenue growth in both its Automotive and Communications Infrastructure and Data Center end markets.

2. Significant Strategic Investment in European Manufacturing. On October 28, 2025, GLOBALFOUNDRIES announced plans for a substantial €1.1 billion investment to expand its Dresden, Germany manufacturing site. This "project SPRINT" is projected to increase production capacity to more than one million wafers per year by the end of 2028 and is expected to receive support from the German federal government and the State of Saxony under the framework of the European Chips Act, reinforcing the company's strategic global footprint.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GFS Return---17%12%-29%-13%-43%
Peers Return46%17%-5%13%-4%5%85%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GFS Win Rate-50%58%58%33%30% 
Peers Win Rate52%42%32%42%35%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GFS Max Drawdown---40%-9%-41%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-12%-30%-12%-16%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGFSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-50.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ


In The Past

GLOBALFOUNDRIES's stock fell -50.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/25/2022. A -50.8% loss requires a 103.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GFS)

Better Bets than GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GFS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GFS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
GFS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025GFSGLOBALFOUNDRIESMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.2%9.2%0.0%
GFS_3312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312025GFSGLOBALFOUNDRIESMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.3%0.6%-17.7%
GFS_9302024_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302024GFSGLOBALFOUNDRIESMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-8.3%-11.0%-24.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
GFS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025GFSGLOBALFOUNDRIESMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.2%9.2%0.0%
GFS_3312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312025GFSGLOBALFOUNDRIESMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.3%0.6%-17.7%
GFS_9302024_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302024GFSGLOBALFOUNDRIESMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-8.3%-11.0%-24.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for GLOBALFOUNDRIES

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GFSQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameGLOBALFO.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Price38.09174.18256.06137.6836.1927.5387.89
Mkt Cap21.1187.827.54.52.0-21.1
Rev LTM6,84244,2844,343743446692,543
Op Inc LTM76812,3941,362-965-38387
FCF LTM97212,820-9437480-2177
FCF 3Y Avg47311,277-557-165-65
CFO LTM1,59414,01229997100-16199
CFO 3Y Avg1,92612,5047621985-762

Growth & Margins

GFSQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameGLOBALFO.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Rev Chg LTM-0.7%13.7%15.4%47.1%10.5%-13.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.7%1.2%20.6%-0.7%-12.3%--0.7%
Rev Chg Q3.4%10.0%8.6%23.8%2.7%-8.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.8%2.4%2.0%5.6%0.7%-2.0%
Op Mgn LTM11.2%28.0%31.3%-12.9%1.2%-54.6%6.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg13.8%25.9%22.9%-15.6%5.4%-13.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%-0.2%-0.9%3.2%-3.5%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM23.3%31.6%6.9%13.1%22.5%-22.6%17.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg26.7%31.5%21.7%2.8%19.4%-21.7%
FCF/Rev LTM14.2%28.9%-21.7%9.9%17.9%-29.7%12.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.3%28.4%-14.8%0.1%14.8%-7.3%

Valuation

GFSQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameGLOBALFO.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Cap21.1187.827.54.52.0-21.1
P/S3.14.05.45.85.0-5.0
P/EBIT-883.413.517.1-52.3420.2-13.5
P/E-184.432.418.8-50.0125.0-18.8
P/CFO13.312.879.144.222.4-22.4
Total Yield-0.5%5.2%5.3%-2.0%2.9%-2.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.1%0.0%0.0%2.1%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.2%7.0%-2.6%-0.1%2.2%-2.2%
D/E0.10.10.00.00.0-0.0
Net D/E-0.10.0-0.0-0.1-0.1--0.1

Returns

GFSQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameGLOBALFO.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
1M Rtn6.8%-3.6%-3.6%7.6%-12.5%-6.0%-3.6%
3M Rtn14.7%10.7%27.1%5.1%-17.1%-28.3%7.9%
6M Rtn1.0%18.2%60.2%9.9%-32.9%-9.9%
12M Rtn-14.7%9.5%23.4%22.7%-44.2%-9.5%
3Y Rtn-39.1%47.6%52.1%-2.8%-52.4%--2.8%
1M Excs Rtn6.8%-3.6%-3.6%7.6%-12.5%-6.0%-3.6%
3M Excs Rtn8.9%3.7%21.5%-3.3%-23.9%-37.5%0.2%
6M Excs Rtn-13.7%3.5%45.5%-4.9%-47.7%--4.9%
12M Excs Rtn-25.5%-1.2%14.9%10.9%-57.3%--1.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-113.2%-16.6%-18.2%-72.8%-123.3%--72.8%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15,443,442
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120258.1%
Average Daily Volume3,663,195
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.22
Basic Shares Quantity555,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202580520256-K 6/30/2025
331202550620256-K 3/31/2025
12312024320202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024110520246-K 9/30/2024
630202480620246-K 6/30/2024
331202450720246-K 3/31/2024
12312023429202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023110720236-K 9/30/2023
630202380920236-K 6/30/2023
331202351820236-K 3/31/2023
12312022414202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022112220226-K 9/30/2022
630202281920226-K 6/30/2022
331202261320226-K 3/31/2022
12312021331202220-F 12/31/2021
9302021113020216-K 9/30/2021