Tearsheet

FAT Brands (FATBB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.96 | Market Cap: $34.9 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

FAT Brands (FATBB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.96
Market Cap: $34.9 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -39%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -109%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -137%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -41 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.2%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 11%
  Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 3328%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Vegan Products, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.4%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -470%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -39%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 11%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Vegan Products, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -109%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -137%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -41 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.2%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 3328%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.4%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -470%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FATBB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the -29.2% stock movement of FAT Brands (symbol: FATBB) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Miss: FAT Brands reported its Q3 2025 earnings on November 5, 2025, with an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$3.39, which significantly missed analysts' consensus estimates of -$2.43. The company also reported quarterly revenue of $140.01 million, falling below the consensus estimate of $144.90 million. This financial underperformance likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.

2. Creditors Demanding Immediate Repayment of $1.3 Billion Debt: A significant development in late November 2025 was the announcement that FAT Brands' lenders declared the company's entire $1.3 billion debt load immediately due. This action raised serious concerns about the company's solvency and the potential for bankruptcy, leading to a substantial drop in stock value.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FATBB Return---59%16%-11%-56%-82%
Peers Return20%31%4%1%8%-6%68%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FATBB Win Rate-50%33%50%42%20% 
Peers Win Rate32%35%30%25%27%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FATBB Max Drawdown---61%0%-16%-60% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-3%-15%-10%-14%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BH, RICK, BRCB, CCHH, MCD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFATBBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-75.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven303.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to BH, RICK, BRCB, CCHH, MCD


In The Past

FAT Brands's stock fell -75.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/8/2021. A -75.2% loss requires a 303.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About FAT Brands (FATBB)

Better Bets than FAT Brands (FATBB)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FATBB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for FAT Brands

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FATBBBHRICKBRCBCCHHMCDMedian
NameFAT Bran.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.CCH McDonald. 
Mkt Price2.04308.6025.1824.6810.47307.7124.93
Mkt Cap0.00.40.2--219.40.3
Rev LTM578387282--26,263482
Op Inc LTM-412447--12,11335
FCF LTM-698134--7,37257
FCF 3Y Avg-725428--7,04941
CFO LTM-5410751--10,48579
CFO 3Y Avg-508056--9,70468

Growth & Margins

FATBBBHRICKBRCBCCHHMCDMedian
NameFAT Bran.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.CCH McDonald. 
Rev Chg LTM1.0%6.9%-5.3%--1.2%1.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg25.1%1.7%4.2%--4.2%4.2%
Rev Chg Q-3.4%10.3%-6.6%--3.0%-0.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.9%2.5%-1.8%--0.8%-0.1%
Op Mgn LTM-7.2%6.2%16.6%--46.1%11.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-1.8%8.1%19.8%--45.9%14.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.3%1.0%-1.3%---0.0%-0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-9.3%27.7%18.2%--39.9%23.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-9.6%21.3%19.4%--37.7%20.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-12.0%21.0%11.9%--28.1%16.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-13.8%14.2%9.7%--27.4%12.0%

Valuation

FATBBBHRICKBRCBCCHHMCDMedian
NameFAT Bran.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.CCH McDonald. 
Mkt Cap0.00.40.2--219.40.3
P/S0.11.11.2--8.21.1
P/EBIT-0.661.29.3--17.713.5
P/E-0.2200.820.2--25.723.0
P/CFO-0.83.96.5--20.75.2
Total Yield-465.8%0.5%5.7%--6.2%3.1%
Dividend Yield10.8%0.0%0.7%--2.3%1.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-106.2%17.5%6.6%--3.4%5.0%
D/E33.50.80.8--0.30.8
Net D/E33.3-0.10.7--0.20.5

Returns

FATBBBHRICKBRCBCCHHMCDMedian
NameFAT Bran.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.CCH McDonald. 
1M Rtn-11.5%-13.3%4.9%1.7%126.6%4.4%3.1%
3M Rtn-16.1%-0.4%-29.4%---2.2%-9.1%
6M Rtn-11.5%18.5%-37.8%---0.1%-5.8%
12M Rtn-55.7%37.8%-50.0%--6.9%-21.5%
3Y Rtn-64.3%112.9%-71.6%--20.6%-21.8%
1M Excs Rtn-11.4%-13.2%4.9%1.7%126.7%4.5%3.1%
3M Excs Rtn-26.7%-6.1%-35.6%---7.7%-17.2%
6M Excs Rtn-26.2%3.8%-52.5%---14.8%-20.5%
12M Excs Rtn-69.4%33.1%-65.2%---6.5%-35.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-136.7%47.2%-143.8%---51.3%-94.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment480 1191823
Advertising fees 38   
Factory revenues 34   
Franchise fees 4   
Other revenue 3   
Restaurant sales 241   
Royalties 88   
Total4804071191823


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,879
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.8%
Average Daily Volume2,139
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.75
Basic Shares Quantity17,821,815
Short % of Basic Shares0.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025731202510-Q 6/29/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/30/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/29/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/29/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023312202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/24/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/26/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/25/2022
93020221021202210-Q 9/25/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/26/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/27/2022
12312021323202210-K 12/26/2021
93020211108202110-Q 9/26/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Elenowitz Mark6032025Buy2.201,0002,20022,440Form