EPAM Systems (EPAM)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $204.36 | Market Cap: $11.4 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: IT Consulting & Other Services
EPAM Systems (EPAM)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $204.36Market Cap: $11.4 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: IT Consulting & Other Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -109% | Key risksEPAM key risks include [1] significant operational and business challenges stemming from geopolitical instability related to the war in Ukraine and surrounding regions. |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.5% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 41% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and Cybersecurity. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.5% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 41% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and Cybersecurity. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -109% |
| Key risksEPAM key risks include [1] significant operational and business challenges stemming from geopolitical instability related to the war in Ukraine and surrounding regions. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
EPAM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
EPAM Systems (EPAM) stock experienced a notable movement of 15.9% in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, driven by a series of positive financial results, strategic developments, and favorable market sentiment.
1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results and Raised Full-Year Outlook: On November 6, 2025, EPAM Systems reported robust third-quarter 2025 results, with revenues of $1.394 billion, marking a 19.4% year-over-year increase and surpassing analyst expectations. The company also announced non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.08, exceeding consensus estimates. Following these strong results, EPAM raised its full-year 2025 revenue and EPS guidance, signaling confidence in its future performance and leading to an immediate 4-5% surge in the stock price.
2. Continued Momentum from Positive Q2 2025 Earnings: Earlier, on August 7, 2025, just before the start of the period, EPAM had reported strong second-quarter 2025 results, with revenues of $1.353 billion, an 18.0% year-over-year increase, and non-GAAP EPS up 13% to $2.77, both beating expectations. This strong Q2 performance and the subsequent increase in full-year guidance contributed to positive momentum that carried into the period, with the stock surging 4.3% after the announcement.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EPAM Return | 69% | 87% | -51% | -9% | -21% | -12% | -3% |
| Peers Return | 55% | 38% | -39% | 36% | -2% | -27% | 30% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EPAM Win Rate | 67% | 75% | 42% | 42% | 33% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 61% | 36% | 56% | 53% | 39% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EPAM Max Drawdown | -25% | -8% | -74% | -38% | -43% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -12% | -43% | -9% | -23% | -40% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ACN, CTSH, GLOB. See EPAM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EPAM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -75.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 310.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -33.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 93 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 39 days | 120 days |
Compare to CTSH, G, DXC, SST, BAO
In The Past
EPAM Systems's stock fell -75.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/8/2021. A -75.6% loss requires a 310.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to EPAM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| 03312025 | EPAM | EPAM Systems | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -8.5% | 21.9% | -15.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| 03312025 | EPAM | EPAM Systems | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -8.5% | 21.9% | -15.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for EPAM Systems
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 143.98 |
| Mkt Cap | 26.0 |
| Rev LTM | 13,077 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,891 |
| FCF LTM | 1,555 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,306 |
| CFO LTM | 1,724 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,477 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 10.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 26.0 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/EBIT | 15.6 |
| P/E | 21.3 |
| P/CFO | 12.2 |
| Total Yield | 5.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 14.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 19.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -1.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -19.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | -14.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 13.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 16.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -13.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -30.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -89.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 4.3% | 7.4% | 23.8% |
| 8/7/2025 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 4.3% |
| 5/8/2025 | -1.5% | 2.8% | -1.7% |
| 2/20/2025 | -7.2% | -7.4% | -22.1% |
| 11/7/2024 | 14.9% | 22.7% | 21.1% |
| 8/8/2024 | 1.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% |
| 5/9/2024 | 0.8% | 4.0% | -2.7% |
| 2/15/2024 | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 17 | 13 | 14 |
| # Negative | 7 | 11 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 3.6% | 4.0% | 8.5% |
| Median Negative | -3.4% | -5.7% | -17.2% |
| Max Positive | 14.9% | 22.7% | 23.8% |
| Max Negative | -10.3% | -14.9% | -35.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |