Xerox (XRX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.745 | Market Cap: $345.3 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: IT Consulting & Other Services
Xerox (XRX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.745Market Cap: $345.3 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: IT Consulting & Other Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -36% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -128%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -151% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 527% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 46% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.0%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.1% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, and Advanced Recycling Technologies. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -219% | |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -36% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 46% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, and Advanced Recycling Technologies. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -128%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -151% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 527% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.0%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.1% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -219% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
XRX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Xerox's Q3 2025 Revenue Missed Expectations and Full-Year Guidance Was Significantly Lowered.
Xerox reported third-quarter 2025 revenue of $1.96 billion, falling short of the analyst consensus estimate of $2.03 billion. This revenue miss was coupled with a significant cut to the company's full-year guidance for revenue growth (from 16-17% to 13% in constant currency), adjusted operating margin (from around 4.5% to around 3.5%), and free cash flow (from around $250 million to around $150 million).
2. Substantial Contraction in Profitability Margins.
The company experienced a notable decline in profitability in Q3 2025, with its gross margin contracting by 970 basis points to 22.7% year-over-year. Adjusted operating income also decreased, leading to a narrowing of the operating margin by 190 basis points to 3.3%.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| XRX Return | -34% | 2% | -31% | 34% | -50% | -67% | -90% |
| Peers Return | 20% | 4% | -38% | 30% | -24% | 40% | 9% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| XRX Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 42% | 67% | 42% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 48% | 43% | 60% | 38% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| XRX Max Drawdown | -59% | -21% | -40% | -13% | -53% | -71% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -36% | -18% | -44% | -9% | -37% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WDC, SSYS, CRSR, MITK, ALOT. See XRX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | XRX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -55.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 122.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -61.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 161.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -44.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 80.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 108 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -79.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 377.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to WDC, SSYS, CRSR, MITK, ALOT
In The Past
Xerox's stock fell -55.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/12/2021. A -55.1% loss requires a 122.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| With Xerox Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | Return | ||
| Xerox (XRX) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Xerox (XRX) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Xerox (XRX) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Xerox (XRX) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Xerox (XRX) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Xerox (XRX) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Xerox (XRX) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Day 5 of Loss Streak for Xerox Stock with -35% Return (vs. -52% YTD) [8/1/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 6 of Gains Streak for Xerox Stock with 37% Return (vs. -19% YTD) [7/23/2025] | Notification | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| XRX Stock Down -35% after 5-Day Loss Streak | August 2nd, 2025 | ||
| XRX Stock Up 37% after 6-Day Win Streak | July 24th, 2025 | ||
| What’s Next For Xerox Stock After The Recent 12% Fall? | October 27th, 2021 | ||
| Xerox Holdings Stock: Steady Demand Slump Could See Stock Shed 15% | June 22nd, 2021 | ||
| Should You Buy Xerox Stock At $24 Levels? | May 25th, 2021 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to XRX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| 12312024 | XRX | Xerox | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -31.1% | -66.7% | -71.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| 12312024 | XRX | Xerox | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -31.1% | -66.7% | -71.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Xerox
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 8.19 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.6 |
| Rev LTM | 1,007 |
| Op Inc LTM | 11 |
| FCF LTM | 56 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 34 |
| CFO LTM | 68 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 53 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 0.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.6 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| P/EBIT | -4.2 |
| P/E | -2.8 |
| P/CFO | 14.0 |
| Total Yield | -7.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -15.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -17.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -16.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -9.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | -35.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -15.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -23.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -30.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -21.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -108.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Print and Other | 6,571 | 6,804 | 6,729 | 530 | 706 |
| Xerox Financial Services (XFS) | 401 | 393 | 401 | 226 | 244 |
| Intersegment revenue | -86 | -90 | -92 | ||
| Equipment | 1,564 | 2,062 | |||
| Maintenance agreements | 1,803 | 2,372 | |||
| Service arrangements | 2,014 | 2,517 | |||
| Supplies, paper and other sales | 885 | 1,165 | |||
| Total | 6,886 | 7,107 | 7,038 | 7,022 | 9,066 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Print and Other | 7,301 | 8,230 | |||
| Xerox Financial Services (XFS) | 2,707 | 3,313 | |||
| Total | 10,008 | 11,543 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2242025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10302023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5012023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11032021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |