Tearsheet

GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GFS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $36.26 | Market Cap: $20.1 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GFS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $36.26
Market Cap: $20.1 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.9%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.8%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
  Key risks
GFS key risks include [1] navigating geopolitical tensions and trade policies that impact its "China-for-China" strategy, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.8%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.9%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3%
7 Key risks
GFS key risks include [1] navigating geopolitical tensions and trade policies that impact its "China-for-China" strategy, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GFS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. GLOBALFOUNDRIES reported stronger-than-expected Q3 2025 earnings per share, surpassing analyst estimates with a non-IFRS diluted EPS of $0.41 against a forecast of $0.38.

2. The company issued robust guidance for Q4 2025, projecting revenue of approximately $1.8 billion and non-IFRS diluted EPS of $0.47, meeting the high end of analyst expectations, which positively influenced investor sentiment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GFS Return-17%12%-29%-14%
Peers Return21%39%-20%41%-14%23%103%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GFS Win Rate50%58%58%33%42% 
Peers Win Rate65%65%37%63%40%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GFS Max Drawdown-40%-9%-41%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-1%-32%-6%-23%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: INTC, TXN, NXPI, ON, ADI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGFSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-50.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ


In The Past

GLOBALFOUNDRIES's stock fell -50.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/25/2022. A -50.8% loss requires a 103.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GFS)

Better Bets than GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GFS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GFS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
GFS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025GFSGLOBALFOUNDRIESMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.1%9.1%0.0%
GFS_3312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312025GFSGLOBALFOUNDRIESMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.3%0.5%-17.7%
GFS_9302024_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302024GFSGLOBALFOUNDRIESMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-8.3%-11.0%-24.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
GFS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025GFSGLOBALFOUNDRIESMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.1%9.1%0.0%
GFS_3312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312025GFSGLOBALFOUNDRIESMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.3%0.5%-17.7%
GFS_9302024_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302024GFSGLOBALFOUNDRIESMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-8.3%-11.0%-24.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for GLOBALFOUNDRIES

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GFSINTCTXNNXPIONADIMedian
NameGLOBALFO.Intel Texas In.NXP Semi.ON Semic.Analog D. 
Mkt Price36.2536.05174.49223.2353.33271.04113.91
Mkt Cap20.1162.7158.656.320.1120.688.4
Rev LTM6,79153,43917,26612,0456,18811,02011,532
Op Inc LTM777-1046,0123,0019323,0021,966
FCF LTM1,165-8,4182,0801,7701,3564,2791,563
FCF 3Y Avg587-11,2271,7322,2559993,6521,366
CFO LTM1,8148,5746,8972,3201,7854,8123,566
CFO 3Y Avg1,89810,9576,5603,1001,9404,4943,797

Growth & Margins

GFSINTCTXNNXPIONADIMedian
NameGLOBALFO.Intel Texas In.NXP Semi.ON Semic.Analog D. 
Rev Chg LTM0.3%-1.5%9.9%-6.8%-16.1%16.9%-0.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.6%-7.6%-4.6%-2.3%-8.1%-1.4%-4.6%
Rev Chg Q-2.9%2.8%14.2%-2.4%-12.0%25.9%0.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.7%0.7%3.5%-0.6%-3.3%6.1%0.0%
Op Mgn LTM11.4%-0.2%34.8%24.9%15.1%27.2%20.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg13.3%-3.7%38.0%27.2%25.2%27.2%26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%8.1%-0.1%-0.7%-2.5%1.9%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM26.7%16.0%39.9%19.3%28.8%43.7%27.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg26.9%20.5%38.6%24.3%26.8%41.2%26.8%
FCF/Rev LTM17.2%-15.8%12.0%14.7%21.9%38.8%15.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.0%-20.9%10.2%17.7%14.4%33.6%12.3%

Valuation

GFSINTCTXNNXPIONADIMedian
NameGLOBALFO.Intel Texas In.NXP Semi.ON Semic.Analog D. 
Mkt Cap20.1162.7158.656.320.1120.688.4
P/S3.02.89.74.83.210.94.0
P/EBIT-1,341.253.026.818.8--22.8
P/E-457.2764.933.127.962.953.243.2
P/CFO11.117.724.224.811.225.120.9
Total Yield-0.2%0.1%6.0%5.4%1.6%3.5%2.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%3.0%1.8%0.0%1.6%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.1%-9.1%1.1%4.0%--2.1%
D/E0.10.30.10.2--0.1
Net D/E-0.10.10.10.1--0.1

Returns

GFSINTCTXNNXPIONADIMedian
NameGLOBALFO.Intel Texas In.NXP Semi.ON Semic.Analog D. 
1M Rtn10.0%3.9%12.6%17.7%15.9%18.3%14.2%
3M Rtn12.6%44.8%-2.4%1.1%7.1%10.4%8.8%
6M Rtn-2.4%67.8%-10.6%7.0%2.0%18.9%4.5%
12M Rtn-17.4%76.4%-4.2%3.8%-21.3%28.9%-0.2%
3Y Rtn-39.6%38.9%12.7%44.2%-18.4%71.2%25.8%
1M Excs Rtn9.2%3.1%11.8%17.0%15.1%17.6%13.5%
3M Excs Rtn7.6%16.6%-4.4%-2.4%1.5%7.9%4.6%
6M Excs Rtn-14.8%55.4%-23.0%-5.4%-10.3%6.5%-7.8%
12M Excs Rtn-28.5%66.2%-17.0%-6.2%-30.2%16.1%-11.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-114.2%-38.1%-60.8%-31.3%-93.3%-2.7%-49.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Wafer revenue6,536   
Non wafer revenue856   
Engineering and other pre-fabrication services 481381410
Wafer fabrication 7,6276,2044,440
Total7,3928,1086,5854,851


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15,167,667
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.8%
Average Daily Volume2,276,632
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.66
Basic Shares Quantity555,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025111220256-K 9/30/2025
630202580520256-K 6/30/2025
331202550620256-K 3/31/2025
12312024320202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024110520246-K 9/30/2024
630202480620246-K 6/30/2024
331202450720246-K 3/31/2024
12312023429202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023110720236-K 9/30/2023
630202380920236-K 6/30/2023
331202351820236-K 3/31/2023
12312022414202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022112220226-K 9/30/2022
630202281920226-K 6/30/2022
331202261320226-K 3/31/2022
12312021331202220-F 12/31/2021