EPAM Systems (EPAM)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $208.93 | Market Cap: $11.6 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: IT Consulting & Other Services
EPAM Systems (EPAM)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $208.93Market Cap: $11.6 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: IT Consulting & Other Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 41% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112% | Key risksEPAM key risks include [1] significant operational and business challenges stemming from geopolitical instability related to the war in Ukraine and surrounding regions. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and Cybersecurity. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 41% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and Cybersecurity. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112% |
| Key risksEPAM key risks include [1] significant operational and business challenges stemming from geopolitical instability related to the war in Ukraine and surrounding regions. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
EPAM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The period from August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025, represents a recent historical period based on the current time provided. During this time, EPAM Systems (EPAM) experienced notable stock movements and continued its strategic focus. Here are key points highlighting why EPAM's stock moved during this approximate time frame: 1. 1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results and Raised Outlook: EPAM Systems reported strong third-quarter 2025 results on November 6, 2025, exceeding analyst expectations for both adjusted earnings and revenue. The company posted adjusted earnings of $3.08 per share and revenue of $1.39 billion, a 19.4% increase year-over-year. Following this performance, EPAM raised its full-year 2025 revenue growth guidance to a range of 14.8% to 15.2% and increased its adjusted EPS forecast. This positive financial performance likely contributed to investor confidence and upward stock movement. 2. 2. Strategic Investments and Focus on AI-Native Transformation: EPAM has emphasized its strategic investments in artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities and geographic expansion. The company's focus on helping clients build out their AI foundation and transform into AI-Native organizations has driven demand for its services. Initiatives like the launch of seven advanced AI agents on Google Cloud Marketplace in December 2025 and new platforms such as AI/RUN™ highlight EPAM's commitment to delivering transformative AI solutions. 3.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EPAM Return | 69% | 87% | -51% | -9% | -21% | -11% | -2% |
| Peers Return | 55% | 38% | -39% | 36% | -2% | -26% | 30% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EPAM Win Rate | 67% | 75% | 42% | 42% | 33% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 61% | 36% | 56% | 53% | 39% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EPAM Max Drawdown | -25% | -8% | -74% | -38% | -43% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -12% | -43% | -9% | -23% | -40% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ACN, CTSH, GLOB. See EPAM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EPAM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -75.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 310.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -33.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 93 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 39 days | 120 days |
Compare to CTSH, G, DXC, SST, IBM
In The Past
EPAM Systems's stock fell -75.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/8/2021. A -75.6% loss requires a 310.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to EPAM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| 03312025 | EPAM | EPAM Systems | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -8.5% | 23.9% | -15.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| 03312025 | EPAM | EPAM Systems | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -8.5% | 23.9% | -15.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for EPAM Systems
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 147.29 |
| Mkt Cap | 26.6 |
| Rev LTM | 13,077 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,891 |
| FCF LTM | 1,555 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,306 |
| CFO LTM | 1,724 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,477 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 10.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 26.6 |
| P/S | 2.1 |
| P/EBIT | 17.2 |
| P/E | 26.7 |
| P/CFO | 14.0 |
| Total Yield | 4.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 14.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 25.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 5.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -20.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -13.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 11.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 21.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -10.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -31.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -92.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 4.3% | 7.4% | 23.8% |
| 8/7/2025 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 4.3% |
| 5/8/2025 | -1.5% | 2.8% | -1.7% |
| 2/20/2025 | -7.2% | -7.4% | -22.1% |
| 11/7/2024 | 14.9% | 22.7% | 21.1% |
| 8/8/2024 | 1.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% |
| 5/9/2024 | 0.8% | 4.0% | -2.7% |
| 2/15/2024 | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 17 | 13 | 14 |
| # Negative | 7 | 11 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 3.6% | 4.0% | 8.5% |
| Median Negative | -3.4% | -5.7% | -17.2% |
| Max Positive | 14.9% | 22.7% | 23.8% |
| Max Negative | -10.3% | -14.9% | -35.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |